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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Friday, July 22, 2022

Expert Says the Stock Market Tide Has Gone Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: The_Gold_Report

Expert Michael Ballanger reviews the current market cycle, Elon Musk's impact on the stock market, and reveals the stock he says has a positive outlook amidst the chaotic backdrop of summer 2022.

As a sexagenarian market philosopher soon to become a septuagenarian market philosopher, I am finding myself somewhat embarrassed when younger people (other than family) ask me my opinion on something. I usually try to reply to their inquiry in the manner in which my father (RCAF WWII navigator William Roland Ballanger) used to advise me in the very early days of my hockey career when some youngster would come up for an autograph or a simple “Hi Mike” to which I would always stop, bend down to his height, extend my hand, and say, “Hello to you, and what would your name be?” at which point he (or she) would look up to their parent(s) for guidance and then (almost always) tell me.

At this point in the encounter, I would offer the beaming youngster my hand and as we shook, I would say, “It is a great pleasure to meet you, and thank you for saying hello.”

That behavior came from RCAF Navigator W.R. Ballanger who recounted the story from his life that dwelled in the realm of geopolitical nonsense in the days after the Nazi's threw a historically successful and prosperous German society into total ruin and starvation.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 21, 2022

Test drive EWI's Financial Forecast Service / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: EWI

Hi reader,

Market action this year has hurt A LOT of people. Cryptos. Meme stocks. Tech stocks. We've seen some huge percentage declines -- all against a backdrop of historic leaps in interest rates and inflation.

Lifestyles irrevocably changed, not for the better.

Economists missed it. The Fed missed it. Politicians missed it.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 21, 2022

Stock Market Peril Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 had trouble extending gains, bonds didn‘t close on a strong note, and the dollar is readying an upswing. Can easily happen on the ECB move, and poof – there goes risk-on sentiment. Every hike is a move closer to demand destruction, and real assets are afraid – markets aren‘t yet sensing the Fed pivot, and concentrate on hawkish moves ahead. Quoting a bit from yesterday‘s premium analysis:

(…) Stocks are set to muddle through higher – this isn‘t yet the time to translate weakening earnings outlook or declining liquidity into the S&P 500 prices. Bonds need some time before their upswing continues. The dollar retreated, but hasn‘t yet made a top – that event is approaching, and would be seen in greater resilience in precious metals, namely gold. For now, the metals remain lackluster, with copper doing considerably worse (reaching $3.50 would be a success for the red metal this week really, I‘m not counting on that).

More thoughts are to be found within today‘s rich chart sections.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 21, 2022

Important: Are your Stocks in Stage 1, 2, 3, or 4? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Submissions

By Justin Spittler

Every investor is asking the same question: When will stocks bottom?

As you know, the S&P 500 is down 20% this year and firmly in a bear market.

Since 1929, the S&P 500’s had 14 bear markets... lasting around 19 months, on average. Which means if the current bear market lasts an “average” length, we’ll see the bottom next summer.

But asking when stocks as a whole will bottom is the WRONG question. Instead, investors should be asking…

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Dow Stock Market 2022 Forecast Trend Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market bounce fizzled out at 4180, thus no break above 4200 to target a trend to 4290 let alone anything higher and one does not need to look far for the culprit. CPLIE of 8.6% as the consensus and likely the FED had convinced themselves to expect inflation to have peaked hence triggering a whiff of panic as to what the Fed will do next to combat inflation.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Gold Is Getting Ready to Follow in Junior Miners’ Footsteps / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: P_Radomski_CFA

As junior miners continue to rise and the USD keeps falling, it seems like a matter of a short time before gold soars. It only needs a proper trigger.

Gold is doing pretty much nothing these days, but junior miners tell us what gold’s going to do next. It’s most likely to rally in the short term.

Why? Because the mining stocks tend to lead gold higher and lower, and looking at the relative performance of both parts of the precious metals sector, we see that this time, miners are already moving higher, while gold is getting ready to follow in miners’ footsteps. Let’s take a closer look at what junior miners (the GDXJ) did recently.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

What’s with all the Pretend Economists all of a Sudden? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Submissions

Is everyone an economist now?

These days, everyone I speak with has a strong opinion on the economy.

Most are convinced things will get worse.

They think the US economy is headed off a cliff, and that inflation is here to stay.

As a result, they also want nothing to do with stocks. They’re certain that the entire market is about to collapse.

I see things differently…
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Currencies

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Bitcoin Scams to Be on the Lookout For / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Steve_Barker

Crypto scams are on the rise, with CNBC reporting that in 2021 "a record $14 billion" was snatched by cyber criminals in all sorts of ways!

Bitcoin scams are a major part of the fraud that's been happening in recent years. This makes sense since Bitcoin has the largest market cap by far more than any other cryptocurrency.

In this guide, we'll delve into the shady world of Bitcoin and crypto scams. Read this article in full to get the lowdown on everything you should look out for and aim to avoid in terms of crypto scams!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Stock Market Trend Pattern 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My stock market big picture remains to expect the Dow to target a trend towards a probable bottom by late August / Early September at approx Dow 29,600 So far the stock market has not done anything to negate this scenario and thus remains the direction of travel ahead of my next stock market in-depth analysis.

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Local

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

UK Heat Wave 49.3c Record Temperature! LONDON'S BURNING! FIRES! We are ALL GOING TO DIE!!! / Local / Climate Change

By: Eliza_Walayat

Temps hit a new record high of 49.3c in Sheffield with similar readings across the UK that continued to suffer the global warming consequences of a Killer heatwave, sparking fires across the UK including a major incident being declared in London!

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InvestorEducation

Monday, July 18, 2022

The Psychology of Investing in a Stocks Bear Market / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Every bull market is followed by a bear market and every bear market is followed by a bull market, where courtesy of the electron and inflation mega-trends the general indices are on an upwards exponential trend trajectory. Thus all bear markets are living on borrowed time and thus ones focus should be on accumulating positions in good stocks i.e. those that actually generate earnings and have good prospects for continuing earnings growth that courtesy of bear market negative sentiment results in prices trading to under value stocks i.e. to under X18 earnings, where everything above X18 is carrying a premium which is why I completely sold out of many stocks last year such as Amazon and Nvidia even though they had yet to peak due to the risks of a valuation reset as I covered in my in-depth analysis of August 2021

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 18, 2022

Stock Market Risk-On Vs. Liquidity Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 ended a losing streak thanks to the still fine retail sales data, and even consumer confidence edged up. In the flattening yield curve characterizing the move to a slow growth phase, it was (and will be) up to tech to outperform value. Also healthcare is likely to see brighter times ahead. If I were to pick two reasons for why I think stocks are bottoming here, it would be the risk-on turn in bonds accompanied by the 10-year yield soundly below 3.25%, and the capitulation in oil stocks (former star performer as these are likely to get pulled down among the last sectors while the key laggards such as tech are on the verge of starting to outperform) coupled with oil holding my $93 support.

Wednesday‘s very hot CPI print means that the pressure on the Fed to keep hiking aggressively, is on. Indeed no pause in inflation, and if PPI is anything to go by (it is) then there is a lot more in the pipeline – and I‘m not bringing up owners‘ equivalent rent, which would continue driving inflation ahead (it‘ll be now service driven as opposed to goods driven). With 50bp obviously not being enough to recoup some of the Fed‘s badly damaged credibility, the question is by how much they hike actually. There is chatter about a full 1%, but another 75bp one looks most probable to me. And should we see signs of inflation moderating (gasoline and heating oil topped in June, which would help the July figures, and with inflation expectations pointing lower now, odds are that we would then get 25bp in September, and that‘s it – midterms next, justifying Fed‘s wait and see posture.

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Companies

Monday, July 18, 2022

Learn How To Improve Your Customer Relations / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

Customer service is one of the most important aspects of any business. It can make or break a company, and it’s essential to get it right. We’ll teach you how to improve your customer relations so that you can provide the best possible service to your customers. We’ll cover everything from communication and problem-solving to empathy and customer retention. So whether you’re just starting out in business or you’ve been doing it for years, read on for tips and advice that will help you take your customer service skills to the next level!

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Local

Monday, July 18, 2022

UK HEATWAVE 47.9c RECORD Temperature in Sheffield - EXTREME WEATHER RED WARNING / Local / Sheffield

By: Eliza_Walayat

They said to expect UK temperatures to break above 40c, well the city of Sheffield saw temperatures soar well beyond 40c traveling all the way to a record busting 47.9c! This is truly extreme weather for the UK, and heat waves such as this are going to become more common due to global warming, the UK could even see temperatures break above 50c that will likely see many thousands of Brit's dropping dead like flies due to not being used to the high temps, lack of experience and infrastructure!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Dow Stock Market 2022 Trend Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

This is brief stock market update as I seek to complete my extensive analysis of the US Housing Market which the following contents list indicates extent of -

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Companies

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Wipeout! New Update on Our "Green Bond" Investing (ESG) Forecast / Companies / Renewable Energy

By: EWI

Excessive euphoria in financial markets is usually a big reason to be "skeptical"

Environmental, Social and Governance bonds (ESG) -- also called "green" bonds -- are offered by companies which want to advance the causes of social justice, social inclusion and green technology.

This form of debt had been steadily gaining in popularity -- going from sales of less than $100 billion in 2015 to around $800 billion in 2020.

For instance, here's an Oct. 9, 2020 headline from Pensions & Investments:

University of Toronto's $7 billion fund makes bet on ESG debt

However, the Elliott wave structure of a global green-bond index was sending a warning signal.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 17, 2022

What Are The Driving Forces Behind The Shift In Global Financial Markets Risks? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Global market risks have shifted dramatically over the past 90+ days. It almost seems as though the global markets turned 180 degrees overnight, generally going from moderately soft monetary policies to very extreme monetary policies and conditions. This sudden shift caught many traders and investors off guard and resulted in -20% to -25% losses for many.

The driving forces behind this sudden shift are inflation and excess capital (M2) because of nearly a decade of near-zero US interest rates. Much of the excess capital created over the past decade has been deployed into global equities, infrastructure, and various speculative instruments (art, homes, cryptos, collectibles, and others). However, without a doubt, the recent burst of inflation is also a result of COVID restrictions. Such restrictions reduced supply capabilities and the resulting interruptions of manufacturing/supply have been felt throughout the post-COVID global recovery.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Is it Time to Give up on Crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Stephen_McBride

Crypto just wrapped up a brutal first half of the year…

Bitcoin’s down nearly 60%...

Ethereum, the world’s second largest crypto, has fallen 70%...

And many smaller cryptos are down 90%+

If you’re invested in crypto… and thinking about throwing in the towel…

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Currencies

Saturday, July 16, 2022

USDD New Ponzi TRON SCAM Stable Coin WARNING - Offering 30% APY Hook to Crypto Suckers / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Crypto fools, here's A NEW Stable coin ponzi scheme ready to suck in your hard earned wealth hot on the heels of the Terra Luna crypto scam stable coin that did it's rug pull early May that within days was followed by the USDD scam stable coin that purportedly has already sucked in $720mln dollars by offering suckered a 30% APY interest rate. Don't be fools! Nothing pays you 30% APY! Only scam turd coins like USDD

The bottom line is that stable coins are a crypto SCAM factory, as soon as one rug pulls another one pops up, probably operated by the scam artists.

This is why crypto's will be regulated because the stable coins are a SCAM FACTORY that I have been warning of for well over a YEAR!

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED!

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Economics

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Fed-Induced Recession Looms as Rate Fears Roil All Markets / Economics / Recession 2022

By: MoneyMetals

Another pair of alarming inflation reports jolted markets this week.

On Wednesday, the Consumer Price Index came in at a 9.1% annual rate. The higher-than-expected reading puts the CPI at a new 41-year high.

The biggest contributors to rising consumer prices are the basic necessities of food, fuel, and shelter. As households struggle to make ends meet, they are trimming discretionary spending, burning through savings, and running up credit card balances.

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