Monday, September 05, 2022
Stock Market Reality Check / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Mega earnings week saw the stock market soar on reporting euphoria where apparently the worse the earnings the stronger the rally in stocks such as Amazon due to the twin forces of investors piling into breakouts AND the market running short stops, which surely implies that the bear market could be OVER! After all the stock market discounts the future and so is looking beyond current BAD earnings and economic data to the blue sky's of future quarters, that coupled with US bonds rallying as the market tempered future interest rate expectations down from a peak of 4% for Mid 2023 to currently 3.25% all contributing towards the S&P closing higher at 4130.
Whilst the market was in the grips of BAD earnings mania I took the opportunity to trim my holdings which is another word for light selling, where my selling only went deep for Amazon which took my percent of portfolio down from 1.6% to 1.3% though after taking account of the price jump it's back up to 1.5% of portfolio which means I will probably sell more Amazon next week/ Whilst percent exposure is irrelevant right now as I am seeking to further reduce my max exposure limit. So more selling in the pipeline for Amazon and to a lesser extent others as the stock market so far has not done anything I have not been expecting it to do with the S&P having fulfilled my minimum target of 4080 and now has entered the TREACLE resistance zone of 4080 to 4180 as my forecast graph of some months illustrates.
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Monday, September 05, 2022
“Countering” China would pave the way to Global Economic Depression / Economics / China
By: Dan_Steinbock
In its pursuit for unipolar primacy, the Biden administration is risking the economic stability of China, the West, emerging Asia, and the futures of the Global South.
Before the global pandemic, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported China had replaced the United States as the engine of the global economy. In parallel, Reuters market analyst Jack Kemp warned that since early 2018, "the United States has pursued a deliberate policy of attempting to hurt China’s economy in response to concerns about the shifting balance of economic power and unfair trade practices.”
As economist Anne O. Krueger saw it, Trump’s trade war was “a failure that harmed both China and the US.” Consequently, many hoped that Biden's victory would come with a bilateral reset. But the reverse happened.
Building further on Trump’s flawed policies, the Biden White House began to weaponize those policies while diversifying risks to U.S. allies – from the EU and Japan to Ukraine and Taiwan.
Monday, September 05, 2022
Bet Successfully with The Help of Sportsbook Betting Reviews / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Sumeet_Manhas
There are hundreds, to thousands, of sportsbooks online and although many of them are reliable, many sports bettors lose money because they fall prey to scam or rogue sportsbooks. These sportsbooks default on player’s winnings, and as a result, leave successful sports betters left with nothing to show for their winning bets. To protect yourself from falling victim to sportsbooks, you need to read Sportsbook Betting Reviews.
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Monday, September 05, 2022
Clever Ways to Cut Business Costs with Technology / Companies / SME
By: Justin_Weinger
For any business, there’s a constant demand to find ways of keeping operational expenses low, and profits high. In recent years, an uncertain economy has placed even more pressure on business budgets, pushing executives to experiment with new and creative ways of minimizing fees. Increasingly, innovators are turning to technology solutions as an excellent way of improving cash flow, without compromising on business performance. The right tools and systems can offer everything from productivity boosts to efficiency increases in your workplace. What’s more, they can offer behind-the-scenes insights into where you’re missing out on places to save money. Here are just of some of the simple ways you can leverage technology to cut costs in your organization, without risking employee or customer experience.
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Friday, September 02, 2022
Gold Falls as Powell Appears Hawkish in Jackson Hole / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium confirmed his hawkish stance, sending gold prices towards $1,700.Markets Were Quick to React to Powell’s Speech
Jackson Hole is behind us! What have we learned from Powell’s remarks at this year’s symposium? Well, the Fed Chair delivered a decisive and firm speech that reinforced the Fed’s hawkish stance and put to rest beliefs about a quick dovish pivot:
Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.
Although Powell didn’t specify how large the next interest rate hike will be, he said that “another unusually large increase could be appropriate at our next meeting”. Importantly, Powell downplayed July’s deceleration in inflation, saying that “a single month's improvement falls far short of what the Committee will need to see before we are confident that inflation is moving down”.
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Friday, September 02, 2022
Stock Market Bull Bear Cat and Mouse Game / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 dicey premarket upswing fizzled out right after the open, volume picked up, and market breadth correspondigly deteriorated. Bonds confirmed, and the higher yields didn‘t even send the dollar much upwards. Together with the sea of red in commodities and precious metals, this smacks of deleveraging, still of the relatively orderly flavor if you look at the well behaved VIX at 26 only. The steep post Jackson Hole downswing will pause, but there isn‘t a sign that would happen precisely today yet.
Looking at the daily chart of CRB Index, crude oil, gold and silver with the miners, odds are that we would see a repeat of yesterday‘s action today as well – to a good degree. Not much has really change since my yesterday‘s review of real assets and cryptos, and especially the crude oil setback (reinforced by the Iran deal speculation Europe is pinning its eyes on) is generally worrying. The Fed keeps hammering the same message, and short end of the curve keeps duly rising. Tombstone reminder for those overstaying in the S&P 500 rally to the 200-day moving average, would be „don‘t fight the Fed – the central bank doesn‘t have your bank now, and would act on the out of control inflation“.
Friday, September 02, 2022
Doing Business In Singapore? Learn How To Feel Comfortable There / Companies / SME
By: Steve_Barker
Singapore is often referred to as a "city in a garden," and it's easy to see why – with more than 50% of the island dedicated to green space, the city is teeming with lush parks, tree-lined streets, and beautifully landscaped gardens. Despite its relatively small size, Singapore is a bustling metropolis that is home to a diverse population of around 5 million people.
If you’re heading to Singapore for a business trip, there are a few things you should know first before you go so that you can feel as comfortable as possible for the duration of your trip. Let’s get straight into it!
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Thursday, September 01, 2022
Qualcom Harbinger, AI Predicts Future Stock Prices 3 Years Ahead, China Bank Runs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
QCOM illustrates how the bottoms will tend to play out for most of the AI tech stocks, for if you are not already invested then you will likely end up waiting for the second chance to buy near the bottom all the way towards new all time highs. For instance I would be surprised if we see anywhere near $118 on Qualcom again, I may be wrong but I am assuming there are a lot of investors now wishing they had bought near $120 and are thus eager for another bite at the cherry.
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Thursday, September 01, 2022
Nothing Is Stopping the Gold GDXJ From Reaching 2020 Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Both gold and silver’s results sagged, but gold stocks are the worst performers so far. What is this decline leading to?
Gold moved visibly lower yesterday, silver closed at the second-lowest level in over 2 years, and miners (both GDX and GDXJ) formed their lowest daily close in over 2 years! If someone has chosen to take short positions, profits have increased.
Thursday, September 01, 2022
Beware of This Deceptive Stocks Bear-Market Trait / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
There's only one rule which applies to a 2nd wave rally...
Big stock market trends don't progress up or down in a straight line. In a bear market, stocks typically rebound after the first leg down. In a bull market, the opposite happens: Stocks again take a big dive, making everyone think the bear market has returned.
But in a bear market, that "first leg down" is wave 1 and the partial "rebound" which follows is wave 2. I say "partial" because the only rule which applies to wave 2 is that it cannot retrace 100% of wave 1. Meaning, the bear market rally cannot go above the previous market top.
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Thursday, September 01, 2022
What Don’t They Tell You About Online Trading? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Traders come in all shapes and sizes, but we can narrow it down to two types. There are risk takers and those who play it safe. By definition, trading is a risky undertaking. It always has been. Despite our best efforts, it’s impossible to predict the direction and magnitude of price movements at any time. We use a variety of trading tools and resources to gauge the performance of the markets. These include technical and fundamental analysis.
By and large, trading platforms sell the hype with lofty promises of significant returns and comfortable retirements. Regardless, there are no guarantees. Stakeholders in the financial markets – particularly those with something to gain from unsuspecting traders and investors, are single-minded. They want to generate as much profit as possible in double-quick time. Hence the presence of fraudsters, shell companies, and less than honest financial reporting.
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Thursday, September 01, 2022
5 ADVANTAGES OF ONLINE MARKETING FOR YOUR JEWELRY BUSINESS / Companies / Marketing
By: Kavinesh_A
Online marketing is the smart and cost-effective way for new and growing businesses to reach their target audience. When you think about traditional marketing activities, advertisements on radio, TV, newspapers, and magazines are not exactly cheap. Moreover, these forms of media have a limited reach. Today’s digitally connected customers are online every minute of every day. They expect businesses to be online, where they can find them and see what they stand for.
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Thursday, September 01, 2022
How To Organize Remote Work For Greater Efficiency / Personal_Finance / Work from Home
By: Steve_Barker
Ever since this whole pandemic started, it appears to be like remote work experience has become more widespread with the goal to restrict contact between people and make the entire work environment safer for everybody.A lot of employees all around the world were practically forced to leave their offices and start working from home. Even when the situation got better, many people decided to continue working from the comfort of their homes.
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Saturday, August 20, 2022
Stock Market Trend Target, Why Peak Inflation is a Red Herring / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market remains within a trading range of S&P 3935 to 3720 with the most recent price action being a rally following a brief break BELOW the range on Thursday to run the long stops before the market reversed sharply higher. The S&P looks set to target a break of 3935 the importance of which would be to go against the bear markets tendency for down swings to exceed the preceding up swings which thus acts to weaken the bear market until either a reversal from bear market to bull market is confirmed or the bear market once more puts in a dominant big downswing. Nevertheless a break above 3935 would indicate that the last swing down was just -5.7% and thus corrective against the previous upswing of +8.9% that at least suggests to expect a similar swing higher and thus in the first instance targets 4036 which is inline with my existing target to reach resistance between 4080 and 4120.
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Saturday, August 20, 2022
Mixed Messaging from the Fed Causing Confusion in Markets / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: MoneyMetals
Precious metals markets are giving up ground this week as investors react to the latest musings from the Federal Reserve.
On Wednesday, the Fed released the minutes from its latest policy meeting. Officials acknowledged some of the warning signs of a weakening economy. That suggests they are likely to scale back future rate increases rather than implement additional 75 basis-point hikes.
But policymakers also admitted that inflation is still running uncomfortably high and seem poised to continue tightening to some extent.
Mixed messaging from the Fed caused confusion among investors. Some interpreted the Fed's comments as hawkish while others saw them as more dovish than expected. Perhaps central bankers themselves are confused and don't really know what they should be doing next.
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Saturday, August 20, 2022
Gold 2022 Doesn’t Have to Be Like 1980 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
A recession is coming – but will it really be positive for gold? After all, the yellow metal plunged in 1980, despite an economic downturn.Recession and Stagflation
Everyone says that the upcoming recession and stagflation will be good for gold. However, will they really? Some doubts also arose in my mind, so let’s investigate them. I, of course, don’t dispute that gold soared in the 1970s. This is a fact which is illustrated nicely by the chart below.
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Wednesday, August 17, 2022
Electronic Payments Can Benefit Your Business - Here’s How / Companies / SME
By: Steve_Barker
If your business is still using paper checks to pay its bills, you're behind the times. Electronic payments are the future of commerce, and they offer a number of benefits that traditional methods can't match. Here are just a few reasons why electronic payments should be at the top of your list.
Better Security
It's essential to make your place of business as safe as it can be, and keeping finances secured should be a top priority. Get the best electronic money institution license UK has to offer and set up a system that cannot be hacked. This way, you can avoid costly breaches and better protect your business, its employees, and its customers.
Tuesday, August 16, 2022
Where’s my self-driving car? / Companies / Self Driving Cars
By: Stephen_McBride
Silicon Valley gurus told us we’d be commuting to work in robocars by now…
In 2016, the CEO of ridesharing firm Lyft predicted driverless cars would “all but end” car ownership...
Heck, even Tesla founder Elon Musk said robotaxis were just two years away…
That was in 2015.
Tuesday, August 16, 2022
Real Reason why Pakistan and India Gained Independence in 1947 at 75th Anniversary / Politics / Pakistan
By: N_Walayat
The British Empire through guile and cunning ruled over the asian sub continent for 200 years! Whilst it is well documented how Britain achieved rule over a much larger and more sophisticated population that literally experienced rape and pillage of the people and the lands resources, including use of a millions of slave labour. However each of the newly independant nations have carved out their own myths of how they achieved their independence from British rule which at the 75th anniversary this video explains the REAL reasons for why the sub continent gained it's independence in 1947 and not decades later which as was the fate for most colonies.
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Saturday, August 13, 2022
Qualcom Stock Market Harbinger / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
QCOM illustrates how the bottoms will tend to play out for most of the AI tech stocks, for if you are not already invested then you will likely end up waiting for the second chance to buy near the bottom all the way towards new all time highs. For instance I would be surprised if we see anywhere near $118 on Qualcom again, I may be wrong but I am assuming there are a lot of investors now wishing they had bought near $120 and are thus eager for another bite at the cherry.
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