Monday, October 31, 2016
Stock Market - Things are getting interesting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX did rally this morning, but only to the 61.8% retracement of Friday’s decline. That peak at 2140.72 marked 4.3 days from the previous high at 2154.79. An uninterrupted decline from that point for 8.6 days would put the low on the afternoon of November 9. It would also be 86 days from the All-time high in SPX on August 15 and 12.9 days form the NDX All-time high.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
The Market Just Gave Us Three “Tells” But Few Are Paying Attention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Are you worried about a market drop?
I’m not, we’ve been preparing for what’s coming for weeks.
Why do I think the markets will be dropping?
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Monday, October 31, 2016
This Past Week in Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the last week's movements in the gold and silver markets.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
Corporate Earnings Fairytale Has an Unhappy Ending / Companies / Corporate Earnings
The air underneath stock prices is indeed getting very thin at these altitudes. According to none other than Goldman Sachs, median stock prices are positioned at the 97th percentile of historic valuations. Other metrics such as Median PE ratios, Market Price to Sales and Total Market Cap relative to GDP all validate the extremely overvalued condition of U.S. stocks.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
SPX May Rally, But Weakness Remains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX Premarket is running higher this morning and the best Wave analysis I can give is that the Wave [ii] correction may not be over. This may comport with the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday with a statement, but no press conference on Wednesday.
The trendline of the Broadening Top offered a support area for a bounce. The target for this retracement may be in the range of the 61.8% level at 2141.01 or as high as Intermediate-term resistance at 2147.58, which is also the 78.6% retracement level.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
Blame Government, Not Markets for Monopoly / Politics / Government Intervention
When Time-Warner announced it planned to merge with another major communications firm, many feared the new company would exercise near-total monopoly power. These concerns led some to call for government action to block the merger in order to protect both Time-Warner's competitors and consumers.
No, I am not talking about Time-Warner's recent announced plan to merge with AT&T, but the reaction to Time-Warner's merger with (then) Internet giant AOL in 2000. Far from creating an untouchable leviathan crushing all competitors, the AOL-Time-Warner merger fell apart in under a decade.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
More Short-Term Stock Market Uncertainty Following Economic Data, Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,180, and profit target at 2,020, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
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Monday, October 31, 2016
Spooky Reality of Credit Cards High Balance Transfer Fees / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring
Having debt sitting on a card can be a scary thought, particularly if the debt is racking up interest. Borrowers would naturally assume that opting for the longest deal on offer would save them money, however, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that some of longest deals can work out to be the most expensive.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
Divergent Themes in Late 2016 / Politics / GeoPolitics
Despite the arrogance, hubris, and lying (obviously – its election season!), we have never seen a cycle that has be more absent in terms of policy details worthy of analysis. Outrageous claims about job creation, making America strong, and so forth are issued, but there is no substance. We have tried on numerous occasions to find enough specifics to even perform cursory analysis and it is just not there. It is very reminiscent of Nancy Pelosi telling America in 2010 that if they wanted to read the healthcare bill they had to pass it first. This is what passes for economic jurisprudence in the Republic the founders gave us all those years ago.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
Will FBI Director Comey’s October Surprise Derail Hillary’s White House Bid? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
Having closed his earlier investigation into Hillary’s use of her private email server for classified State Department documents without bringing charges, dismissing indictable evidence, it’s hard imagining a shift of agency policy now.
So what’s going on? Is FBI Director Comey trying to save face, even at this late stage, having tarnished the reputation of the agency and himself. The fullness of time will show what he has in mind.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
The Fed’s LITERALLY Broadcasting That a MAJOR Monetary Event Is About to Happen / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The biggest moves… the ones that make the MOST money in the markets are the ones no one is talking about for months.
With that in mind, you NEED to know that the Fed is going to let inflation run wild in the US.
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Monday, October 31, 2016
Stock Market Reluctant Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, October 30, 2016
Hillary Emails Disaster Sees Trump Jump 29% in Betting Market Odds, Can He Win? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
A day on from the breaking of the Hillary Emails bombshell and the dust is settling in the betting markets to reveal a market jump in Trumps favour by 29%, that saw betfair's Trump price recover from an clearly unwinnable 6 to now stand at 4.3. Is it enough to win the election? We'll 4.3 is still substantially away from where Trump stood just before the 1st Presidential debate at 2.88, in advance of which I had concluded that given the trend trajectory at that time that Trump despite being behinf in the polls and the betting markets WOULD win the election given the anti-establishment Brexit factor.
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Sunday, October 30, 2016
Stock Market, Precious Metals: the Month Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The astrological themes going forward surround around Neptune which rules lies, deceit, secrets, radicalism, illegal activities and fraud. Mars (war tensions: think Russian naval movements into the Mediterranean) is also implicated, especially early in the month of November surrounding the dates of November 1-4. Gold could see a big move up around Nov 3-4. GDX could rally to around 26.00.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 30, 2016
Halloween Money Saving - How to Make a SCARY Pumpkin Lantern for Kids! / Personal_Finance / Money Saving
For get buying any expensive gear or toys. Instead here's my easy to follow fun low cost money saving activity to do with your kids on Halloween, which is to make a scary pumpkin lantern! I'll show you how in this easy to follow step by step guide -
1.Choose a large pumpkin
2.Use s sharp knife to cut off the top
3.Dig out the insides, with a spoon and / or your hands. This is the toughest!
4. Use a marker pen to draw a simple outline of a face on the pumpkin. Eyes, Nose, Toothy Mouth.
5.... Watch the video!
Saturday, October 29, 2016
Comey Hillary Emails bombshell - Throw Huma Under the Bus? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
There is so much in innuendo and guesses and biased opinion floating around on this ‘morning after’ the Comey bombshell that the only option we have is to read and watch a ton of stuff and see what sticks. One thing that definitely should stick was published late last night by Paul Sperry for the New York Post.
He scores a solid and massive point that looks as damning for the FBI itself (or at least the superiors), as it does for Hillary Clinton. It is, in that regard, perhaps telling that one of the alleged reasons whispered for FBI director Jim Comey to come forward on Friday is that he feared details of the probe would otherwise be leaked to the press.
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Saturday, October 29, 2016
SPX Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The market started the week at SPX 2141. After a gap up opening on Monday, and a SPX 2155 high, the market pulled back into Wednesday hitting 2132. Another gap up opening on Thursday took the market to SPX 2147. But another pullback dropped to the SPX to 2119 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.95%. Economic reports for the week were again mixed. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, new home sales, durable goods, and the WLEI declined. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, FHFA housing, pending home sales, Q3 GDP, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, the ISMs and monthly Payrolls. Best to your week!
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Saturday, October 29, 2016
Washington Prepares For EMP While Internet Under Attack Since Transfer to the UN / Politics / Internet
Remember how we pondered whether the internet would be shut off (or highly censored) upon being transferred to the UN on October 1st? Just a few weeks later, large swathes of the internet went down. Coincidence or trial run?
We’ll get into that below.
Beforehand, however, there have been a number of new “Executive Orders” straight from the e-pen of Barack O’Bomber in the last few months of a “very strange” variety.
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Saturday, October 29, 2016
A Loaf of Bread, A Gallon of Gas, An Ounce of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Kelsey Williams writes: The average cost for a loaf of bread in 1930 was ten cents ($.10). The average cost for a gallon of gasoline was also ten cents. With gold priced in U.S. dollars at $20.00 to the ounce, you could at that time purchase two hundred loaves of bread or two hundred gallons of gasoline (or some combination thereof). Twenty dollars of paper currency OR one ounce of gold valued at $20.00, usually in the form of a U.S. Double Eagle ($20.00 gold coin, legal tender), were equal in “purchasing power”.
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Saturday, October 29, 2016
BEA Estimates US 3rd Quarter 2016 GDP Growth to be 2.91% / Economics / US Economy
In their first ("preliminary") estimate of the US GDP for the third quarter of 2016, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the growth rate was +2.91%, up +1.49% from the prior quarter.
Most of the reported improvement in the headline number came from a +1.77% quarter-to-quarter gain in inventories, a +0.96% rise in exports, and a +0.39% uptick in governmental spending. Offsetting those improvements was an aggregate -1.41% reduction in the headline number from softening consumer spending on both goods and services. Fixed investments remained in contraction at a -0.09% annualized rate.