Monday, September 14, 2015
No Recession, But… / Economics / Recession 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
I am personally not yet convinced an ultimate bull market top is in despite the obvious similarities of the recent interim top to 2007 [the first sign in this regard would be a loss of the October 2014 and August 2015 lows]. It could also be a 1998 clone, as we have noted by chart similarities and by global financial similarities (China/Asia). However, in 2007 the stock market did a good job of forecasting the coming “Great Recession” (a sanitized way of saying ‘impulsive unwinding of leverage’). Here is what economists think today (ref. Bloomberg article): http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-11/here-s-when-economists-expect-to-see-the-next-u-s-recession. 2018 it is, according to a majority of buttoned down dart throwers.
Monday, September 14, 2015
U.S. Unemployment Rate - A Dirty Game of Numbers / Economics / Economic Statistics
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The newest addition of the Bureau of lies’ newest falsified and manipulated document about the employment figures is now out, available for viewing of the ignorant masses. The makers of the report will make sure that they drum it up for the whole world to hear, so that their plans of treachery and deceit stay well on course. Even the mature financial minds at Wall Street will accept it, because they are always in search of positive news to help their financial interests in the market.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Ted Butler: The Coming Silver Shortage / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
From the very beginning of my epiphany 30 years ago about a silver price manipulation on the COMEX, was the unavoidable conclusion that if prices were artificially depressed as I believed, then at some point a physical shortage must develop. If the price of any commodity were set too low for too long a period of time, then the dynamics of the law of supply and demand would eventually crimp supply and encourage demand to such an extent that a physical shortage must develop and end the manipulation.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Gathering Storm Clouds - Fourth Turning Crisis Of Trust – Part 2 / Politics / Social Issues
By: James_Quinn
In Part 1 of this article I discussed the catalyst spark which ignited this Fourth Turning and the seemingly delayed regeneracy. In Part 2 I will ponder possible Grey Champion prophet generation leaders who could arise during the regeneracy.
The nearly seven year reign of Barack Obama has resulted in furthering wealth inequality, in spite of his socialistic rhetoric. Notwithstanding his Nobel Peace Prize, military spending is at all-time highs and we are engaged in actual and proxy wars across the Middle East and in the Ukraine. Race relations have never been worse. Poverty levels have never been worse. Real median household income is lower than it was in 1989. Real hourly wages are at 50 year lows.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Silver Coins and Bars – “Potential From Today’s Levels Remains Enormous” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows. After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
How You Can Win the Government's War on Cash / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com 
Peter Krauth writes: Most point to the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers as the main trigger of the 2008 financial crisis.
Perhaps equally as important, but certainly not as well-covered, is what happened the following day…
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Monday, September 14, 2015
UK Average Retirement Incomes 7.9% Lower than a Year Ago / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
By: MoneyFacts
New research by Investment Life & Pensions Moneyfacts has revealed that today’s retirees, who choose to take an income via an annuity, are set to receive annual retirement incomes that are 7.9% lower than those received by retirees last year. It also warns that current pension contribution levels are insufficient to bring retirement incomes back to the levels enjoyed by retirees 15 years ago.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
All Investors Need To Diversify Their Investment Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Most people that make financial investments understand how important it is to research before money is invested and see how hard it can be without diversifying an investment portfolio. This basically means that the money is put into different assets like property, money markets, bonds or equities. At the same time, international market investment is also included in diversification, meaning that the money is divided in different markets, not just one.In order to understand why an investment portfolio needs to be diversified, here are some facts you have to always remember.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
U.S. Dollar the Most Lopsided Trade, Implications for Gold, Commodities and Stocks / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Savage
I would say without a doubt the most lopsided trade in the world right now is the long dollar trade. Virtually everyone has become convinced that the dollar is going to 110, 120 or even 160.
Folks when everyone is thinking the same thing … then no one is thinking.
So let’s take a look at this “one way” trade.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Congress Fiddles Whilst the U.S. Economy Burns / Politics / US Economy
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
Reports that the official unemployment rate has fallen to 5.1 percent may appear to vindicate the policies of easy money, corporate bailouts, and increased government spending. However, even the mainstream media has acknowledged that the official numbers understate the true unemployment rate. This is because the government's unemployment figures do not include the 94 million Americans who have given up looking for work or who have settled for part-time employment. John Williams of Shadow Government Statistics estimates the real unemployment rate is between 23 and 24 percent.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
9/11 Memory: Fascism & Gold / Politics / US Politics
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The ultimate patriotic act is to invest the life savings in Gold & Silver, which does honor to real money, shows disdain for paper merchants who rule the central banks, and forces nations to put forth honest sound money in usage. It is important to recall the 9/11 event, however based in reality, not the official story. Honor should be given to the 2500 victims of the mass murder event. The official story makes far less sense than the Kennedy assassination, while the two events appear to be front and back bookends of the same Fascist takeover of the United States Govt. The Patriot Act was a fascist manifesto, much like the Enabling Act installed in Germany over seven decades ago. The two acts have a 90% correlation and overlap, yet the American public remains largely in the dark on the similarity in template.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Euro To Fail Above 1.14 / Currencies / Euro
By: Richard_Cox
Currency markets have had difficulty in showing much consistency over the last few weeks of the summer but now that markets are once again returning to full strength it it more likely that we will start to see a resumption of the broader global trends. The Euro will continue to be one of the most important assets to watch in this class, given the fundamental uncertainty that still surrounds a good portion of the region.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Stock Market Will It Or Won’t It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend – SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Why Commodities And Precious Metals Are True Contrarian Opportunities / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: SecularInvestor
Investors tend to make ‘contrarian’ investing choices too early in the cycle.
Basically, the price of an asset can be trending higher, lower or sideways. When an asset is declining in price, it remains in a downtrend until proven otherwise. The chance of a trend change is much smaller than the trend continuing. In other words, being ‘contrarian’ is difficult, and the pitfall is that an investor may be too early with his contrarian call.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Gold Price and HUI Stocks Short Term Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
Maybe - based on today's price action in both the metal and in the mining shares (HUI) but only short term.
The shares were actually a bit more convincing than the actual metal, which is something one would like to see anyway if they are looking to be bullish.
The HUI opened lower, promptly fell apart but then began gradually climbing back up off the worst levels of the session as the day wore on. By the time of the close, they had managed to eke out a small gain.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Gold and Silver Psychological Warfare vs the Big Picture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight we'll look at the precious metals complex and see how this game of psychological warfare looks from a Chartology perspective. I know many are disappointed by the short covering rally at the end of today's trading but this is how markets work. They do everything they can to throw you off the trade and just when you think you have it figured out it will change again. The big question is did this short covering rally change the bigger picture? If one just looks at the very short minute charts they will see the end of the day rally as being pretty significant but the further you go out in time the less it affects the appearance of the chart.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Next Generation QE Money Printing Coming Soon / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: John_Rubino
The intellectual groundwork is being laid for the next stage of the Money Bubble, and it's going to be epic. Here are excerpts from two articles that appeared over the weekend (and which should be read in their entirety). Both deal with Japan, which went all-in on debt monetization, lost badly, and now needs a new plan.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Gold and Silver Sector Very Low Risk Trading Setup at Possible Sector Bottom... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
It looks like we are really going to see some fireworks late this coming week, right after the Fed make their much anticipated announcement about whether or not they will raise interest rates. They had better get on with it and do their miniscule rate rise this time, because if they don't and start making bleating noises again about doing it at some point in the future, their already tenuous credibility will vanish. There is a fair chance that they will do it, because although they would like to keep the stockmarket elevated, they will quite happily sacrifice the stockmarket to save what to them is much more important - the dollar and the Treasury market. If they do announce the rate rise it is thought likely that the stockmarket will tank, because the Fed has never done a single rate rise, it has always run a cycle of rate rises, and the psychological impact of the 1st rate rise for 9 years will therefore be big, especially because they have used the prospect of this rate rise for a long time to goad the market into driving the dollar higher and higher, like a donkey following a carrot on a string, to the great cost of emerging markets.
Sunday, September 13, 2015
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast for September to December 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
Sunday, September 13, 2015
Why Are Stocks Going Berserk? It’s All About Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Mike_Whitney
If you’ve been following the markets for the last three weeks, you’ve probably figured out that something is wrong. The markets are no longer behaving the way they should, and that has people worried. Very worried. In the last 15 trading days, the Dow Jones has experienced an unprecedented 13 triple-digit days, which means that stocks have been sharply rising and falling without any rhyme or reason. The financial media has tried to explain-away the extreme volatility by pointing to slower growth in China, troubles in the Emerging Markets or various dismal data-points. But none of these adequately explain what’s going on.
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