Thursday, February 02, 2017
Trump Voters And The News Media Have Something In Common / Politics / US Politics
BY PATRICK WATSON : Donald Trump won the White House for two main reasons.
First, in the last 20 years, new technology and globalist “free trade” agreements combined to destroy millions of middle-class jobs. Particularly, manufacturing jobs. I’ve written about the future implications of this trend in Connecting the Dots (subscribe here for free).
Second, our political and business elites didn't recognize this was happening—or just didn't care. In either case, they failed to respond adequately. President Trump is a direct result of their negligence.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Buy Gold Because of Uncertainty Not Doomsday / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
- Doomsday Clock moves closer to midnight
- World not been as close to self-destruction since 1953
- Threat of nuclear powers, climate change and technology all considered heightened risks
- First time the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists have singled out an individual – President Trump
- Doom-mongering is arguably distracting and uncertainties should be more considered
- Gold and silver perform well during times of uncertainty and provide a safe-haven
- Wall Street’s largest fund managers have bet on gold in face of growing uncertainty
Thursday, February 02, 2017
Stock Market More Fluctuations Following Monday's Move Down - Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, February 02, 2017
White House Puts Iran on Notice Over Its Legitimate Missile Tests / Politics / Iran
On Wednesday, Trump’s National Security Advisor Michael Flynn irresponsibly lashed out against Iran’s recent legitimate ballistic missile tests.
Without justification, he claimed they “undermine security, prosperity and stability throughout and beyond the Middle East that puts American lives at risk.”
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
The Oil War Is Only Just Getting Started / Commodities / Crude Oil
It’s been a month now that investors and analysts have been closely watching two main drivers for oil prices: how OPEC is doing with the supply-cut deal, and how U.S. shale is responding to fifty-plus-dollar oil with rebounding drilling activity. Those two main factors are largely neutralizing each other, and are putting a floor and a cap to a price range of between $50 and $60.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Weaker US$ Could Send Gold & Gold Stocks to Higher Targets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
Gold has underperformed both in nominal and real terms. Last week it formed a bearish reversal in nominal terms and against foreign currencies. However, the good news for bulls is the US Dollar Index lost support at 100, due to the Trump administration’s tough talk against Germany (and the Euro). Couple that with no movement from the Fed and the greenback should continue its decline, thereby juicing the current rebound in Gold and especially gold stocks.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
NDX Closes in Plus Column as Market has Interesting Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had an interesting, volatile day. The day started out with a big gap at the opening, had a very sharp, pullback retest midmorning, then a 5-wave advance that was much stronger on the Nasdaq 100 than the S&P 500, they pulled back, bounced around, held support, and closed positive on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 closed flat on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 27.86 at 19,890.87. The S&P 500 bounced off the 2272 level to 2282, and closed up just .68 at 2279.55. The Nasdaq 100 went from 5130 to 5159, and close up 35.92 at 5152.69.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Pass the Gatorade - How Much Did the US Election Really Matter? / Politics / US Politics
We’ll start out this week by prepping you. This article is going to annoy quite a few people. We’ll warn you up front that neither of us subscribes to the idea of political parties or platforms. We have the Constitution; that is good enough for us. We credit people like Dr. Paul Craig Roberts for having the backbone to be one of the early people to break out the box of pins to pop the balloon of idiocy that has been floating around the past few months. What we’re talking about is the kind of idiocy we haven’t seen since 2008 when one side of the political spectrum swamped into Washington DC and absolutely trashed the place. We’ll see if the other side can do better.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Unrest Is The Only Growth Industry Left / Politics / US Politics
Benoît Hamon won the run-off for the presidential nomination of the Socialist party in France last weekend. The party that still, lest we forget, runs the country; current president François Hollande is a Socialist, even if only in name, but he did win the previous election. Hamon ran on a platform of shortening the workweek from 35 to 32 hours, legalizing cannabis and ‘easing’ the country into a universal basic income of €750/month per capita. He’s way left of Hollande, who has a hilariously low approval rating of 4%.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Tesco Supermarket Tomatoes vs Homegrown - Which is Better, Bigger? / Personal_Finance / Gardening
Now is the right time of year to get started growing your own vegetables of which given the high shop prices tomatoes should be at the top of ones grow our own list. So exactly what difference can one expect between home grown tomatoes, say on a window sill and supermarket shop bought tomatoes such as from Tesco? Find out in this video.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Stock Market Retracement Retreats at the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX retraced 65% of its decline, a reasonable bounce, before retreating back toward its opening price. Filling this morning’s gap give SPX permission to decline even further. That may not happen until later this afternoon. My best analysis is that SPX may level off in a 2-hour consolidation until early afternoon. However, a decline beneath Short-term support at 2277.08 may put SPX in a position to challenge (and possibly defeat) Intermediate-term support at 2268.40.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Why Alternative Facts and Cashless Will Benefit Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Why gold will benefit from the alternative fact of the cashless society
- Alternative facts prevail in the European Commission’s calls for cash controls
- Terrorism is blamed for the need to control cash
- Evidence shows criminals find alternative ways to finance activities
- Citizens continue to want and to use cash in day-to-day life
- Cashless society is being used to force through other ‘agendas’
- Gold and silver will be used as savers are forced to hold assets outside of the financial system
Wednesday, February 01, 2017
China’s “One Belt, One Road” Is a Nice Thought, but Nothing More / Politics / China
BY JACOB SHAPIRO : In late 2013, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the One Belt, One Road (OBOR) plan in Kazakhstan and Indonesia.
Xi’s OBOR could be a bold economic development program that will vault Chinese political power ahead in the modern day. However, the OBOR plan is at an early stage.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Interesting US Real Estate Market Trends That Will Appear In 2017 / Housing-Market / US Housing
2016 saw a really surprising twist in the US as Donald Trump won the presidential race. This in itself is a guarantee that the market will see different changes, given that Trump is a real estate magnate. Although associated created controversy affects various parts of US economy, the real estate market is expected to continue its upwards trend started in 2016.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Stock Market Highs Make Strong Case for Precious Metal Buys / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Dow 20,000 was ushered in with great fanfare. Traders on the New York Stock Exchange sported "Dow 20,000" hats. Even President Donald Trump joined the celebration.
Trump told ABC News he was "very honored" that the stock market gave his presidency a symbolic vote of confidence. "Now we have to go up, up, up. We don't want it to stay there," he said.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Gold Price Set For Very Bullish 2017, Trend Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
I am very bullish on the gold price in 2017 and while the year has got off to a cracking start I believe we need to see a test of the recent low to lay a stronger foundation from which to launch even higher.
Let's review the charts beginning with the long term picture.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
The Great Rotation - Monetary to Fiscal, Major Cycles Turning Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer dejectedly quipped during Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's Humphrey-Hawkins testimony before congress in July of 2012:
"I'm afraid the Fed's the only game in town!"
Now nearly five years later things may be about to change! The other two policy pillars of Fiscal and Public Policy may be reasserting themselves with a change in the White House and congressional leadership. Suddenly just the promise of potential fiscal stimulus, tax policy and claw backs of regulatory over-reach have become the lead stories on the nightly news.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
He'll Bring Them Inflation, and They Will Love Him for It / Economics / Inflation
I used to make fun of the FOMC rate hike "decision" language in the mainstream media because under the Obama administration and its economic policies overseen by the Fed's monetary policy, there really was no decision, was there? It was ZIRP-eternity, interrupted by a lone and token rate hike in December 2015 (the Dec. 2016 hike does not count because the transition to a new administration and policy regime was already known; in effect, the Fed has already made its first hike under Trump).
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Britain Needs Trump for Smooth Brexit / Politics / BrExit
At the Washington joint press conference with Prime Minister May held on January 27th, President Trump told the watching world, "Brexit is going to be a wonderful thing." The meeting did much to clear the way for Britain to stand alone and enter trade with the United States without the European Union (EU). Their talk of a U.S.-UK free trade agreement could do much to ease the fears of some key English Members of Parliament and counterbalances the fears that Britain will be punished by a bitter EU. The positive meeting occurred at a fortuitous moment. Only four days prior, the UK's Supreme Court had ruled that Parliamentary approval must be specifically obtained before Her Majesty's Government can sign trigger negotiations to exit the EU.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2017
Stock Market Long Cold Winter / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
It appears that equity indices have printed their highs for the post-election rally. However, that doesn't necessarily mean that the correction must begin immediately. Cycles and Lindsay analysis point to a final high closer to February 10. The correction has the potential to be fairly painful as the low is not expected until closer to March 21 and springtime. The Lindsay analysis is as follows:
Point E on 3/27/01 of an ascending middle section counts 2,901 days to the low of the multiple cycle on 3/6/09. 2,901 days later is Monday, 2/13/17.
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