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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Fed Monetary Policy Is Impotent Against These Trends / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

Chris Wood of CLSA has a marvelous newsletter called, aptly, GREED & fear. He began his January 5 issue talking about bond yields possibly bottoming out.

For perspective, he starts with this long-term view of the 10-year US Treasury yield.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Will Trump Usher In an Era of Sound Money? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

Now that Donald Trump has been sworn in, Americans will start getting some glimpses of what his presidency actually means.

Here are some educated guesses of what to expect when it comes to the dollar and sound money issues, based on what we know before the kick-off of Trump's administration.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

How Bond Market Investors Were Fooled Twice / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

The Commercials and Large Speculators are routinely on the opposite sides of trades

Most investors, including large groups of professional money managers, extrapolate financial trends into the future. So they're often completely caught off guard when a trend changes.

[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Gold price to 2 month high as fiery Trump declares New American Order / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– ‘Trumponomics’: Politics and economic policy in 140 characters
– The ‘intelligence’ according to Trump
– Trump, Putin and Russia – the great bromance
– Trump – Bull in a China shop
– Trade and currency wars with China and other nations
– Trump – Fan of gold and golden tweets
– Conclusion – Trump may be the ‘Golden Ticket’

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Why Gold Is Oddly Looking Bullish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

The price of gold appears to be on yet another homerun after eight weeks of decline. The price of the yellow metal has been on an upward trending movement since December 23, 2016 amid the growing uncertainty on the potential impact of President Donald Trump’s policies on the stock market.

Since the turn of the year, the US stock market has exhibited mixed reactions to Trump’s pre-and-post inauguration period, with America’s 45th president’s activity swinging the market up and down on a weekly basis.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

EURO, GBP, AUD, JPY, CAD C.O.T Reports / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Enda_Glynn

The Commitments of Traders Report is issued by CFTC.
It reports all open positions in futures markets of three main groups of traders:
Commercial Traders – Hedgers
Non-Commercial Traders – Money Managers
Non-Reportable – Retail market
The report breaks down each Tuesday’s Open Interest and gives us a powerful view on what exactly the big guys have been doing in the marketplace and what their plans might be.
It is issued every Friday and includes data from Tuesday to Tuesday. The three days prior to the release date are not included.
This is an essential tool for gauging long term sentiment in futures markets.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 23, 2017

Building Societies are Winning the Mortgage Interest Rate War / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

With competition still fierce in the mortgage market and many banks claiming to launch the lowest products ever on their records, many borrowers could assume that the mortgage rates from these providers will be significantly lower than those offered elsewhere. However, Moneyfacts.co.uk research shows that building societies are the winners when it comes to the mortgage rate war.

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Politics

Monday, January 23, 2017

Trump's Foreign Policy An Unwise Inconsistency? / Politics / US Politics

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Throughout the presidential campaign, Donald Trump's foreign policy positions have been anything but consistent. One day we heard that NATO was obsolete and the US needs to pursue better relations with Russia. But the next time he spoke, these sensible positions were abandoned or an opposite position was taken. Trump's inconsistent rhetoric left us wondering exactly what kind of foreign policy he would pursue if elected.

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Politics

Monday, January 23, 2017

United States Common Sense - 2017 / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

In Part One of this article I explored Thomas Paine's critical role in the creation of our nation. His Common Sense pamphlets inspired the common people to uncommon acts of courage and heroic feats of valor; leading to the great experiment we call the United States of America. Paine, Franklin and the other Founding Fathers produced a republic, if we could keep it.

John Adams championed the new Constitution precisely because it would not create a democracy, as he knew a democracy "soon wastes, exhausts and murders itself." Their herculean efforts, sacrifices, and bloodshed have been for naught as we allowed our republic to devolve into a democracy and ultimately into our current corporate fascist warfare/welfare surveillance state. Sadly, we were unable to keep the republic Franklin and his fellow revolutionaries gave us.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 23, 2017

Is Dow 20,000 a Bridge Too Far? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated. 

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Commodities

Monday, January 23, 2017

Gold And Interest Rates…GET IT STRAIGHT / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

Over the past couple of months there have been several headline articles regarding the relationship between gold and interest rates. Most of them are well-meaning attempts to convey information about recent changes in the markets as interest rates head higher.

In several instances, however, the author(s) have tried to explain a ‘perceived’ correlation between rising interest rates and the value of the US dollar – in a very positive manner. And they have imputed a similar correlation – albeit negative – in other statements with respect to Gold. In both cases they are incorrect.

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Economics

Monday, January 23, 2017

Trumping World Trade / Economics / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

After the inauguration, President Trump has begun to reset the White House trade policies. But the consequences of “America First” stance in world trade are wrought with threats.

Recently, President Xi Jinping gave a strong speech about the need for more inclusive globalization at Davos. World trade is a case in point.

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Economics

Monday, January 23, 2017

Protection Will Lead to Great Prosperity / Economics / Protectionism

By: Gary_Tanashian

After being mostly off the grid on Friday, I listened to the Trump inauguration speech on Saturday morning. While I have lots of thoughts and opinions, I want to focus on an item where I am qualified; namely my former area of expertise as someone who was in essence told by the media over and over again "you don't exist", while the consumerist, financialized and globalized economy flourished. By "you" I of course mean me, an owner of a small American manufacturing business. My area of focus from the speech...

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Commodities

Monday, January 23, 2017

The New Gold Rush Of 2017! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Gold to Regain Its Gleam!

One question that gold investors are asking now is, will 2017 be as spectacular for the yellow metal as it was in 2016? The short and sweet answer to this is YES.

The dollar, gold and the major U.S. stock exchanges will all see new highs. Gold is currently in a “complex corrective correction” while experiencing its’ last pullback, beforehand.

Both the short-term outlook and the long-term outlook for gold is BULLISH!  Trumps’ victory win is a positive for gold bulls. Policy uncertainty and slowing growth, following a Trump win, will stoke the yellow metals’ price in 2017.

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Politics

Monday, January 23, 2017

HBO HOMELAND Bet on HIllary Clinton Winning US Election and LOST / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The new series of HBO's award winning HOMELAND began Sunday that onc more paints the CIA as fighting the good fight across the globe against threats to America. However, wishful thinking on part of the writers of Hillary winning the election did not quite pan out that way. So within 10 minutes of the start of episode 1 we see a sane President Elect understanding HER brief and having valid questions of the lead actors in the series about sending in 70,000 ground troops into Syria, which does not gel with the reality of President Trump who's policy is simply to "Bomb the Shit out of them".

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Stock Market New Highs For 2017? Yes, But When Do I Enter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

When the SPX breaks out above its’ current resistance level, it will be the next leg up in this bull market. We are currently in a consolidation period. The SPX seems to be resting for now!  The “Bollinger Bands Squeeze” is now taking hold and will result in a powerful move in either direction once broken.  I do have a new BULLISH trigger for members to enter into during this amazing “melt up” that will only be shared with my ‘elite members’.   I can assure you that you will want to be invested in this next BULLISH leg of the SPX!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Active vs Passive Investing: And the Winner Is ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

The chart below comes from a new report from our friends at Elliott Wave International.

It's as straightforward as it looks -- not much need for animation.

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Politics

Sunday, January 22, 2017

The Epidemic of Bad Ideas / Politics / Social Issues

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

This week’s missive tackles a big topic. One of the biggest.

That’s because it touches virtually every corner of society: politics, the economy, investments, social order, innovation. People live or die because of it.

The topic is education.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Gold Futures Prices Looking Bullish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has rebounded sharply higher in the past month, taking the early lead as 2017’s best-performing asset class.  Normally such a big gold surge would require heavy gold-futures buying by speculators.  But they’ve been missing in action, barely moving any capital into gold yet.  Their collective bets on this metal remain very bearish.  Since they are such a strong contrarian indicator, that’s a very-bullish omen for gold.

The sole mission of speculation and investment, and thus all the endless research that feeds into it, is to multiply wealth.  Traders can’t effectively buy low and sell high unless they understand what drives the prices of their trades.  For years now, gold has had two overwhelmingly-dominant drivers.  Their capital flows fully explain the vast majority of all gold’s price action, and thus are exceedingly important to study.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Great Rotation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The performance of gold in 2017 depends largely on whether the Trump’s presidency will lead to lasting shift in the markets. What changes do we mean? Some analysts mention the reflation, others point out the ‘risk on’ sentiment and the ‘great rotation’ out of bonds and into stocks. Ray Dalio, the founder and chairman of Bridgewater, claims that the Trump’s victory was a turning point ending the period characterized by increasing globalization, free trade, and global connectedness; relatively innocuous fiscal policies; sluggish GDP growth, low inflation, and falling bond yields. The new period is believed to be characterized more by decreasing globalization, free trade, and global connectedness; aggressively stimulative fiscal policies; increased economic growth, higher inflation, and rising bond yields.

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