Sunday, September 06, 2020
Stock Market Divergent Top - Are Fangs Going To Breakdown Soon? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:
- FANG Index may begin to peak/top as RSI Divergence pattern sets up.
- Dow Theory trend divergence confirmation suggests the end of the “Excess Rally” is near.
- The VIX moving higher suggests greater concerns of increased volatility.
- Dow Jones Utility Index moving lower on increased volume may be the key in a multiple-pattern set up that will confirm larger market trends.
Sunday, September 06, 2020
Pension Funds Start Looking to Gold to Avert Disaster / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Public and private pension plans face a dual crisis.
The first and most obvious threat to pensioners is that defined-benefit vehicles are severely underfunded. By one estimate, pension systems taken as a whole are $638 billion in the red.
Some are in better shape financially than others. But all pension plans will have to reckon with a second huge challenge going forward.
Namely, they are already entirely unable to meet their stated return objectives by owning conventional “safe” interest-bearing instruments such as Treasury bonds.
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Sunday, September 06, 2020
Fed Embraces Higher Inflation. Will It Embrace Gold, Too? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Fed adopts a new strategy that opens the door for higher inflation. The change is fundamentally positive for gold prices.So, it happened! In line with market expectations, the Fed has changed its monetary policy framework into a more dovish one! This is something we warned our Readers in our last Fundamental Gold Report:
the Fed could change how it defines and achieves its inflation goal, trying, for example, to achieve its inflation target as an average over a longer time period rather than on an annual basis.
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Friday, September 04, 2020
Stock Market September Consolidation Vs Straight Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
The month of August wrapped up around the monthly highs as the Emini S&P 500 (ES) price action gained about +7% vs July. It was a statistical outlier as it was one of the biggest gains for August in decades. Nonetheless, the August monthly candle demonstrated a powerful immediate continuation off of the past few months’ setup and trend continuation pattern. A few important things on our radar inform us that September likely won’t be as easy or one directional.
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Friday, September 04, 2020
The Single Most Groundbreaking Tech Stocks Disruption / Companies / AI
By: Stephen_McBride
America’s top researchers were stumped. How do you teach a computer to “see?”
By 2012, technology had advanced a great deal. For $199 you could buy a tiny supercomputer called the iPhone 5. You could talk to it—and it would talk back. It could hail you a cab, give you driving directions, or play a movie. You could even video call someone living on the other side of the world for practically free.
In fact, the iPhone 5 was more powerful than the NASA computer that sent Neil Armstrong to the moon. But computers had one big glaring weakness: they were still laughably bad at recognizing images.
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Friday, September 04, 2020
7 days of Practical Financial Market Trading Lessons - FREE / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: EWI
Dear trader,
Lots of people are happy to give you trading advice.
"You should buy this!" -- "You should sell that!"
But successful traders know: Your wins and defeats must be your own. Only then do you learn -- and gain true, lasting independence.
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Friday, September 04, 2020
How to Profit When the Smart Money Leaves Their Footprints / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: John_Mauldin
By Justin Spittler: Imagine you’re sitting at a bar in Manhattan. As the bartender’s making your drink, you overhear a conversation from the table behind you.
Two well-dressed men are talking. One looks familiar. He’s a hedge fund manager you’ve seen on TV. You don’t recognize the other guy. But, from the sound of it, they work together.
They’re talking excitedly about one stock, and how they bought $1 billion worth of it today. By the end of the week, they plan to buy several billion more.
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nvidia has just released information on their next gen RTX 3000 GPU's , and if what NVIDIA announced is true then they have just blown away the rest of the competition for a good 2 years! Just on the basis of today's release! This is what a good AI tech stock looks like!
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
Platinum Tremd Forecast to Follow Gold Price Higher / Commodities / Platinum
By: Chris_Vermeulen
RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:
- Platinum may be setting up in a technical pattern that is similar to the end of 2001/early 2002.
- Platinum could rally more than 300%, somewhere near $3,450 or higher.
- This might push Gold above $7,500 an ounce and may push silver somewhere north of $125 per ounce.
- Rally hinges on platinum breaking out above $1,050.50.
Platinum may be setting up in a technical pattern that is similar to the end of 2001/early 2002. At that time, Gold had already begun to rally above $340 and Platinum had rallied to levels above $600. Then, while Gold continued to rally, Platinum contracted to price levels near $400 on diminishing volume. Once that contraction was complete, Platinum began and upside price move with stronger volume levels which lasted almost seven years – reaching a peak above $2,300. Could the same setup be happening right now?
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Peter Krauth looks at the factors behind the movements in the gold and silver markets. Gold's retreated from a record high above $2,000, and silver's off its own seven-year highs near $30.
Is that cause for concern? I doubt it.
These have been dramatic surges to new levels, brought on by a combination of low interest rates, historic money-printing raising the specter of inflation, a softer U.S. dollar, and of course a global pandemic.
But that doesn't mean gold and silver have to continue higher in a straight line.
Instead, these gains have been so strong that a period of retracement and consolidation are not only expected, they're crucial to the continued health of this precious metals bull market.
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
Understanding the Fed's True Mandate / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: The_Gold_Report
Michael Ballanger interprets the motives of the Federal Reserve and their impacts on the "haves" and "have nots" in America and beyond.
This week, the financial community around the globe was handed a "new approach" by the Federal Reserve Board of the United States that essentially flipped the middle finger at savers, senior citizens on limited pensions and proponents of sound money principles. Before I expand upon this outrage, let me expound upon the background of the current Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell.
Judging from the accolades and fawning praise showered upon this man (as the S&P and NASDAQ hit record levels fueled exclusively by Fed stimuli), one might think that he hails from the academic world, a scholar with vast experience in macroeconomic theory, or at least extensive dealings in the retail banking sector. His grandfatherly deportment portrays great studiousness and wise counsel as he does his very damnedest to convey that image with perennial gray suits and trademark purple ties. If one could take this carefully crafted persona and make a snap favorable assessment of the man who controls the retirement lifestyles of millions of global citizens, one would be making a fatal error.
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
I know many of you view the Fed as quite omnipotent, with the ability to move the market with a simple stroke of a key. In fact, this perspective is so ubiquitous that I know almost none of you will take my presentation seriously, as “common-think” has taken over most investor’s ability to see the facts presented to us by the market. However, please do recognize that my perspective is based in fact and history, rather than the supposition and fallacy upon which most perspectives in the market are based.
Moreover, I have presented many prognostications in the past which have seemed unrealistic at the time, yet almost all of which have been realized within the fullness of time. So, why not offer another? (smile)
The main premise which is universally accepted is that the Fed can simply “print” money and push it into the stock market to cause the market to rally. In this way, the Fed has supposedly supported the market, and has caused this rally we have been seeing for many years.
To this end, I will again quote a comment I received to one of my recent articles, which explains the common perception on this matter quite clearly:
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
UK Children Back to School! Covid-19 Bubbles, Masks and Hand Sanitisers the New Normal - Sheffield / Politics / Educating Children
By: N_Walayat
Finally Britain's school children are finding their way back into the classrooms of Britains, Junior and Secondary schools! Though this should have happened in Mid June! Sill better late than never as by the end of this week at least 94% of Britains' school children will be back in school full time.
Let's hope the teachers unions do not subvert the education of Britain's school children by following through with their threats of Covid fear driven strike action, that's the last thing Britain's school kids need after being abandoned by the education establishment for the past 6 months!
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
S&P 500: Revealing the "Real" Story About the Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Financial headlines do not always tell the full story
Sometimes you have to dig a little deeper than the headline to find out what really happened.
You know, like what's suggested by the television title "True Hollywood Story," or the BBC's "Real Story."
Sometimes getting the real scoop simply satisfies one's curiosity and is more entertainment than anything else. But, at other times, digging deeper into a subject can help one draw an important conclusion that may affect one's life -- or investments.
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Thursday, September 03, 2020
This Group of Wealthy Investors Hoard Cash at Unprecedented Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: EWI
Yes, stocks have been in rally mode.
Even so, a group of multimillionaires appears to be shifting from an optimistic mindset to one of pessimism about the financial future.
Their solution is hard, cold cash.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2020
Stock Market Dow Jones Utilities Breaking Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:
- Dow Theory suggests indices must confirm each other and volume must confirm the trend.
- The new downward trend in the Dow Utilities Index suggests indices are starting to break apart in terms of trending in unison.
- Volume recently has been trailing lower, which suggests the momentum behind these new all-time highs is weakening.
- If the Utilities Index continues to move lower and we see increased volume in the selling trend, we will consider the Dow Theory Trend component “broken” and expect a major peak/top soon after.
We know some of you are Dow Theory enthusiasts and followers. We follow the Transportation Index as a leading indicator for potential major market trends almost exclusively because of what we have learned from Dow Theory. If you are unfamiliar with Dow Theory, we suggest visiting Investopedia’s summary of this technical theory for a quick refresher. You can also learn more about the primary indicator in Dow Theory here. The two most important aspects of Dow Theory that we are researching today are two components:
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Wednesday, September 02, 2020
If this is the brave new America ... / Politics / US Politics
By: Michael_T_Bucci
Shoot a Black man in the back in cold blood by a merciless Kenosha, Wisconsin cop named Rusten Sheskey and watch the city burn; watch the right-wing rise; watch President Trump and his ministers of propaganda exploit; exacerbate an already hardened “base” with incendiary and threatening tweets; give credence to armed militias.
Two bold markers need be placed on the dates of the Kenosha shootings: the one for Jacob Blake and the other for Kyle Rittenhouse. While I might claim it has been “open season” on Black men for years by killer-cops and right-wing White supremacists, that season has now been expanded to include protesters. Clearly, the message from 17-year old Kyle Rittenhouse to militias across the country—and to protestors—was delivered by his cynical act and, I predict, it won’t stop here, and hasn’t.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2020
Stock Market Short-term Trend Lines in Focus / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.
SPX Intermediate trend: We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the near term.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, August 31, 2020
Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here is the updated list of AI stocks buying levels for Q3 2020.
What are buying levels?
Buying levels are high probability technical levels that stocks 'could' trade down to during a stock market correction.
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Monday, August 31, 2020
Stock Market Expanding Wedge May Prompt Big Price Correction – Big Top Be Set Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:
- The Monthly S&P500 E-Mini Futures chart is revealing an Expanding Wedge pattern that has been setting up since Jan/Feb 2018.
- The VIX has set up a base and begun to move moderately higher over the past 7+ days – above the 20.00 point level and above the GAP created by the initial COVID-19 selloff.
- Our Custom Volatility Index chart warns of a “bull trap” set up, and we may see an 11% to 15% (or more) sell-off in the US and global markets if the Custom Volatility Index collapses below 10 over the next few weeks.
- Are These Technical Setups Warning That A Market Top Is Forming?
I want to bring this large expanding wedge pattern to your attention as my research team and I watch the markets continue to push to new all-time highs. This is a follow on to our research from our Special Alert report warning of Head-and-Shoulder patterns in some of our custom charts. We know it may sound a bit alarming to be the one to bring up a potentially devastating Bearish technical pattern at this time, but as technical traders, we must stay aware of risks even if they may not materialize. Trading is a process where we take measured risks in an attempt to generate profits over time. Risk becomes a very big issue if it is not properly managed – just as trading becomes very difficult if one doesn’t learn to take profits in good trades.
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