Tuesday, July 14, 2015

European Empire Strikes Back: Germany and the Greek Crisis / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: STRATFOR

George Friedman writes: A desperate battle was fought last week. It pitted Germany and Greece against each other. Each country had everything at stake. Based on the deal that was agreed to, Germany forced a Greek capitulation. But it is far from clear that Greece can allow the agreement reached to be implemented, or that it has the national political will to do so. It is also not clear what its options are, especially given that the Greek people had backed Germany into a corner, where its only choice was to risk everything. It was not a good place for Greece to put the Germans. They struck back with vengeance.

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Has The Federal Reserve Missed Its Chance To Increase Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: AnyOption

The finance news space has been bombarded with so many different stories recently that many are starting to forget about one of the biggest stories in the space that we've seen throughout the year; the Federal Reserve. If you remember back to the beginning of the year, there were quite a bit of talks about a Federal Reserve interest rate hike that was to come in June, then it was September, and now, the story seems to have dissipated. Nonetheless, it's still a very important issue to follow; and more importantly, the landscape has changed quite a bit. So today, we'll talk about why Federal Reserve interest rates are so important, how the landscape has changed with regard to the topic, and why I think the Fed may have missed its chance to act. So, let's get right to it...

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

China Crash, Greece Crisis Harbingers of Stocks Bear Market? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst all eyes in the West were on Greece as its marxist Syriza government played game of thrones with the Greek peoples lives as they black mailed the Eurozone, the chinese stock market crashed, collapsing by over $2 trillion into a BEAR MARKET sending over 200 million chinese retail investors into a panic as they got a bitter taste of the dark side of capitalism, of what happens when investors believe the hype that stocks can only go up. We have all seen this play out many times before!

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Greek Stocks - Why You Shouldn't Consider Buying This Crisis / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: DailyWealth

Brett Eversole writes: Greece's crisis has been underway for months. But the most extreme event happened two weeks ago... Greek stocks fell 19% on June 29.

That's the largest one-day fall we've ever seen in Greek stocks.

Buying after this crash might seem like a good idea. Most investors know it's usually good to "buy when there's blood in the streets."

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

The Greek Deal From Germany - Reading Between the Lines - Darkness Over the Earth / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Jesse

Perhaps the Greeks made a mistake, and relied too much on rationality, on a belief in a Eurozone in which good sense and reason would prevail. As it was, the Germans were willing to ruthlessly crush the Greek banking system, while the ECB and IMF stood idly by, fomenting a financial panic and humanitarian disaster in order to displace a sovereign government and put an entire nation 'in its place.' We certainly have seen this kind of example made before.

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Greece Humiliation; Arrogance; Crucifixion; Demolition of Eurozone Project / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

As I further ponder on the Breathtaking Political Capitulation of Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras I still seek an explanation for his stunning reversal. Here is a short recap.

Shockingly Stupid Sequence of Events

I am seldom stunned by political stupidity. In fact, I am surprised when I don't see it.

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Greece Settled....Mostly Anyway.... Stock Market Off The Bottom Of Its Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The weekend was full of fast-moving news regarding Greece. Some of the news was good and some was not so hopeful. As the weekend went on and the euro zone continued to play hard ball, it was clear Greece recognized they had to blink first or completely go belly up. The Euro-zone leaders knew they had somewhat of the upper hand and refused to blink. Good for them. Bad behavior should never be rewarded. The people of Greece were held hostage to that bad behavior. It's not hard to feel bad for them, but in the end, they were also without much of a good choice. It's not etched in stone yet, but it appears Greece sees no alternative but to accept what the Euro zone is offering. If that is the case, then we can close the books on a wild few weeks of volatility based on every piece of news that comes our way.

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

After the Rally, What's Next? - Video / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

Get new forecasts for the euro from Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist

Think the recent rally in the euro was the result of "good news" from Greece? Think again.

Watch our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explain what's really behind the moves.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Gold Price Seasonal Tendencies for July 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Mike_McAra

“History doesn’t repeat itself but it rhymes” the saying goes. If this is in fact true, and what has happened before might imperfectly repeat itself in the future, this might be used in financial markets. But how to use it exactly? Is there a way to get clear indications as to what used to happen in the past to get a notion of what might come?

It is frequently difficult to quantify past events in a meaningful way to get an idea of the possible future tendencies. At Sunshine Profits, we have come up with a methodology to look at the past and recognize tendencies that might repeat themselves in the future – we have developed a tool called True Seasonals to analyze this sort of patterns.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Syriza Breathtaking Political Capitulation; Tsipras Should Resign / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Shockingly Stupid Sequence of Events

I am seldom stunned by political stupidity. In fact, I am surprised when I don't see it.

Yet, I have never witnessed a political reversal so shockingly stupid as we saw tonight from Greek Prime minister Alexis Tsipras.

Monday, July 13, 2015

The Troika And The Five Families / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Personally, like most of you, I always thought Germany, besides all its other talents, good or bad, was a nation of solid calculus and accounting. Gründlichkeit. And that they knew a thing or two about psychology. But I stand corrected.

The Germans just made their biggest mistake in a long time (how about some 75 years) over the weekend. Now, when all you have to bring to a conversation slash negotiation is bullying and strong arming and brute force, that should perhaps not be overly surprising. But it’s a behemoth failure all by itself regardless.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Silver Bullion Demand High – Price Falls and Premiums Surge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

- Silver imports into U.S. surge 33%
- Silver Eagle demand very robust
- Silver Eagles and Maples see 25% surge in premiums and shortages
- Silver price falls over 3.8% on same day as U.S. Mint runs out of silver eagles
- Total ETF Silver holdings remain robust – over 500 million ounces
- Increase in demand seems to becoming from large entities buying bars
- Silver is great value sub $20 per ounce

Monday, July 13, 2015

The Potemkin Bank of China / Economics / Central Banks

By: Michael_Pento

In the midst of an intense global economic slowdown that began in 2008, China's economy amazingly appeared to be unaffected. Defying the world-wide real estate collapse, China's GDP grew by an impressive 8.7% in 2009. Fueled initially by a $586 billion stimulus package, China would end up plowing and additional $20 trillion dollars into a fixed asset bubble that was designed to produce the government's desired GDP print.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Gold, Silver and the Two Horsemen of The Apocalypse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

If we can reassign meanings given to the biblical Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse from the original, we can then say financial markets saw two of them this week. The first brought us the Greek Crisis which went from very bad to impossible to resolve, and the second was a collapsing stock market in China. Between them these two events triggered another flight into the US dollar, which would have been far worse without central bank intervention. With the dollar rising against the euro, commodity prices, particularly energy and oil, have fallen sharply, with US Crude down over 15% in the last month.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Gold Price Peculiar 6 Month Cycles / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this report I'm going to show you some more of the same precious metals stocks we've been following as more are joining the impulse move to the downside adding confirmation. Unlike the US stocks markets that have been trading sideways since the December high of last year, the precious metals stocks are in a confirmed impulse move down and that's where the real money is made.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Could Markets React Positively to Grexit? 7 Reasons Why They Could / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Atlantic_Perspective

Politicians, investors and the general public are absolutely fed up with news about Greece. Over the last 2 weeks, the unthinkable possibility of Greece leaving the Euro started to materialize. And the stock market reacted quite well.

A Eurozone made up of 18 countries is quickly being seen as the new normal. And more than that, a desirable new normal.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Stock Market Critical Support Holding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Greece Today, America Tomorrow? / Politics / US Politics

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

The drama over Greece's financial crisis continues to dominate the headlines. As this column is being written, a deal may have been reached providing Greece with yet another bailout if the Greek government adopts new "austerity" measures. The deal will allow all sides to brag about how they came together to save the Greek economy and the European Monetary Union. However, this deal is merely a Band-Aid, not a permanent fix to Greece's problems. So another crisis is inevitable.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Silver Price Remains in Long-term Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

It's a strange situation - the long-term charts for silver continue to look awful, but there has been a quite dramatic improvement in its COTs, which now look positive, with readings that in the past have consistently lead to rallies. However, this doesn't mean that any rally that develops soon will succeed in breaking silver out of its long downtrend.

Silver's 8-year chart shows the as yet unrelenting downtrend from its 2011 highs involving a classic "staircase" decline. On this chart it looks set to drop again, but perhaps after another rally first towards the upper boundary of the downtrend channel.

Monday, July 13, 2015

Gold Price Awaiting Outcome of Greece Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

The situation is paradoxical - the charts of just about everything are positioned for a plunge - or a turnaround and limited recovery, which reflects the fact that markets are waiting on some sort of resolution of the standoff with Greece, either Greece walking away, a Grexit, or a fudge solution where Greece accepts defeat and is denied debt relief or it is obfuscated sufficiently for the markets to buy it and this may involve another "can kicking" exercise. While the charts for many commodities look scary, including gold and silver, their COTs now look bullish, which suggests that the fudge solution will be the outcome.