Friday, April 12, 2019
Natural Gas Continues To Offer Opportunities for Longs / Commodities / Natural Gas
Historically, April has been a pretty consistent upside opportunity in Natural Gas for over 20 years. Over the past 24+ years, the upside opportunity in Natural Gas has been accurate over 68% of the time with the average upside potential ranging from $0.60 to $0.85. With Natural Gas sitting down near recent lows and seeing as though we are still fairly early in the month of April, our researchers believe the opportunity still exists for some quick profits in UNG with an upside move from below $23.95 to a target level of $26 to $28 (roughly +9 to +18%).
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Friday, April 12, 2019
Elliott Wave Analysis of XLRE (Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF) / Housing-Market / US Housing
XLREThis index is one of the more cleaner markets and showing a potential impulse wave (5 wave advance) from the Dec 2018 lows, whilst many other sectors and US stock markets have lagged this index, the clarity of this particular index, actually highlights a potential setup for a reversal and an opportunity for those that want to bet on a potential decline.
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Friday, April 12, 2019
What Does the Future Hold for the High-Interest Credit Market? / Companies / Debt & Loans
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Thursday, April 11, 2019
Gold and Silver Still on the Road to a Low Risk Setup / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
From a post on gold and silver on Tuesday…
Very simply, if it’s an H&S it’s a minor one with a target to the SMA 200 or short-term lateral support. Gold has curled back up to test the underside of its SMA 50. A takeout of 1310 and then the March high could put yeller back in business. Otherwise, don’t personalize it. A test of the SMA 200 would be normal.
The H&S was not my thing. I tend not to get overly excited about short-term patterns and surely do not announce them far and wide to stir people up. It was a product of the gold community, some members of which have been flipping in head spinning fashion between bullish and bearish views. I note it again because I don’t want that stink on me. The upside and downside parameters above were my stuff.
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Thursday, April 11, 2019
The Gold Market Right After Super Wednesday / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Super Wednesday is behind us! The masters of monetary policy have revealed their cards. The Fed released the fresh minutes, the ECB held its monetary policy meeting, while the Brexit was postponed again. How will all these play out in the gold market?
Minutes Show Patience among the FOMC Members
The minutes from the pivotal FOMC meeting show that the Fed saw the first-quarter economic slowdown as transitory and that the real GDP growth would bounce back solidly in the second quarter. Although the yield curve inverted for a while, the central bankers noted that the unusually low level of term premiums in longer-term interest rates has made the yield curve a less reliable economic indicator.
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Thursday, April 11, 2019
S&P 500 at 2,900 Mark, Will Stocks Break Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
Stocks retraced some of their Tuesday’s decline yesterday, as they continued to fluctuate following the recent rally. The S&P 500 index traded slightly below the 2,900 mark. Will the uptrend continue despite some technical overbought conditions?
The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between 0.0% and +0.7% on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following Tuesday’s decline. The S&P 500 index retraced more of its October-December downward correction of 20.2% on Monday. The broad stock market's gauge is now just 1.8% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was unchanged and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.7% on Wednesday.
The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index remains at 2,890-2,900, marked by some early October local highs. The next resistance level is at 2,920-2,940, marked by the mentioned record high, among others. On the other hand, the support level is at 2,860-2,865, marked by the recent local lows. The support level is also at 2,835-2,850, marked by the previous Monday’s daily gap up of 2,836.03-2,848.63.
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Thursday, April 11, 2019
5 Cannabis And CBD Stocks That Have Big Potential / Companies / Cannabis
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Thursday, April 11, 2019
Sprout-less Gold now Tier 1 Capital / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Gold is often criticized by Wall Street as being kind of a useless investment.
Institutional investors tend to prefer investments that are thought to contain the potential for growth, growth = sprouts. An investment has to produce a growing revenue stream - if it doesn’t grow it doesn’t compound. Gold is rejected as an investment because it doesn’t produce sprouts, meaning the steady income and systematic growth so sought after by institutional investors just isn’t there.
But gold performs two jobs that fiat currencies, or any other financial innovation, cannot do; gold acts as a safe haven in times of turmoil. Indeed, gold’s status as store of value, as money, the only currency available when yours is worthless, has come into play with respect to the drama that has been unfolding in Venezuela over the last couple of years. Hyperinflation and shortages of basic foods and medicine have led to a political crisis.
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Thursday, April 11, 2019
What Is Making Tax Digital and Why Should Businesses Care? / Companies / Taxes
Tax is an inevitable part of conducting business in the UK that all companies must comply with, for better or worse. It provides for public services that we all make use of, and if we don’t meet our obligations in a timely manner and ensure our figures our correct, we are subject to fines. In 2018, the number of individuals late for their tax returns reached 746,000, all of whom may have been subject to a fine of £100, and more if the period of lateness is over three months. Fines are also levied in the case of intentional and unintentional errors made.
But everything could be set to change with a new tax management system that the HMRC in in the process of implementing, which should ensure that greater convenience is brought to businesses in the keeping of tax records, as well as saving time and resources funded by the taxpayer.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
This Leading Indicator Looks Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
There are more than a handful of things I can cite as leading indicators for the Gold price.
Ratios such as Gold against the stock market and Gold against foreign currencies are generally good leading indicators. The gold stocks and Silver can function as leading indicators at times.
Yhe yield curve and bonds can also be leading indicators.
But there is one thing I’ve never mentioned, nor written about. It makes sense in the current context though. That’s Platinum.
Platinum has a brief but clear history as a leading indicator for Gold.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Stock Market Intra-day Fibonacci Modeling Shows Volatility Is About To Spike / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
Our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd. alerted us to a Fibonacci technical pattern that is setting up in the US stock market right now. This pattern suggests that volatility will increase dramatically over the next few days/weeks as intra-day price action suggests deeper sideways price action may continue.
One of the key benefits of our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is that it automatically learns and adjusts to price action on different intervals. So, by watching the results of this adaptive learning model on various intervals shows different types of setups and expectations, we can develop a consensus among the result to assist us in determining a likely outcome. These models are showing that volatility will increase by expanding out the Fibonacci Trigger Levels for Bullish and Bearish price action. As price begins to consolidate, the proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system adjusts internal computational measures to determine where and when the opportunity exists for trends to form. When these Fibonacci Trigger levels move away from price, it typically suggests bigger moves are about to happen and that volatility will increase.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Rare Chance to Buy the #1 Self-Driving Car Stock for Practically Nothing / Companies / Self Driving Cars
Are you invested in self-driving cars yet? If not, I hope you’ll read this article carefully.
I’ll show you a unique opportunity to invest in this megatrend at a bargain price.
And it isn’t some risky stock with unproven technology. It’s a dominant, profitable company that’s leading the self-driving universe.
And because of a rare situation in the markets, you can buy it today for practically nothing.
Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Smart Money Is Piling Into Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oil prices jumped to five-month highs this week, pushed higher by a bullish cocktail of supply outages, geopolitical unrest and a sputtering shale sector.
The most recent factor is the sudden eruption of the long simmering feud in Libya between rival factions. The attack on Tripoli by the Libyan National Army (LNA), a militia led by Khalifa Haftar, led to a spike in oil prices on Monday as the market priced in the possibility of supply outages.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
In The Event Of A Fiat Currency Collapse Would Gold Rocket? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
One of the reasons given for allocating a portion of one’s investment assets to the precious metals sector such as physical gold is that gold can be considered as an insurance policy against the devaluation of paper money. On my office wall I have framed various bank notes from an 'inflationary' period of time which include the following:
2,000,000 marks, Germany 1923
100,000,000 Pengos, Hungry 1946
5,000,000 Kwanza, Angola 1995
Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2019 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
This is my final video in a series of 10 that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the stock market into September 2019.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Is The Federal Reserve ‘Too Big To Fail’? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
The term “too big to fail” refers to certain businesses whose viability is considered critical to the survival and effective operation of our economic system. These very large businesses are designated as too big to fail because their failure or bankruptcy would have disastrous consequences on the overall economy.
The potential effects are considered to be severe enough, and the costs so unbelievably large, that these businesses are afforded special attention and consideration in the form of bailouts and protection from creditors.
The expenses necessary in order to save a large institution from bankruptcy are considered less than the costs that would be incurred if the institution were allowed to fail. Active application and implementation of both alternatives were prominently featured in the financial crisis of 2008.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
The Inverted Yield Curve as a Harbinger of Higher Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
During the course of the past few weeks, we have heard much about the inverted yield curve in three-month and ten-year Treasuries as a harbinger of recessions. Missed in the press reports is the fact that it has also been a harbinger of higher gold prices. In the chart above, please note the upward surges in the price of gold in the five-year periods following the two most recent yield inversions in 2000 and 2006. The first occurred with gold trading in the $300 range. It subsequently rose to the $600-650 level in 2006. The second occurred with gold priced in the $600-650 range. It subsequently rose to over $1900 per ounce in 2011 – its all-time high.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Trump’s Trade War Is Nowhere Near Over / Stock-Markets / Protectionism
If you follow daily market action, you can tell investors don’t like tariffs or other trade restrictions.Stock prices rise when it looks like US and Chinese negotiators are making progress. They fall when President Trump makes new threats or negotiations fall apart.
We’ve seen it dozens of times in the last year.
Lately, we see more celebrating. People seem to think some sort of trade war resolution is near—or at least an extension of last December’s truce.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Will Recovery in Payrolls and Yield Curve Sink Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
US labor market strengthened again and the yield curve inversion looks to be over. Has the sky cleared? Hold on, Brexit is just around the corner. Given the circumstances, are gold prices more likely to rise or fall?
America Creates almost 200,000 new jobs in March
US economy added 196,000 jobs last month, following a disappointing rise of 33,000 in February (after an upward revision). The number surprised on a positive side, as the economists forecasted 177,000 created jobs.
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Wednesday, April 10, 2019
Here’s What You Should Know About the Finance Behind Venture Capital / Companies / SME
Venture capitalists help startups grow by offering capital in exchange for equity during early stages. Of course, there’s much more to the process than simple siphoning money from VC to startup: often, this capital becomes a lifeline for promising businesses whose roadblocks are almost entirely monetary. Today, VCs play a huge role in the financial landscape of the startup world.
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