Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2024

Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock market performance based on whether the President is Democrat or Republican.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2024

Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A strong September during a strong year that has only seen 1 down month (April), so what does this rare pattern suggest could come next?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2024

What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

September is seasonally the weakest month of the year, and has been so for 3 years in a row until September 2024 resulting in the unexpected up closing month, though there are too factors that should be obvious -

1. Three years down in a row increases the probability for an UP September, a little more attention to detail should have flagged this as being probable.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2024

Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: EWI

According to CNBC on November 11, "Trump Is the Most Pro-Stock Market President in History." "The stock market could enjoy a bigger boost from President-elect Donald Trump than any previous administration," says the author of Stocks for the Long Run.

This belief is producing some spectacular risk-on biases. Here's a November 22 headline from Bloomberg that highlights investors' willingness to embrace his supposed influence on the futures markets: "Trump Set to Supercharge Options Boom by Retail Investors."

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, December 13, 2024

Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Donald_W_Dony

December's Federal Reserve meeting next week suggests a 25bps rate reduction. Traders are consolidating bets on a 90% chance of a cut by year-end. Still, there are concerns that price expansion will be sticky to lower. Core inflation remains unchanged at 3.30%. In addition, upside tariff threats and tax cuts magnified inflation risks. Both policies result in expansionary pressures.

The bond market and the US dollar illustrate the balancing act of persistent inflationary pressure and keeping interest rates low to support the economy (Chart 1).  

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Friday, December 13, 2024

Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

FED BALANCE SHEET 

Below is a chart posted and updated regularly by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis…

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 08, 2024

Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2025

By: Nadeem_Walayat

S&P is up 27.5% YTD! This after a 24% gain for 2023, this is NOT NORMAL, we are in early stage FOMO MANIA! Further evidence for which one only need look at crypto's as BTC up 130% YTD broke above $100k trading to $104k before the exchanges FLASH CRASHED leveraged longs out of their positions and now trading back over $100k.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, December 08, 2024

Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2024

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In my yesterday’s Gold Trading Alert, I wrote that we had some clues regarding the end of the corrective upswing.

Corrective Upswing Nearing Its End

We saw an invalidation in the GDXJ (of the tiny move to new short-term highs), and before that silver outperformed on a short-term basis, which was also a bearish indication. Today, we got some more.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, December 08, 2024

Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2024

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s monster upleg remains alive and well, after weathering a sharp post-election selloff.  One had certainly been due, as gold had just surged to extremely-overbought levels.  The resulting pullback was big and fast, doing much essential rebalancing work.  Gold’s resilience defying some bearish headwinds is a bullish omen.  Despite its massive size, this monster upleg doesn’t look ready to give up its ghost yet.

I don’t use this “monster” term lightly, reserving it for gold uplegs exceeding 40% gains.  Over a long 12.9-month span from early October 2023 to late October 2024, gold rocketed a jaw-dropping 53.1% higher!  A year ago gold achieved its first nominal record close in fully 3.3 years.  Since then, a whopping 42 more have been written into the books!  Superlatives don’t overstate the magnitude of gold’s powerful bull run.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, December 02, 2024

Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

It's your lucky day, you get access to my most recent market brief -

Stock & Crypto's Market Brief 1st Dec 2024 - (6pm UK Time)

Folk keep messaging me that Bitcoins down, Solana's down, Doge is down and if they are now a good buy, I reply "dude you're a year late to the party!"

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, November 29, 2024

US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

So far the election year seasonal trend has had 4 misses out of 9 months, so on it's own as is the case with most individual pieces of analysis has been a coin flip as to whether any particular month will follow the seasonal pattern or not.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Friday, November 29, 2024

Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past / Politics / Palestine

By: Nadeem_Walayat

"Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past" - George Orwell

In a heated comments section a Patron recently commented, "what have the Arabs ever invented!"

Good luck with anything that resembles the modern world without Alchemy, Algebra, and of course Algorithms and much more during Islam's 400 year golden age, of course they built on what came before, devouring Greek texts that Christian Europe was busy burning as heretical texts, mathematics including the 0-9 numeric system that originates from India which we all take for granted that would take some 500 years to be eventually adopted by Europe, without any of this there would have been no Renaissance and Enlightenment instead we would all be out working the fields today on X_VI_MMXXIV whilst probably the United States of New Arabia would now be calling the shots on the world stage, what happened? The Mongol's is what happened! The mother of all Black Swans that changed the course of history,

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, November 29, 2024

Gold After Trump Wins / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2024

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has sure had a wild ride in the several weeks since the US elections!  It first plunged then surged after Trump’s decisive victory, which surprised legions of traders.  Gold’s earlier big down days helped fuel fears another Trump administration is bearish for gold.  Its poor performance after Trump’s first win eight years ago buttresses that case.  But that’s probably not predictive in today’s wildly-different environment.

On Election Day 2024, gold closed at $2,743.  That was just 1.5% under its latest nominal record high achieved four trading days earlier.  But the next day when Trump’s big win was already apparent, gold plunged 3.0%.  That was its worst day by far since a 3.6% plummeting in early June on a huge US-jobs upside surprise, which in turn was gold’s biggest daily loss in 3.6 years.  Then more post-election selling came.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Folk keep messaging me that Bitcoins down, Solana's down, Doge is down and if they are now a good buy, I reply "dude you're a year late to the party!"

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2024

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Today we finally see it – the USDX moved lower at last. USD’s breather here is nothing surprising, and it’s not bearish either.

It’s simply normal for a market to correct after launching a rally as strong as what we saw in October and November.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Monday, November 25, 2024

Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

President Donald Trump's win Pumps the markets, Bitcoin, Crypto's and stocks to the moon. Bitcoin pumps to $99k whilst Alt coins literally go nuts and not just the big markets such as Solana that has 10xd, but even once taken for dead coins such as ADA have 4xd over a few short weeks. And then we have the no brainier trade of the year Microstrategy, which back in January was trading at just $44 that durng the past week rocketed higher to $548, that's more than a 10X move!

All of which my Patrons had OVER a YEAR to plan towards capitalising upon, so whilst the Crypto Gravy train has been rolling for over a year we have a lot further left to run as my following in-depth analysis laid the ground work for that was first made available to Patrons for just $7 bucks! 10X for just $7 bucks! This is ridiculous I am way under selling myself as those who follow me soon find out!

Just $7 bucks for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Donald Trump election win sends bitcoin, crypto and stock markets into a euphoric high on prospects for the forthcoming money printing binge. We may all be getting high on the pump right now but you all know it's not going to end well for most, those who FOMO into the highs, no matter how much we try game this, it's going to be a tough balancing act between how much we manage to take off the casino tables before the music stops and the SHTF!

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2024

By: P_Radomski_CFA

That’s an interesting situation that we have today. Gold us up, but silver and miners are down. What gives?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Avi_Gilburt

As the market has now struck the upper end of my long-term target set many years ago, it seems many have embraced this bull market, to the extent that they see no reason for it to end. However, that is usually the time one has to pay attention for the potential for it to come an end.

The last 25 years have only reinforced the common perspective that the market “always comes back.” Whether we are speaking about the manner in which investors have been trained in a Pavlovian fashion to believe in the omnipotent power of the Fed or whether we are speaking about the manner in which the market has always come back stronger after each larger drop seen over the last 25 years, there is one thing that has become a certainty in the market: Buy and hold is the ONLY way to go.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

"It's going to make 2008 look like child's play," says ElliottWave Trader's Avi Gilburt when discussing the precarious balance sheets of U.S. banks with Elliott Wave International's Robert Prechter.

In the just-released webinar "A Fireside Market Chat with Robert Prechter & Avi Gilburt," Gilburt shares the story of his year-and-a-half study of U.S. banks and said what he discovered "is going to shock people." You can learn the disturbing details of his findings by accessing the webinar for free.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Page << | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | 110 | 120 | 130 | 140 | 150 | 160 | 170 | 180 | 190 | 200 | 210 | 220 | 230 | 240 | 250 | 260 | 270 | 280 | 290 | 300 | 310 | 320 | 330 | 340 | 350 | 360 | 370 | 380 | 390 | 400 | 410 | 420 | 430 | 440 | 450 | 460 | 470 | 480 | 490 | 500 | 510 | 520 | 530 | 540 | 550 | 560 | 570 | 580 | 590 | 600 | 610 | 620 | 630 | 640 | 650 | 660 | 670 | 680 | 690 | 700 | 710 | 720 | 730 | 740 | 750 | 760 | 770 | 780 | 790 | 800 | 810 | 820 | 830 | 840 | 850 | 860 | 870 | 880 | 890 | 900 | 910 | 920 | 930 | 940 | 950 | 960 | 970 | 980 | 990 | 1000 | >>