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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Monday, April 23, 2018

Silver Squeeze, Gold Fails & GDX Breadth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It was an interesting week in the precious metals complex. There appeared to be the start of a short squeeze in Silver (hedge funds were heavily short) but it ceased at important resistance. Meanwhile, Gold closed the week on a weak note, losing $1340-$1350. The gold stocks, like Silver closed the week below technical resistance. The price action in the complex continues to suggest that a breakout in Gold is the key to unleashing strong outperformance from Silver and the gold stocks.

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Economics

Monday, April 23, 2018

US Economy Is Cooked, the Growth Cycle has Peaked / Economics / US Economy

By: Adam_Taggart

Hours ago, European Central Bank chief Mario Dragho conceded: "The growth cycle may have peaked"

Of course, those paying attention to the data already knew this. Our politicians and central planers have been peddling to us the fantasy that the global economy is strengthening, finally ready to fire on all cylinders after nearly ten years of dependence on monetary stimulus.

That just ain't so.

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Economics

Monday, April 23, 2018

Inflation, With a Shelf Life / Economics / Inflation

By: Gary_Tanashian

For the last few weeks we’ve used the conditions noted in the graphic below as a guide. Well, the ‘inflation trade’ (IT) popped last week and that included cyclical metals (as well as silver) ramming upward vs. gold and TIP rising vs. TLT & IEF.

As for credit conditions, there is little imminently raising caution flags as commercial lending and risk taking (as indicated by high yield junk bonds) continue apace, but the note still stands on the bigger picture as the credit system and money supply are gumming up with the Fed in quantitative and Fed Funds tightening mode while the velocity of money in the economy maintains a secular downtrend.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 22, 2018

Stock Market Predictive Modeling Is Calling For A Continued Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We are constantly amazed that our Advanced Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system has been incredibly accurate over the past 7+ months.  Our researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, called the early 2018 rally weeks in advance.  We called the resistance levels and top in late January.  We called a February 21~27 market top formation, called the market bottom on March 28, and last week called the market top to the hour and locked in 17.7% trading a simple 3x index ETF.  Today, we are going to further illustrate the power and capabilities of the ADL price modeling system and what we are expecting over the next 7~10+ trading days.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, April 22, 2018

SWEATCOIN - Get PAID to WALK! Incentive to Burn Fat and Lose Weight - Review / Personal_Finance / Health and Fitness

By: HGR

In my quest to lose some excess body fat in advance of summer by increasing my level of physical activity, I went on the hunt for some smart phone app's that would help enable me to to burn those extra calories per day and I soon came across SWEATCOIN. Firstly, it's not as the name suggests anything to do with crypto currencies. Instead sweatcoin apparently pays you to walk! Specifically as a sweatcoin app user you will earn 1 sweatcoin per 1000 steps taken outdoors, all of which is tracked and verified through your phones GPS.

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Politics

Sunday, April 22, 2018

Britain Becomes Trump Territory / Politics / UK Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

British media report today that Donald Trump may visit the country in late summer. (Renewed) calls for mass protests are everywhere, of course. The Metro news outlet features a picture of a pamphlet that reads No To Racism. No To Trump, that dates from an earlier occasion (Trump was supposed to come several times, but never did).

Now, good luck with those protests, it’s still a free country, in name at least. But boy oh boy, would you guys miss the point. Because as we now all know – or could-, your country is being governed by a group of people who are so racist they make even Trump’s fake tan pale in comparison. If Theresa May is still in office by the time Trump visits, you’re all a bunch of racists.

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Local

Sunday, April 22, 2018

Sheffield Local Elections 2018 Forecast Results / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The local elections will be held on May 3rd, 2018 when 1/3rd of Sheffield's city council seats will be up for election, that's 28 out of a total of 84 seats. The current make up of the council has the Labour party on 56 seats resulting in an a commanding majority of 28. Which has allowed the Labour council to basically do whatever they want to do in the city as it is impossible for the 28 opposition councilors to even come close to out voting Labour in the council chamber.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 21, 2018

How Long Does it take for a 10%+ Stock Market Correction to Make New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P has fallen 11.8% already during this “small correction”. Assuming that the bottom is in already (February 9, 2018 = the bottom), the S&P has rallied for 48 days already. Is this normal? How long does it usually take for a 10%+ “small correction” to reclaim its old highs?

Here are the bottom dates for 10%+ “small corrections”

  1. June 4, 2012
  2. August 16, 2007
  3. February 28, 2000
  4. October 18, 1999
  5. October 28, 1997
  6. April 14, 1997
  7. July 16, 1996
  8. January 30, 1990
  9. September 29, 1986
  10. February 13, 1968
  11. June 29, 1965
  12. October 11, 1955

Here’s how many days it took for the S&P 500 to make a new high.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, April 21, 2018

Sheffield Ruling Labour Party Could Lose 10 Council Seats at May Local Elections / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: N_Walayat

A growing peaceful street revolution had been under way against Sheffield city councils ruling Labour regime in the countdown to the May 2018 Local elections in response to the rampant felling of thousands of street trees where there exists a contractual target to fell as many as half of Sheffield's Street trees during the lifetime of the PFI contract with Amey.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 21, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi Arabia $80 ARAMCO Stock IPO Target / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range for March which set the scene for the current rally to a 3 year high of $69. Whilst new has emerged that the Saudi's are actively pursuing lifting the oil price to at least $80 in support of their mega $1 trillion+ ARAMCO IPO.

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Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold Price Nearing Bull Market Breakout, Stocks to Follow / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold remains largely forgotten, off the radars of most investors.  But that’s likely to change soon as this leading alternative investment is nearing a major bull breakout.  Once gold climbs to decisive new bull-market highs, sentiment will turn and investors’ interest will surge.  Their resulting buying will rapidly drive gold higher, attracting in more capital inflows.  Gold is only a couple modest up days away from that key breakout.

Universally in all markets, traders’ psychology is completely dependent on price action and levels.  When prices are high and rising, speculators and investors alike eagerly buy in.  They love chasing winners, so buying begets buying.  This creates powerful self-reinforcing virtuous circles, with rising prices helping to entice in ever-more traders.  In recent years this dynamic catapulted the market-darling FANG stocks higher.

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Currencies

Friday, April 20, 2018

What’s Bitcoin Really Worth? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

What’s Bitcoin really worth? This question might really drive you mad if you think hard enough about it. $0? $10? Maybe $1,000,000 for one coin? The range of the numbers can make your head spin but it is the explanation behind the number that matters. For the most part, investors don’t have a good reason why Bitcoin is worth this or that, apart from claims that “it will take over the world” and so on. This hasn’t stopped people from trying, though. Is it even important for short-term traders? Can it boost profits on our hypothetical positions?

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Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold, Silver and Jet Surf Boards - Audio Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Here is an interview talking about silver, silver stocks, and some new electric jet flying surfboard.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 20, 2018

Stock Market May "Let Go" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures slid down to the daytime low of 2682.75 in late night trading, then ramped up to trendline resistance at 2698.25 before coming back to the flat line as I write. It appears to be range-bound for the moment, until Index Options (institutional-style) expire at 9:20-9:30 am. Retail options expire at the end of the day.

SPX had Waves 1 and 2 yesterday. Wave 3 may be significantly larger than the 35.59 point decline we saw yesterday. There is a good probability that the retail options investors may be “thrown under the bus.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 20, 2018

Overwhelming Evidence Against Near Stock Market Grand Supercycle Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Science_Investing

Grand Supercycle in US Equities
The US stock market shows price data all the way back to 1790. It can be fitted into long term cycles, which result into Elliott waves. The popular opinion is that we are approaching the top of a Grand Supercycle trend. It implies that a long and deep correction is ahead of us. Our conclusion is very different to that and we base it on Elliott’s rules and guidelines.

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Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

The Incredible Silver Trade – What You Need to Know / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone is talking about the incredible price move in silver on April 18, 2018.  For years we have been talking about the setup in the metals markets and alerting our members to opportunities as they arise. Recently, we alerted our members to an incredible opportunity in Silver and we caught this move before it skyrocketed higher.  Now, everyone wants to know what’s next.  Here is our take on the Silver trade and what you need to know.

All the technical and price valuation indicators regarding the relationship of Gold to Silver have been set for many months telling traders that Silver is the clear leader in any price advance in metals.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Is War "Hell" for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI


Take a look at stock market behavior in times of war… and peace

Are wars bullish or bearish for stocks?

With the recent news of airstrikes on Syria and a threat of a global war, this question is extremely relevant. But does war really cause stock markets to rise and fall?

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Commodities

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Palladium Bullion Surges 17% In 9 Days On Russian Supply Concerns / Commodities / Palladium

By: GoldCore

Palladium bullion has surged a massive 17% in just nine trading days. From $895/oz on Friday April 6th to over $1,052/oz today (April 19th). The price surge is due to palladium being due a bounce after falling in the first quarter and now due to Russian supply concerns.

In a volatile month, precious metals and commodities have been the clear winners so far, with palladium having the greatest gains of all – up 10.7% in April (see table below).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Breadth Study Suggests that Stock Market Bottom is Already In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Last week we demonstrated a momentum+breadth study which supported the medium term bullish case for the stock market.

Now let’s look at the short term case for the stock market. Is the stock market’s EXACT bottom already in?

The NYSE cumulative Advance-Decline Line (one of the best breadth indicators) just made a new all-time high yesterday while the S&P 500 has yet to make a new high.

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