Friday, October 29, 2021
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Current State / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This is the third and final part of my extensive analysis - Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season, Chinese Stocks and Bitcoin Trend Update
This is Part 2 of my extensive analysis
Part 1 - Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season
Part 2 - Chinese Tech Stocks CCP Paranoia and Best AI Tech Stocks ETF
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Friday, October 29, 2021
Shrinking US Crude Reserves Might Confirm the Trend Now! / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
Oil prices rose again on Tuesday, approaching multi-year highs amid concerns over steadily shrinking US crude reserves.
Fundamental Analysis
U.S. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock:
Friday, October 29, 2021
The History of Gold’s Pavlovian Narrative / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger delves into the Federal Reserve's actions going back decades that affect the price of gold.
One of the benefits (or luxuries) of being removed from the commuting rat-race of my earlier life is the ability to devote large swaths of free time to reading – to the acquisition of either new sources of knowledge or new frameworks of opinion, neither of which can be trusted but both of which may be useful.
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Friday, October 29, 2021
What Do The Current Earnings Reports Tell Us About The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Avi_Gilburt
I am going to let you in on one of my pet peeves this week: I abhor intellectual dishonesty in analysis. And, earnings season always brings to light some wonderful examples.
I was recently told quite confidently by another contributor that the direction of a stock is based upon its earnings. I know this is a common view within the market, but it is far from the truth.
While everyone thinks the market makes sense when a stock price rises on a good earnings report or drops on a bad earnings report, let’s try to understand what happens when a stock declines on good news. So, when blow-out earnings about a company are announced, yet the stock immediately begins to decline, the common theme we hear from the talking heads is that the earnings news was already “priced in” to the stock price. Right?
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Friday, October 29, 2021
How to Install Hard Drives into Your Desktop PC - Move Drives From Another Computer / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
In this video I show you how to install desktop SATA hard drives into WIndows PC . Installing a 2.5" or 3.5" hard drive or SSD isn't difficult as all it requires is a hard drive, a desktop computer with at least one empty 3.5" bay and possibly a screwdriver. I also show you how connect the drives to your system and what to expect when you boot up your system. So if you want to move your hard drives form one PC to another then watch this video and find out how to do it.
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Current State / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
AI Stocks Buying Pressure Evaluation
Its now over 6 weeks since I first posted the AI generated forecasts where I deemed the resulting Buying Pressure as being the most important derived indicator for what the stocks are likely to do. For instance Facebook and AMD were expected to be the strongest, and not far behind Microsoft, Apple, Google, where Nvidia strength was contrary to my expectations for this over valued stock. Basically the AI was saying that I had a mistake mistake by selling out of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia etc. The only decision it was concurring with was that Amazon was expected to be weak with only 17% upwards buying pressure, as was Samsung at 34%. and IBM on 26%. Whilst an unloved Intel continued to carry huge unrealised potential hence my seeking to accumulate more on any dips below $50.
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
Proshares Bitcoin BITO ETF Marks a Huge Milestone for Crypto Currencies / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Stephen_McBride
After years in the making, it finally happened…On October 15, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the first-ever bitcoin ETF.
On October 19, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) debuted on the New York Stock Exchange.
This is a big, big milestone.
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
Bitnomics Review – Is it an easy solution to buy and sell crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: S_N_Chatterjee
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
Skate Boarding Fun at Millhouses Park Summer 2021 / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
Skate Boarding Fun at Millhouses Park Summer 2021
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Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Chinese Tech Stocks CCP Paranoia and Best AI Tech Stocks ETF / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
The stock market is continuing to rally on FOMO fumes with the Dow up 1.5% for August as the market enters the seasonally worst month of the year for stocks, followed by October, and we all know what October's tend to herald, especially for markets that have run well beyond every expectation and value metric that one can think of which is true for a wide spectrum of stocks from our AI tech giants right through to the junk that populates the likes of Cathy Woods ARK Funds, metrics as I covered in recent analysis such as the Reverse REPO market RED FLAG, then we have margin debt soaring to well beyond all previous market highs which actually would be expected in nominal terms given inflation, however Margin debt has also soared to new highs as a percentage of GDP 3.9% vs 3% in 2000. Here's another flashing RED LIGHT that of the market cap of negative earning stocks exceeding that of the dot com bubble, so folks enjoy your FOMO whilst it lasts, I personally have battened down the hatches for the hurricane that's coming our way that will likely blow novice investors out of the water, especially those who are investing on margin!
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Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Food Prices & Farm Inputs Getting Hard to Stomach / Commodities / Food Crisis
By: Richard_Mills
Thanksgiving is a time to appreciate the food on our tables, but that probably isn’t stopping a lot of people from grumbling about how expensive the turkey and all the fixings have become.
According to Statistics Canada, food prices are up 2.5% over the past year, but that may be underestimating the impact of inflation. New research from Dalhousie University’s Agri-Food Analytics Lab, quoted by BNN Bloomberg, shows that food inflation in Canada is closer to 5%, well above the normal 1-2%.
Among food categories, meat prices stand out as rising the most, with Stats Canada noting a 10% increase for these products over the past six months. Nearly half of Canadians, 49%, say they have reduced their purchases of Alberta meat, while a majority of consumers acknowledge cutting back on it since the start of the year. The higher number of vegetarians may be due to economic reasons as much as concerns over animal cruelty.
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Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Has Zillow’s Collapse Signaled A Warning For The Capital Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Watching Zillow (ZG) move from over $200 per share to recent levels below $90, reflecting a more than 55% collapse in price, while the housing market continues to rally may be an indication that traders/investors have already discounted the future peak in the US capital markets and Real Estate assets related to the current market environment. Zillow is not the only symbol experiencing this broad price decline. Redfin (RDFN) has also declined more than 54% over the past 7+ months.
Is The Peak In Real Estate Flippers Prices Sending A Strong Warning For Traders/Investors?
The peak in these stocks happened near February 16~22, 2021. This date, interestingly enough, aligns with a peak in global capital markets using my proprietary Smart Cash Index and a very clear peak in the Chinese Hang Seng Index.
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Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Dave Antrobus Welcomes Caribou to Award-Winning Group Inc & Co / Companies / Corporate News
By: Sumeet_Manhas
The packet and parcel consolidator Caribou marks Inc & Co’s 15th acquisition.
Since technology specialist Dave Antrobus and entrepreneurial investor Jack Mason launched the award-winning business group Inc & Co in 2019, the collective has branched out in multiple directions. Despite COVID-19, Inc & Co has reached impressive growth milestones over the past two years and has now made its 15th acquisition. This time, Inc & Co is delighted to welcome the domestic and international multimodal logistics provider Caribou to the group.
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Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Stock Market New Intermediate uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The 4540 projection which had been in effect since the March 2020 low has now been reached but appears to have been only an intermediate target. Higher levels should now be reached before an important top is struck.
SPX Intermediate trend: An intermediate correction has ended and given way to another intermediate uptrend.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
Monday, October 25, 2021
Investing in Crypto Currencies With Both Eyes WIDE OPEN! / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Firstly, crypto's are VERY HIGH RISK, the crypto bugs constantly talk about how manipulated fiat, stocks and precious metals are hence they seek their financial freedom in decentralised crypto currencies. However in my opinion crypto currencies are probably the most manipulated markets of the lot where huge amounts of coins reside in whale wallets that could be dumped onto the markets at any time. Then there are the inflation rates, crypto coin printing on an epic scale that would even make the Fed's Powell blush where comparatively low prices against all time highs can easily fool unsuspecting crypto investors into buying garbage with masked inflation rates in excess of over 100% that thus can not sustain bull runs to capitalise on until the inflation rates moderate to under 10%, such as that of Filecoin where given the plethora of pump content out there one is hard pressed to determine the true inflation rate that apparently is currently running at 160% against that of say Bitcoin's inflation rate of about 1.6%.
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Monday, October 25, 2021
Is Bitcoin a Better Inflation Hedge Than Gold? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: MoneyMetals
Gold and silver markets continue to gather upside momentum as inflation pressures spread throughout the economy.
Metals markets may be starting to reflect broader inflation trends that are manifesting in higher prices for almost everything. These price increases faced by businesses and consumers are showing no signs of letting up, despite the Federal Reserve line that they are “transitory.”
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones weighed in on the inflation threat during an appearance on CNBC this week.
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Monday, October 25, 2021
S&P 500 Stirs the Gold Pot / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
With the S&P 500 back at its all-time highs, gold stopped lagging behind. However, how long can this unsustainable growth last?
The FOMO Rally
While the S&P 500 has demonstrated a resounding ability to shake off bad news, an epic divergence has developed between positioning and economic expectations. And while ‘fear of missing out’ (FOMO) keeps sentiment near the high-end of its range, Q3 DP growth is projected near the low-end of its range.
For example, while the Atlanta Fed’s third-quarter GDP growth estimate was north of 5% in early September, the bank reduced the estimate to 1.3% on Oct. 5. Moreover, with the outlook even worse now, the Atlanta Fed cut its Q3 GDP growth estimate to 0.5% on Oct. 19.
Monday, October 25, 2021
Stock Market Against Bond Market Odds / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
Such was the S&P 500 correction, how did you like it? The whiff of risk-off that I was looking for yesterday, was a very shallow one in stocks, and much deeper in real assets. What‘s remarkable about the stock market upswing, is that it was led by tech while value barely clung to its opening values – and yields rose yet again. But the dynamic is supposed to work the other way – even financials felt the pinch, but at least real estate rose.
Another characteristic worth noting is that the dollar increased yesterday too, and stocks didn‘t mind. The VIX closed almost at 15, which is its lowest value since the beginning of Jul. S&P 500 indeed didn‘t hesitate at 4,520, and broke above similarly to the prior turning point (that wasn‘t) at 4,420. I‘m letting the open long S&P 500 profits run as rising yields aren‘t yet a problem for stocks, and inflation isn‘t still strong enough to break the bulls‘ back – but inflation expectations keep rising, and that‘s a factor once again underpinning precious metals.
When a brief risk-off moment arrives though, commodities are to feel the pinch, and that‘s true also about silver as opposed to gold. Indeed yesterday, the yellow metal did much better than the white one. Copper corrected with a delay to the fresh LME trading measures, and quite profoundly given that the London stockpile represents only a day‘s worth of China factory copper consumption. The dust in the red metal hasn‘t yet settled, but black gold recovered smartly from the steep intraday drop to $81, dealing open oil profits – and the selling in oil stocks looks to be overdone on a daily basis. Finally, the Bitcoin setback I was looking for, happened, but doesn‘t spell the end of the crypto run – more cypto gains to enjoy.
Sunday, October 24, 2021
Inflation Consequences for the Stock Market, FED Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here's another indicator to pile on top of a mountain of indicators that I have been covering over the past few months all flashing RED . The S&P real terms dividend yield is now LESS than at the dot com bubble peak! In fact one would need to go back to the depths of the early 1980s' inflationary depression to reach such poor returns.
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Sunday, October 24, 2021
To Be or Not to Be: How the Evergrande Crisis Can Affect Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Evergrande is on the brink of bankruptcy. Will gold prices collapse together with the real estate developer or benefit from its default?Generals are always prepared to fight the last war, while economists are always prepared to fight the last recession. But what if the next economic crisis doesn’t start in the US financial sector, but in China’s real estate?
Naturally, I refer to Evergrande, a Chinese developer with total liabilities of more than $300 billion — around 2% of China’s GDP! A default of one of China’s largest and most indebted companies could entail significant repercussions for the global economy.
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