Monday, September 30, 2019
Watching Paint Dry in the Repo Market Part 2 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Michael_Pento
The Fed has now begun to pave the way for a return to Quantitative Easing. The reason for this was the recent spike in borrowing rates in the Repo market. At his latest press, Chair Powell said this about the spike in the Effective Fed Funds and Repo rates:“Going forward, we’re going to be very closely monitoring market developments and assessing their implications for the appropriate level of reserves. And we’re going to be assessing the question of when it will be appropriate to resume the organic growth of our balance sheet… It is certainly possible that we’ll need to resume the organic growth of the balance sheet sooner than we thought.”
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Monday, September 30, 2019
If you Want to Get Really Rich, Invest like Google Not Warren Buffett / Companies / Investing 2019
By: Stephen_McBride
Justin Spittler writes: "Follow the smart money."
We’ve all heard this saying.
It means if you want to make big money in the markets, do the following:
- Identify the smartest professional investors...
- buy the stocks they buy...
- and you’ll get rich too.
Just who are these genius investors who you can piggyback to riches?
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Monday, September 30, 2019
Stock Market Caution Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 30, 2019
Imperative Features to Look Out For On Writing Sites / Personal_Finance / Education
By: Travis_Bard
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Sunday, September 29, 2019
Trump: Transform The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Into An Oil Bank / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Following the attacks on key crude oil production facilities in Saudi Arabia, President Donald Trump announced the authorization of the release of oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to keep the market well supplied. This move changes nothing in the way the SPR is governed. The market, not the President, should determine the release of the massive SPR.
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Sunday, September 29, 2019
Saudi Oil Shock: Who Wins, Who Loses / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Steve_H_Hanke
On September 14th, drones targeted Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq oil refinery and Khurais oil field. The strikes reportedly knocked out more than half of Saudi Arabia's total output. That amounts to a whopping 6-7% of the global daily oil supply. Not surprisingly, before the dust had settled, the press sounded an alarm and spread fear. Then, President Trump jumped in, claiming the attack “won't affect us and ultimately I don't think it will affect the world either.” Well, let’s take a look at the data.
Brent crude prices surged by 15%, from $60/bbl on September 13th to $69/bbl on the 16th, the first trading day after last weekend’s drone attacks. Brent crude is now trading at $65/bbl. While a significant increase, the response to this incident has kept oil in what Arend Kapteyn of the Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS) deems to be in a safe zone ($50-$75/bbl). When prices are in this sweet spot, the “gains” and “losses” from oil price changes are roughly balanced, so the global economy can hum along without missing a beat.
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Sunday, September 29, 2019
The Non-Nonsense Guide to Getting Started With Stocks / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: Submissions
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Sunday, September 29, 2019
Fibonacci Predictive Modeling Suggests Stock Market Price Volatility Will Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We believe price volatility may surprise many traders throughout the end of this year. Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that price must rotate dramatically higher or lower to establish any new confirmed price trends. The Fibonacci price modeling system can be particularly useful in determining where and when price may attempt a major future price move. Today, we are sharing both Daily and Weekly chart highlighting our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system for the ES and YM to help our readers and followers understand what’s in store for the US markets over the next few weeks and months. Before we get into the details be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter
Much like many of our other proprietary price and predictive modeling systems, the Fibonacci price modeling system adapts to price rotation, trends and volatility automatically by adjusting internal factoring levels and analysis functions to adapt to changes in price range and volatility. The process of adapting in this manner provides us with some very insightful capabilities. Today, we are going to focus on the Daily, the shorter term Fibonacci price analysis, and the Weekly, the longer term Fibonacci price analysis, modeling system results and attempt to share our current expectations with you.
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Sunday, September 29, 2019
Online Services That Have Made Life Easier / Personal_Finance / Internet
By: Travis_Bard
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Saturday, September 28, 2019
British Pound Fundamental Analysis / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Political Implications
An expected Tory general election win favours GBP strengthening as it delivers political certainty even if under BJ implies a hard Brexit outcome is more probable.
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Saturday, September 28, 2019
Scary Warning Signs in Cash Funding Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Michael_Pento
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me for another top-flight interview as we discuss some major stresses in the financial system that are going to result in some serious issues in the economy. He also talks about the trade summit happening next month and what it will likely mean for precious metals if a deal is struck between the U.S. and China, or if an agreement is not reached. So be sure to stick around for my conversation with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.
Precious metals markets are trading in wide ranges as they struggle to hold on to gains posted earlier in the week.
As of this Friday recording, the metals are taking it on the chin here today with gold now looking at a weekly decline of 1.6% to trade at $1,494 an ounce. Silver is down 3.0% for the week to come in at $17.49 per ounce. Platinum is moving lower this week by 1.4% and currently fetches $937 an ounce. And finally, palladium is now commanding $1,692 per ounce after rising another 2.7% this week.
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Saturday, September 28, 2019
Trade War - There Are Two Sides to Every Trade. And Both Sides Benefit / Economics / Global Economy
By: Frank_Hollenbeck
In a recent tweet, the US president said, “When you’re almost 800 Billion Dollars a year down on Trade, you can’t lose a Trade War! The U.S. has been ripped off by other countries for years on Trade.”
Trump continues to ratchet up tariffs on China claiming it is stealing billions of dollars by running large trade surpluses with the USA. If this view was held by a country bumpkin it would be irrelevant, but it becomes a serious problem when held by a man who can reduce the real incomes of billions of people, both American and Chinese.
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Friday, September 27, 2019
Silver/Gold Ratio is a Guide as Inflation Signals Fade Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
The interplay between gold and silver is a critical component to understanding what is out ahead; to understanding whether long-term Treasury yields will rise and if they rise, whether it will be due to inflationary pressures. It is a critical component to understanding whether cyclical commodities and other aspects of a greater inflation/reflation trade will finally break existing downtrends. See…
The Continuum is Still in the Deflation Camp (9.24.19)
Pictures of a Reflationary Bounce-a-Thon (9.11.19)
The first and more recent post noted that the 30yr yield needs to climb above 2.2% to even think of hinting toward a temporary inflation trade. The chart from that post shows that while the Continuum is of a long, deflationary structure the periodic pings upward to the (monthly EMA 100) limiter often represent times of cyclical inflationary bursts. This morning the 30 year yield stands at 2.15%.
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Friday, September 27, 2019
Bitcoin Price Collapse Continues For Many Months / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The recent price collapse in Bitcoin may be the start of a much bigger price trend in the Cryptos. The support level near $9000 has been breached and the current resistance arc, see the MAGENTA Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs on these charts, are clearly acting as a major contracting price resistance level. Our research suggests price will find support near $7900, then $5571, then possibly just above $2000. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter
The Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs are a proprietary modeling tool we use to measure and track how price may react based on previous price swings. They are the visual deployment of two unique theories; Fibonacci price theory and Tesla’s Mechanical Resonance theory. The basis behind our thinking when we created this proprietary tool was that Fibonacci price theory suggests that all price movement is related and structured to previous price movements and that Tesla’s theory that everything we touch, see and know to exist is the result of ENERGY suggested to us that ENERGY may be one of the most important components in understanding price movement.
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Friday, September 27, 2019
More smelters, scrap metal ban driving Chinese copper imports / Commodities / Copper
By: Richard_Mills
Despite evidence of a slowing economy, shipments of raw materials are gliding across Chinese docks at a torrid pace, especially metals, which form the backbone of China’s industrial supply chain.
In fact a recent report shows that, while Chinese imports are down 5% compared to last year, and the trade war is hitting China’s manufacturing sector, imports of raw materials and ores “continue their seemingly perpetual upward trend.”
A blistering trade
MINING.com quotes BMO Global Commodities Research, the report’s author, saying that “In our opinion, while the trade war has caused many problems for China, it has not shaken the overall commodity business model of importing raw materials, having enough process capacity and ideally exporting a small amount of finished product as an inflation hedge.”
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Friday, September 27, 2019
Warning: The Stock Market is on VERY Thin Ice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Yesterday’s drop did a lot of damage to the rally.
Stocks rolled over after hitting resistance (red line). They also broke the bearish rising wedge formation they’ve been forming over the last month (blue lines).
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Friday, September 27, 2019
Land Rover Discovery Sport Engine Management Warning / ConsumerWatch / Land Rover
By: HGR
My Land Rover Discovery Sport has just gone out of the manufacturers 3 year warranty and up pops the dreaded yellow engine managment warning light which could be triggered by something simple as a the fuel cap, faulty sensor or as expensive as a major fault with the engine. And this landrovers only done 18,000 miles!
Anyway here's what to expect when you own a Land Rover Discovery Sport when the engine management warning light pops up on your dashboard.
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Friday, September 27, 2019
Where to Find Progressive Web App Development Ideas / Companies / Mobile Technology
By: Umer_Mahmood
Progressive Web App Development generally represents to creating mobile sites attracted attention due to the relative ease of development and almost instant user interaction. In modern technology, this idea has got much popularity since its formation which was almost 4 years ago from now. This theory was really a problem that Is it possible to get the site installed on any gadget, receive notifications and use it even offline so now the solutions have been made on behalf of the latest technology reforms and to establishing new relationships between the clients and the owners of the sites. JavaScript, CSS, HTML and Service Worker have changed the working process by getting instant access and rapid response. There are numerous featuring software and tools which behave with the client as native applications. Advances in the improvement of browsers, cache, and push-interfaces permitted to get the application installed on the home screen straightforwardly from the browser, is good inspiring a feature which attract the most of the app developers to take prompt initiatives and to create such a unique and attractive feature platforms to get the expected results.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 26, 2019
Will Gold Benefit from Trump Impeachment Proceedings? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
This week, Nancy Pelosi announced that the House would launch a formal impeachment inquiry. Is it a well-grounded argument, publicity stunt or reflection of the growing polarization inside the Democratic party? Storm in a tea cup or not, should Trump be worried? And gold?
What’s This All About?
On Tuesday, Nancy Pelosi, House Speaker, announced that “the House of Representatives is moving forward with an official impeachment inquiry.” That’s a big shift among Democrats, who control the House. They were talking about the Trump impeachment for months and for a variety of reasons, but never launched the process. What changed their minds?
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Thursday, September 26, 2019
Economist Mad Men in Authority - That Time Keynes Had a Point / Economics / Economic Theory
By: John_Mauldin
John Maynard Keynes once said:
“Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist. Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back.”
While true, it doesn’t go far enough. The problem isn’t simply defunct economists or “scribblers of a few years back.”
We are in the grip of economists who, far from being defunct, hold great power. Whether they hear voices in the air (or Twitter), I can’t say, but they are indeed madmen in authority.