Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Stock Market Long and Short-term Seasonal Trends / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Nadeem_Walayat

SEASONAL ANALYSIS

The seasonal pattern suggests after a pause in Feb, higher into late April, then correct from early May into late June followed by a volatile summer terminating in a swing low during September that should set the scene for a bull run into the Christmas Holidays with of course intra month volatility during October that tends to resolve to the upside just as the perma-bears are crowing at their loudest that the end is neigh.

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Stocks and 10 Year Bond Yields / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The basic pattern is for falling yields to be bearish for stocks whilst rising yields are bullish for stocks. The reason being is that investors are selling bonds to buy stocks hence yields and stocks rise.

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

USD Index: Are New Milestones in the Cards? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: P_Radomski_CFA

While the greenback's failed breakout on Nov. 4th may seem bearish, it faced a similar situation in August and October, only to recover and achieve new highs.

After the USD Index’s negative response to the ECB’s monetary policy meeting on Oct. 28, I warned on Oct. 29 that dollar bears were unlikely to celebrate for much longer. I wrote:

Based on the rather random comment during the conference, the traders panicked and bought the EUR/USD, which triggered declines in the USD Index (after all, the EUR/USD is the largest component of the USDX).

Was the breakout to new 2021 lows invalidated? No. The true breakout was above the late-March highs (the August highs also served as a support level, but the March high is more important here) and it wasn’t invalidated.

What was the follow-up action? At the moment of writing these words, the USDX is up and trading at about 93.52, which is just 0.07 below the August high in terms of the closing prices. Consequently, it could easily be the case that the USD Index ends today’s session (and the week) back above this level.

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Calling the Precious Metals Bull / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 paused to a degree, but bonds didn‘t – we‘re far from a peak. That though doesn‘t mean a brief correction (having a proper look at the chart, sideways consolidation not reaching more than a precious couple of percentage points down) won‘t arrive still this month. It‘s a question of time, and I think it would be driven by tech weakness as the sector has reached lofty levels. It‘ll go higher still, but this is the time for value and smallcaps.

And when the dollar starts rolling over to the downside (I‘m looking at the early Dec debt ceiling drama to trigger it off), emerging markets would love that. And commodities with precious metals too, of course – sensing the upcoming greenback weakness has been part and parcel of the gold and silver resilience of late. Precious metals are only getting started, but the greatest fireworks would come early spring 2022 when the Fed‘s failure to act on inflation becomes broadly acknowledged.

For now, they‘re still getting away with the transitory talking points, and chalking it down to supply chain issues. As if these could solve the balance sheet expansion or fresh (most probably again short-dated) Treasuries issuance (come Dec) – the Fed is also way behind other central banks in raising rates. Canada, Mexico and many others have already moved while UK and Australia are signalling readiness – the U.S. central bank is joined by ECB in hesitating.

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Best Crypto to Buy Now for Bull Market Mania 2022, Alt Coins for X10 to X100 / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: N_Walayat

Crypto Mania 2022 is about to begin, forget Bitcoin for it will be Alt Coins that will X10 and X100, so find out how you too can ride the crypto gravy train that already has some Alt Coin's X10ing, implying 2022 expectations to 100x!

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

Dow Stock Market ELLIOTT WAVES Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ELLIOTT WAVES 

Every high is the fifth of the fifth of the fifth! until the market fails to follow through and on we march with the next high then the next high, which is why I take Elliott Wave Theory with a mountain of salt.

My Elliott Wave pattern of Feb 2009 has proven remarkably accurate (as did the pattern before that), see being skeptical works! It's when people think they have found the holy grail when things start to go wrong!

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

Answered: The most confusing question in Crypto / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Submissions

By Chris Reilly, Executive Editor, RiskHedge When you buy a crypto…

What are you really investing in?

In today’s special edition of the RiskHedge Report, we’ll set aside the gains cryptos have been handing out of 6,000%, 8,000%, and 12,000%…

To answer this basic but crucial question.

***

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

Top Three Benefits You Should Know About Solar Integrated Panels / Housing-Market / Solar Energy

By: Submissions

It’s one sure fact that most of us are already aware of: more property owners are choosing to have solar panels, and most of these property owners are also opting for integrated or in-roof panel systems. If you have been thinking about it for some time now, you may have your questions. But if you would like nothing more than to produce energy and not rely too heavily on the grid, your solar installation is worth the investment. But what about in-roof or integrated solar panels – are they worth it as well? Here are the top three benefits you should know about solar integrated panels.

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

How to hold up the world / Politics / Social Issues

By: Michael_T_Bucci

As Thanksgiving in America approaches, a time for reflection on the deeper meanings of friendship, family and colleagues who have come into our lives - some who we like and others we dislike - we remind ourselves that underneath the masks and roles we play on the great stage of life we are all human beings. We all need oxygen, sun, food and, most importantly, we need validation for who we are, what we believe and acknowledgment for help we give others.

As we give thanks to those who have given meaning to us, we shouldn’t ignore the perfect strangers. In that light, I thank Market Oracle and its editor, Nadeem Walayat, for providing its readers this website; for providing a platform for astute thinkers and analysts to showcase their expertise. Thank you.

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

Stock Market Bullish Trend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  The 4540 projection which had been in effect since the March 2020 low has now been reached but appears to have been only an intermediate target.  Higher levels should now be reached before an important top is struck.

SPX Intermediate trend:  An intermediate correction has ended and given way to another intermediate uptrend. 

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

Stock Market Dow Long-term Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow has barely had any significant correction in now approaching a year, chugging along the upper resistance trend line for the past 6 months.

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

Essential Steps to Get Your Business Off the Ground / Companies / SME

By: Justin_Weinger

You have a great idea for a business and now you want to get it up and running. It’s an exciting time, but you must be patient and ensure that you take the correct steps to have the best chance of success. Rushing will only lead to failure. Interested to learn more about how you can get your business off the ground? The following are strategies that can help to give you a head start on the road to success.

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

How is cryptocurrency ensuring more innovation in modern businesses? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Submissions

The rate of adoption has significantly increased for the Bitcoin industry over the last few years. This shows that crypto is making an entry into the mainstream economic structure. Also, it shows that the global community is becoming increasingly fond of the concept of crypto which is leading to more advancements and innovations in the sector.

Many countries are now trying different ways of inculcating Bitcoin, and various other cryptocurrencies in their economic policies. The developing world is eyeing it as a potential way to combat increasing poverty and unemployment in their regions. Cryptocurrencies are believed to provide a helping hand for these economies through their high-profit potential.

Monday, November 08, 2021

Stock Market Dow Annual Percent Change Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow in percentage terms is well on it's way to retreating from it's most overbought state in decades, what usually tends to happen is that the Dow percent touches or more usually crosses below the red bar and for the bull market to resume would need to cross back above the red bar.How far would the Dow need to fall to fulfill this requirement in the allotted Sept / Oct correction time window? Probably to around 28k. However the alternative is that the Dow stays put around 34k to 35k for the next 6 months, which does not seem probable, so this indicator is suggesting a swift sharp drop to possibly as low as 28k within the next few weeks!

Saturday, November 06, 2021

Why I am SELLING my Premium Bonds to BUY Crypto's such as RVN, DOT, Chinalink, Airweave, VET etc. / Personal_Finance / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

I got an email that I won a Premium bond! How much did I win find out and why I decided to sell my premium bonds to buy cruptos because Crypto Mania 2022 is coming, so this could our last chance to get onboard the crypto gravy train that will choo choo to parabolic mania highs driven by the FOMO millennial generation where my strategy has been to accumulate during the continuing crypto bear market where unlike bitcoin many crypto's still trade well below their previous all time highs.

Saturday, November 06, 2021

SKY BURST Shot Tube Best Firework in TESCO Sky Fire box, Bonfire Night 2021 / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Sami_Walayat

Here's what to expect from the Tesco Fireworks, this firework is from the 'Sky Fire' box that contains 16 fireworks and costs £25 for 1 box or £35 for 2, you can guess we bought 2 boxes, note the box names tend to change from year to year but the contents don't tend to change much if at all..

Firework - SKY BURST Short tube - The best firework in Tesco's Sky Fire box?

Saturday, November 06, 2021

DIGITIZED Fountain Bird of Paradise Firework - TESCO Sky Fire box, Bonfire Night 2021 / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Eliza_Walayat

Here's what to expect from the Tesco Fireworks, this firework is from the 'Sky Fire' box that contains 16 fireworks and costs £25 for 1 box or £35 for 2, you can guess we bought 2 boxes, note the box names tend to change from year to year but the contents don't tend to change much if at all..

Firework - DIGITIZED Fountain, will our Bird of Paradise plant survive?

Friday, November 05, 2021

FUJI Fountain Pumpkin Firework - TESCO Sky Fire box, Bonfire Night 2021 / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Eliza_Walayat

Here's what to expect from the Tesco Fireworks, this firework is from the 'Sky Fire' box that contains 16 fireworks and costs £25 for 1 box or £35 for 2, you can guess we bought 2 boxes, note the box names tend to change from year to year but the contents don't tend to change much if at all.. Firework - FUJI Fountain

Friday, November 05, 2021

Gold, Silver, and Miners Just Can’t Jump / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Let’s face it, the metals are not having an easy time breaking out. Short-term rallies end up going nowhere and bearish signs are still in abundance.

Yesterday’s session was once again quite informative, and so is today’s pre-market trading. In yesterday’s analysis, I emphasized the importance of the relative weakness that we just saw in mining stocks, so let’s start with taking a look at what mining stocks did yesterday.

Friday, November 05, 2021

Breakthrough Tech Could Give Billions Access To Healthcare / Companies / BioTech

By: Submissions

There’s a massive announcement set to take place later this year, and it could change the $12 trillion healthcare industry forever.

Over the last 2 years, we’ve seen a huge transformation as businesses across nearly every industry have gone digital.

And with the health crisis sweeping the globe last year, the healthcare sector was no different.