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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Politics

Monday, September 10, 2018

How Trump Could Fire Powell and Rebuild the Fed / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : In recent weeks, Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell several times. He doesn’t like that Powell is leading the Fed to raise interest rates.

Past presidents avoided such comments so they wouldn’t appear to be interfering. But Trump doesn’t care about appearances.

The Fed is somewhat insulated from electoral politics. The chair and board members have fixed terms. Its composition changes slowly... but it doesn’t have to.

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Companies

Monday, September 10, 2018

Why the US Navy Is the Best Sector to Invest in Now / Companies / US Military

By: John_Mauldin

BY ROBERT ROSS : Defense stocks are booming big time.

The iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) just hit an all-time high last week:

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Currencies

Monday, September 10, 2018

Should You be Worried About the Rising U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. Dollar Index has been going up over the past 5 months, driven higher by Trump’s trade war.

This has some stock market traders worried, because economic theory states that “a rising U.S. Dollar is bad for the economy and stock market”.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 10, 2018

The Coming Global Liquidity Crisis…The Kick Off of the Post Bubble Contraction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Plunger

We have seen how the PBC has now begun and is making itself felt around the world starting at the periphery of the global economy, next moving to the senior markets of the world and eventually being transmitted to the core of the financial system.  As of now the US markets do not reflect any impact of the PBC, however there are signs it is fast approaching.

Tesla- Canary in the coal mine

So far US markets don’t seem to care what is happening in other markets around the world.  US Markets seem impervious.  A few months ago I pointed out that as long as Tesla stays elevated the US market should remain fine.  Call Tesla the canary in the coal mine.  Tesla continues to operate for one reason only- easy money. Remove the liquidly spigot and Tesla ceases to exist.  This company is so obviously a fraud on stock holders, yet it whistles past the graveyard with each outrageous act of its “nut job” CEO.  Simply put, as long as stock holders suspend reality in Tesla they are willing to believe anything.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 10, 2018

Will Stock Market Support Hold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Another correction has started which could conceivably continue into mid-October.
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Commodities

Monday, September 10, 2018

Gold Price 2018 Trend - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In this series of 5 videos I will conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018. However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 10, 2018

Lehman and Normalcy Bias / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018

By: Andy_Sutton

It is now September. The time of year that the fright forecasters live for. Their dispatches grow more and more desperate. Tragedy lies just on the horizon. ‘Buy our products now’ they say or ‘reap the whirlwind’. We are now just a few days from the 10th anniversary of the Lehman Weekend Extravaganza which was the official start date of what stuffed shirts in media and politics call the ‘Great Recession’.

On the US side of the Atlantic, the goings on since have edged people into what is called normalcy bias. How can that be you might ask; the Dow has quadrupled since 3/6/2009. That’s an average annual return over double the market’s average annual return over the prior 100 years. The sad thing is there is not a single average investor we know of who has seen their paper stocks quadruple in the last ten years. Those types of gains are reserved for hedge funds, and JP Morgan’s trading desk, not the average person. The idea that the playing field is level is so ludicrous it is actually funny.

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Economics

Monday, September 10, 2018

U-Turn or Perfect Storm? Globalization a Decade after the Financial Crisis / Economics / Global Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

A decade ago, globalization peaked. Today, it remains in the doldrums.  Consequently, the Trump trade wars take place at a historical moment, when globalization may further stagnate or even fall apart.

On Friday September 7, President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on $267 billion in Chinese goods, on top of the additional $200 billion that he said will likely be hit with import taxes in a matter of days.

If the tariff stakes would increase close to $500 billion, it could penalize Chinese GDP by 1.0%, but the US GDP, which is relatively more vulnerable, would suffer a net impact of 2.0% of GDP.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, September 10, 2018

Cadbury Easy to Win Premier League Match Football Prize EVERY Week! / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

Here's another heads up the Cadbury's current "Match and Win" promotion in conjunction with the Premier Football League which features well over 1 million prizes that range from the top prize of a pair of VIP match day tickets (X10), all the way to 1 million Cadbury FC Goodies. Watch our latest video on this promo for why this is a must enter promo for compers as the probability for a win EVERY week is very high!

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Commodities

Sunday, September 09, 2018

Gold Price Balanced on a Knife Edge at $1200 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold price that began 2018 strongly continuing it's bull run from a Mid December 2017 swing low of 1238, rising to a February peak of $1365 before correcting to a March low of $1309 that set the scene for a trading range of $1365 to $1309 pending a breakout higher. Then two further attempts at breaking above $1365 failed to materialise, instead resulting in the Gold price breaking below $1309 support during May which put the Gold price on a decidedly downwards trend trajectory where each rally off each subsequent low failed to follow through, thus resulting in a relentless downtrend all the way to what at the start of the year would have seemed a completely unimaginable price for Gold to trade down to by Mid year of $1167.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 09, 2018

The Gold Price Rally is Finally Here! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – price looks to have capitulated into a low at $1162 and I am now looking for price to trade down and set up a higher low.

Bollinger Bands – price fell just short of the upper band and is now back at the middle band which has been providing support. I expect this support to give way with price pushing into the lower band to set up the higher low.

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ConsumerWatch

Sunday, September 09, 2018

Witty Teen, With the Help of His Parents, Steals from a Maltese Online Casino / ConsumerWatch / Gambling

By: John_York

....

 


Commodities

Saturday, September 08, 2018

Long Term Gold and Currency Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update some of the PM charts we’ve been following to see how they’ve been progressing starting with the massive ten year H&S top on gold. Since the price action broke below the neckline several weeks ago it’s a week to week observation to see how the backtest is playing out. The backtest to the neckline comes in around the 1225 area with this weeks high at 1212.70 so the backtest held for another week. What we need to see next for the current move lower to continue is to see a new weekly close below the previous weekly low.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 08, 2018

Stock Market Weak September Start Like 1987, 1991, and 2001? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Earlier this week I said that September would probably be weak. So far this weakness has played out, with the S&P falling every day this past week.

There are only 3 other historical cases in which the S&P started September by falling 4 days in a row.

  1. September 1987
  2. September 1991
  3. September 2001
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Companies

Saturday, September 08, 2018

Website Monetization as a Formula for Success / Companies / Internet

By: Submissions

Do you believe that website monetization works? Many people are skeptical about the concept as they believe that you can find any premium content on Google if you look hard enough. The truth is that the internet is cluttered with content and to discover a valuable piece you have to dig very deep, and this will take a huge amount of your time. Monetization will work only if you know how to set up a business model right.  Unfortunately, most of us don’t know how to do this. But there are a few online tools that can help.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 08, 2018

The Bullish CoT Setups in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

You may know me as the guy using weird planetary alignments while assigning proper fundamentals to the gold sector, and recently even doing the same with a somewhat subjective and philosophical view of gold as an important counterweight or insurance component to a sensible portfolio. Or you may know me as the guy who confuses you with too many market indicators or annoys you with too many exposés of the more promotional and/or manipulative entities out there.

Or you may not know me at all.

If that is the case, let me introduce myself. My name is Gary and today I have a very simple post for your consideration. We will look at the now compelling views of the Commitments of Traders (CoT) data for gold and silver. While the prices of the metals are and have been technically bearish and the fundamentals are and have been poor, sentiment (CoT is ultimately a sentiment thing, after all) setups like those shown below should not be ignored. We are talking historic in silver and merely compelling in gold.

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Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Congressmen Introduce Bill to End Taxation of Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Washington, DC (September 7, 2018) – The battle to end taxation of constitutional money has reached the federal level as U.S. Representative Alex Mooney (R-WV) today introduced sound money legislation to remove all federal income taxation from gold and silver coins and bullion.

The Monetary Metals Tax Neutrality Act – backed by the Sound Money Defense League, Money Metals Exchange, and free-market activists – would clarify that the sale or exchange of precious metals bullion and coins are not to be included in capital gains, losses, or any other type of federal income calculation.

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Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Record Gold and Silver Shorts! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold and silver were thrashed this past summer, relentlessly pounded to deep new lows.  That has fueled extreme bearishness, with traders convinced the precious metals’ fundamentals are rotten.  But epic all-time-record futures short selling by speculators was the real culprit.  These unprecedented shorts must soon be covered with proportional buying, which is super-bullish for gold and silver prices in the coming months.

Traders generally assume fundamentals drive short-term price action, that real imbalances in supply and demand push prices to market-clearing levels.  Unfortunately these core underlying dynamics are heavily distorted in gold and silver.  Futures speculators who never own these precious metals are able to wield wildly-disproportional outsized influence over their prices.  The main reason is extreme leverage inherent in futures.

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Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Gold Asks: If Not Recession, Then What? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We are on the verge of recession. The Fed tightens and in the past it has never ended well. Yield curve is almost flat. When it inverses, it will be the end. All the bubbles will burst, pushing the global economy into another crisis. It will be more serious than all the previous cases, especially given that Trump will trigger a trade war or maybe even a conventional one.

Have you heard these gloomy prophecies? We have. Many times, probably too many times. But what if they are wrong? Let’s run our imagination wild and think what if this time is really different. We know, we know: it isn’t. But, as a counterweight for all these pessimistic narratives, let’s see what is the most rosy scenario for the world – and what does it imply for the gold market.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 07, 2018

The Stock Market is Experiencing “Sector Rotation”. Is this Bearish? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market has been experiencing sector rotation recently.

  1. Earlier this year: the NASDAQ outperformed the Dow
  2. Now: the Dow is outperforming the NASDAQ (Dow is catching up).

Conventional technical analysis would have you believe that this is a bearish sign for the stock market. Conventional technical analysis states that “the bull market is dead when the leaders become laggards and previous laggards become leaders”.

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