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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

The Post Bubble Market Contraction Thesis Receives Validation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Plunger

In the last two reports I developed the thesis that we are in the early stages of a post bubble contraction (PBC).  This contraction actually began in 2008 and is now reasserting itself in the form of a global liquidity crisis (GLC). In this edition I show how this thesis just received mainstream validation and it’s now time to begin developing an investment strategy.

The FED and central banks responded to the 2008 crisis by lowering rates to zero or less and injected trillions of credit into the system.  Indeed, they were able to re-inflate the pre-crisis bubble and put the contraction on hold, but only at the price of corrupting the core of money and credit itself and their actions exasperated the gap between the haves and the have nots.  QE in the end turned out simply to be monetary policy for the rich. The  result has been to start a world wide populist movement causing outside political contenders to win elections.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Best Ways to Finance Your Studies in Abroad / Personal_Finance / Student Finances

By: Submissions

Studying abroad is a dream of many Indian students. Studying abroad is quite difficult for a student of middle class as it is expensive. There are few benefits of studying abroad. The foremost thing is that you have to look care of all your things by your own; initially it will be very tough to adjust with the busy life. You can either take a loan or start a part time job to get yourself financed. Doing a part time is not a good choice as getting involved in any official work will not allow much time for your studies. You can go for taking an educational loan from a banks. Malaysia is now a preferred destination for  students seeking higher education.

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Companies

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

5 Weirdly Lucrative Businesses / Companies / SME

By: Dylan_Moran

Nobody doubts that CEOs make a lot of money but most would imagine that companies dedicated to luxury are the ones that make the biggest profits. However, it seems that this is not entirely true, as many businesses that net a high gain are not really what you would describe as glamorous. Let's take a look at five businesses that make their owners rich despite their weird nature.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Gold – “Make Me Feel Good…Tell Me Anything” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

Most technical analysis of gold boils down to “what the charts tell us about gold’s next move”. The next move according to most seers of the trade – is “imminently bullish” and represents one, last chance for investors to save their financial souls.

The problem is that more people have lost more money by ‘investing’ in gold upon the advice of those who proffer it, than will likely ever be made up going forward.”…Kelsey Williams

There are several reasons for that. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Sector Rotation Continues. Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

We’ve been looking at sector rotation quite a bit recently here at BullMarkets. Last week we mentioned that the Dow:Russell ratio (large cap vs. small caps) is about to cross above its 200 day moving average for the first time in a long time.

This means that the Dow is starting to outperform the Russell 2000 for the first time in a long time.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Whose Trillion is it Anyway? US Federal Government Shocker! / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

The headline reads ‘Trump adds a trillion dollars to the national debt in 14 months’. Before you stop reading, give us a minute; this isn’t an article about Trump or politics for that matter. It’s about a process, a series of policies, and an approach that has been in place for decades now, irrespective of political parties. What we are going to give you are facts, not opinions. Those of you who read regularly should know us well enough to understand that we have no use for the ‘lesser of two evils / left-right paradigm’ approach to our Republic. Or what is left of it to be accurate.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Lessons from Lehman's Collapse 10 Years After Failing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Michael_Pento

Global financial services firm Lehman Brother’s stock was in free-fall during the first week of September 2008. After making huge bets in the mortgage securities space, Lehman’s President Dick Fuld feared bankruptcy and frantically sought out a buyer. The company was hopeful to strike a weekend deal with either Barclays PLC or Bank of America.

Nevertheless, Lehman’s outsized investments in the mortgage market ultimately proved them too risky a partner for anyone; and the giant investment bank went belly-up on September 15th.  Prior to this event, Lehman had reported record earnings every year from 2005 to 2007. The Street believed the company to be infallible. Analysts held on to hope until the bitter end. Their mantra went something like this, “nothing to see here, this is a small correction in a small section of the housing market that has little effect on the overall economy.”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Focus on the Stock Market’s Price Action and Ignore the Failed Hindenburg Omen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Our recent quantitative market studies have shown an interesting divergence:

  1. The U.S. stock market’s own price action suggests that the stock market will continue to rally for another year.
  2. Various studies of the stock market’s breadth have been bearish. They’ve pointed to a “bear market” or “big correction” very soon. Some of these have been the Hindenburg Omen.

So which of these 2 market studies is right? Which is more important? Price action or breadth?

As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Venezuela's Retrogressing Socialist Economy, Spotlight on the Failing PDVSA / Economics / Venezuela

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Two hallmarks characterize capitalist economies. Firstly, property is predominately in private hands. Consequently, goods and services are allocated via market mechanisms in which prices provide signals for businesses, workers, and consumers. Secondly, capitalist economies are highly capitalized. Indeed, the stocks of physical and human capital are relatively large in relation to the capitalist economies’ income flows.

On those two counts, Venezuela is retrogressing. With Chavismo, which commenced when Hugo Chavez took power in 1999, Venezuela has beaten a hasty retreat from anything that would qualify as “capitalist.” Today, it is clearly in the throes of a socialist-interventionist system.

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Companies

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

5 Problems All Restaurant Owners Will Face / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: Dylan_Moran

Owning a restaurant is a common dream for millions of people—but it’s also a dangerous one due to the simple fact that owning your own restaurant is complicated, expensive, and incredibly risky. It is a fact that about 80% of restaurants will not last more than 5 years, costing their owners hundreds of thousands—if not millions—of dollars in debt.

 Let’s take a closer look at 5 common problems that all restaurant owners will face in order to give you a more realistic idea of what it takes to own your own restaurant business.
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Commodities

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

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Economics

Monday, September 24, 2018

How the US Dollar Penalizes Emerging Asia / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Dan_Steinbock

Foreign exchange rates in emerging markets have suffered significant damage against US dollar, including Asia’s high-growth economies (India, Indonesia, Philippines). Is the severity of the damage justified?

Internationally, US dollar has been fueled by the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, oil price increases, and the Trump administration’s trade wars.

Domestically, the worst foreign-exchange performers have been emerging economies - including Argentina, Turkey, Brazil, and Russia - that are vulnerable to rate normalization, exposed to Trump tariffs, major energy importers, or whose sovereign interests have conflicted with US geopolitics.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2018

Stock Market Macro/Macro View: Waves and Cycles Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I mainly discussed the coming economic crash and where we are in the cycles.  I also talked about the short term stock market cycles, which I believe have peaked as of Friday or will peak on Monday. In this segment, I will mainly talk about my short term work.

Due to the fact that the waves no longer move up in 5 wave sequences anymore, and the normal cycles are changing rapidly, I have had to augment my wave work with other data including astro-cycles and more technical data. This has forced me to buy other timing experts’ work to meld with my own so I can hone my timing skills better.

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Commodities

Monday, September 24, 2018

Gold and Miners are About to Explode Upward / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After many weeks of pricing pressure as the US Dollar extended a rally delivering nearly unending devaluation pricing in most commodities, Gold is setting up for a big upside rally and is likely to extend beyond $1240 in this initial run higher. We believe the immediate bottom has formed in Gold and we believe the upside move will consist of two unique legs higher. The first leg is likely to run to near $1240~1250 and end near the middle of November 2018. The second leg of this move will likely run to near $1310 and end near May 2019.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2018

DJIA Makes New High  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  Breaking to a new high has only delayed the anticipated correction into mid-October; it has not eliminated its potential.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Politics

Monday, September 24, 2018

Destroy America with Information Warfare / Politics / US Politics

By: BATR

The populace has been misled for decades by the information that comes from the establishment. Most people believe that foreign powers are the primary providers of disinformation. Few are willing to confront the reality that the most destructive culprits are the international monopolists who dominate the global economy. These plutocrats may be part of boards of public companies that are listed in the U.S. but their allegiance is with the globalist model of transnational economic hegemony. This commercial pattern supersedes any nationalistic obligation to accept President Trump's goal of making America great again.  

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Commodities

Monday, September 24, 2018

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2018

The Stock Market Has Been Exceptionally Strong this September. What’s Next for Q4 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

From a seasonality perspective, the U.S. stock market is weakest in September.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Gold / US Dollar Inverse Trend Relationship Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my fourth video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2018

US and Global Stocks, Commodities, Precious Metals and the ‘Anti-USD’ Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

The most recent leg of the US stock market rally and the bounces in global equities, commodities and precious metals are coming as part of an “anti-USD trade”. Certain US stock sectors, most global stock markets, commodities and precious metals were pressured by the USD rally that began in April and now, as the buck eases, a relief valve opens.

All charts below are as of Thursday’s close.

US – S&P 500

The S&P 500 – in essence a collection of sectors that are ‘pro’, ‘anti’ and ‘neutral’ the USD’s status – appears to be on the way to our target of 3000+, based on a conservative measurement of its daily chart pattern. This was the NFTRH alternate scenario after our expected summer drive to test the January top did not prove out a then favored view that the test would fail. As you can see, SPX broke out, dropped to test the breakout and off it goes. We have since been operating to the new favored plan.

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