Friday, October 14, 2016
America's 50-Pound Ball and Chain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
America's economic condition is truly a "tale of two cities." Upper middle class and wealthy earners have never been more flush thanks in large part to the record liquidity creation of the last eight years as well as to their financial market exposure.
By contrast, the middle and lower classes have either stagnated or are struggling as perhaps never before, due in part to their under-exposure to the financial market but also to the erosion of their real estate wealth in the last 10 years.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
Could Nigeria Become Africa’s Offshore China RMB Hub? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Dan_Steinbock
On October 1, the Chinese renminbi officially joins becomes the fifth international reserve currency. Over time, Nigeria stands to benefit from RMB’s rising international role.On October 1, 2016, the Chinese renminbi (RMB) will officially join the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) international reserve assets; that is, the SDR (Special Drawing Rights) basket. From the perspective of the IMF, this is recognition of China’s success in opening up its markets.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
US 2016 Presidential Election: Will US-China Relations Change / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dan_Steinbock
After one of the most degrading races in postwar history, US presidential campaigns are getting still dirtier. But will US-China relations change?As Wikileaks has disclosed information about Hillary Clinton’s email and Benghazi scandals and deep ties with Wall Street, her campaign, with its cozy media relations, is promoting Donald Trump’s obscene tapes and comments on women.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
US T-Bill Rejection At Ports In Progress / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Jim_Willie_CB
World trade has fallen for the second quarter in a row. The decade of stagnation of industrial production in the United States, Japan, and European Union can be blamed on financial engineering, housing bubbles, war, and recently on destructive monetary policy in QE bond purchase program. It is not stimulus, but rather a destroyer of capital. The West contains several nations with heavy industrial emphasis, hardly advanced economies anymore. They risk a fall into the Third World from a generation of outsourcing, asset bubbles, and financial fraud, as soon as the new currency regime is installed as part of the financial RESET.
Friday, October 14, 2016
Our Current Keynesian Nightmare / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Frank_Hollenbeck
It is not an understatement to say that the economic policy of the United States since 2008 has been purely Keynesian. Interest rates are near zero and the national debt stands at nearly $20 trillion. This is a direct result of applying the policy prescription recommended in Keynes’ General Theory. One day, his book will likely sit next to Karl Marx’s Communist Manifesto as works that generated dangerously false notions of reality with disastrous consequences.
Friday, October 14, 2016
These 2 Debt Instruments Pose Peril to Millions of Investors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: EWI
A billionaire says the search for yield is overriding credit judgment
In a world of low and even negative rates, bond investors are so hungry for yield they're willing to accept high levels of risk.
For example, bond investors are increasingly embracing debt instruments known as covenant lite loans, which provide minimal protection should the issuer get into financial trouble.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
US Political and Social Gulf - How Much Wider Can the U.S. Continue to Split? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Harry_Dent
People don’t think I’m being serious when I say that this country could experience a split that makes Brexit look like a tempest in a teacup.
I’m talking about our country splitting in half (perhaps into even smaller segments) and I’m dead serious! While this isn’t a certainty, it’s clearly a possibility you should plan for.
There’s an ever-widening political/social gulf between the right and left. Any middle ground for compromise or agreement shrinks with every passing day. It’s like the Nothing in The Never Ending Story… dissent and social unrest this dark, ominous cloud devouring anything and everything in its path as it closes in on itself.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
China’s Rocketing Housing Market Real Estate Bubble / Housing-Market / China Housing Market
By: Harry_Dent
No question about it. China definitely takes the cake when it comes to bubble creation. The government encouraged everyday people to speculate in stocks in late 2014 and 2015 to help offset the slowdown in its gargantuan real estate bubble. The stock market bubbled 160% in one year and then crashed 50% (and you can be sure there’ll be more losses to come after a year of propping up a market that has merely gone sideways…)Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 14, 2016
DIY Winter Home Maintenance Money Saving 22 Point Checklist to Get Ready for Winter/Fall / Personal_Finance / Home Maintenance
By: Adnaan_Walayat
Now is the time before the temperatures drop to conduct a relatively quick but comprehensive preventative home winter weather proofing survey that than can save on costly repair bills such as damage form blocked drains, gutters, leaking roofs, and burst pipes, claims from which can result in soaring insurance premiums, as well as save on costly excessive energy usage due to drafts, poor insulation and boiler problems.
Thursday, October 13, 2016
Tiptoeing Back into the Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger explains why he sees a "bottom in the cards," and outlines a trading plan to capitalize on the turnaround.
Thursday, October 13, 2016
US Stock Market, Big Picture View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
Because perspective is everything, let’s once again get some big picture perspective…
S&P 500 is outside the lower fork line (again the Fork being a novelty, but the line being real) but above critical support. Bears would call this an overthrow to the upside and massive bull trap. We can call it an intact bull market above support and a very bearish market should that support be lost.
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
Stock Buybacks Main Force Driving Bull Market; Rewards Investors and Starves Innovation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"All the power that we exercise over others depends on the power we exercise over ourselves." ~ Cotvos
Share buybacks are nothing new; they have been around for decades, and in most cases, one would view this type of action under a favourable light. However, for the past few years, companies have used this technique as a ploy to hide stagnating earnings or even falling profits. The idea is very simple, and the rewards are lucrative as most corporate officers have incentive-based rewards. Corporations borrow money for next to nothing and then use this to purchase huge blocks of shares; the number of outstanding shares drops and the EPS magically rises. Each year for the past six years the amount of money allocated towards share buybacks has soared, because as we stated, this is the fastest way to increase EPS without doing a single thing magically.
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
SPX Gapping Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is substantially down, lower than Tuesday’s low at 2128.84. It appears that, should the market open at this level, it may gap down beneath the 2-hour Cycle Bottom at 2125.33. A systemic unwinding may not stop at the September 12 low at 2119.12.
ZeroHedge reports, “Remember when two weeks ago the China Beige Book warned that "It’s A Lot More Negative Than People Think" in the world's second biggest economy? Well after months of complacency about the Chinese economy and financial risks emanating from its $35 trillion financial sector, overnight the world got a rude awakening when China export figures tumbled, signalling a deeper slowdown than many anticipated just as the Fed prepares to raise interest rates.”
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
Syria - Obama Stepped Back From Brink, Will Hillary? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
The American people need to understand what’s going on in Syria. Unfortunately, the major media only publish Washington-friendly propaganda which makes it difficult to separate fact from fiction. The best way to cut through the lies and misinformation, is by using a simple analogy that will help readers to see that Syria is not in the throes of a confusing, sectarian civil war, but the victim of another regime change operation launched by Washington to topple the government of Bashar al Assad.
Thursday, October 13, 2016
The Structure and Future of Gold in the Investment and Monetary World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
This article looks at factors that will affect gold and silver prices as we go forward. We have to say they are considerable and will lead to our conclusion that while the gold price has fallen through support below $1,300 and now stand at $1,250, we see the fundamentals taking the price back higher and much higher over time. Indeed we do see it rising through its all time peak in the next year and beyond. We will also highlight the fact that such a rise will occur in all currencies as they weaken against the gold price.
Thursday, October 13, 2016
Sell Gold Now – Time To Liquidate Gold ETF, Pooled and Digital Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Sell Gold Now – A Note from GoldCore CEO Stephen Flood
It has never been more important to own gold as part of a diversified portfolio. The form your gold investment takes is just as important as owning it in the first place. ETFs and pooled gold may not be functional in extreme markets and may themselves be subject to systemic risk events.
We are living in extraordinary times and key to any investment plan that can weather the coming global financial storm is access to all important – liquidity.
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Tuesday's Decline - New Downtrend Or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Can Trump Still Win Despite Opinion Polls, Bookmakers and Pundits all Saying Hillary has Won? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The message being broadcast across the mainstream media from the serious to the satirical, the likes of the Daily Show or Saturday Night Live is that Donald Trump now has virtually NO chance of winning the US presidential election as his campaign is hit by a barrage of bad news events on a near daily basis from leaked lewd audio tapes to $1 billion loss tax returns with the latest being betrayal from career Republican politicians.
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Gold and Crude Oil - General Stock Market Links / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Without a doubt the most important event of the recent month (or even the recent years) was unexpected OPEC’s decision to limit its production to a range of 32.5-33.0 million barrels per day. The agreement reached in Algiers (which is expected to be implemented this year) improved oil investors’ sentiment and pushed the price of crude oil above the barrier of $50. But is it enough to break above the Jun peak? Is it possible that the relationships between crude oil, gold and the general stock market give us more clues about future crude oil’s moves?
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Major Factors Affecting Foreign Exchange Rates / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Submissions
Daffa Zaky writes: Foreign exchange is a global market where trading of currencies is done all round the clock. The rate at which these currencies are exchanged (Forex rate) is very important. This is because it is used to determine economic status or growth of a particular country in comparison to other countries. The foreign exchange rate is usually monitored and constantly evaluated because it’s a key determining factor for a country’s economic stability. People who send and receive money from abroad have to constantly monitor the exchange rate so as to know the appropriate time to do so.
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