Wednesday, June 23, 2021
AMC Is the Best-Performing Stock in America: Don’t Buy It / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Stephen_McBride
Here we go again. The stock of movie theater chain AMC Entertainment (AMC) just skyrocketed out of nowhere, jumping as much as 127% in one day earlier this month.This would be an extraordinary move for any stock. For AMC, it seems downright crazy. According to CNBC, movie ticket sales in the US fell 80% in 2020. AMC lost $4.6 billion last year, thanks largely to COVID.
But AMC was bleeding cash long before the pandemic. In 2019, it lost $149 million. That’s because AMC’s core business of selling movie tickets is being permanently disrupted by a devastating one-two punch:
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Stock Market Calling the Fed‘s Bluff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 risk-on trading yesterday confirmed that it would have indeed been too early to write off value stocks. Financials, energy sprang higher, accompanied by the as of late usual tech suspect – the heavyweights though merely defended gained ground. Coupled with the credit market perspectives, it was a clear risk-on day as evidenced by the VIX and put/call ratio. The markets have turned on a dime, ignoring the Fed messaging of prior week as shown in the surging CRB index, reversing dollar and Treasuries:
(…) Given the ease with which precious metals and then select commodities such as copper or soybeans tumbled, rate hikes might appear to be baked in the cake now – but in reality, it‘s the unyielding inflation that would prove rather persistent than transitory.
The Fed did the bare minimum, acknowledging inflation in passing, implying it would go away on its own. But it‘s more complicated than that – bank credit creation isn‘t strong, and had been declining before bond yields bottomed in Aug 2020. Are banks reluctant to lend, or customers to borrow? The result of production not ramping up as wildly as expected (reopening trades) is compounding the disturbed supply chains and commodity prices rising (cost-push inflation). Add to that job market pressures, and you have a recipe for inflation being more transitory than originally thought. In other words, cyclical and structural as import-export prices hint at too.
Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Could Bitcoin Price CRASH Target A Bottom Below $7500? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Bitcoin has followed our Excess Phase Peak breakdown pattern almost perfectly. Each phase of any Excess Phase Peak is important to understand as it relates to other asset classes. For example, as an asset, like Bitcoin, begins a Excess Phase breakdown in trend, other assets will likely follow along. The psychological impact of a major decline can often result in traders also expecting breakdown events in various other asset classes.
Before we begin to go into deeper detail regarding this Excess Phase Peak setup in Bitcoin, I suggest taking a minute or two to review our earlier research posts related to this pattern: How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part I November 25, 2020; How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II November 27, 2020; and, Bitcoin Completes Phase #3 Of Excess Phase Top Pattern – What Next May 20, 2021. As this breakdown continues to unfold, we want to warn you that other asset classes (as mentioned above) may follow this trend as trader/investor psychology often impacts future expectations/trends across the globe.
If traders suddenly develop an expectation that the recent price rally in the global markets is at risk of failing, or that the downtrend in Bitcoin may have broader implications across other assets, we may see a bigger rotation in the global markets throughout the rest or 2021 (and beyond).
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Bitcoin and cryptos: Your 'long-term investment'? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
Hi reader,
Bitcoin fell some 12% to start the week, and you may be wondering:
"Is this FINALLY my moment to buy?"
You're not alone. In early June, over 12,000 crypto fans visited Miami to take part in "Bitcoin 2021," the largest Bitcoin event in the world. Although it took place with Bitcoin trading near $30K, half of where it was in April, the enthusiasm for the King of Cryptos was palpable.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Unlocking The Next Stage Of The Hydrogen Boom / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, June 22, 2021
USDT Ponzi Scheme FINAL WARNING To EXIT Before Tether Collapses Crypto Exchange Markets / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Tether, TETHER is a Ponzi Scheme! Backed probably by less than 3% of actual US Dollars that it's fake paper trail suggest its backed up, which has allowed TETHER to print over $62 billion to date and thus provides the vast majority of volume for the worlds crypto exchanges such as Binance who alone has $17 billion USDY sloshing around in their exchange allowing transactions to take place, vested interests in his Ponzi scheme with bot's busy buying and selling USDT to ensure the price does not deviate from $1 supposed pegged value else the game would be up and Tether would collapse towards zero and along with it so would the crypto markets. Therefore it is not a question of IF Tether will collapse but rather WHEN which could be imminent, therefore take this as your FINAL warning to GET OUT of Tether before it is too late!
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Tuesday, June 22, 2021
Stock Market Correction Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into 2021 before major cycles take over and it ends. A move up to ~4500 is possible before the current bull market makes a final top and SPX corrects into its next major cycle low due in 2023.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX Fell short of its base projection and turned down from 4257
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
Tuesday, June 22, 2021
This Green SuperFuel Could Change Everything For the $14 Trillion Shipping Industry / Companies / Energy Resources
By: Submissions
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Monday, June 21, 2021
Virgin Media Fibre Broadband Installation - What to Expect, Quality of Wiring, Service etc. / Personal_Finance / ISP's
By: HGR
Here's what to expect when having Virgin Media Fibre Broadband installed in your home in terms of quality of installation including wiring, cable boxes, and hardware, and wether the system is up and runing as expected from the ciustomers perspective. Find out in our comprehensive review and how we rate Virgin Media's fibre broadband installation service.
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Monday, June 21, 2021
Feel the Inflationary Heartbeat / Economics / Inflation
By: John_Mauldin
Not all inflation is created equal. Peter Boockvar, CIO at Bleakley Advisory Group, has his finger on the economy’s pulse. And for the last year or so, he’s felt an inflationary heartbeat.Peter, who is the author of The Boock Report, in which he flash-analyzes the latest economic data in handy bite-size multiple emails per day, makes an important distinction between goods inflation and services inflation.
At Mauldin Economics' 2021 Strategic Investment Conference in May, Peter explained that they have been behaving differently. Looking at services inflation (ex-energy) within the Consumer Price Index, he showed that it averaged around 2.8% in the 20-year period leading up to the pandemic.
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Monday, June 21, 2021
The Green Superfuel That Could Disrupt Global Energy Markers / Companies / Energy Resources
By: Submissions
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Sunday, June 20, 2021
How Binance SCAMs Crypto Traders with UP DOWN Coins, Futures, Options and Leverage - Don't Get Bogdanoffed! / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
BINANCE the is the ultimate crypto trading and investing platform, loads of pairs, great charts, very low commission fee of 0.1%, easy to deposit without incurring a FEE
Compare this to the coinbase garbage that charges 3.8% just to get cash onto account, and then 0.5% per trade so that is 4.3% for your first crypto trade! Coinbase appears to be designed to extract funds from customers via high commission fees
So what's the problem, why am I then doing this video warning about Binance? Find out why before you get Bogdanoffed!
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Sunday, June 20, 2021
Smart Money Accumulating Physical Silver Ahead Of New Basel III Regulations And Price Explosion To $44 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, Gold and Silver have somewhat stalled after a fairly solid upside price trend in April and May 2021. Looking at the longer-term Weekly Silver chart, we believe Silver is ready to pounce with a big move higher.
The second half of 2021 will welcome BASEL III (likely) and a renewed focus by the US Federal Reserve (and Global Central banks) working to contain inflationary aspects of the recovering global economy while also attempting to support continued growth objectives. I believe precious metals, in particular – Silver, have shown a very unique “Accumulation Phase” over the past 12+ months that may lead to a big upside breakout rally when it breaches the $28.50 level.
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Sunday, June 20, 2021
Rambling Fed Triggers Gold/Silver Correction: Are Investors Being Duped? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
Precious metals markets got absolutely slammed on Thursday. The selling rout followed statements put out by the Federal Reserve suggesting that tapering and rate hikes could come sooner than previously expected.The U.S. Dollar Index spiked on the Fed’s latest talking points, prompting short sellers in the commodity futures markets to pounce.
Copper and most other commodities also got hammered this week.
The interest rate markets, meanwhile, exhibited some unusual divergences. The 30-year Treasury yield fell sharply at the same time as shorter-term bond yields and mortgage rates rose. The effect was a dramatic flattening of the yield curve.
Sunday, June 20, 2021
Gold: The Fed Wreaked Havoc on the Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold declined yesterday, or I should say, it rushed down at breakneck speed. And while it might have been a surprise for some, it wasn’t for me.
However, we should stay alert to any possible changes, as no market moves in a straight line. Tread carefully.
On a side note, while I didn’t check it myself (well, it’s impossible to read every article out there), based on the correspondence I’m receiving, it appears I’ve been the only one of the more popular authors to be actually bearish on gold before the start of this week. Please keep that in mind, along with me saying that yesterday’s decline is just the beginning, even though a short-term correction might start soon. Having that in mind, let’s discuss what the Fed did (and what it didn’t do) in greater detail.
Saturday, June 19, 2021
Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 1 of an extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Saturday, June 19, 2021
Here’s Why Historic US Housing Market Boom Can Continue / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Stephen_McBride
Over the past few weeks, I’ve been getting the same question. And it’s an extremely important one.US housing prices are rising at the fastest pace since 2006. Can this possibly continue? I’ll get the short answer out of the way first—YES. In fact, my research says we’re just getting started. And it all has to do with one key metric.
I’ll explain what that is in a moment, as well as the #1 way to take advantage of it. But first, let’s look at where we are today.
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Saturday, June 19, 2021
Cryptos: What the "Bizarre" World of Non-Fungible Tokens May Be Signaling / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: EWI
The world of cryptos includes something known as non-fungible tokens, which go by the acronym NFTs.
If you're unfamiliar with them, they're a bit bizarre but quite simple. Here's what the April Global Market Perspective, a monthly Elliott Wave International publication which covers 50+ worldwide financial markets, noted:
Investors' manic behavior has expanded to include non-fungible tokens, paying large sums of money for essentially a picture of something.
Getting more detailed, "a non-fungible token is a unique identification code that is affixed to a [digital] asset using blockchain to distinguish it from all other [digital] assets."
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Saturday, June 19, 2021
Hyperinflationary Expectations: Reflections on Cryptocurrency and the Markets / Economics / HyperInflation
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger offers insights from bear markets of the past to illuminate the "business of money." How quickly we forget.
In each of the last five bear markets since the 1970s, I have etched into my neural storage unit memories as strong and clear as if they happened yesterday. Each one of those nasty declines were accompanied with events that marked the tops and bottoms, consistently found in errant behaviors, and whether they originate from greed, fear or desperation, they were memorable.
Some of those events were the irrational decisions of the investment industry, which always increases staff at the tops and reduces staff at major bottoms. It is found in the emotion-charged decisions of clients who would write letters of complaint because I would not them buy shares in the Hot Stock of the Month, usually some dilly named "Underground Airlines" or "Rectal Gas."
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Friday, June 18, 2021
Gold Prices Investors beat Central Banks and Jewelry, as having the most Impact / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Richard_Mills
Gold had a remarkable 2020, gaining 22% for the calendar year on a “perfect storm” of factors, namely:
- Torrid safe haven demand driven by fear of the coronavirus and its economic fallout;
- Record-low sovereign bond yields, with many countries’ bonds actually offering negative returns. There is a strong correlation between the gold price and low yields, particularly the benchmark US 10-year Treasury note yield which plummeted at the start of the pandemic and bumped along under 1% for the rest of the year. Since gold does not offer a yield, it draws money from bonds and other income-yielding assets, when interest rates/ bond yields are low;
- And a low US dollar. There is an inverse relationship between the gold price and the dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY) crashed from 98.36 in March 2020, as investors sought US dollars as a safe haven, to around 90 for the rest of the year, as it became clear to investors that the US economy was in trouble, its government having badly mismanaged the pandemic which led, and still leads, the world in the number of cases and deaths.
However when vaccines were announced near the end of last year and Donald Trump lost the US presidential election to Joe Biden, who promised to take swift action to curb the pandemic, gold starting losing favor.
Attention turned from bad economic news to the impending recovery, with China the poster child, as demand for commodities like copper and iron ore, needed to feed its resurgent manufacturing sector, soared.
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