Saturday, April 01, 2023

Crude Oil: Will "Banking Crisis Send Prices Even Lower"? Ha! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

SVB failed in March. Oil was destined to fall as early as February – here’s why;

The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank have prompted a lot of discussion about the potential of a domino effect. People are wondering "what's next?"

The financial press is linking just about every downward price move in just about every financial market to the woes in the banking sector.

Saturday, April 01, 2023

Top Casino Tech Trends to Look Out for in 2023 and Beyond / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Submissions

The online gambling industry is a fiercely competitive sector, with thousands of internet gambling platforms trying to attract and retain casino players. So, it’s no wonder that online casinos are always keen to adopt new technologies that’ll increase engagement and improve customer experience. Below we’ve listed the top technology trends that are set to transform the future of the online gambling world in 2023 and beyond.

Wednesday, March 29, 2023

Will ChatGPT Kill College? / Personal_Finance / AI

By: Stephen_McBride

A message from a reader… The new ChatGPT just came out… Will it be the nail in the coffin for thousands of colleges across America?

1. At least with healthcare, you get something for your money. College, on the other hand...

A reader wrote me after I called healthcare “America’s most broken industry.”

He said that title should go to our education system.

Wednesday, March 29, 2023

China’s Gold Gambit: Outfoxing America on the World Stage? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: Submissions

By Jon Forrest Little, Unless you live under a rock (and some days I wish I did), all eyes are on which bank will fail next.

We knew this was coming. Decades of Zero Interest Rate Policy, QE, and risky fractional reserve practices have consequences.

Superpowers like Russia and China are eyeing America’s financial vulnerabilities while the Fed, Congress, Treasury, and Wall Street play musical chairs and trip over each other like Keystone cops.

Wednesday, March 29, 2023

How to Breed Budgies for Beginners - (1) Installing a Breeding Box / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: Eliza_Walayat

How to breed budgies for absolute beginners! - I have put all the basic information about #budgie #breeding that you need to keep in mind. �� I mean, I'm not a budgie breeder but I can gladly help with this as I experienced it with my two budgies who raised their #chicks.

Wednesday, March 29, 2023

The last time this happened, Gold Price Soared for 10 years / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2023

By: Submissions

Justin Spittler : 615% gains the last time this was triggered… “This is incredibly bullish”… “Someone big” is loading up… I’m no gold bug, but…

1. Gold is closing in on its all-time highs.

On Monday, gold broke above $2,000 per ounce—the highest it’s been in over a year:

Friday, March 24, 2023

How the Stock Market Reacts to US CPI Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US CPI Data released for October, November, December and January show the CPLIE script of usually a fake out drop ahead or on release followed by strong rally on relief that whatever the data is, it was not quite as bad as it could have been and thus triggers a FOMO rally fed by bears shorting during the preceding decline rushing to cover their shorts, and so are we in for a similar event Tuesday? or is this time going to be more like December, the only time when there was a deviation from the script as it was looking rather obvious by then and hence the market did the opposite, what is obvious right now? Probably a FOIMO rally, so on face value suggests to expect the opposite which is what I have been positioning towards these past weeks.

Friday, March 24, 2023

Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate and "The Everything Bust" / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2023

By: EWI

Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate and "The Everything Bust"
"The pressure on banks will rise"

The phrase "Everything Bust" means a bust in just about every financial risk-asset of which you can think, as well as the economy and, I dare say, the financial system itself.

Indeed, in a section titled "The Everything Bust Is on The Way," the December Global Market Perspective, a monthly Elliott Wave International publication which covers 50-plus financial markets, noted:

Friday, March 24, 2023

U.S. Money Supply Deflates 2% Annually (What That Means) / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

The debt bomb implodes: Expect recession and deflation;

Many pundits have expressed worry about the ramifications of global debt -- and rightly so. As the Wall Street Journal noted toward the end of 2022:

The world has amassed $290 trillion of debt and it's getting more expensive to pay for it.

In the U.S. alone, the cost of servicing the national debt is expected to skyrocket over the next decade (Fox News, Feb. 27):

Friday, March 24, 2023

Do You Have a Bad Credit Score? Here’s What You Need to Know / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

You don’t need a degree in economics to know that rising inflation, which hit 10.7% at the end of 2022, is beginning to squeeze household finances. With credit card debt reaching an average £2,290 per household in November 2022, it’s likely borrowing will increase as households try to manage their increased financial burden.

With the cost of living going up, now is a good time to look at your own personal finances for ways you can improve your financial health.

One particular area to focus on is your credit score. A poor credit score could be having a negative impact on your finances. Here, we look at what causes bad credit and how you can improve your score so that you’re in a good place should you need to borrow money in the future.

Friday, March 24, 2023

Battle Line Drawn: Gold Bulls Look to Push through $2,000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023

By: MoneyMetals

Gold prices surged to test the $2,000/oz level early this week before retreating ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

Fed policymakers opted for another 25 basis-point hike -- disappointing investors who had hoped for a pause in the wake of high-profile bank runs.

Stocks sold off in post-Fed trading on Wednesday afternoon. Precious metals markets, however, managed to record gains for the day.

Fed chairman Jerome Powell signaled that the central bank would likely hike one more time.

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

Stock Market Completes Phase Transition, US Real Estate Stocks - Housing Market Part1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Virtually everyone was open jawed last week as to why the hell are stock prices soaring on BAD EARNINGS reports and yes regardless of how the headless chickens on the cartoon network (CNBC) were reacting in trying to explain the price action they were BAD EARNINGS reports as flagged by the EGF's which had zero impact on stock prices that instead of plunging soared into the stratosphere, why? It's because earnings reports are looking in the rear view mirror at what has already happened which is why one needs to be aware of current EGF and future EGF as well as current P/E relative to the high-low P/E range for each stock as shown in my AI stocks table. Our perception of time is not linear as we flit from the past (memories) into the future (forecasts, hopes and dreams) and back into the present, in a constant state of flux and so it is for all market participants which is the true nature of the markets, everything, everywhere all at once.

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

FOR - Forestar Group - US Housing Market Stocks Analysis / Companies / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US House Prices Current State

My interim view as of early July 2022 based mainly on my stock market, economy and UK housing market analysis at the time (Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Gasp Before Earnings Season, US House Prices 3 Year Probability Range) concluded in an rough expectation for US house prices to target a gain of between 20% and 30% over the next 3 years that would be punctuated by a correction during 2023.

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

MPW - Medical Properties Trust Inc - US Housing Market Stocks Analysis / Companies / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US House Prices Current State

My interim view as of early July 2022 based mainly on my stock market, economy and UK housing market analysis at the time (Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Gasp Before Earnings Season, US House Prices 3 Year Probability Range) concluded in an rough expectation for US house prices to target a gain of between 20% and 30% over the next 3 years that would be punctuated by a correction during 2023.

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

IIPR - Innovative Industrial Properties Inc- US Housing Market Stocks Analysis / Companies / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US House Prices Current State

My interim view as of early July 2022 based mainly on my stock market, economy and UK housing market analysis at the time (Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Gasp Before Earnings Season, US House Prices 3 Year Probability Range) concluded in an rough expectation for US house prices to target a gain of between 20% and 30% over the next 3 years that would be punctuated by a correction during 2023.

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

REDFIN - RDFN - US Housing Market Stocks Analysis / Companies / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US House Prices Current State

My interim view as of early July 2022 based mainly on my stock market, economy and UK housing market analysis at the time (Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Gasp Before Earnings Season, US House Prices 3 Year Probability Range) concluded in an rough expectation for US house prices to target a gain of between 20% and 30% over the next 3 years that would be punctuated by a correction during 2023.

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

XHB - SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF - US Housing Market Stocks Analysis / Companies / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US House Prices Current State

My interim view as of early July 2022 based mainly on my stock market, economy and UK housing market analysis at the time (Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Gasp Before Earnings Season, US House Prices 3 Year Probability Range) concluded in an rough expectation for US house prices to target a gain of between 20% and 30% over the next 3 years that would be punctuated by a correction during 2023.

Thursday, March 16, 2023

DR Horton DHI - US Housing Market Stocks Analysis / Companies / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US House Prices Current State

My interim view as of early July 2022 based mainly on my stock market, economy and UK housing market analysis at the time (Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Gasp Before Earnings Season, US House Prices 3 Year Probability Range) concluded in an rough expectation for US house prices to target a gain of between 20% and 30% over the next 3 years that would be punctuated by a correction during 2023.

Thursday, March 16, 2023

Macro transition; Goldilocks now, Deflation later / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023

By: Gary_Tanashian

Since projecting the Q4-Q1 broad market rally back in November, we have been managing a macro transition within this rally. Based on the leadership of the Semiconductor sector and Tech, it has been dubbed a “Goldilocks” (inflationary pressures not too hot, not too cold) transition, as inflationary pressures ease (the inflation has come and gone, while it’s lagging supply chain and services related effects linger on) and the former inflation trades under-perform.

There is a word for what supply chain and related services are doing and it’s called “gouging” by opportunistic entities squeezing the inflation hysteria for all it is worth. But I digress.

While waiting for the gold stock sector to truly become unique (not quite yet) in the post-bubble environment an honest look at the macro will yield a developing fundamentally positive view for gold mining (details beyond the scope of this article), but also insofar as the macro transition from Goldilocks to deflation has not yet come about, a hell of a lot of quality Tech/Growth stocks beaten down and looking to rally (actually, many have already begun to rally).

Thursday, March 16, 2023

The Shocking Truth About the FDIC and Your Bank Deposits / Personal_Finance / Financial Crisis 2023

By: EWI

Why you can't rely on the FDIC if your bank goes under

Editor's note: The failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank have many observers of the banking system discussing the possibility of contagion. Even so, many depositors feel safe because their deposits are covered up to $250,000 by the F.D.I.C. (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation). However, this feeling of safety may very well be misplaced.

Here are some important insights about the F.D.I.C. and the safety of your bank deposits.