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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Friday, March 25, 2022

Quantum AI Tech Stocks Bear Market Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Quantum AI Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is how I expect things to play out over the next few weeks -

The prime candidates for busting to new lows are - Nvidia, AMAT, Facebook, Tesla, LRCX, ASM, MSFT, MED,

Stocks that could hold their lows are AMD, AVGO, iNTEL, QCOM, TSM but it's 50/50.

Whilst Google and Amazon have settled into trading ranges, i.e. it is a tough ask to expect new lows given their recent powerful rallies on the back of strong earnings.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2022

Is There Any Gold in Virtual Worlds Like Metaverse? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Imagine all the people… living life in the Metaverse. Once we immerse ourselves in the digital sphere, gold may go out of fashion. Or maybe not?

Do you already have your avatar? If not, maybe you should consider creating one, as the Metaverse is coming! What is the Metaverse? It is a digital, three-dimensional world where people are represented by avatars, a network of 3D virtual worlds focused on social connection, the next evolution of the internet, “extended reality,” and the latest buzzword in the marketplace since Facebook changed its name to Meta. If you still have no idea what I’m talking about, you can watch this educational video or just Spielberg’s Ready Player One.
The idea of personalities being uploaded online is an intriguing concept, isn’t it? In this vision, people meet with others, play, and simply hang out in a digital world. Imagine friends turning group chats on Messenger or WhatsApp into group meetups in the Metaverse of family gatherings in virtual homes. Ultimately, people will probably be doing pretty much everything there, except eating, sleeping, and using the restroom.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 25, 2022

The Yield Curve flattener and a Coming Transition / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve

By: Gary_Tanashian

As the Yield Curve flattens, this inflation is different from the 2020 inflation

In 2020 an inflationary yield curve steepener was in the bag as the Fed dropped and pinned the Funds Rate and sucked up every bond it could get its hands on (in order to monetize/print). The bond market made the logical signals about the resulting inflation as the short end was pinned by a combination of Fed policy and the frightened, risk ‘off’ herds clustered in T-Bills and short-term Treasuries, relative to the long end.

Gold and then stocks picked up on it first, followed by commodities, which were tardy but are now the star performer late in the inflation cycle. Hmm…

Side Note: The most buyable looking chart in the lower panels? On this big picture, that would be gold.

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2022

Hot Commodities! Is the 2-year rally nearly Done or Jjust Starting? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

FREE March 28 - April 1.

Hi,

You may already know that the CRB Commodities Index is up 200% since the April 2020 low.

Even if you haven’t been following the broad Index, you've no doubt felt the effects of rising commodity prices in your wallet.

But there is a silver-lining flip side: Over the past 2 years, commodities have also offered massive opportunities. And they're not done.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Friday, March 25, 2022

Crush inflation with These Magic Words / Economics / Inflation

By: Stephen_McBride

Are you feeling the pinch?

Inflation is getting out of hand.

I buy the same items every week at the grocery store… yet my bill has shot up 50% in the last six months.

Gas prices just hit $8/gallon here in Ireland… and the cost of heating a home jumped by roughly $500 this winter.

Today, I’ll show you the best way to crush inflation with your investments.

Hint: You want to buy companies that possess two magic words—more on that in a moment…

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, March 21, 2022

Is the Fed trying to blow another, more covert asset bubble? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The asset bubble that almost ended in Q1 2020 was rescued by two main saviors, 1) unsustainable bearish (no, terrorized) sentiment and even more so, 2) balls out central bank inflation, led by the US Federal Reserve. The resulting bubble leg was in the bag from the moment the dovish Fed made its first headline about asset purchases and rate cuts.

This latest leg of the asset bubble has been under stress in 2022, as the supposed reflection of ‘good’ inflation, the stock market (SPX), has trended down all year. More recently, commodities and precious metals have gotten dinged as well after spiking upward on the Russia/Ukraine war, which exacerbated the Fed’s inflation (as manufactured in Q1-Q2 2020) after the inflationary effects on commodity prices were already exacerbated by pandemic-related supply chain issues.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Companies

Monday, March 21, 2022

How to Cash in on the “Big Supply Shortage” / Companies / Investing 2022

By: Submissions

By Justin Spittler Have you been to the grocery store lately?

If you have, you’ve probably noticed many of the shelves are half-stocked, or empty.

In recent weeks, members of our team have had trouble getting everyday items like nursery water and pet food. According to the Consumer Brands Association, grocery stores usually have around 7–10% of items out of stock. But now it’s about 12% for all products. And 15% when it comes to food and drinks.

Online shopping hasn’t been a much better experience. These days, it can take weeks for a pair of sunglasses or shoes to show up at my doorstep.

But it’s not all bad news. In a minute, I’ll explain why the “Big Shortage” is sending a specific group of stocks higher—and how you can capitalize.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 20, 2022

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are in for a volatile trend with a downwards bias for much of 2022, as I wrote to expect on the 5th of Dec 2021 accompanied by revised trend forecast graph.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


InvestorEducation

Sunday, March 20, 2022

Your Journey to High-Confidence Stock and Commodity Markets Trading Starts Now With Corrective Elliott Wave Patterns / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Soybeans and Apple stock (AAPL): Corrective patterns signaled opportunities in these disparate markets. Your market could be next!

The last 2 years have been a time of immense global adversity with the most challenging human health crisis in over a century.

But it has also been a time of immense personal growth. The uncomfortable realization of our dependence on others for everything from entertainment, education, nourishment, and income came into stark, swift focus. And with it, how quickly those things can be taken away without warning because of that dependence.

In turn, the pandemic saw an insatiable industry of online self-improvement crash courses emerge on home garden horticulture, podcast making, home building, home schooling, and -- learning to trade financial markets to "ensure a steady livelihood despite economic setbacks."

The problem is, learning to trade isn't like learning to plant tubers in your backyard. It's much more complicated and can't be fully conveyed with mock "trials" or simulated positions. At best, many of such courses get people in the door, but not seated at the table of real-world practice and risk-management.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 20, 2022

US Fed Announces Minimum Interest Rate Hike, Spooked by Ukraine War Impact / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: MoneyMetals

Dysfunctional U.S. Mint Runs Out of Silver Blanks Again, Halting Sales of Some Items - Precious metals markets sold off ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting. But after Fed officials announced their rate hike, prices recovered somewhat.

Another market that has gone haywire is nickel. It’s not a metal that typically drives headlines, but prices swung so violently in futures markets that trading had to be halted for the first time in 24 years.

Nickel prices doubled in matter of hours last week. An institutional trader had placed big bets that nickel prices would fall and was forced to cover, or buy back, his short positions. An epic short squeeze ensued, followed by a massive sell-off this week.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Companies

Friday, March 18, 2022

Quantum AI Stocks Buying Levels to Capitalise on the Stock Market Panic of 2022 / Companies / Quantum AI Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

So have you managed to capitalise on the great tech stocks bear market of 2022?

My portfolio and likely similar for many of my patrons has gone from 22.7% invest in late January -

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, March 18, 2022

China Stock Market Selling Pressure Could Be Over, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

THE SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX HAS DROPPED MORE
THAN 40% FROM ITS PEAK IN JUST 2 ½ MONTHS!

China Stocks: This morning bottom pickers around the globe are snatching up what they believe to be “bargain basement priced stocks” as the Hang Seng Index gained 9.1% during today’s March 16, 2022 trading session. It was the best day for the HSI since the 2008 financial crisis as the Chinese government pledged to support markets.

Tensions are running high as Chinese nickel giant Tsingshan Holding Group, the world’s biggest producer of nickel used in stainless steel and electric-vehicle batteries was sitting on $8 billion in trading losses.

According to the Wall Street Journal on March 9, 2022 “The London Metal Exchange suspended the nickel market early last Tuesday, the first time it had paused trading in a metal contract since the collapse of an international tin cartel in 1985. The decision followed a near doubling in prices over a few hours.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, March 18, 2022

Crude Oil Prices Keep Falling. Is It Time to Get Long on Black Gold? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Submissions

Crude oil continues to decline due to lowered demand, and the petrodollar seems threatened, losing interest. What is the best strategy to take now? 

Oil prices kept falling this week, driven by potential progress in Ukraine-Russia talks and a potential slowdown in the Giant Panda’s (China) economic growth due to epidemic lockdowns in some regions where a surge of Omicron was observed.

As I mentioned in my previous article, India considers getting Russian crude oil supplies and other commodities at a reduced price by settling transactions through a rupee/rouble payment system. Meanwhile, we keep getting rumors – notably reported by The Wall Street Journal – that Saudi Arabia and China are also currently discussing pricing some Saudi oil exports directly in yuan. The Chinese are actively seeking to dethrone the dollar as the world’s reserve currency, and this latest development suggests that the petrodollar is now under threat.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Friday, March 18, 2022

Climate Change Crisis and the Coming Global Reset / Politics / Climate Change

By: Richard_Mills

It is 2050. Beyond the emissions reductions registered in 2015, no further efforts were made to control emissions. We are heading for a world that will be more than 3C warmer by 2100.

The first thing that hits you is the air. In many places around the world, the air is hot, heavy and, depending on the day, clogged with particulate pollution. Your eyes often water. Your cough never seems to disappear. You think about some countries in Asia, where, out of consideration, sick people used to wear white masks to protect others from airborne infection. Now you often wear a mask to protect yourself from air pollution. You can no longer simply walk out your front door and breathe fresh air: there might not be any. Instead, before opening doors or windows in the morning, you check your phone to see what the air quality will be.

Melting permafrost releases ancient microbes today’s humans have never been exposed to and have no resistance to. Fewer people work outdoors and even indoors the air can taste slightly acidic, sometimes making you feel nauseated. The last coal furnaces closed 10 years ago, but that hasn’t made much difference in air quality around the world because you are still breathing dangerous exhaust fumes from millions of cars and buses everywhere. Our world is getting hotter. Over the next two decades, projections tell us that temperatures in some areas of the globe will rise even higher, an irreversible development now utterly beyond our control. Oceans, forests, plants, trees and soil had for many years absorbed half the carbon dioxide we spewed out. Now there are few forests left, most of them either logged or consumed by wildfire, and the permafrost is belching greenhouse gases into an already overburdened atmosphere. The increasing heat of the Earth is suffocating us and in five to 10 years, vast swaths of the planet will be increasingly inhospitable to humans. We don’t know how hospitable the arid regions of Australia, South Africa and the western United States will be by 2100. No one knows what the future holds for their children and grandchildren: tipping point after tipping point is being reached, casting doubt on the form of future civilisation. Some say that humans will be cast to the winds again, gathering in small tribes, hunkered down and living on whatever patch of land might sustain them.

‘The Future We Choose: Surviving the Climate Crisis’ by Christiana Figueres and Tom Rivett-Carnac

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Companies

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Is it Time to Buy Travel Stocks? / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: Stephen_McBride


Are you scared?

If so, you’re not alone. Many investors are freaking out right now.

The S&P 500 recently dropped to its lowest levels since September 2020. Many tech stocks have been cut in half over the past few months.

I regularly chat with dozens of investors. From conversations I’ve had in the past week, I sense folks haven’t been this worried since the onset of COVID-19.

But while much of the world panics, I see an opportunity to buy a specific group of stocks—a group that’s still hated after last year’s “fakeout”…

I’ll tell you all about it in a moment. First, let’s rewind the clock…
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Inflation Big Picture / Economics / Inflation

By: Rambus_Chartology

One of the headlines this week was, the biggest rise in inflation since 1982. To put that into context we’ll need to look at some long term charts and what the Chartology looks like back then and today.

Right now everyone is trying to blame inflation on someone, regardless of the facts that I will present to you in the charts below. It is exactly the same thing when a Republican or Democrat is elected president. If a Republican is elected to the White House the Democrats will will say they will ruin the economy and the same thing will be said by the Republicans if a Democrat wins, it never ends.

We are going to hear the same rhetoric over and over again with inflation because most people don’t understand the big cycles that move through the markets that can last many years. We are currently seeing that in the stock markets right now that have been in a secular bull market since the 2009 crash low. Since the 2009 crash low we have had one Democrat president and one Republican as president with a new Democrat president that has been in office less than a year.

Before we look at tonights charts I would like to show you a satirical look at the, HISTORY CHART FOR THE END OF THE WORLD. What this chart shows you are all the events over the last 40 years that felt like the end of the world if you were trading the markets when they happened. Many of you were members during the 2020 crash and got to feel what an end of the world event felt like that all of the other end of the world events felt like  that never worked out for the bears.

If you recall on the day of the presidential election last year I made the BOLD statement that it wouldn’t make any difference who was elected president. By that I meant that the secular bull market that began in 2009 would continue unabated into the future and as you can see it has.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: OMG - It's A Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Avi_Gilburt

This week, I am going to give you a two-for-one in this update. I am going to provide an update to my last TLT article, as well as a quick update to my market perspective.

But, first, I want to provide you some quotes that I have seen over the past week from just within the comment section of my last article:

“Recession fears, and stagflation fears are building”

“it looks like market has unlimited supply of sellers”

“This could be just the beginning of a 2000-2002 period (growth stock "reset"). 2200-3400 is absolutely possible. In fact, 3400 is highly probable.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Bitcoin Jumps 9%: Is This Executive Order the Reason? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: EWI

Here's what our "wave model" suggested for Bitcoin before the rally

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies surged higher on March 9.

CNBC provided this explanation (March 9):

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were higher on [March 9] after President Joe Biden announced his highly anticipated executive order on digital assets that appeared to take a supportive stance toward the industry.

The basic message of the executive order focuses on development of the crypto market as opposed to unrealistic regulations.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Are Rising Oil Prices Sending Stocks into a Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: EWI

See a time when the economy revived as oil prices doubled

A long-held assumption is that "oil shocks" or dramatically rising oil prices are bearish for stocks.

Look at these headlines:

  • Dow slides nearly 800 points as oil hits $120 a barrel (Washington Post, March 7)
  • Why soaring oil prices could soon make the stock market sputter (Marketwatch, October 2021)

As you might imagine, if observers assume that dramatically rising oil prices make the stock market decline, they also believe the reverse, namely, a drop in oil prices makes the stock market climb.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, March 14, 2022

Silver $100 – Nothing Has Changed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Kelsey_Williams

In retrospect, nothing much has changed since I published my original article $100 Silver Has Come And Gone in October 2019.

The price is higher than it was at the time the article was written, and that is certainly positive. However, the net change since then does not alter the fundamental arguments stated in the original article. Let’s review the salient points now.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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