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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, August 02, 2017

What a US Dollar Rebound Means for Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The decline in the US$ index in 2017 has been relentless. From a high of nearly 104 at the end of 2016, the US$ index has steadily declined to as low as 93.00. While this has certainly fueled the strength in precious metals, it has not been able to lift the sector as much as typically expected. That is because Gold’s performance relative to other assets has been weak and much weaker than in 2016. Friday Gold broke above key resistance of $1260/oz but it remains below its 2017 highs as the US$ index tests support amid a very oversold condition and negative sentiment. Simply put, Gold will have to prove itself in real terms if it is going to hold its ground or breakout as the US$ begins a likely bounce.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 02, 2017

GBP/USD - Will Currency Bulls Break above Long-term Resistances? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Although GBP/USD moved higher once again earlier today, currency bulls approached two very important resistances on their way to higher levels. Will they be strong enough to push the exchange rate above them?

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 02, 2017

Bitcoin in Trading Range / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

The BTC-e debacle continues with the U.S. government seizing the exchange’s website. Now, BTC-e has its data center seized by the FBI. On CoinDesk, we read:

(…) in a statement on the Bitcoin Talk forum (that was tweeted out via its official account), representatives for the exchange issued new comments, including a pledge to return users' funds.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, August 02, 2017

Alton Towers Discount Voucher Half Price Entry ANY TIME, No Pre-Booking! / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

It's the summer holidays once more and so once it stops raining many UK families will be off on day trips to the UK's various theme parks, with Alton Towers definitely at the top of the list especially for the 12's and over's.

Whilst there are the usual promotions on the breakfast cereals running, such as Adults go free with a paying child. The only problem with these offers are that according to Alton Towers to be a child you have to be under 12!

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

What Investors Can Learn From the Japanese Art of Kintsukuroi / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– What investors can learn from the Japanese art of Kintsukuroi or Kintsugi – art of repairing broken pottery with gold
– Investors and savers can protect their savings with gold

– Savers and investors are being punished by negative to low interest rates
– Global debt levels, stock bubbles and reduced liquidity will lead to crisis
– Reinforce cracks with gold prior to money pot shatters

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

A Reversal Coming To U.S. Major Stock Indexes? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Technically speaking, this week could be very important for the major U.S. equity markets. There is an appearance of a “TOPPING PATTERN” forming. I am now awaiting confirmation by the actions of the equity markets, this week. Expect downward pressure beginning this month of August of 2017.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Markets Are Virtually Risk-Free / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

For the last year, I have been looking for what we classify as a wave (3) to strike the 2500SPX region. And, now, we are getting quite close.

Meanwhile, this rally has brought out two camps of market expectations at this juncture, both of which I believe are wearing blinders. We read about those who believe the markets basically have no limit to their upside, and are "virtually risk-free," and we read those who have "known" that the market will imminently crash during this entire 40% rally since February 2016.

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Politics

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Can Germany Be Made Great Again? / Politics / Germany

By: Antonius_Aquinas

When Germany Was Great!

Ever since the start of the deliberately conceived “migrant crisis,” orchestrated by NWO elites, the news out of Germany has been, to say the least, horrific.  Right before the eyes of the world, a country is being demographically destroyed through a coercive plan of mass migration.  The intended consequences of this – financial strain, widespread crime and property destruction, the breakdown of German culture – will continue to worsen if things are not turned around.

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Politics

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Trump’s Trade War Will Trigger The Biggest Wave Of Automation in History / Politics / Robotics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : War is coming—the signs are everywhere.

Last week, US and Chinese negotiators met in Washington to cap the 100-day dialogue that Presidents Trump and Xi promised at their April summit.

It didn’t go well.

The joint statement reported no new agreements, and both sides canceled their planned press conferences.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

The Fed’s Monetary Tantrum Will Push The Economy Into Outright Deflation / Interest-Rates / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

It is increasingly evident that the US economy is not taking off like some predicted after the election.

President Trump and the Republicans haven’t passed any of the fiscal stimulus measures we hoped to see. Banks and energy companies have got some regulatory relief, and that helps. But it’s a far cry from the sweeping healthcare reform, tax cuts, and infrastructure spending we were promised.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

NASDAQ Composite Stocks Index Should Pullback Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

The following video/chart shows NASDAQ composite index. The index has a tremendous rally since the lows around 1975 which is pretty close to the zero level. The index has reached the bottom of the blue box at 6219 area. The question then is whether the index will extend higher or start correcting lower as the minimal target has been reached. As we often say, Elliott wave theory by itself is not enough. In this case, we can see that from the zero line, we can count the index as a completed ABC. However, we can also count it as an incomplete ABC with a black((4)) still to happen. In the Elliott wave theory, any five waves structure always at one moment is a three wave move. It is therefore too early at this stage to determine if the rally will develop into a five waves move.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Crude Oil – Gold Link in July / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Friday, crude oil moved higher and hit a July peak supported by a weakening U.S. dollar and bullish Wednesday’s EIA weekly report. As a result, the black gold climbed above the 200-day moving average, but is it enough to trigger a rally above $50?

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

GBPUSD Broke Above Channel Resistance / Currencies / British Pound

By: Franco_Shao

GBPUSD broke above the descending price channel at 1.3100 on its weekly chart, indicating that lengthier correction for the long term downtrend from the July 2014 high of 1.7190 is needed.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

When Fiat Currencies Die - Preparing to Barter and Trade Is NOT a Loony Idea / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

Let’s start with this fact; fiat (paper) currencies die – often spectacularly. That is why precious metals may someday be needed for barter and trade. Anyone who thinks it is silly to worry about such a thing is putting blind faith in Federal Reserve Notes.

The U.S. dollar is having a great run, no question. It will soon be 50 years since Nixon closed the gold window, thereby converting the dollar to a purely fiat currency. Five decades is longer than most purely fiat currencies survive.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Stock Market Bears Are Getting Desperate / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Last weekend, I noted that I expect the market to move up towards the 2487SPX region before we are able to see a market top. And, this past week, we struck a high of 2484.04, and saw a strong reaction to the downside.

While the market has continued higher since February 2016 as I expected, we have all read those articles which suggest the top is going to be seen any day now. And, yes, we have seen them almost daily for the entire 40% rally we have experienced since that time.

Many analysts have been pointing to so many different reasons as to why they believe the market is “wrong.” And many more have pointed to reasons they expected the market to crash imminently, such as terrorist attacks, Brexit, Frexit, Trump election, cessation of QE, interest rate hikes, and many more that we all have read. Yes, most were quite certain that the market would never see its current heights and have fought this rally tooth and nail.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Here’s The Real Reason The Fed Is Making Absurd Monetary Decisions / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

I have often written about the Fed's abysmal track record in managing the economy. Here Lacy Hunt and Van Hoisington of Hoisington Investment Management explain the reasons for the Fed's consistently poor track record.

They start by considering the Fed’s “dual mandate,” which sets “the goals of maximum employment, stable prices and moderate long-term interest rates.” (And yes, that is actually three goals, not two.)

But a problem arises, the authors note, “because considerable time elapses between the implementation of the monetary actions designed to follow the mandate and when the impact of those actions take effect on broader business conditions.”

The time lag can easily be three years or longer, with the result that policy changes often end up being pro-rather than countercyclical. To make matters even worse, “the economic risks from adherence to this dual mandate are now much greater than historically due to the economy’s extreme over-indebtedness, poor demographics and a fragile global economy.”

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Politics

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

The Myths and Realities of Duterte’s Infrastructure Initiative  / Politics / Asian Economies

By: Dan_Steinbock

A huge upgrade of infrastructure is vital for Philippines economic future. That’s why it is contested by entrenched interests, including foreign powers. This is the first in a series of occasional commentaries about the Philippines transformation from an international viewpoint.

In the past year, President Duterte has initiated a series of economic reforms to accelerate economic development. Despite much “political noise,” the government seeks sustained growth around 6.5- 7% in 2017, by banking on multiple initiatives, especially higher infrastructure spending.
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Commodities

Monday, July 31, 2017

Bitcoin, ICO Risk Versus Immutable Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Latest developments show risks in crypto currencies
– Confusion as bitcoin may split tomorrow
– SEC stepped into express concern over ICOs
– ICOs have so far raised $1.2 billion in 2017
– ICOs preying on lack of understanding from investors
– Physical gold not vulnerable to technological risk
– Beauty and safety in simplicity of gold and silver

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 31, 2017

Mixed Expectations As Stocks Trade Along New Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Housing-Market

Monday, July 31, 2017

Buy-to-let Mortgage Interest Rates Still Falling / Housing-Market / Buy to Let

By: MoneyFacts

Despite the increased scrutiny the buy-to-let (BTL) market has been facing, BTL mortgage competition is showing no signs of stopping. Research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the average two-year fixed BTL rate has fallen by 0.31% in one year, and even though the pace of the fall has slowed in recent months, the market has now recovered from the significant drop in products that was seen at the start of this year.

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