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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Monday, January 13, 2020

British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Get Brexit DONE just as Take Back Control before it won the day for the LEAVE camp (Tory party) after they finally managed to pry Remainer Theresa May's fingers from the doors of No 10, planting LEAVER Boris Johnson in her place.

Right from the outset Boris Johnson was perceived by all as being a tough sell to the public and just maybe the Corbyn socialist hard left brigade could pull off another surprise performance just as they had in 2017 that caught everyone by surprise.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 13, 2020

Trumpism Stock Market and the crisis in American social equality / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Christopher_Quigley

I recently read that the richest 100 people in the world own more than the poorest 4 billion.   This article also pointed out that the purchasing power of the average American worker has significantly diminished over the last number of decades. Case in point; in order to simply keep pace with official inflation data, using 1980 as a benchmark year, the average entry level wage in the States should be in the region of 16 dollars an hour not the current $10.00 (approx).  This is not surprising, technology and the diminished power of unionised labour are exposing one of the major weaknesses of liberal capitalism: the concentration of wealth. I believe that unless this issue is resolved, particularly in the United States of America, within the next decade, we possibly could see  the steady demise of all liberal  institutions and a slide towards hard socialism.

The one economist who identified this fatal flaw in orthodox liberal economic theory was Maynard Keynes. He recognised that society was a social organism and unless harmony was maintained the breakdown in the social contract between the haves and haves-nots would sunder everything. He recognised the fragility of it all that was his genius. He identified that the solution to the concentration of wealth was a strong and enlightened government that understood money.  To counter the inevitable concentration of wealth that capitalism promoted Keynes understood the need for the active redistribution of capital. He tried his best all his life to educate the political elite that money should not be regarded as wealth but simply as a medium of exchange. He pointed out that there was no value in a factory churning out product, if folk did not have the money to purchase what was produced. He recognised that consumption was the essence of production, not production per se. He therefore advocated high taxation on those who were rich in order to transfer purchasing opportunity to those who were poor. These transfers he believed should take the form of government supported jobs, subsidized industries, socially supported infrastructural development and welfare for those who were sick, old or infirm. These policies were actually adopted by F. D. Roosevelt through his “New Deal” to successfully end the great depression.

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Commodities

Monday, January 13, 2020

Silver Investors Big Trend Analysis for – Part I / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone seems to be focused on Gold recently and seems to be ignoring the real upside potential in Silver.  With all the global economic issues, military tensions, geopolitical issues, and other items continually pushed into the news cycles, it is easy to understand why traders and investors may be ignoring Silver.

Silver has really not started to move like the other precious metals.  Gold is up over 45% since 2016.  Palladium is up over 350% since 2016.  Silver is up only 29% since 2016.  The Gold to Silver ratio is currently at 86.7 – very near to the highest level on record going back over 25 years.

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Commodities

Monday, January 13, 2020

Gold Explodes, Then Implodes – Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Kelsey_Williams

It shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone, because it has happened before.

Gold’s quick roundtrip from $1540 to $1610 and back again ($1539 earlier today) had its roots in actions and words between the United States and Iran. Prognosticators say there is more to come. Maybe; maybe not. But there is historical precedent for gold’s action.

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Commodities

Monday, January 13, 2020

Craig Hemke Gold & Silver 2020 Prediction, Slams Biased Gold Naysayers / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report. Craig is a well-known name in the metals industry and runs one of the most highly respected websites in our space and provides some of the best analysis you will find anywhere on banking schemes, global macroeconomics, and evidence of manipulation in the gold and silver markets.

Happy New Year to you, Craig. Thanks for coming on and welcome, how are you?

Craig Hemke: Mike, it's always a pleasure. New Year's started off with a bang, man. I hope it's not indicative of how crazy this entire year is going to be. We'll see.

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Companies

Saturday, January 11, 2020

AMAZON Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond / Companies / Amazon

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!

AI has already CHANGED THE WORLD! EXPONENTIALLY! You have an AI super computer right in your pocket for likely less than £1000!

Especially, when one marries AI with other big world changing tech mega-trend "Quantum Computing"! Put the 2 together and we are literally going to see an explosion in SUPER INTELLGENCE that would soon far exceed that of human intelligence, following which it won't be that many years before the AI exceeds the intelligence of the sum of ALL humans! For better or worse, that's the path we are on.

And all those who say AI can be controlled are going to be proven wrong, as new technologies tend to be first sequestered towards military aims. So whilst we focus on the benefits of AI in reality AI is a POWERFUL WEAPON and so the world is in an AI arms race, commercial, economic and military AI arms race.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 11, 2020

Gold Price Reacting to Global Flash Points / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Richard_Mills

Gold’s safe haven status was tested this week, as Iran countered the assassination of its top military commander with missile strikes against two Iraqi bases housing US troops.

On Tuesday night Tehran fired over a dozen missiles at the Al-Asad airbase and Erbil airport, in obvious retaliation against an American drone strike a few days earlier that killed General Qassem Soleimani.

The country’s foreign minister, Javad Sarif, took to Twitter to announce the attack, writing that “Iran took & concluded proportionate measures in self-defense under Article 51 of the UN Charter targeting base from which cowardly armed attack against our citizens & senior officials were launched. We do not see escalation or war, but will defend ourselves against any aggression.” 

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ConsumerWatch

Saturday, January 11, 2020

Land Rover Discovery Sport 2020 - What You Need to Know Before Buying / ConsumerWatch / Land Rover

By: HGR

If your considering buying a Land Rover Discovery Sport in 2020, either New are Approved Used then watch my comprehensive 2 YEAR review of what to expect after having owned and driven a Disco Sport for 2 FULL YEARS!

This is Landrover Discovery Sport HSE BLACK that I bought under Approved Used when the car was 15 months old with 11,000 miles on the clock, so still well under manufacturers warranty, followed by a few months under Land Rovers Approved Used extended warranty.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 11, 2020

Gold Buying Precarious / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold dramatically surged to major new secular highs this past week, fueled by stunning geopolitical news.  The US assassinated Iran’s top general, so Iran fired ballistic missiles at military bases in Iraq used by the US.  That naturally ramped gold bullishness, spawning all kinds of predictions for much-higher prices.  But geopolitically-driven gold spikes never last long, and the gold buying behind this surge is very precarious.

Geopolitics are fascinating, the modern intersection of centuries of history, politics, religion, and military actions.  Growing up, geopolitics were my second passion after the markets.  I read everything I could on that broad topic, both nonfiction and fiction.  Tom Clancy’s masterful novels were my favorites, and I love that whole technothriller genre to this day.  For decades I’ve eagerly followed and devoured geopolitical news.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 11, 2020

The Crazy Stock Market Train to Bull Eternity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Once again I have to disclaim that at the moment (and for quite some time now) I hold not one single short position, in anything. I am only long US and global stocks. But also managing cash and portfolio balance as usual while feeling as though I’m playing a game of Musical Chairs while the music still plays (nothing nearly as good as Keith’s style, which has always resonated with me beyond most others).

I have to disclaim the bull positioning because book talkers tend to talk their book. My book is only long insofar as I have equity positions because in a manic up phase I have little interest in eroding the situation with short hedging. Besides, gold stocks are doing that balancing job right now and that balancing act has been working well since June.

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Commodities

Friday, January 10, 2020

Gold Above $1,600 As Iran Retaliates / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We didn’t have to wait long for Iran’s response. After the missile attack on U.S. bases in Iraq, gold briefly soared above $1,600. What should we expect next?

Iran Retaliates, Gold Rallies

On Tuesday, I wrote that “given that Soleimani was widely seen as the second most powerful figure in Iran, we should expect a response.” And, indeed, it arrived before too long. On Wednesday, just hours after the funeral of the Iranian general, Iran launched a missile attack on two military bases in Iraq housing U.S. troops.

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Commodities

Friday, January 10, 2020

Gold Gann Angle Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: readtheticker

The new year of 2020 has gold is poised to break out higher. Why is gold going higher? Maybe the FED's economists can explain .... or not.

Maybe these could be on the list:

- FED repo hundreds of billions a day.
- ECB made up tools to keep the European banks solvent.
- A sugar high stock market with Apple Inc and Microsoft looking like Bitcoin 2017.
- The US bond market is NOT confirming a strong stock market.
- Corporate profits have flat lined for 3 years while stocks soared each year.
- Knowing an US election year needs stimulus, and a lower US dollar is a first choice.
- China deal, will have a currency element to make it easier to do business. Lower US dollar.

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Commodities

Friday, January 10, 2020

Gold In Rally Mode Suggests Commitment of Traders (COT) Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Many people believe the price of Gold will need to fall to support Institutional short positions.  We don’t believe this is the case.  The Commitment Of Traders (COT) Data suggests Commercial Hedgers have a large and growing shot position that is a very positive sign for a continued rally in Gold and Miners looking forward months from now.

Don’t think about COT data like everyone else with it comes to gold.

Over the past 20+ years, every time the COT Commercial Hedgers position in Gold falls, weakens substantially, or makes new multi-year lows the price of gold rallies.

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Companies

Friday, January 10, 2020

Disney Could Mount Its Biggest Rally in 2020 / Companies / Investing 2020

By: Stephen_McBride

I got to spend lots of time with my one-year-old daughter over the holidays, who is quickly becoming a Disney (DIS) superfan. She dragged me and my wife into the playroom to watch the movie Frozen at least five times.

If you have a daughter or granddaughter, I’m sure you know all about Frozen. The mega-hit raked in $1.2 billion when it hit the big screen in 2013. So it was practically a guarantee Disney would make a sequel. Frozen II hit theaters a few weeks ago and raked in another $1.2 billion.

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Commodities

Friday, January 10, 2020

How on Earth Can Gold Decline During the U.S. – Iran Crisis? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

So, did U.S. and Iran just become best friends?

Gold’s huge reversal and a decline of about $50 in 24 hours might certainly suggest so to those, who choose to follow the news instead of estimating market’s moves using more reliable tools.

Of course, the two countries are not on friendly terms at this time. So, what happened that gold declined so much, so fast? Let’s start with going over what we explained yesterday as gold’s price action confirmed it so well.

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Companies

Friday, January 10, 2020

Getting Your HR Budget in Line / Companies / SME

By: Sumeet_Manhas

...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 09, 2020

The Fed Protects Gamblers at the Expense of the Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Ellen_Brown

Although the repo market is little known to most people, it is a $1-trillion-a-day credit machine, in which not just banks but hedge funds and other “shadow banks” borrow to finance their trades. Under the Federal Reserve Act, the central bank’s lending window is open only to licensed depository banks; but the Fed is now pouring billions of dollars into the repo (repurchase agreements) market, in effect making risk-free loans to speculators at less than 2%.

This does not serve the real economy, in which products, services and jobs are created. However, the Fed is trapped into this speculative monetary expansion to avoid a cascade of defaults of the sort it was facing with the long-term capital management crisis in 1998 and the Lehman crisis in 2008. The repo market is a fragile house of cards waiting for a strong wind to blow it down, propped up by misguided monetary policies that have forced central banks to underwrite its highly risky ventures.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, January 09, 2020

Last Chance to Get Microsoft Windows 10 for FREE! / Personal_Finance / Microsoft

By: HGR

The next 5 days could be your very last chance to grab a copy of Windows 10 Home or Premium for FREE!

All you need is an old computers Windows 7 licence key, then you can either upgrade or do a fresh install of Windows 10 for FREE!

This video takes you though the process from start to finish including several obstacles to over come that you could face. But usually it should not take more than an hour from start to finish.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 09, 2020

The Stock Market is the Opiate of the Masses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Jared_Dillian

Oh sure, the days of watching Jim Cramer mash buttons on his console with his sleeves rolled up to his armpits are pretty much over.

And nobody really day trades anymore, except for masochists. And, despite a 10,000-point rise in the Dow since the election, nobody seems all that happy.

But the stock market is still the opiate of the masses.

I know this because anytime I go on Twitter, the financial pundits are tweeting about stocks. They usually don’t tweet about bonds or commodities or FX. I follow one or two oddballs that tweet about volatility.
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Commodities

Thursday, January 09, 2020

Is The Energy Sector Setting Up Another Great Entry? / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Another wild week for oil traders with missiles flying and huge overnight price swings in crude. As we recently pointed out within our current Oil research article, Oil and the Energy sector may be setting up for another great trade.  We recently commented on how the supply/demand situation for oil has changed over the past 20+ years. 

With US oil production near highs and a shift taking place toward electric and hybrid vehicles, the US and global demand for oil has fallen in recent years.  By our estimates, the two biggest factors keeping oil prices below $75 ppb are the shift by consumers across the globe to move towards more energy-efficient vehicles and the massive new supply capabilities within the US.

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