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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Friday, March 23, 2018

Blaming the Fed for Weaker Greenback US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

Although the Federal Reserve raised interest rates yesterday, the forecast for two more hikes this year (instead of three) disappointed market participants who turned their backs on the U.S. dollar, triggering quite sharp selloff. But did anything really change in the technical picture of the greenback?

Before we analyze our currency pairs, let’s check what changed (and what has not changed) in the short-term picture of the USD Index after yesterday’s news (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 22, 2018

The Tertiary Bubbles Have Blown Up… Can the Fed Manage the Secondary Ones? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Graham_Summers

The big questions being tossed around Wall Street today are: why are markets such a mess? Why are we getting these wild swings?

The reality is that the markets are NOT a mess. These are actually normal healthy markets. Healthy markets move, sometimes a lot in a small span of time.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 22, 2018

Watch This Group Signal Stock Market Trend Changes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

Virtually all stock market forecasting is based on the fallacy of linear extrapolation

Many investors would welcome a "secret insight" about the stock market that someone whispers in their ear.

But you can get "tipped off" on when a financial trend is about to change from a very public source that many investors may overlook.

That source is none other than the U.S. government.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 22, 2018

Gold +1.8%, Silver +2.5% As Fed Increases Rates And Trade War Looms / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Gold gained 1.8% and silver 2.5% to $1,333/oz and $16.60/oz yesterday
– Gold climbs as Fed increases interest rates by 0.25% – now 1.5% to 1.75% range
– Dovish Fed Chair Powell plans fewer than expected rate hikes in 2018

– Markets disappointed at lack of hawkish comments from new Fed Chair 
– Dollar LIBOR rises to highest level since November 2008 – $200 trillion worth of dollar-denominated financial products including mortgages based off LIBOR

– Trade wars look set to escalate and Trump expected to announce tariffs on Chinese imports today

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Commodities

Thursday, March 22, 2018

When Is Three Better for Gold Than Four? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

His hand didn’t shake. Powell hiked interest rates at the first FOMC meeting with him as the Chair. But the key factor for the gold market is what he signaled about the future path of the federal funds rate. The crucial word is “three”, not “four”.

Another Meeting, Another Hike
In line with expectations, the FOMC acknowledged the improved economic outlook and raised interest rates again. The key paragraph of the recent monetary policy statement is as follows:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 22, 2018

Stocks are Gapping Beneath the Trendline Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures appear to be gapping down beneath the trendline at 2700.00. This may be yet another big down day.

ZeroHedge reports, “Yesterday, we showed that according to Wall Street, the biggest tail risk facing investors right now is a "trade war"...

... and that should trade tensions escalate, lower stock prices would be the immediate result (and that managers would sell stocks in advance).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 22, 2018

Fed Action Casts Shadow on Bullish Case for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Fed's interest rate hike drove stocks lower on Wednesday, as investors feared tightening monetary policy could considerably slow future growth. Will stock market indexes continue lower today? Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are very negative, but we may see more volatility. The market is still at a crossroads.

The main U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.3% on Wednesday's following relatively brief rally after the FOMC's Rate Decision release. The S&P 500 index continued to fluctuate within its short-term consolidation. It is currently around 5.2% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.2%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3%.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 22, 2018

A Strong Economy and Weak Stock Market is Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market and economy move in sync over the long run. When the stock market deviates from the economy, it inevitably realigns itself with the economy’s direction within a few months.

The U.S. stock market’s correction in February 2018 was accompanied by a growing economy. This implies that the current “small correction” will not turn into a “significant correction” or bear market. Here’s the study: what happens when…

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 22, 2018

Fed Raises US Interest Rates 25bp – Where Are We In The Stock Market Cycle? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

With the news today from the US Fed and the rate hike, we should all be asking ourselves “where are we in the market cycle” so that we can prepare for and identify proper trades that may set up in our future.  One thing is for sure; we are not in the perpetual easing environment of the past 7+ years.  The Fed indicated they are expecting at least two more rate increases are expected this year and also hinted that a forth may be possible depending on the economic activity.

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Companies

Thursday, March 22, 2018

Why Spotify Will Likely Surge During Its IPO / Companies / IPOs

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

IPO’s are nothing new to the market. At the end of the day, companies go public all the time. Some of them fly out of the gates, some of them fall dramatically, and others stay relatively flat. However, when it comes to spotify in particular, this thing is likely to soar.

Sure, the company is a strong company, and there’s definitely value here. However, that’s not the primary reason that the Spotify stock price is likely to rocket on the launch of the IPO. The big reason has to do with the unique aspects of the shares that will become available when the IPO goes public. Today, we’ll talk about what’s so unique about the shares that will be sold during the Spotify IPO, why this unique aspect will likely lead to a big spike in value right out of the gate, and what to watch for following the IPO launch.

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Local

Thursday, March 22, 2018

SY Police Arrest Woman for Blowing Trumpet at Sheffield Tree Felling Protest / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

Since the thawing of the beast from the east snow, South Yorkshire police who attend each tree felling in numbers of upwards of 35 have increasingly been becoming more aggressive in the arrest of tree protestors, which now includes for just blowing a small plastic children's trumpet, as happened to this lady on Rivelin Valley Road Wednesday.

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Local

Thursday, March 22, 2018

SY Police Arrest Elderly Sheffield Tree Protestor on Rivelin Valley Road / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

Rivelin valley Road, Wednesday 21 March. The treatment by the Police of this elderly Tree Defender illustrates what is happening on Sheffield's streets on a daily basis. Quite outrageous. The gentleman concerned was arrested under suspicion of a minor obstruction (S303 Highways Act 1980) offence.

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Companies

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Facebook: The Anti-Social Network Covert Data Gathering / Companies / Internet

By: Raul_I_Meijer

All of a sudden, politicians in the EU, UK, and USA all want to talk to Mark Zuckerberg. That’s a bad enough sign all by itself. It means they all either have been asleep, complicit, or they’re not very bright. The media tries to convince us the Facebook ‘scandal’ is about Trump, Russia (yawn..) and elections. It’s not. Not even close.

If Zuckerberg ever shows up for any of these meetings with ‘worried’ politicians, he’ll come with a cabal of lawyers in tow, and they’ll put the blame on anyone but Facebook and say the company was tricked by devious parties who didn’t live up to their legal agreements.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Chaos is the Only Way Out of Interest Rates Normalisation / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

The prevailing fiction pervading Wall Street right now is that economic growth is picking up in a sustainable fashion and that interest rates will merely rise slowly. Then, soon level off at historically low levels. In other words, they are selling a fairytale; and a dangerous one at that.

This premise is blatantly false. The Fed’s reverse QE program, Government debt levels and Nominal Gross Domestic Product, all dictate that the 10-year Note Yield should be now swiftly on its way to at least 4.5%, from the artificial level of 1.4% found in July of 2016.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Additional Signs for Gold and Silver Amid Increasing FOMC Tension / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Are you feeling lucky? We all should. Whether you’re short or long gold (or you’re waiting on the sidelines), the additional day of signals is truly a blessing. That is if you know what to look at. The previous days and weeks provided us with multiple signs and yesterday’s price action served as the – likely final – sign before the big price move. Were you listening?

Let’s start today’s analysis with something that we didn’t feature so far this week – the short-term look at the gold stocks to gold ratio (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Credit Concerns In U.S. Growing As LIBOR OIS Surges to 2009 High / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2018

By: GoldCore

Key Metric LIBOR OIS Signals Major Credit Concerns

– Widening of the spread between LIBOR OIS (overnight index swap) rate raises concerns
– Spread jumped to 9 year widest spread, rising to 54.6bps, most since May 2009.
– Libor recently moved to over 2% for first time since 2008
– Wider spread usually associated with heightened credit concerns

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Stock Markets Are Flat-to-lower Before the FOMC / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are trading within a 10.5 point range around the flat line this morning. As I write it remains under mid-Cycle resistance at 2718.90 which proved to be resistance yesterday, as well. Note that the chart contains a double death cross as both Short-term and mid-Cycle resistances are beneath the 52-day Moving Average.

ZeroHedge reports, “Global shares traded in the red, and the dollar slumped before a hike in US interest rates, while awaiting key guidance on how many more to expect for this year. S&P futures were little changed, while markets in Europe and Asia dropped; Japan’s Nikkei was closed for holiday.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Will Powell’s Actions Pop Stock Market Perfection / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Doug_Wakefield

March 21st will be the first FOMC release under Chairman Powell.  3-month Treasury yields have risen 80-basis points since October 1st when the Fed started reducing its balance sheet for the first time since QE 1 launched in 2009. Chairman Powell has stated future hikes are in store for the rest of 2018. Based on these patterns, we should see the 6th rate hike from the Fed since December 2015 on March 21st.

Yet as markets closed on March 20th, US stock indices gave stock investors the view of “still rising, all is calm”. 

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Economics

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Economic Moral Hazards of the International Criminal Court - and Philippines Withdrawal / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Dan_Steinbock

As the Philippines is withdrawing from the International Criminal Court, ICC is blaming the Duterte government. In reality, the withdrawal is still another example of the erosion of the ICC’s credibility, its failure at judicial independence and gross bias against the emerging world.

In February, the ICC said it was investigating allegations that the Philippines president had committed “crimes against humanity” by facilitating extrajudicial killings and other rights abuses in the war against drugs. These charges, which have often relied on flawed data, have been pushed by two Duterte critics. Known for his coup efforts, controversial senator Antonio Trillanes has spent much time in Washington and Europe to gain support, while the obscure Jude Sabio has gained notoriety as a hit man lawyer. What's not known is who funds the two and why leading Western media companies have bought their stories with hardly any source scrutiny.
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Companies

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Brick and Mortar Stores vs. Online Ssellers / Companies / Retail Sector

By: BATR

For consumers who watched the Wal-Mart store spread throughout the countryside saw local small retailers became an endangered species. Now, some may relish the payback with the dominance of online juggernaut Amazon, who has a prime objective of closing down what remains of the brick and mortar stores. Both in the shopping center era and today with the direct delivery to your doorstep, the low cost seller proves to be the winner. What has changed is that government subsidies are fueling the carriage costs.

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