Friday, January 29, 2016
Gold and Silver Price Manipulation: Can It Be Empirically Verified? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Dr Brian Lucey, Dr Jonathan Batten and Dr Maurice Peat have just published some interesting research looking at the thorny issue of whether there is manipulation of gold and silver prices.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
USDJPY: "Diving" For Opportunity / Currencies / Forex Trading
Learn how protective stops keep you on the right side the trend
On a recent vacation to the Yucatan, my friend decided to get certified in scuba diving.
I, on the other hand, prefer breathing my air above water! But I did tag along with her to one of the classes, anyway. She learned how to handle and interpret all the various diver gauges: gas pressure, submersive pressure, depth, and on.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Janet Yellen "Peddling Fiction" on a Worsening Economy... Doesn’t Raise Rates and Downgrades Outlook / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
We have made some very bold claims in the past. Since 2010, to many jears, we said that the Federal Reserve would never raise rates significantly again. Most laughed. They said that surely this crazy, emergency 0% interest rate policy was only temporary. Five long years passed, and even a Fed Chairman later, before finally, after seven years-to-the-day, on December 16th, Janet Yellen took the bold move to raise rates 0.25%.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Economic Headwinds: Big Players, Regime Uncertainty and the Misery Index / Economics / Global Economy
Before we delve into the economic prospects for 2016, let’s take a look at the economies in the Americas, Asia, Europe and the Middle East/Africa to see how they fared in the 2014-15 period. A clear metric for doing this is the misery index. For any country, a misery index score is simply the sum of the unemployment, inflation, and bank lending rates, minus the percentage change in real GDP per capita. A higher misery index score reflects higher levels of “misery.”
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Gloom and Doom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Sharply lower global equity markets since last August reflect years of Fed-led central banks’ money printing madness, running headlong into economic contraction and instability.
China when thriving is a key engine of world economic growth, a depressant when declining. Official numbers conceal how much, at best a small fraction of its earlier annual double-digit increases.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
The Fed Passes the Buck: Blame Oil and China / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
C. Jay Engel writes: There are a handful of themes out there on recent market action that are either totally wrong or otherwise highly misleading. For instance, regarding the recent calamity in the capital markets, one especially apparent dichotomy has presented itself as offering two choices as to what, exactly, is causing the painful turbulence.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Market Technicals Update: Can We Trust This Stock Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock rally of the last few days has investors wondering if the bottom is in.
Unfortunately, it very likely is not.
High Yield bonds have lead stocks to the upside. They are now leading to the downside, and the High Yield bond market indicates we have further to fall. The stock rally looks out of place here.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Deep State: Inside Washington's Shadowy Power Elite - Video / Politics / US Politics
“Our plutocracy, whether the hedge fund managers in Greenwich, Connecticut, or the Internet moguls in Palo Alto, now lives like the British did in colonial India: ruling the place but not of it. If one can afford private security, public safety is of no concern; to the person fortunate enough to own a Gulfstream jet, crumbling bridges cause less apprehension, and viable public transportation doesn’t even compute. With private doctors on call and a chartered plane to get to the Mayo Clinic, why worry about Medicare?”― Mike Lofgren, The Deep State: The Fall of the Constitution and the Rise of a Shadow Government
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Broadening Formation May be in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX ramped this morning from the Premarket and is carrying over into the open. We may be seeing a Broadening formation in motion. If so, the trendline top is near 1920.00 and the mid-Cycle resistance is 1929.79. All of this action is meant to punish both sides as stops are run again in both directions.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
FOMC Dovish: Gold to Go Higher and Stocks to Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The worsening of financial conditions this year led markets to price in rates to remain unchanged at the January FOMC meeting, with many speculating the Fed to deliver a dovish statement. This has now been realised. Language used described that the FOMC recognised that economic activity had slowed and that inflationary pressures and expectations had “decline further”. As a result, it will now take an improvement in financial market conditions for the Fed to hike again at their next meeting, which is in March.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Tech Stocks Investment Opportunities Available Right Now / Companies / Tech Stocks
Whenever talking about dividends, there are sectors that operate a lot better than others. Investors from all around the world adore tech stocks. They manage to get a steady cash flow and there is always the possibility to get a very high payday.The market is filled with so many different opportunities. You can invest in many parts of the tech industry from the healthcare sector to a web and mobile developer. However, a lot of research is necessary to find the greatest investment options. In order to help investors, we should highlight some stock investment opportunities that will be great.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
FOMC Announcement Sends Stock Market Indices South... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today, coming down hard in the morning, back up midday, they backed off until the FOMC, and then spiked right after the news for a few minutes, reversed very sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4218 down to 4112, more than 100 points. The S&P 500 then dropped from 1915 to 1872, a total of 43 points. It was a very nasty slide indeed. They managed to bounce, but really formed nothing more than bear flags, and closed down on the day.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Fed Message.....Global Economy Stinks!!!!... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Fed Yellen made herself known to the world today by saying that she would keep the rates at 0.25 percent, for now, because she wanted to watch how things go globally on the economic front. That's what she said. What she didn't say, but clearly implied, was that the global economic situation is worsening far worse than I had envisioned. I blew it big time, and I don't know what to do. Someone help me as we're toast. She might raise 4 times, but it'll take many, many years for that to happen. She wanted to please the markets a month ago, so she raised a quarter, and said she'll keep raising in the hope the global situation would correct itself. It didn't! It worsened and worsened hard. She's stuck, and she knows it, and doesn't have a clue as to how to right her wrongs. Wrongs she continued after Bernanke blew it, and Greenspan blew it before them. No one worse than Greenspan.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
How The Fed is Suffocating The U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy
Investors are worried over the prospects that the long-term momentum behind the stock market recovery of 2009-2015 may be in danger of complete dissipation this year. That would mean a certain date with an extended bear market and, potentially, an economic recession perhaps sometime later this year.
Normally, within the context of an established bull market, worry would be a good thing given that the bull tends to proceed along a "wall of worry." In view of recent actions undertaken by central banks, however, those worries are legitimate as I'll explain in this commentary.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Watch The Stock Market VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The VIX closed at 22.50 and will be testing an important fan line support today (the support/fan line that the VIX was sitting on at the close yesterday).
Note the sequence of higher highs from December to now ... so the concern would be centered around a possibility that the VIX could rise higher than the previous high. (Since the VIX moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, that would be a negative.)
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Rally is Over. Hope You're Short or in Cash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Today’s action made me glad that I had gone short on Friday. Today’s move was virtually untradeable, since if you had waited for the Wave (v) of [c], you would have done worse than going short last Friday.
The Wave (v) of [c] was truncated, leaving what appears to be a double zigzag Wave 2. Both the truncation and double zigzag in a Wave 2 are rare. The total time elapsed for the retracement was just shy of 37 hours [2(4.3 squared)] and would have been so, had Wave (v) gone above Wave (iii).
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Crash: Is the Dow headed for a Repeat of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. AnonymousWe could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune. Take a look at some of the recent headlines:
Wednesday, January 27, 2016
A Dangerous Moment for Social Security / Politics / Social Issues
By Justin Spittler
Social Security funds are drying up…will there be any money left when you retire?
Social Security is America’s largest federal program. In 2015, it paid out $870 billion to more than 59 million Americans.
Most Americans see Social Security as a retirement savings program. During your working life, you pay 6.2% of every paycheck to Social Security. In return, the government sends you a check every month after you retire.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
The Populist Revolution: Bernie Sanders and Beyond / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
The world is undergoing a populist revival. From the revolt against austerity led by the Syriza Party in Greece and the Podemos Party in Spain, to Jeremy Corbyn’s surprise victory as Labour leader in the UK, to Donald Trump’s ascendancy in the Republican polls, to Bernie Sanders’ surprisingly strong challenge to Hillary Clinton – contenders with their fingers on the popular pulse are surging ahead of their establishment rivals.
Today’s populist revolt mimics an earlier one that reached its peak in the US in the 1890s. Then it was all about challenging Wall Street, reclaiming the government’s power to create money, curing rampant deflation with US Notes (Greenbacks) or silver coins (then considered the money of the people), nationalizing the banks, and establishing a central bank that actually responded to the will of the people.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Sugar Commodity Sweet Holiday Trade Is In Play & In The Money! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
As traders we are always on the hunt for new trade ideas poised and ready for big moves. And back on Dec 17th 2015 I shared a sweet trade idea publicly on my blog and other financial websites.
If you want so see much more detailed charts and analysis from Dec 17th visit my blog page as it paints a clear picture: http://www.thegoldandoilguy.com/a-sweet-trade-setup-for-the-holiday-season-tis-the-season/
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