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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, January 02, 2019

Gold Looking Back, Looking Ahead 2019 – How Low Can Gold Price Go? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Kelsey_Williams

Each year we are treated to calls for gold’s next big move. We heard it last year; and the year before, too. And the year before that. It may not be a broken record , but it is the same song.

Predictions for gold’s price are more than guesses, but they might as well be just guesses. That’s unfortunate, because no small amount of time is spent trying to analyze gold. And it is time wasted. 

The analysis is faulty. Not only is it faulty, it is sometimes overly complex. The complexity exacerbates the problem. How do you analyze something that cannot be analyzed?

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 02, 2019

Gold - Silver Ratio 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the 2nd article in a series of 4 articles that concludes in a trend forecast for the Silver price 2019.

  1. Silver Price Trend Forecast 2018 Review
  2. Gold - Silver Ratio
  3. Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019
  4. Silver Price Trend Forecast Conclusion for 2019

The whole of this analysis has first been made available to Patrons who support my work.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 02, 2019

What Will the Stock Market do in 2019? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

What will the U.S. stock market do in 2019? It depends on who you ask.

  1. Wall Street analysts are generally bullish. The average analysts’ year-end 2019 prediction is 3000 for the S&P. Analysts have a bullish bias.
  2. The media is bearish (again), as they are every year. The media (financial media, social media, bloggers) have a bearish bias because bad news sells. It’s in their interest to sensationalize everything and scare the crap out of you. Scary headlines = more attention & ad revenue.

But as always, here at Bull Markets we try to follow the data and remain as objective as possible. We don’t always get it right, but following the data = a much better success % vs. random guessing.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, January 02, 2019

Weight Loss Secrets 2019 - How to Lose 20lbs of FAT in 3 Months! / Personal_Finance / Health and Fitness

By: HGR

Happy New Year! Now is the time to start preparing for your Spring and Summer holidays by aiming to shed excess fat. Where in this video I illustrate 3 key components / strategies towards achieving a healthy sustainable weight loss, especially as most of the weight loss programmes contain a critical flaw that this strategy aims to solve namely that the objective is NOT to lose weight but rather to lose FAT! Which is the primary reason why most traditional diets fail as they focus on heavily restricted calorie intakes and cardiac, which in my opinion is a recipe for disaster.

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Politics

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

2019 From A Fourth Turning Perspective / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

“An impasse over the federal budget reaches a stalemate. The president and Congress both refuse to back down, triggering a near-total government shutdown. The president declares emergency powers. Congress rescinds his authority. Dollar and bond prices plummet. The president threatens to stop Social Security checks. Congress refuses to raise the debt ceiling. Default looms. Wall Street panics.” – The Fourth Turning – Strauss & Howe

“An impasse over the federal budget reaches a stalemate. The president and Congress both refuse to back down, triggering a near-total government shutdown. The president declares emergency powers. Congress rescinds his authority. Dollar and bond prices plummet. The president threatens to stop Social Security checks. Congress refuses to raise the debt ceiling. Default looms. Wall Street panics.” – The Fourth Turning – Strauss & Howe

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

Warning: A Lehman Event is About to Hit Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Last week’s rally was the result of multiple interventions.

“Someone” took advantage of the extremely light holiday volume to ramp markets higher via indiscriminant buying. The media is trying to portray this action as the result of “investors” or “value seekers” but neither of those groups was involved.

This was a clear and obvious buying program made by “someone” who didn’t want stocks to officially enter a bear market by falling 20%. One of the key “tells” that this was manipulation is that underperformers like banks and homebuilders didn’t lead the rally.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

Fake Markets and Return of the “Plunge Protection Team” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: MoneyMetals

It’s amazing what passes as a market these days.

Stocks rallied during the Christmas week, and the mainstream financial press would like you to believe bargain hunters swooped in after the weeks of heavy selling to grab some deals. The truth is there are very few actual people still evaluating the merits of publicly traded companies.

The markets are driven by programmed trading and central planning. The artificial nature of markets was on full display last week.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

Silver Price Starts A Breakout Move Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Watch Silver, folks. This quiet shiny metal is starting a move that could be very foretelling of global market concerns and risks. Early on December 26, 2018, Silver broke through recent resistance, to the upside, with a relatively large 2.8%+ upside move. Why is this so important to traders? Because Silver is the “sleeper metal” that is typically the last to react to global economic concerns. Once Silver starts to move to the upside with a renewed bullish trend, we believe this move would indicate that bigger players are starting to accumulate Silver as a safe haven for future economic concerns/crisis events.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2018 - Trump and BrExit Chaos Dominate / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Donald Trump and Britain's countdown to BrExit Independence (29th of March 2019) proved to be the weapons of mass financial distraction of 2018 that dominated politics and the financial markets. Both born out of 2016 elections seeking to upset the status quo of an elite that had taken their electorates for granted for decades that culminated in the failure of politicians to hold the banking crime syndicate to account for the financial crisis which ushered in a decade of economic depression for most of the electorate.

In the UK a Remainer Prime Minister has been determined to subvert the will of the British people with most Westminister politicians encouraging calls for a further chaos inducing Second Referendum that the establishment are certain to engineer to deliver a REMAIN outcome as illustrated by the economic collapse propaganda surging out of the Bank of England downwards.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

Stock Market Counter-trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Bullish, but correcting within the long-term bull market trend.

Intermediate trend – A bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 01, 2019

Gold’s Leading Indicators Looking Better / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Although yours truly has yet to completely jump on the bull bandwagon (which has revved up recently), I cannot ignore the positive fundamental and technical developments for precious metals.

On the fundamental side, the market is essentially pricing in no hikes for 2019 and the start of rate cuts in 2020. For Gold, that is a huge improvement from just a few months ago.

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Currencies

Monday, December 31, 2018

The Bitcoin BTC Collapse of 2018, Trend Outlook 2019 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

2018 was the year the bitcoin crypto bubble burst that witnessed the bitcoin price first collapse to a floor of $6000, from which each attempted bounce failed to generate any follow through, and the longer the failure for a breakout higher continued then the greater the probability that the price would eventually break lower, below the $6000 floor. Which is what transpired during November that saw Bitcoin plunge to a new low of $3,100 by Mid December, a far cry from the fantasy of first revisiting $20k and then $50k that a naive 'manipulated' Bitcoin community had pinned their hopes and dreams on whilst immersed in an endless feedback loop of perma bull bitcoin pump mania commentary, that was the mainstay of the internet during 2018, whilst the manipulators were dumping their holdings onto the naive players. Just like what the pump and dumpers have been doing with penny stocks for over 100 years!

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sitenews

Monday, December 31, 2018

Happy New Year 2019 From the Market Oracle / sitenews / Financial Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Market Oracle Wishing a Happy and Prosperous New Year 2019 to all our readers.

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Politics

Monday, December 31, 2018

How to Fund Trumps Border Wall While Saving Lives / Politics / US Politics

By: Steve_H_Hanke

President Trump and Congressional Democrats have decided to enliven the Christmas season with a game of chicken over President Trump’s proposed “border wall.” As a result, the federal government is partly shut down until the issue is resolved.

The President wants $5 billion to start building the wall. Democrats have offered just $1.6 billion. If the problem truly is money and not that the Democrats oppose a wall under any circumstances, there is a place in the federal budget to find all the money the President wants while saving thousands of lives a year in the process.

More than 700,000 Americans are afflicted with kidney failure. Of those, almost 30 percent live with transplant kidneys with the remaining 70 percent on dialysis. Under a 1972 law, the federal government pays for kidney dialysis for every American whose private insurance does not cover treatment. In 2016, the latest year for which data are available, Medicare spent $35.4 billion on patients with kidney failure (read: end stage renal disease).

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Economics

Monday, December 31, 2018

China’s 2019 Economic Growth Outlook / Economics / China Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

As China’s growth seems to be slowing, some observers see the country amid a “severe downturn.” As they mistake China’s secular deceleration with cyclical fluctuations, they miss the rapid increase in Chinese living standards.

Amid the Christmas meltdown, the Dow Jones plunged to less than 22,000, the lowest since September 2017. Thereafter, it soared over 1,000 points; the biggest single-day point gain ever. Nevertheless, it has declined 4,000 points in two months.

It is this historical market volatility associated with the Trump administration that now overshadows world economy and China. In recent weeks, the U.S. economy has become increasingly exposed to policy mistakes and drastic market fluctuations.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 31, 2018

The Stock Market Plunge Protection Team, The Fed & The Investor Costs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Dan_Amerman

The "Plunge Protection Team" is the colloquial name for the Working Group on Financial Markets (WGFM). The Working Group was established by the executive order of President Reagan in 1988, in the aftermath of the stock market plunge of October, 1987.

The group reports to the President, and the official members of the group include the Secretary of the Treasury, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, the chairman of the SEC, and the chairman of the CFTC. In other words, the group members are the four most powerful financial officials in the United States. In practice, the committee can be composed of senior aides and officials that have been designated by those top officials.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 31, 2018

The Stock Market Made a Sharp Reversal Last Week. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market is making an oversold bounce right now, and is stuck at its fibonacci retracement (23.6%). The standard target for a bounce is 38.2% – 50%

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Personal_Finance

Monday, December 31, 2018

Ultimate Guide for ISA Stocks & Shares / Personal_Finance / ISA's

By: Sumeet_Manhas

What are ISA Stocks & Shares?
Individual Savings Accounts (ISA) Stocks and Shares is an investment account that is tax efficient and allows you to invest your money into a wide range of investments including Open-ended investment companies, Investment trusts, unit trusts, corporate and government bonds. It also gives you an option to buy shares of individual companies and put them in your Individual Savings Account.

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Currencies

Monday, December 31, 2018

Crypto Fund / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Sumeet_Manhas

....

 


Commodities

Sunday, December 30, 2018

Cyclical Assets vs. Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

Cyclical Assets vs. Gold

In January of 2018 we noted a cyclical leader (Semiconductor Fab Equipment) in trouble: Semi Canary Still Chirping, But He’s Gonna Croak in 2018.

We also ran a series of articles featuring the happy-go-lucky 3 Amigos (of the macro) in order to gauge a point when larger herds of investors would become aware of cyclical issues facing the global (including the US) economy. Each Amigo (SPX/Gold Ratio, Long-term Treasury yields and a flattening Yield Curve) would ride with the good times but signal an end to those good times when reaching destination (Amigos 1 & 2 got home but #3, the Yield Curve is still out there). Here is the latest Amigos status update from October: SPX/Gold, 30yr Yields & Yield Curve.

Today I would like to stick with a cyclical macro view, but do so through a lens filtered by the ultimate counter-cyclical asset, gold. As market participants, we are lost if we do not have road maps. That is why we (NFTRH) gauged Semi Equipment vs. Semi (and Tech), the unified messages of the macro Amigo indicators and many other breadth and cyclical indicators along the way to safely guide us to Q4 2018, which has been a challenge for many, but business as usual for those of us who were prepared.

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