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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Politics

Thursday, April 07, 2016

The More Corrupt the State, the More Numerous the Laws / Politics / Social Issues

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

Today, I’m going to share one of the most important things I’ve learned traveling around the world: There’s a crucial difference between committing a real crime and breaking the law.

I’ve seen it firsthand in the Middle East as well as many other places.

The difference is huge and few people understand it.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Negative Interest Rates Could Trigger Another Housing Market Bubble / Housing-Market / Global Housing Markets

By: Sol_Palha

"From top to bottom of the ladder, greed is aroused without knowing where to find ultimate foothold. Nothing can calm it, since its goal is far beyond all it can attain. Reality seems valueless by comparison with the dreams of fevered imaginations; reality is therefore abandoned." ~ Emile Durkheim

Sweden is already in the mature stages of experiencing a housing crisis. Take a look at the chart below. Home prices are surging simply because it is cheap to borrow money. The lower the interest payments, the more you can borrow. Hence, individuals throw caution to the wind and start chasing property because they believe prices will continue trending upwards. What they forget is that no market can trend upward forever.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 07, 2016

The Interesting Relationship Between Silver Rallies and Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

It is not well known, that historically silver and interest rates have actually moved together (in the long-term). When interest rates are going up, then silver is going up. When interest rates are going down, silver is going down. In the short-term, interest rates and silver can diverge (like since about 2002 to now); however, this is temporary.

Interest rates have been going down for the last 34 years. Due to this long downward trend, many believe that interest rates will not rise. Unknowingly (due to the correlation between silver and interest rates), they indirectly believe that silver will not rise.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 07, 2016

SPX Challenging 4.3-year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is challenging its 4.3-year trendline at 2055.00 in the Premarket this morning. Should it break through, we may see Intermediate-term support at 2033.81 being challenged next.

ZeroHedge reports, “Two days after stocks slid in a coordinated risk-off session, and one day after a DOE estimate of US oil inventories sent US stocks surging while the failed Allergan-Pfizer deal unleashed torrential hopes of a biotech M&A spree leading to the single best day for the sector in 5 years, sentiment has again shifted, this time due to a violent surge in the Yen as the market keeps testing the resolve of the Japanese central bank to keep its currency weak, and so far finding it to be nonexistent.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Dow Jones Complacency Hits New Heights / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: AnyOption

What a difference two months can make as evidenced by the rapid rebound in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.  A quick look at one of the most commonly quoted American equity benchmarks shows a remarkable rally over the past two months.  However, fundamentally, nothing is different now than two months ago.  In fact, the increasingly hawkish commentary of the Federal Reserve and potential rate hikes in the first and second half of the year could spell the beginning of a new round of asset reallocation as the upside benefits are negated by the potential downside risks.  Chasing after this latest rally higher in equities may not be wise considering the growing risks not only to the economic outlook, but additionally from the revenue recession currently sweeping across publicly traded American companies. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Roadblocks to a Full-Fledged Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

Since bottoming in February, the stock market "tape" has been very constructive. The NYSE advance-decline (A-D) line led the rally off the February lows, which is the first thing we look for when judging the strength of a bottom. Even more importantly, the cumulative NYSE new highs-new lows indicator continues to climb off its bottom of a few weeks ago and is advancing on a daily basis (below). Internal momentum, as reflected in the highs-lows, also remains positive.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Gold Ratio Charts Revisited / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

As the consolidation phase continues to build out from this first impulse move up in the precious metals sector lets review some of the charts we’ve looked at previously that suggested the bear market might be over. Most of these charts will be ratio charts which compare different sectors to one another These rather complex charts can give us some hidden clues that an important reversal may have taken place.

The consolidation process takes its toll on both the bulls and the bears alike. As you know there are never any guarantees of anything when it comes to the markets so it’s always important to try and get the big picture right to get the odds in your favor.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Outstanding Day for Biotech’s, Spectacular Stock Market Day Overall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had a spectacular day today. They opened strong, moved up in waves all day, and closed at the highs for the day going away.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 112.73 at 17,716.05. The S&P 500 was up 21.49 to 2066.66, within a point of its high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 73.03 to 4543.78, within a point of its high as well.

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Companies

Thursday, April 07, 2016

IBB (Biotech ETF) Baby Bull Market / Companies / BioTech

By: Gary_Savage

Here we go again. Remember when I warned traders not to short the baby bull in miners and exhorted them to not lose their position because surprises would come to the upside? Needless to say, many ignored that advice and they cost themselves dearly.

Now we have a second baby bull just getting started in Biotech. It still has a long ways to go. Yet I’m seeing some traders making the same mistakes again.

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Politics

Thursday, April 07, 2016

America’s Ignorant and the Offended / Politics / US Politics

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

 “If you've got a business. you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen.” - Barack Obama

It takes an ignorant person to offend everyone.

America has become the land of the ignorant and the offended. Citizens remain profoundly ignorant of truth and everyone seems to be chronically offended. Maybe if people weren’t so ignorant, they wouldn’t be so offended.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Gold Once Again Proves To Be The Best Defense Strategy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Taki Tsaklanos submits: If you are used to making visits to your bank to make your credit card payments, you may find this no longer an option in the future. Some banks are no longer accepting (or limiting their acceptance) of cash deposits. The war on cash forges on. Paper money, that is indeed more or less worthless, is slowly being taken out of circulation and being replaced by digital currency forms. This shift presents of course the same fundamental problem as paper money itself: “digital money” is also not backed by gold or other precious metals or any asset representing real value. The whole concept of digitizing our transactions is being marketed as a convenience, a hassle-free payment method and a transparent, easy new way to smoothly run our lives and businesses, without the burden of carrying cash around. However, the realistic flip side of this joyful argument is more ominous than we might at first realize: Now, account monitoring or freezing, and confiscations will be easier than ever. And of course, by eliminating cash, central banks are getting rid of the last existing barrier to negative interest rates.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Fed Minutes Not Pretty....Bad News For Financial Stocks.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The fed minutes came out today and they weren't pretty, if you're a believer in the global economic recovery theme. Ms Yellen said the committee felt that there were still strong risks to the global economy, and, thus, the unspoken words were that there won't be any further rate cuts for a while. Financial stocks hated this and moved lower, which temporarily hurt the action in the overall market. Nothing terrible, but that sector took a big hit on the news. When the financial stocks are struggling, it's a lot harder for the market to move up simply because of the heavy weighting in those stocks. If Yellen had hinted anything about a global future recovery, they would have exploded.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Best Cash ISA for 2016-17, 4% Help to Buy and P2P 9% Alternatives? / Personal_Finance / ISA's

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Good news, its a new tax year which means savers can deposit upto £15,240 into a tax free cash ISA savings account. Now for the bad news, the banking syndicate's cash ISA rates continue to be relentlessly ground down towards ZERO, where each new tax year tends to see worsening rates offered and this year is no different, Worse still is that Britains banks tend to further penalise ISA savers by typically paying LESS interest than on the SAME term NON ISA account, which makes a mockery of the large annual ISA allowances of £15,240, which means its near impossible to find a rate even half the 5% that could be secured in the pre-funding for lending scheme days (July 2012).

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Bullard - Fed Reserves the Right to Change U.S. Interest Rate Policy at Any Time / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard spoke with Bloomberg Radio's Kathleen Hays today on Bloomberg Radio & Television. While Bullard said he "didn't want to prejudge" whether the committee could act in April, the St. Louis Fed official said last month's employment report showed "continuing improvement" in the labor market.

Bullard said the Fed reserves the right to change policy at any time: "Not only have we moved at all kinds of different meetings, we've actually had inter-meeting meetings, special meetings, and moved at those meetings. So you can do a lot of things. You know, I'm not saying we're I'm planning on that or anything, but the Committee certainly reserves the right to make a move at any time... We debate at all meetings. I think all meetings are live meetings. There's no other way to think about it."

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Commodities

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Gold Price Testing Key Technical Support – Is There More Downside Ahead? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

The gold price advanced sharply during the first three months of 2016 (+16%), marking its best quarter in 30 years. However, it corrected from a high around $1,287 to $1,200 over the past few weeks. There was a nice bounce yesterday, but gold has once gain dropped today, back below $1,220. With this latest pullback in the gold price, many investors are wondering if the 2016 rally was a false breakout or if the new gold bull market is just getting started.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

The Outlook for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Light crude oil prices (WTI) has remained in a downward trend since mid-2014. With its fresh new low in Q1, 2016 and price resistance now building at $42.40, the outlook remains negative.

The U.S. dollar's impact continues to play out against the commodity.
With the improving economic status of the U.S. coupled with a Fed agenda of gradual interest rate increases this year, the currency remains with a steady tailwind (Chart 1).

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Central Bank Demand & Emerging Market Demand Are, To Me, The Bit Under The Gold Market! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Jordan Eliseo in discussing the value of precious metals as an investment.

Jordan Eliseo is a much sought-after and respected financial commentator and economic analyst with close to 20 years experience in the financial sector. After working for some of the biggest names in the global financial marketplace including Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan and AMP Capital, Jordan has amassed a wealth of experience analyzing investment markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Does the Dow Sport a Triangle Formation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Followers of the Dow see a potential Triangle formation in their analysis.  They suggest that there will be one more decline, possibly to new lows, in a Wave [E] before the Dow rallies to new highs in 2017. 

It is a credible claim, based on Elliott Wave guidelines.  However, the triangle form does not appear in any other major indexes. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

Gerald Celente Speaks Out on Election-Year, Middle East, and European Chaos -- and GOLD! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege to speak with Gerald Celente, published of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is a frequent and highly sought after guest on news programs throughout the world, and has been forecasting some of the biggest and most important trends before they happen for more than 30 years now, and it's a real honor to have him speak to our listeners and readers today.

Mr. Celente, welcome back and thank you for joining us again.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

USD Breaking Down / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

USD made a new low at 94.25 in what may be the last probe lower in wave 3.  There is a strong likelihood of it declining further to its Bearish Pennant minimum low of 93.93.  The USD/JPY pair has sunk below 110.00 for the first time since last October. 

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