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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Saturday, November 10, 2018

In US Elections Both Parties Won. And Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

US mid-term elections are behind us. Surprisingly, both parties won! How is it possible? Let’s read our article and find out! We will also explain what the election results imply for the world and the gold market.

Democrats Win

The elections were very interesting. We provide you with the key takeaways, focusing on the possible implications for the precious metals. First, Democrats took control of the House, the first time in eight years. Their victory will make it harder for Trump to push his agenda forward. Given that investors liked his pro-business stance, the change should upset the Wall Street. It implies weaker greenback, while stronger gold.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 10, 2018

Stock Market Was Supposed to “Crash Like 1987” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

It seems like just yesterday when everybody on CNBC was saying “here’s why the stock market could crash like 1987”.

With that being said, the S&P has made a perfect 61.8% retracement of its current correction. We predicted over the past 2 weeks:

Even if this is the start of a bear market, the S&P will bounce and retrace 50-61.8% of its decline. Bear markets don’t go down in a straight line.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 09, 2018

SPX : The Incredibull Stock Market Plays On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update some of the charts we’ve been following for some of the SPX that had a wild October to say the least. For whatever reasons October has a lot of volatility which can lead to some important lows and in a few cases a crash which is rare. This past October shaped up similar to many of the previous Octobers we’ve seen since the bull market began in 2009.

This weekly chart for the SPX shows all the Octobers since the bull market began in 2009. For the most part if you took a position in October you were generally ahead of the game the following October with a few exceptions. This past October again marked a good spot to take a position in the SPX for a possible intermediate term move.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 09, 2018

US Stocks Roar To Life After Midterm Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team is writing this message to alert all investors and traders of a pending rotation in the US stock market that may happen between now and November 15. The upside price breakout that is occurring on November 7, the day after the US mid-term elections, is an incredible display of global investor sentiment regarding the GOP success in the Senate and the continued business-friendly expectations originating out of Washington DC. The move, today, shows how clearly a global capital market shift is still engaged in the US markets and how much global investors are counting on the US to drive ROI and economic growth going forward.

Yet, we feel it is important to urge investors that our modeling systems are still suggesting an ultimate price bottom should be setting up near November 8~15 and that we could still see a bit of downward price rotation over the next few days before this ultimate price bottom completes.  It might be too easy to get caught up in this move, today, and fail to properly understand the price rotation risks that are still active in the time/price horizon.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 09, 2018

US Mid-terms Post-Election Run Down: Biggest Winner, Biggest Loser / ElectionOracle / US Congressional Elections

By: MoneyMetals

Tuesday's elections produced some winners, some losers, some surprises, and some lingering uncertainties.

For investors, the potential for a major shock to the markets was averted. But with Democrats poised to take control of Congress, new legislative threats to wealth holders loom on the horizon.

Even though the GOP lost the House of Representatives, it gained seats in the Senate – a rare feat during a mid-term election for a party that controls the White House. President Donald Trump hailed the night a “tremendous success.”

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Currencies

Friday, November 09, 2018

USD/CAD – The Moment of Truth Is Coming / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Although the U.S. dollar increased recently against its Canadian counterpart, currency bulls didn’t manage to trigger an upward move above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement for the third time in a row. Will their nearest ally be able to stop the selling pressure once again in the coming days?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 09, 2018

Are We Entering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

I’ve gotten a lot of questions lately about whether I think we are entering into a bear market. The honest answer is I don’t know.
First, looking back in history, there are two types of bear markets:

  1. those that happen in a recession,
  2. and those that don’t.

Bear markets that happen in a recession are often deeper and the recovery is much longer. Those that happen simply because the market had gone “too far, too fast” tend to be “V”-shaped recoveries. Think 1987 or 1998.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 09, 2018

The Risk of Stock Market “Buy-and-Hold” Nobody Is Talking About / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

Investment advisers say we are “investing for the long run” and diversify among low-fee funds in various asset classes and indexes.

Then they trot out studies showing investors will average 8% or whatever in the long run. And those are true statements.

The problem is that most investors don’t have the 40 or 50 years those studies cover. And they have to experience the bear markets along with the bull markets.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Is the Stock Market’s Rally “All Good To Go”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 is just under its 200 dma.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

End in Sight for 'Unloved' Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes the metal's prospects are changing. Silver continues to be a singularly neglected and unloved investment, and has been for years now, but as we will proceed to see, this is not a situation that is likely to continue for much longer.

On its 10-year chart we can see that silver has basically been moving sideways marking out a low base pattern since late 2014–late 2015, following a severe bear market from its 2011 highs. For a while this year it was thought to be marking out a downsloping Head-and-Shoulders bottom, but with the renewed decline from June through late August, it was clear that the pattern had morphed into something else, and on the basis of what we are seeing in other metals, principally copper, gold and platinum, it now looks like it may instead be completing a large Double Bottom pattern, and if this is what it is, then it is very close to the second low of the Double Bottom here, and thus at an excellent point to buy.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Outlook for Gold & Silver Precious Metals Sector is 'Positive' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain, posits technical analyst Clive Maund, who discusses the factors that he sees are behind changes in the market. The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain and skepticism by the vast majority of investors, which is exactly what you want and expect to see at the earliest stages of a major bull market. However, the charts continue to shape up well, as we will now see.

Starting with the long-term 10-year chart for gold, we see that it is approaching completion of a more or less symmetrical complex Head-and-Shoulders bottom, with multiple shoulders. It is now believed to be rising up to complete the final Right Shoulder, that should be followed by a breakout above the resistance at the top of the pattern, which will be a positive technical development of huge significance.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

A Great Day for Metals as Platinum Price Breaks Out / Commodities / Platinum

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund tracks movements in the platinum, gold and silver markets.

It was a very good day for the metals Friday, as they rose sharply in response to the dollar going into reverse after a sizable run-up. A very significant development was that platinum broke out of its Head-and-Shoulders bottom on strong volume, a move which we had expected that marks the start of a bull market. Copper, gold and silver also rose with silver having a particularly strong day, and although copper and silver have yet to break out of their Head-and-Shoulders bottom patterns, the breakout by platinum is a sign that they will follow suit and break out soon. We can see the breakout by platinum out of its fine Head-and-Shoulders bottom on its latest 6-month chart below.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Future US Interest Rates, Financial Markets, and the FED / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Raymond_Matison

Don’t fight the FED, is a long-established, oft-confirmed market proverb. The FED is indeed an incredibly powerful institution; in fact, it is perhaps the most powerful institution on the planet.  It is arguably more powerful than our combined air, sea, and land military forces.  These forces can reduce individual military targets to dust, they can flatten cities or even small countries killing thousands of people, but still it is no competition to the FED!  The FED with its power over interest rates and money creation, its expansion or contraction, its Petrodollar and global trading currency, its open market operations, and its foreign currency exchange markets can destroy the value of foreign currencies, and start revolutions. It can injure or even destroy economies of single countries or even whole regions of the developing world, in turn crippling the lives of tens or even hundreds millions of people.  It can finance wars, determining who will be victorious.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Tale of Two Metals: One WAY More Valuable Than Gold, The Other Historically Undervalued / Commodities / Platinum

By: MoneyMetals

Gold is the metal of kings, the ultimate money, an eternal store of value, an untarnishable embodiment of beauty. Gold is all those things. But it is not the most valuable metal you can own on a cost-per-ounce basis.

Often, platinum commands a higher price than gold. Lately, platinum has traded at an abnormally large discount to the yellow metal.

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ConsumerWatch

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Buying an Approved Used Land Rover From a Dealer - What You Need to Know! / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

Here's the resulting guide from my 10 month long experience of buying an owning an approved used landrover (Discovery Sport), my top tips of what you need to know and do before you buy that hopefully will make your choice to buy or not a much easier and better experience.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Home Equity Release Interest Rates Are on the Rise / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

The equity release market has continued to evolve, not only by allowing customers to release more equity from their homes, but also in terms of providers offering more flexibility, such as the inclusion of drawdown options.

While the equity release market is nowhere near as volatile as the residential mortgage market in terms of interest rate changes, it has not been left unscathed by recent cost increases. The latest analysis by Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that over the last quarter, more than half of the 11 lenders in the lifetime mortgage market have increased interest rates within their range (Aviva, Hodge Lifetime, Just, LV=, Legal & General, Vernon Building Society).

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Arguing About Fed Policy Is A Waste of Time / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

When government (or a President) claims that Federal Reserve policy is hurting the economy, they are either grandstanding, or are ignorant about the function and purpose of the Federal Reserve.

No one wants to see the economy suffer, anymore than they want to see a plague, or infectious disease, affect millions of people. And no President wants to be in office to preside over a recession or depression. But neither can they exercise any power or influence regarding the implementation of Fed policy; particularly when it comes to interest rates.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Is Oil's Freefall Over? Here's a FreePass to Find Out NOW / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

While most traders have been watching the S&P, oil plunged 18% in October. In the process, crude broke below a key long-term trendline. You know what that means: It's an exciting potential opportunity.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

USD’s Weekly Breakout and the Gold Golden Spring / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

USDX’s Friday’s close was its highest weekly closing prices of 2018. This is an extremely significant confirmation of the bullish outlook for the US currency that followed the verification of the breakout above the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The implications are clearly bullish for the US dollar. But are they clearly bearish for gold? The yellow metal ended the week close to its October lows and the SLV ETF closed at the highest level since late August. Is the outlook for the precious metals market really bearish?

Yes, it is. Precious metals’ reaction to the action in the USD could be delayed at times and it's most likely the case also this time. The current times are far from being calm due to the recent volatility on the stock market and because we are just before US elections. Consequently, it’s not that odd to see gold and silver hold up relatively well despite the build-up in the bearish implications from many long-term charts and from the USD Index.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Here’s Why Most People Never Achieve Financial Independence / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest

By: Jared_Dillian

Everyone strives to be financially independent. By “independent,” we mean not dependent on another person or another entity for our financial well-being.

When we are children, we are financially dependent on our parents.

At 16, some teenagers will get jobs and achieve a degree of financial independence. Although that is less and less common.
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