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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Monday, June 27, 2016

Gold Surges 20% In GBP In 2 Days On Brexit Fallout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold has surged over 20% in sterling terms in the last two trading days due to the fallout of the UK’s monumental decision to leave the European Union. Gold has extended the biggest price gains since 2008 as market turmoil  and sharp falls in stocks globally and especially bank stocks led to safe haven demand for bullion coins and bars, especially in the UK and Ireland.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

Stock Market SPX Below Mid-Cycle Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket fell beneath mid-Cycle support/resistance this morning at 2026.59. As I write, it has bounced to retest the resistance. It appears likely that it may hold.

ZeroHedge reports, “US equity futures are tumbling at the open following Cable and USDJPY's dive. Dow futures dropped 100 points (down 900 points from pre-Brexit highs) and broke below Friday's early crash lows...”

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Commodities

Monday, June 27, 2016

Gold-to-Platinum Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The gold-to-silver ratio is the most popular ratio among the precious metals. However, we can also link gold prices to platinum prices. Mathematically, the gold-to-platinum ratio is the price of gold divided by the price of platinum. It describes how many ounces of platinum are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, indicating the relative strength of gold prices compared to platinum prices. The indicator works just as the gold-to-silver ratio, so we will not explain its mechanics, but move straight to analysis of the long-term trends in the ratio. Let’s examine thoroughly the chart below, which presents the number of platinum ounces it took to buy a single ounce of gold since 1975 (we use futures prices, as data series of London fix for platinum is available only from 1990).

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Economics

Monday, June 27, 2016

If We Don’t Do Anything, Obesity Will Bankrupt the US Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK COX: A recent study reported that 40% of American women are now obese; the highest percentage in history. Men have a slightly lower rate of obesity at 35%.

This is not the world that Malthusians like Paul Ehrlich and John Holdren (President Obama’s science advisor) predicted a few decades ago. By now, we were supposed to have run out of resources due to overpopulation and starved to death…

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Commodities

Monday, June 27, 2016

Major Debt and Dow Collapse Will Set Ideal Conditions For Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

The current silver bull market is similar to the bull market of the 70s in many ways. Despite the similarities, silver will ultimately perform much better than during the 70s.

One of the big reasons for this is the fact that debt levels are so much higher today, than during the 70s. Not only are debt levels higher on an absolute basis, but also on a relative basis. For example, Total Us Debt as a Percentage of GDP is about 360%  today, whereas, in the 70s it was around 150%.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

Stock Market: Thirteen Months Down, And Now... Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Steve_Selengut

I prepared this article on the 13th month anniversary of the last S & P 500 all time high... the market has been down for over a year, but MCIM portfolios continue to grow in both working capital and realized base income. Income CEFs continue to rally.

I'm confident, regardless of where "Brexit" takes us in the financial markets, that the scenario Friday, and any continued downturn, will prove to be yet another investment opportunity that we will be able to take advantage of.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

More Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Extend Their Two-Month Long Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Housing-Market

Monday, June 27, 2016

UK Mortgage Cashback Deals in Decline / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Cash rebates were once a great way for providers to stand out in the highly competitive mortgage market. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that these deals have begun to fall from favour, resulting in the number of available deals dropping by a staggering 280 in just one year.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, June 27, 2016

Best Holidays for Summer 2016 / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays

By: ....

....

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, June 27, 2016

Another Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: Brexit has most likely initiated a decline of intermediate nature.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, June 26, 2016

BBC EU Referendum Result Highlights - YouGov, Markets, Bookmakers, Pollsters ALL WRONG! / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here are the key highlights I have picked form 8 hours of BBC coverage of the EU Referendum count that started shortly after 10pm as YouGov's poll effectively gave the referendum to REMAIN on 52% against LEAVE on 48% which even prompted Nigel Farage to effectively concede defeat at around 10.15pm, sending sterling soaring to its highest level against the dollar for 2016, and also triggering a sharp FTSE stock futures rally, which I will cover in-depth in an accompanying video on trading sterling and FTSE during brexit, until then here are the highlights of what happened after the polls closed on Thursday 23rd of June.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Investors Map Post-Brexit Strategies Amid Global Market Upheaval / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Bloomberg

Pulling data and information from around the globe, this is a nice round up story from Bloomberg about how Credit Suisse Group AG, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab & Co, Deutsche Bank AG and others are starting to map post-Brexit strategies around stocks, currencies, bonds, emerging markets, corporate debt.

  • Flummoxed investors seek havens, bargains in uncharted waters
  • History suggests more losses, months before a full recovery
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Commodities

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Gold Price Weekly COT Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

We received a batch of astounding numbers in this weeks’ COT report for not only silver, but also for gold.

Guess what? Hedge funds are at a new all-time high on the long side exposure of gold.

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Politics

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Brexit: Anti-Neoliberal Rebellion / Politics / EU_Referendum

By: Stephen_Lendman

Adam Smith said governments are “instituted for the defense of the rich against the poor.”

Predatory capitalism dominates most societies, wealth unequally distributed, privileged few benefitting at the expense of most others.

Powerful interests use money to make more of it at the expense of beneficial social change. Dominance preserves capital’s divine right. Governments and business partner against the general welfare.
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Politics

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Brexit Contagion? / Politics / European Union

By: Stephen_Lendman

Euroskepticism isn’t confined to Britain. According to a Pew Research (PR) study conducted in April and May, it’s on the rise in other European countries.

“The British are not the only ones with doubts about the European Union,” said PR’s Bruce Stokes. “The EU is again experiencing a sharp dip in public support in a number of its largest member states.”

French and Greek anti-EU sentiment is greater than in Britain. Significant numbers of Germans, Spaniards, Swedes, Dutch citizens, Italians and others across Europe lost faith in a system harming their economic well-being, along with how Brussels is handling the refugee crisis.
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Politics

Sunday, June 26, 2016

European Integration Is Dead, Long Live Monetary Cooperation / Politics / European Union

By: MISES

Carmen Elena Dorobăț writes: The news of Britain’s decision in the EU referendum—and the subsequent resignation of David Cameron—created a wave of confusion and fear on financial markets. The pound sterling dropped to its lowest level since 1985, and the London stock market opened with a FTSE 100 lower by 8.9% compared to the day before. Debates were revived on what sectors of the British and European economy will be affected, what new policies must be designed to protect them, or how long and painful will the Brexit-driven recession be. 

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Politics

Sunday, June 26, 2016

First the UK, then Scotland ... then Texas? / Politics / EU_Referendum

By: MISES

Ryan W. McMaken writes: That didn't take long. Only hours after the final results came in for a British exit from the EU, political leaders in Scotland are talking about renewing their drive to secede from the United Kingdom. 

Pointing to the fact that a large majority of Scots voted to remain in the EU, Scottish advocates for independence are now claiming (convincingly) that Scotland is leaving the EU against its will. 

Many of us who advocated for Scottish secession in 2014 were, of course fine with Scottish secession at the time. And we're still fine with it now. Scotland should be free to say good bye and got its own way. 

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Weekly Nasdaq NDX Chart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Here is a basic chart of Nasdaq-100 ticket symbol NDX showing a few different techniques used.  This shows about 5% of what I use in determining my decisions trading the market. 

First you may notice the down channel trendlines with 2 consolidation periods.  We are currently breaking out of the second one.
Breaking out from a large ascending wedge, and consolidation channel shown on the chart.  Looks very similar to the last one.  Take notice of the violated trendline on the wedge with a backtest in both.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

The Stock Market is Not Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Stocks may move down into an intermediate cycle low over the next 15 trading days. If they do we will again hear the perma bears calling a new bear market. They will be wrong again as they continue to be wrong over and over.

The S&P has tested the 2100 level 9 times. There is no such thing as nonuple top. Heck there’s really no such thing as a triple top. When a resistance zone gets tested this many times it’s a consolidation before a breakout, not a top.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Resumes or Just More Noise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started this volatile week at SPX 2071. After a gap up opening on Monday to SPX 2101 the market pulled back until Wednesday when it hit SPX 2084. Another gap up opening on Thursday carried the market to SPX 2113. Then Brexit was confirmed and markets worldwide plunged on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.6%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.0%. Economic reports were biased negative for the first time in quite a while. On the downtick: new home sales, durable goods, consumer sentiment and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: FHFA housing, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, PCE prices and the Chicago PMI.

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