Monday, August 23, 2021
Stock Market Correction Underway – How much? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into 2021 until major cycles take over, and it ends. A move up to ~4500 is possible before the current bull market makes a final top and SPX corrects into its next major cycle low due in 2023.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX correction underway.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
Monday, August 23, 2021
Can Betting Picks be a Genuine Career Path? / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Submissions
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Sunday, August 22, 2021
Repo, Debt and Bond Markets in Financial Crisis 2.0, Michael "Big Short" Burry CRASH is Coming's Track Record / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 2 of my recent extensive analysis (Part 1) in advance of Financial Crisis 2.0 as a handful of stocks are driving the indices higher, Apple worth $2.3 trillion, Microsoft $2 trillion, Amazon $1.8 trillion, Google 1.8 trillion, Facebook $1 trillion even that over priced pile of poop Tesla came close to being valued at $1 trillion, we are definitely in a bubble, you only need to go onto youtube and watch the to the moon videos of Cathy Wood, literally everything's going to go to the moon because her barely out of puberty Quants decree it to be so. This is clearly a major warning sign of a unsustainable trend when indices are ruled by such a small clique of tech stocks where the greatest similarity is with the dot come bubble in terms of the valuation of stocks that actually produce revenues unlike the largely worthless dot com's of that time.
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Sunday, August 22, 2021
Gold Price and the ‘Taper Tantrum’ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Richard_Mills
Gold prices are slipping as talk of a “taper tantrum” has investors thinking that the US Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program could be scaled back.
Over the last three days spot gold has dropped $18, peak to trough, on news of US jobless claims falling sharply to 348,000, and the US dollar scaling over a nine-month peak. The dollar’s rise makes gold expensive for holders of other currencies and therefore dents demand for the precious metal.
Good job news indicative of a potential taper and interest rate increase was also responsible for a gold take-down on Aug. 9, when the spot price and gold futures both settled around $1,726, the worst since Mid-April.
A few factors have taken the shine off gold, including a strong US economic recovery with lower unemployment and healthy manufacturing data (the IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI has risen from 59 in January to 63.4 in July); a climbing US dollar index (from 89 in January to its current 93.56), and most importantly, persistent rumors that the US Federal Reserve will reduce its current $120 billion per month asset purchases designed to flood the financial system with money for lending out, and follow that up with a rise in interest rates.
Because gold does not offer a yield, any suggestion of raising rates makes it less attractive to investors looking for interest on their investments. And because gold is a hedge against inflation, winding down the Fed’s balance sheet (a tally of asset purchases) also dents gold’s appeal because there is less chance of rising inflation caused by a continuation of “quantitative easing”.
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Sunday, August 22, 2021
Apache Falls Water Splash Ride at Gulliver's Rother Valley Theme Park 2021 / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks
By: N_Walayat
It's Eliza's 7th Birthday soon and as a birthday treat we took her to the recently opened new Theme Park Gulliver's Rother Valley which is situated between Rotherham, Sheffield and Doncaster, so near three major urban areas. Gulliver's theme parks are mainly for under 10's so Eliza's teenage brothers and sisters were a bit bored but Eliza had a lot of fun. Here's what it was like to ride on the Apache Falls water ride, the circular ride that you tend to have at most theme parks such as Legoland, Drayton Manor, Alton Towers etc. Lots of fun and one of the few rides that teenagers will enjoy.
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Sunday, August 22, 2021
Top Three Biggest Mistakes Made By Options Traders / Interest-Rates / Options & Warrants
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I have been trading options and coaching / mentoring new options traders for years. I have seen new traders who were blindly successful and others who were so frustrated on the verge of giving up, I have seen it all. Over the years, I have seen some very common themes among all traders, especially with options. Options trading can be very rewarding but it is not as easy as buying and selling stocks. There are many more factors and variables you must take into consideration when trading options especially if you are swing trading them or holding them for an extended period of time.
There is a certain skill it requires that is a mix of technical, statistical, and fundamental analysis. These are not skills everyone has and you have to master all three if you want to be a really successful trader. I have noticed stock traders tend to have a good amount of fundamental and technical skills but usually lack in the statistical area. This can cause a problem when it comes to their success. While trading stocks, this might be a great formula that works but when switching to options it could be a losing formula. Many traders don’t know where they went wrong.
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Sunday, August 22, 2021
Stocks: What to Make of Wall Street's Sky-High Optimism / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
"I believe that the market moves in whatever direction hurts the most participants"
The U.S. stock market has been in an uptrend since March 2009 -- so, more than 12 years.
To add icing to the cake, there's this notable factoid (CNBC, August 16):
S&P 500 doubles from its pandemic bottom, marking the fastest bull market rally since WWII
So, after such a historic run, one might think that many Wall Street analysts would say that it's time to take at least some chips off the table.
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Sunday, August 22, 2021
Food Tech Startups Aim To Provide Healthy Tailor Made Meals / Companies / Retail Sector
By: Sumeet_Manhas
The majority of consumers in the US and Europe want better information about food they eat, from the quality and origin of ingredients to their environmental impact according to a report from Betway. Companies are now working to increase consumer confidence in the food system by utilizing blockchain to improve transparency throughout the food chain. Its platform allows food companies to track batches and check them in real time as they move through the chain.The food tech industry is expanding rapidly with the emergence and development of verticals such as food and grocery deliveries, personal cooking boxes, on-demand meal delivery, and these verticals are becoming more popular by the day. The combination of product traceability, end-to-customer support and innovative sales models is what makes the technology possible. We believe we can create a new food culture by combining our technology with start-ups to develop new concepts in food technology.
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Saturday, August 21, 2021
The Rise And Fall Of Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
By: Kelsey_Williams
The rise and fall of gold stocks is a story of hurt and disappointment. That is because most of the time gold stocks are in decline.
Below are four charts which depict the sad story. Following each chart I will make some brief comments…
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Saturday, August 21, 2021
Markets Making the Fed Blink / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
Sea of red in stocks, reversed shortly after the open – is the worst behind? Remembering my Tuesday‘s words bringing up again downside risk (these have been growing for quite a few days before already), I don‘t think so – I consider yesterday‘s volatility as likely not to have yet peaked, and the VIX close above 21 could be overcome perhaps as early as Tuesday.
It‘s that the shift in sentiment to risk off is everywhere to be seen – surging dollar, declining yields, value doing way worse than tech, gold outperforming silver, gold holding up very well, copper and oil striving to bottom, inflation expectations approaching the lower end of its recent range, and quite a few more signs including from select currency pairs – pretty consistent with the takeaways from yesterday‘s extensive analysis. If you hadn‘t read this taper navigation game plan already, have a look, as the feedback was very positive:
(…) This is the time to be picky about where to be exposed to risks, which asset classes are likely to ride the taper and growth storms best. I think it would be copper over oil, and gold over silver. The stock market correction appears in its opening stages indeed, and cryptos still chopping around would be a great result. It‘ll take a while for the dollar to roll over to the downside, but look for it to do so over the medium to longer term, and keep an eye on Treasuries – would be great if they confirmed my midpoint economic cycle hypothesis and didn‘t spike. Finally, I expect the Fed to come to its senses as not enough of what‘s left of the free market, would step up to the plate and finance growing „building back better“ deficits. So far, so good.
Saturday, August 21, 2021
Gold Stocks Break to New Yearly Lows! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Ladies and gentlemen, we have a breakdown! Gold stocks underperformed the yellow metal so much that they reached the lowest levels seen this year…
The HUI Index (gold stocks) broke to new 2021 lows while the USD Index broke to new 2021 highs. Just as I’ve been warning you.
Mining stocks’ extreme weakness relative to gold continued yesterday, and while it may seem like the weakness has to have a limit, this limit is likely still quite far from the markets right now.
Let’s take a look at the long-term HUI Index chart for details.
Saturday, August 21, 2021
How Alejandro Betancourt Lopez Transformed Hawkers Sunglasses Into a Market Leader / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Sumeet_Manhas
The co-founders of the Hawkers sunglasses brand had already achieved a significant amount of monetary success during its first three years of operation from 2013 to 2016. However, they realized they would need to seek outside funding to stay ahead of the bills and expand their brand beyond their home country of Spain.The Hawkers team experimented with Kickstarter campaigns in late 2015 and early 2016 with decent success. Seeking approximately $118,000 in United States currency ($100,000 in euros), the team raised almost $225,000 from 9,086 supporters. Alex Moreno, David Moreno, Pablo Sanchez, and Iñaki Soriano, the brothers and friends who originally launched Hawkers, certainly appreciated the support of their backers. They simply realized they would need to go much higher with their funding efforts to meet their business goals.
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Friday, August 20, 2021
Crazy Crypto Exchanges - How to Buy Bitcoin for $42k, Sell for $59k when BTC trading at $47k! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Crazy Crypto Wild Wild West Markets continue to offer unique trading apprentices, literally crazy opportunities such as being able to but Bitcoin for $41k and Sell for $59k whilst the price is trading at $47k! How? Find out in my latest crazy crypto wild wild west exchange trading video.
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Friday, August 20, 2021
I Stumbled Across a Massive Investing Opportunity in a Parking Lot / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Stephen_McBride
By Justin Spittler : One of the #1 ways to improve your investing returns is to simply:
Take notice of your immediate world.
Take the metaverse, for example—the new 3D, immersive internet that’s becoming more popular by the minute. If you have kids or grandkids, there’s a good chance they’re playing in the metaverse as I type. In fact, more than half of American children are taking part in the metaverse!
This is a powerful piece of information. It reminds me of the moneymaking opportunity in video game stocks in the ‘90s.
Friday, August 20, 2021
5 Ways to Spruce Up Your Garden / Personal_Finance / Home Improvements
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Sprucing up your garden and the surrounding area is a great idea if you want to enjoy the outdoor space that you have. It’s also something that’s best approached during the late summer and early autumn months before the leaves start to fall and make a complete mess of it. Striking early is best when sprucing up your garden. Here are five ways to do so.
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Friday, August 20, 2021
Cardano, Pokadot and Chainlink Technical Buying Levels - My Crypto Market Investing Strategy for 2021 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
1. BTC & ETH - My primary focus will be on building positions in BTC and ETH that will target approx 80% of my crypto portfolio, the balance spread between a number of Alt Coins such as Cardano and Pokadot.
2. Hold BUSD and USDC - In advance of buying crypto's I am funding my accounts (mainly Binance) with approx 50% of my target position size to as to capitalise on a high GBP exchange rate, converting into BUSD and USD whilst also correcting my initial error of holding USDT.
3. Place limit orders on approx half of the funds on account across the target crypto's in relatively nearby levels compared to the more distant levels i.e. BTC $21,500 and ETH $1400. Whilst my initial limit orders are far distant from the actual crypto prices as I am anticipating a decline in prices. However over time my orders will gravitate towards being nearer to the actual spot price i.e. over the next 6 months and where I could even be buy crypto at spot rather than with limit orders depending on what transpires over the remainder of this year due to various dynamics such as the Ravencoin halving due in Jan 2022 etc in advance of which I want to have a significant holding of raven coins.
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Friday, August 20, 2021
Why Silver’s Breakout Into a Major New Upleg Is Likely Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes the metal is in the “perfect” buy spot.
Silver is now regarded as the best value hard asset around, and it really doesn’t matter in the long-term whether J. P. Morgan and the other banks try to suppress the price or not. Like gold, it has intrinsic value and, in the situation of high inflation that we are moving into and that has already started, when most asset prices are surging it is illogical to think that silver won’t do likewise.
If they insist on trying to sit on it, all that will happen is that the physical market will break completely from the paper market and they will be increasingly perceived as absurd. We should therefore take advantage of its current relatively very low price to accumulate silver investments across the board.
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Friday, August 20, 2021
S&P 500 Back Below 4,400. Dip to Buy or a New Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks sold off yesterday as the fear of Fed tapering grew. Monday’s run-up was definitely a bull trap, and our short position is profitable now.
The S&P 500 index lost 1.1% on Wednesday and the futures contract continued selling off overnight. The index will most likely break below its late July consolidation and the support level of 4,370 this morning. However, it may get near a short-term bottom, as it gets closer to the 4,350 level. It’s the nearest important support level, marked by the three-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):
Thursday, August 19, 2021
Ravencoin (RVN) Buying Levels - My Crypto Market Investing Strategy for 2021 / Currencies / Currency War
By: Nadeem_Walayat
1. BTC & ETH - My primary focus will be on building positions in BTC and ETH that will target approx 80% of my crypto portfolio, the balance spread between a number of Alt Coins such as Cardano and Pokadot.
2. Hold BUSD and USDC - In advance of buying crypto's I am funding my accounts (mainly Binance) with approx 50% of my target position size to as to capitalise on a high GBP exchange rate, converting into BUSD and USD whilst also correcting my initial error of holding USDT.
3. Place limit orders on approx half of the funds on account across the target crypto's in relatively nearby levels compared to the more distant levels i.e. BTC $21,500 and ETH $1400. Whilst my initial limit orders are far distant from the actual crypto prices as I am anticipating a decline in prices. However over time my orders will gravitate towards being nearer to the actual spot price i.e. over the next 6 months and where I could even be buy crypto at spot rather than with limit orders depending on what transpires over the remainder of this year due to various dynamics such as the Ravencoin halving due in Jan 2022 etc in advance of which I want to have a significant holding of raven coins.
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Thursday, August 19, 2021
Gold Rallies on Softening Inflation. What’s Going On? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Inflation softened slightly in July and gold prices rose, but the bullish joy may be premature. How should we respond?Inflation eased a bit in July, but it remained disturbingly high. According to the latest BLS report on inflation, the CPI increased 0.5% in July after rising 0.9% in June. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also softened, as it rose 0.3% in July after increasing 0.9% in June. The deceleration was mainly caused by a much smaller advance in the index for used cars, which increased only 0.2% (it was 10.5% in June).
However, on an annual basis, inflation practically stayed unchanged since June, as the chart below shows. The overall index surged 5.4% for the second month in a row (on a seasonally unadjusted basis), while the core CPI soared 4.3%, following a 4.5% jump in the previous month.
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