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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

The Consumption Bust / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Fred_Sheehan

There is no end to the indicators showing the consumer is up against it. Negative home-equity, incomes, layoffs, food inflation - oh, this is tale of woe. And so, the plaintive cry: "Is this the bottom?" That seems doubtful, actually impossible, given the math.

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Economics

Tuesday, June 07, 2011

Our Economic Future, Best to Worst Case / Economics / Global Economy

By: Casey_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDoug Casey, Casey Research writes: There is a great deal of uncertainty among investors about what the future of the U.S. economy may look like – so I decided to take a stab at what’s likely to happen over the next 20 years. That's enough time for a child to grow up and mature, and it's long enough for major trends to develop and make themselves felt.

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Economics

Sunday, June 05, 2011

Policymakers Have Made Another Economic Depression Unavoidable / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEquities markets have been battered all week by bad economic data sending investors piling into "risk free" Treasuries. The Dow Jones slipped 276 points on Wednesday followed by a 41 point loss on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year Treasury has ducked below 3 percent repeatedly signally a slowdown that could lead to another recession.

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Economics

Sunday, June 05, 2011

Towards a Worldwide Inflationary Depression, Collapse of the Anglo-American Empire / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to our calculations we have been in an inflationary depression since February of 2009. Everyone looks back on the deflationary depression of the 1930s as a benchmark or a reference. As far as we are concerned the 1930’s depression only ended when the powers behind government arranged another war. Few talk about the recession of the early 1920s, which only lasted two years and was caused by the newly formed Fed, which financed US participation in World War I. They raised interest rates, which enticed citizens to save, which provided money for loans for research and expansion. The Fed, other than raising rates, stayed neutral, as did the Treasury. The result was the recession ended quickly. A bad story with a happy ending, which contributed to the roaring 20s, which the Fed eventually turned into a depression via their interference.

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Economics

Saturday, June 04, 2011

Economic Whiplash, Eurozone Debt Crisis Intolerable Choices, U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Worse Than Headlines / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDo you feel as if you are suffering from some sort of economic whiplash? Between focusing on the European crisis (and it is a crisis), then looking at softening data in the US and political turmoil in Japan, not to mention the Middle East, you can be forgiven for feeling like someone just slammed into the back of your "economic recovery car." This week we look at today's US employment numbers, then at a troubling slowing of economic velocity, precisely at a time when it should be rising, and then consider a powerhouse, must-be-read-twice commentary from Martin Wolf on the European situation. Then I will weigh in with some of my own thoughts. Counterintuitively, the holders of certain European debt are being put at further risk by the bailout. (This letter may be a little shorter and take more work than others -which some of you think will improve it - as I am suffering from Caesar's Revenge here in Tuscany, although I am getting better!)

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Economics

Saturday, June 04, 2011

Railway Revolution Builds China’s Consumer Culture / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrequent readers of my “Frank Talk” blog and the weekly Investor Alert should be familiar with the story of China’s high speed rails. We’ve previously discussed how China is building the world’s largest network of high speed rails at an incredible speed.

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Economics

Saturday, June 04, 2011

U.S. Employment Situation Deteriorates as Hiring Slows and Unemployment Rate Rises to 9.1% / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate:  9.1% in May vs. 9.0% in April. Cycle high for recession is 10.1% in October 2009. 

Payroll Employment: +54,000 in May vs. +232,000 in April. Private sector jobs increased 83,000 after a gain of 251,000 in April.

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Economics

Friday, June 03, 2011

Fed Economic Stimulus Leads to Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: John_Browne

Despite the full onslaught of Keynesian economic policies, including the injection of unheard of sums of printed money into the financial system, state sanctioned accounting tricks, negative real interest rates, massive deficit spending, and debasement of the U.S. dollar, the American economy is slipping back fast towards recession. This week's release of dismal employment figures, in which the entire economy could only muster 54,000 new jobs, confirms that fact.

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Economics

Friday, June 03, 2011

U.S. Unemployment Now at Great Depression Levels, Jobs Destruction is Permanent / Economics / Unemployment

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnemployment During the Great Depression Has Been Overstated and Current Unemployment Understated (We've Now Got Depression-Level Unemployment)

The commonly-accepted unemployment figures for the Great Depression are overstated.

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Economics

Friday, June 03, 2011

U.S. Labor Market Elevated Level of Initial Jobless Claims is Worrisome / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims fell 6,000 to 422,000 during the week ended May 28.  The underlying trend of initial jobless claims in the last two months has changed.  The number of initial jobless claims has risen to 426,000 during May from 423,000 in April after an extended period of a decelerating trend (see Chart 2).  These numbers suggest that labor market conditions remain worrisome.  The reversal of initial jobless claims is consistent with the slowing trend visible in other recent economic reports. 

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Economics

Friday, June 03, 2011

Inflation Expectations Reflect Slowing U.S. Economic Conditions / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Latest economic data (ISM manufacturing survey results for May, auto sales of May, factory production of April, consumer spending of April) underscore the shift in business momentum to a slower pace during the past two months.  Consistent with this change, inflation expectations have declined. 

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Africa Riding the Red Dragon / Economics / Africa

By: Richard_Mills

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"When I entered the business world, three-fourths of the world was closed - China, Russia, Vietnam, India, most of Africa... In 2010, the entire world is wide open, the developing world is growing twice as fast as the developed world and there's still arguably several billion people out there that will modernize and progress." - Caterpillar's CEO Doug Oberhelman

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

U.S. Construction Spending Remains Lackluster / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Total construction outlays rose 0.4% in April, reflecting an increase in home improvement outlays (+7.6%) and expenditures of non-residential outlays (+0.5%).  Outlays pertaining to new housing (-0.9%) fell in April. 

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

World Factory Sector Output Shifts to Lower Gear / Economics / Global Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

The ISM manufacturing survey results of May show a decelerating trend in factory activity. The composite index declined to 6.9 points to 53.5 in May, which marks the third consecutive monthly drop. The sharp declines of indexes tracking new orders (-10.7 to 51.0) and production (- 9.8 to 54.0) are worrisome.

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Economics

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Economic Stimulus Wears Off / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe artificially engineered U.S. recovery is already starting to falter as a continuous procession of disappointing data continues to confirm the sad truth. Recent numbers on GDP, durable goods, housing, regional manufacturing, initial unemployment claims and leading economic indicators all indicate a sharp slowdown in GDP growth. Just today the ADP Employment report showed that the private sector added a paltry 38,000 jobs in May, down from 177,000 jobs in April, significantly below expectations, and the weakest number since September 2010.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 01, 2011

Sputtering U.S. Economy, Look Out Below! / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe slowdown has begun. The economy has started to sputter and unemployment claims have tipped 400,000 for the last seven weeks. That means new investment is too weak to lower the jobless rate which is presently stuck at 9 percent. Manufacturing--which had been the one bright-spot in the recovery-- has also started to retreat with some areas in the country now contracting. Housing, of course, continues its downward trek putting more pressure on bank balance sheets and plunging more homeowners into negative equity.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 01, 2011

Central Banks Choice Between Hyperinflation or Great Depression II / Economics / Central Banks

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWestern Europe has invented two institutions that have taken over the world: the university and the central bank. Today, both are under fire as never before. At the same time, both are in their respective diver's seats. The greater the criticism, the better they do for themselves.

We are finally seeing articles on the bubble in higher education. It isn't a bubble. Government money still flows in by the hundreds of billions a year.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 01, 2011

Falling U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Wipes Out Gains of Last Six Months / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 60.8 in May from 66.0 in the prior month.  The 5.2-point decline wiped out a large part of the improvement of the last six months.  The Present Situation (39.3 vs. 40.2) and Expectations (75.2 vs. 83.2) indexes both fell in May. 

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Economics

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Why Innovation Needs Big Government / Economics / Government Intervention

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost people realize that the Federal budget deficit and the trade deficit are serious problems. Unfortunately, as I have argued previously, few people grasp the importance of another big deficit in our economy, without which it will be extremely hard to fix the first two: our innovation deficit.

Simply put: despite appearances to the contrary, our economy is not innovative enough. And it’s costing us, big-time.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Europe on the Edge of Abyss, U.S. Housing Market In the Abyss / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Samuelson on Real Clear Politics says Europe at the Abyss

It has come to this. A year after rescuing Greece from default, Europe is staring into the abyss. The bailout has proved insufficient. Greece needs more money, and it can't borrow from private markets where it faces interest rates as high as 25 percent. There is no easy escape.

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