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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, September 04, 2009

U.S. Jobs Contract 20th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Hits 9.7% / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn January I forecast the unemployment rate would hit 9.8% by August. Meanwhile, even though it was clear the Fed was wildly off base in its adverse scenario, the Fed upped it total to a mere 9.2% to 9.6% for the year as noted in Fed's Economic Forecast Worsens; Still Ridiculously Optimistic.

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Economics

Friday, September 04, 2009

U.S. Ski-Jump Recession, How Bad Will It Get? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.S. economy is at the beginning of a protracted period of adjustment. The sharp decline in business activity, which began in the summer of 2007, has moderated slightly, but there are few indications that growth will return to pre-crisis levels. Stocks have performed well in the last six months, beating most analysts expectations, but weakness in the underlying economy will continue to crimp demand reducing any chance of a strong rebound. Bankruptcies, delinquencies and defaults are all on the rise, which is pushing down asset prices and increasing unemployment.

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Economics

Friday, September 04, 2009

Not Enough Work to Go Around This Labor Day / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: Home prices have plunged so far that buyers are tentatively stepping back into the housing market again …

And government largesse in the form of “Cash for Clunkers” giveaways has helped spur a rebound in auto sales …

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Economics

Friday, September 04, 2009

Daily Economic Outlook, U.S. Non Farm Payroll Potential For Surprise / Economics / US Economy

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleData from the US this week, notably the stronger-than-expected outcomes of the manufacturing and services ISM surveys, have raised the likelihood that the economy has returned to growth in the current quarter, ending the longest contraction since quarterly records started in 1947. However, the focus today is squarely on the labour market, an area of the economy that will significantly lag the wider recovery and represents the main downside risk to sustained economic growth.

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Economics

Friday, September 04, 2009

The Economic Black Hole / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

have been receiving many interesting emails lately from all areas of the country, international as well. I would like to share some of them with you.

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Economics

Friday, September 04, 2009

How Much of China's Export Industry Is Owned By US Corporations? / Economics / China Economy

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI don't know much about China but I know about free zones.

From 1990 to 1995 my partner and I wrote the "playbook" to entice foreign companies into the Jebel Ali Free Zone in Dubai, during that period the number of companies went from 500 to 3,000 (an increase of an average of about 40% a year), we also set up interviews with the new arrivals in to understand what were the deciding factors, and we worked out how much the zone contributed to the development of Dubai. It was considerable, in my opinion the main driver of the Dubai economy which grew in nominal terms at a rate of 15% a year since 1990 was free zones (real estate came later and that was driven by the economic growth not the other way around).

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Economics

Thursday, September 03, 2009

Keynesian Economists Push the US Economy Over the Cliff / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Chris_Clancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDo you remember the old joke about a guy who jumps off a fifty-storey building?

As he passes each floor he thinks to himself, "Well … so far so good."

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Economics

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Is Venezuela's Stagflation the Beginning of the End for Chavez? / Economics / Venezuela

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: It wasn't long ago that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez's decision to nationalize state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA) resulted in a failed coup that very nearly cost him his post.

Now, Chavez's aggressive economic policies are again being called into question, this time as the country slides into what could be a protracted period of stagflation, which is defined by the exasperating mixture of torpid economic growth and high inflation.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Western European Q2 Economic Performance Leads Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: RGE_Monitor

Deleted.

 


Economics

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Does Loose Monetary Policy Cause Economic Growth? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's annual economic symposium, held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on August 21, 2009, Ben Bernanke expressed satisfaction with the action that his administration undertook to save the financial system. According to Bernanke,

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Economics

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Karl Marx and the Global Economic Crisis / Economics / Economic Theory

By: William_Bowles

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAre we getting good Marx? I think not

I often wonder how Karl Marx would react were he to find himself here, right now? After all, he too lived through momentous and world-changing times, perhaps even more so than the changes we are experiencing, given that his was the world that gave birth to the rise of the Machine and capitalism as we know it. Born on the cusp so-to-speak and I too, was born on the cusp, 23 July, 1945, a couple of weeks before the empire showed the world that it was truly barbarian when it dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Global Economic Recession And Low Carbon : A Complex Mixture / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeynesian Boom and Bust - Like we know, the recent and continuing massive spending spree by nearly all G20 governments and their central banks, described as "fighting recession", is also called Keynesian. One important point is that Keynesian-type deficit spending as a way to fight recession was never applied as Keynes himself recommended and advised, simply because he explained it in such strange ways, and because the idea of deficit spending did not become official policy and mainstream economic thinking in his lifetime. To be sure, arguments can be made that 'the Bretton Woods world', creation of the IMF and IBRD, state economic interventionism and macro management, and sometimes micro management of local economies and sectors inside them, were all 'Keynesian inspired'.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Deflation Is A ***** / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest Thought's From The Frontline by John Mauldin is a gem. It is about the crisis in Spain through the eyes of Variant Perception.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Economic Recovery Underway But Double-Dip Recession Risk Remains / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Francois_Soto

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleConsumers Are Not Saving Yet - Over the last months, we have seen articles discussing the dramatic surge of Personal Saving Rate as % of Disposable Income and how America shifted from consumer-driven to saving-driven. Most observers forgot to mention Personal Saving Rate Ex Transfer Payments As % of Disposable Income actually kept declining since May 2008 and this can be seen on the chart below. This means such frugal lifestyle is not happening yet although it might occur in a not so distant future once consumers decrease their Financial Obligations Ratio, a measure of debt.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Spain, The Financial Black Hole In Europe's Balance Sheet / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday's offering for this week's Outside the Box starts off with a quote from Titus Maccius Plautus: "I am a rich man as long as I don't pay my creditors." Even 2200 years ago, it seems that problems of credit were an issue.

I talked last Friday about the US being faced with a number of bad choices. But it is not just the US. Today we look at a piece from my friends at Variant Perception based on London. They are a relatively new institutional research house. I have been reading their material for some time and have begun to look very much forward to it. They do some very good in-depth analysis. I asked then to shorten a piece they did on Spain and Spanish banks for this week's Outside the Box. Spain will soon be faced with a number of very uncomfortable choices, but for now they appear in denial.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Failure of U.S. Money Supply to Grow Points to Economic Stagnation and Monetization of Debt / Economics / Money Supply

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors should be taking some clues from the thinking of American voters. Their view, as documented by the respected Rasmusen polling organization, is rejection of the growth killing policies of the Obama Regime. Per Rasmusen, a mere 46% of voters approve of Obama Regime while 53% disapprove. The vote is in on the economic prospects for the U.S. due to policies of the failing and fading Obama Regime, and it is in the negative column.

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Economics

Monday, August 31, 2009

Consumer Woes to Continue as Confidence Slumps and Incomes Stagnate / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Jason Simpkins writes: With unemployment hovering at 9.4% consumers continued to show reluctance in July as incomes stagnated. Furthermore, with the jobless rate expected to exceed 10% later this year, consumer confidence fell in August, keeping hopes of a sustained economic recovery at bay.

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Economics

Monday, August 31, 2009

The Case for Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs Absolute Return Partners wrote in its July newsletter:

The most important investment decision you will have to make this year and possibly for years to come is whether to structure your portfolio for deflation or inflation.

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Economics

Monday, August 31, 2009

Fed Liquidity to Keep the Financial System from Collapsing / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke never should have been reappointed as Fed chairman. Obama made a big mistake. The main thing to remember about Bernanke is that, in the two years since the financial crisis began, he's made no effort to force the large banks and financial institutions to write-down their losses. Nor has he pushed for the regulations that are needed to restore confidence in the system. The credit system is still clogged because the banks are buried under $1.5 trillion in toxic assets and non performing loans which are defaulting at the fastest pace on record. At the same time, Bernanke has failed to push for reform of derivatives trading, off-balance sheet operations, securitization or capital requirements for financial institutions.

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Economics

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Mish on the Edge with Max Discussing Deflation and the State of the U.S. Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn August 23 I was On the Edge with Max Keiser in a pair of videos discussing deflation and the state of the US economy.

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