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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, October 19, 2008

The Crumbling U.S. Economy, Worse is Yet to Come / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_and_Markets

The Crumbling U.S. Economy, Worse is Yet to Come

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: I invest prudently to help ensure the future financial well-being of my wife and two daughters. And Martin, who visited us recently, shares the same philosophy.

But when future history books are written on the twenty-first century, they will probably show that this time — right now — was the most dangerous for investors in decades.

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Economics

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Economic Forecasts and Analysis For U.S. Financial Markets (Oct 20-24) / Economics / US Economy

By: Joseph_Brusuelas

After the heaviest week of Fed talk and macro data releases in recent memory, the calendar will see a very light week of rhetoric and economic releases. Monday, will see the publication of the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators, Thursday the weekly jobless claims data and the week will conclude with the publication of the September existing home sales.

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Economics

Saturday, October 18, 2008

Leading U.S. Economic Indicators Hit 33 Year Lows / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Economic Cycle Research Institute ECRI reports Weekly Leading Index Growth at 33-yr Low .

A measure of future economic growth in the United States fell to its worst level in 6 years and its annualized growth rate had its biggest weekly decline in almost four decades to hit a fresh 33-year low, a search group said on Friday.

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Economics

Saturday, October 18, 2008

The Financial and Economic Blue Screen of Death / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article The Psyche of the American Consumer
  • The Consumer Weakens
  • The Paradox of Thrift
  • An Economic Blue Screen Of Death
  • Those Wild And Crazy Analysts

This week I am in California giving two speeches to the Financial Planning Associations of San Diego and Orange County. This and next week's letters will be the broad outline of the speech. We will look at how the retreat of the American consumer will affect the stock market. Has the recent drop (can we say crash, gentle reader?) in stock market valuations given us an opportunity to find value? We look at some very powerful evidence that suggests that may be so. Then we look at the counter to that view. Are we at the bottom, or is there more pain? And given the current state of affairs, how should we then invest? Where do we put our money to work when the dust settles, as it surely will.

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Economics

Friday, October 17, 2008

Paper Money Printing and Inflation, a Lesson From History / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Adrian_Ash

Paper Money Printing and Inflation, a Lesson From History

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"You can't blame the king of Persia for printing up money no one could trust. His neighbors in China were doing the same, after all, and with the same inevitable consequences, too..."

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Economics

Friday, October 17, 2008

Current Stock Market Crash and the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe current stock market crash has spurred a vital national debate about the causes and catalysts of the Great Depression. The dominant school of thought believes that the stubborn refusal of then president Hebert Hoover to intervene after the stock market crash of 1929, and his preference for free market solutions, led directly to the ensuing decade-long catastrophe.

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Economics

Friday, October 17, 2008

Deflation Scare the Perfect Camouflage for Inflationary Money Printing / Economics / Stagflation

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is said the market can sniff out prospective problems and price itself accordingly. If so, then someone needs to get this dog some nasal spray, lickedy-split! The deflation scare currently hovering over the entire market, particularly in the metals and commodities sectors, has been brutal. But the key question today is whether this “scare” will evolve into a genuine deflation threat to the US and the world?

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Economics

Friday, October 17, 2008

Reduced Gasoline Prices Provide Economic Relief, But May Not Change Consumer Outlook / Economics / US Economy

By: Joseph_Brusuelas

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGasoline prices have seen a steep decline over the past three months. Since hitting a peak on July 20, the national average price for a gallon of gasoline has declined 52 cents, which should inject approximately $120 to $130 billion into the pocketbooks of consumers, with more expected on the way.

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Economics

Friday, October 17, 2008

U.S. Worsening Economic Outlook / Economics / US Economy

By: Michael_J_Panzner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia announced that its general economic index for October fell from 3.8 in September to a much worse-than-forecast minus 37.5, the lowest level in nearly two decades. That follows yesterday's news that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's general economic index declined to a record low of minus 24.6, also below expectations. Together with another regularly updated index, the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank's manufacturing sector activity survey (October data has not yet been released), these indicators seem to make it clear that the economic outlook remains bleak.

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Economics

Thursday, October 16, 2008

U.S. Economy Still on Life Support / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Monday October 13th , the Dow took the fifth biggest upward leap (in percentage terms) in its history and, most notably, since the 1930's.  It appeared that Paulson and his fellow G-7 finance ministers had solved the credit crisis.  Despite the fact that G-7 taxpayers will be stuck with $3.5 trillion of liabilities to support their governments' bailout plans, the stock markets nevertheless bustled with euphoria.  The next day, reality dawned once again, and all markets closed down.

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Economics

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Credit Crisis Bailouts Will Prevent Recession But Not Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Hans_Wagner

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rescue plan is now law. You might be wondering how this $700 (actually $850 billion) rescue plan will help improve the economy and help you beat the market. The credit markets remain tight and they are having repercussions across the US economy and throughout the world. Now that the government has arrived to help, will it work?

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Economics

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Central Banks Fail to Solve Credit Crisis / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Christopher_Laird

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDepression on the way - A few weeks ago, I mentioned that the central banks had put up collectively $3 trillion worth of stimulus/backing to financial markets. I also noticed that the big bailouts had about only a one day boost to the financial markets till they did a thumbs down.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Baltic Dry Shipping Collapse Sign of Consumer Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Baltic Dry Shipping Index covers dry bulk shipping rates and some view it as a proxy for general economic health. The index continues to collapse.

Baltic Dry Index
Notice that the indicator is back at levels not seen since 2005 and is below levels seen in 2004.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

UK Unemployment Soars by 10%, Forecast to Rise to 2.5 million / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK unemployment as measured by the labour market survey surged to 1.79 million, up 164,000 for the quarter to July 2008, which clearly does not take into account the economic meltdown since August 08, nor the subsequent financial sector crash that witnessed bank after bank go bust and falling into the arms of the state or state sponsored rescue packages both of which are resulting in huge job losses in the financial sector.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

The U.S. Housing Market Economic Double Negative Feedback Loop / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePerhaps the time for self-delusion is passed. The grand new plan, just replaced the $700 billion plan, that replaced the $80 billion plan to bail out AIG, that replaced the Bear Stearns bailout which was just pocket change.

Forgive me for being skittish but it seems like every time you blink the number goes up by a factor of ten. The way it looks now is that combined USA , Europe and UK , the damage could easily be $7 trillion.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

US Economic Data and Events for October 15th, 2008 / Economics / UK Economy

By: Joseph_Brusuelas

Day In Review:

• US announces $250bln plan to rescue banking system and FDIC stated it would fully guarantee newly issued, senor unsecured debt from select banks

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Economics

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

UK CPI Inflation Explodes Higher to 5.2% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe inflationary spike higher continued on release of September's inflation data which saw the CPI measure burst through 5% to hit 5.2% from 4.7% the month before. CPI crossed above the RPI inflation measure for the first time in 7 years which now stands at 5%, as the below graph illustrates.

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Economics

Monday, October 13, 2008

How Central Banks Destabilized the World's Economies / Economics / Liquidity Bubble

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe crisis that America finds itself in is not political in origin nor can it be laid at the feet of any individual or party. The whole world, including Europe, is experiencing a massive monetary disruption. Moreover, it is not the first time that the world has been shaken by a financial crisis. It happened in 1824 and it happened again after WW I. What is depressing is that though these crises have but one single cause today' s central bankers and legions of economists find themselves utterly clueless, readily taking as a causes those data which are in fact symptoms of a very deep monetary disorder.

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Economics

Monday, October 13, 2008

Economic Forecasts and Analysis For U.S. Financial Markets (Oct 13-17) / Economics / US Economy

By: Joseph_Brusuelas

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe week of October 13-17 will see perhaps the most important week of macroeconomic data and Fed talk of the year. The weekend of Oct 10-12 will see the G-7 meeting in Washington where finance ministers will attempt to formulate a common policy to stem the damage to global financial markets. We expect them to consider guaranteeing all term lending at the meeting. The statements of Fed Chair Bernanke and ECB President Trichet can be expected to support whatever important decisions are arrived at the G-7 meeting.

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Economics

Sunday, October 12, 2008

Banks to Avoid as Iceland Goes Bankrupt with £10 billion of UK Deposits / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRelations between Britain and the small north atlantic government of Iceland hit a new deep freeze following Britain's implementation of Anti-terror laws to seize the assets of Icelandic financial institutions in Britain following the Icelandic Government's statements that they would not live up to their obligations in recompensing UK depositors.

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