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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, July 13, 2009

Baby Boomers Your Financial & Economic Winter is Coming, The Fourth Turning / Economics / Great Depression II

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThus might the next Fourth Turning end in apocalypse – or glory. The nation could be ruined, its democracy destroyed, and millions of people scattered or killed. Or America could enter a new golden age, triumphantly applying shared values to improve the human condition. The rhythms of history do not reveal the outcome of the coming Crisis; all they suggest is the timing and dimension. -        Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning

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Economics

Monday, July 13, 2009

U.S. Economy Recession End, Recovery and Interest Rate Forecast / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen We Get "There", Will We Know It?- Back in April, our forecast update commentary was entitled, "Are We There Yet?" The "there" referred to a resumption of real growth in the overall economy. Our answer in April was "no," which also happens to be our answer in July. When will we get there? Our answer in April was the fourth quarter of this year, which also happens to be our answer now. Assuming we get there in the fourth quarter, would most households and businesses in America know it if they were not so informed by the media? Probably not. We anticipate another "jobless recovery," which implies a relatively feeble one. We would not be surprised to hear terms early in 2010 such as "double dip."

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Economics

Sunday, July 12, 2009

Fed Deflation Propaganda to Meet Wealth Destroying Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHoward S. Katz writes: The Federal Reserve is lying about the nation's money supply (M1). The current figure for money supply is being given as $1.6 trillion. The actual number is $2.34 trillion. The reported number is equivalent to an increase of 16% over the past year. The actual number is equivalent to an increase of 70% over the past year. This compares with the nation's high money-supply increase of 16.9% in 1986.

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Economics

Sunday, July 12, 2009

Housing Market Bottoming, Economy Recovering? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

BCA Research: US economy - it looks like a recovery

“The US economy is transitioning to a recovery path, though it will be bumpy and subdued compared with past cycles.

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Economics

Sunday, July 12, 2009

Does 5 Trillion of New Debt Mean End of the Recession? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe End of the Recession?
The New Normal Is Still In Our Future
The Hidden Problem Within Unemployment Data
Was Income Really Up?

There is no doubt that the US is in financial trouble. Those talking of a strong recovery are just not dealing with reality. But the US is in better shape than a lot of countries.

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Economics

Sunday, July 12, 2009

Obama Rejects Second Economic Stimulus / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Shedlock

After sitting on the fence for weeks as noted in Battle Lines Form Over "Son of Stimulus" president Obama finally makes up his mind.

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Economics

Saturday, July 11, 2009

Secular Economic Stagnation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Navarro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTwo weeks ago, I indicated that I had gone into a full, risk neutral hedge on my call options portfolio. This, of course, was equivalent to a call to cash in light of weakening market conditions. Since that time, the market has continued to deteriorate technically, and this technical deterioration clearly reflects uncertainties over economic fundamentals. This call to hedge or cash remains in play.

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Economics

Saturday, July 11, 2009

America is Now the World’s Biggest Debtor Nation / Economics / US Debt

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBob Chapman writes: The latest Treasury auction of $19 billion of 10-year notes was at a yield of 3.365%. The bid to cover was 3.28 to 1, the highest ever. This was the third of four sales this week totaling $73 billion.

Consumer credit fell $3.23 billion in May, as credit fell 1.5% to $2.5196 trillion from $2.522 trillion in April. Four monthly declines matches June-December of 1991. Big loans fell $400 million, or 0.3%. Revolving credit fell $2.9 billion, or at a 3.7% rate.

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Economics

Saturday, July 11, 2009

When Will The Economic Recovery Begin? Never / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Submissions

Robert Reich writes: The so-called "green shoots" of recovery are turning brown in the scorching summer sun. In fact, the whole debate about when and how a recovery will begin is wrongly framed.

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Economics

Saturday, July 11, 2009

The Deflation Survival Guide, 60 page ebook Download Now for Free / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur friends at Elliott Wave International put together an expansive Deflation Survival Guide. The free 60-page eBook is packed with Robert Prechter's most important teachings and warnings about deflation. This is one of the most valuable resources EWI has ever offered at no cost. Learn more below or download it now – for free.

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Economics

Friday, July 10, 2009

Japan's Economy Continues to Collapse, No End to the Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJapanese machine orders just sank to a 22-year low...

IF WE ARE SLIPPING into a Japan-style depression, as signaled perhaps by the swollen demand (and supply) for government debt worldwide, then recovery might take longer than almost anyone guesses.

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Economics

Friday, July 10, 2009

Global Growth Surprises 2010, Germany and Brazil to Outperform China and India / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Markets were cheered Wednesday when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected global growth of 2.5% for 2010, a slight increase from its earlier forecast of 1.9% growth.

That’s good news for investors – but consumers in the United States and investors focused on it may not see much benefit.

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Economics

Friday, July 10, 2009

U.S. Unemployment Claims: How Bad are the "Real" Numbers? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs noted in Continuing Claims Soar by 159,000 to New Record the record continuing claims number is dramatically understated by over 2.5 million. Charts of what is really happening are shown below but first let's recap the data as reported by the Department of Labor.

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Economics

Friday, July 10, 2009

United States Heading For National Socialism Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was common on the left to intimate that George W. Bush was like Hitler, a remark that would drive the National Review crowd through the roof but which I didn't find entirely outrageous. Bush's main method of governance was to stir up fear of foreign enemies and instigate a kind of nationalist hysteria about the need for waging war and giving up liberty through security.

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Economics

Thursday, July 09, 2009

34 Million Americans Now on Food Stamps / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Earlier today, in Continuing Claims Soar by 159,000 to New Record; Initial Jobless Claims Skewed By Autos I noted The peak in initial claims might be in but the peak in unemployment has not. Moreover, reported continuing claims hit 6.883 million, setting a new all time record.

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Economics

Thursday, July 09, 2009

Iceland's Banking Crisis: The Meltdown of an Interventionist Financial System / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Philipp Bagus and David Howden: [Editor note: If you are interested in helping to fund the writing, publication, and distribution of a longer version of this article, with more technical detail and analytics, please write the development department.]

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

When Economic Stimulus Does Not Stimulate / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShawn Ritenour writes: A majority of Americans now give President Obama's handling of the economy a negative rating and many economists and city officials are concerned that Obama's gargantuan stimulus effort has not given the expected quick boost to the economy. Some argue this is because funds have been slow in coming due to bureaucratic red tape meant to ensure that the money spent will not be wasted.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Unemployment, Not the Stock Market, Distinguishes a Recession From a Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleClaus Vogt writes: What are the most important and enduring characteristics of the Great Depression? And what should we monitor to determine how severe today’s situation really is?

The stock market will give important clues. But the economy, especially unemployment, defines depressions.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Battle Lines Form Over "Son of Economic Stimulus" / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough very little of the stimulus money approved by Congress has actually been spent, many are making the case for throwing still more money at the problem.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

HyperInflation or Deflation? / Economics / Inflation

By: Puru_Saxena

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt present, the investment community is divided as to whether the world economy faces hyperinflation or deflation.  Some observers are convinced that the central banks’ printing press will take the world towards hyperinflation whereas others believe that the ongoing contraction in American private-sector debt will result in outright deflation.  So, what will the future bring?

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