
Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 18, 2007
Housing Market Down, Inflation Up / Economics / US Economy
By: Tim_Iacono
Two important economic reports were released just a short time ago. Housing starts and permits for new constuction are way down and inflation is on the rise. Surprise!Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
U.S. Economy Ends Third Quarter with a Whimper As Housing Slump Continues / Economics / US Economy
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
The Federal Reserve reported today that industrial production (IP) in September increased by only 0.1% after being flat in August. The 3.9% annualized growth in Q3 IP (versus 3.6% in Q2) was "front-loaded" with the 0.6% month-to-month increase in July. Capacity utilization (CAPU) was unchanged in September from August at 82.1%. In this cycle, the peak CAPU occurred in July and August 2006 at 82.1%.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
UK Inflation CPI Remains Steady at 1.8% / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK inflation for September as measured by the governments preferred measure the Consumer Price Index remained steady at 1.8%. The more widely recognised measure of inflation RPI, fell to 3.9%.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Consumer Spending Spree Creates Bad Vibes for the Economy / Economics / Money Supply
By: Gerard_Jackson
We can divide economic commentators in to two basic groups: The first one consists of what we can loosely term free market commentators while the second one consists of interventionists. Alan Wood and Terry McCrann are representative of group one. The sad thing is that neither group offers any serious economic commentary. Right now Australia is undergoing a boom, consumer spending is rocketing — as is the trade deficit — inflation is about 3 per cent and the unemployment figures have been slashed.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 15, 2007
The State of US economy: Greenspan and Bernanke Have A Lot To Answer For / Economics / US Economy
By: Gerard_Jackson
Because I haven't read Greenspan's book The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World I'll have to confine myself to those parts that some commentators have fastened on to and hope they are accurate. It has been reported that Greenspan believes that the collapse of the Soviet Union made the job of fighting inflation much easier because the output of millions of workers who had been freed from communism exerted a downward pressure on the prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
US in a Slow Motion Recession But May Avoid a Technical Recession / Economics / US Economy
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
The GDP Equation
How Low Can You Go?
The Key Variable Problem
The Importance of Fiscal Policy
The Slow Motion Recession
New Orleans and More Birthdays
A recession is technically defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This week we look at how the GDP is actually calculated to give us an idea as to the potential for a recession. We re-visit my concepts of a Slow Motion Recession and a Muddle Through Economy. We briefly look at the sliding dollar and housing, and see how it all adds up. You'll need to put your thinking caps on, but it should be interesting.
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Thursday, October 11, 2007
US Economy Living in Perilous Times Due to the Financial Bubble / Economics / Liquidity Bubble
By: Richard_C_Cook

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Monday, October 08, 2007
US Economy’s Bubble: Casting the Recession Runes / Economics / US Economy
By: Gerard_Jackson

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Saturday, October 06, 2007
The Prevent A US Recession At All costs Defense / Economics / US Economy
By: Andy_Sutton
Undoubtedly, I am not alone in my amazement how time and time again, in the waning moments of the big game, defenses give up wins by using the 'prevent defense'. In football, it involves backing up your defense on its heels and allowing itself to be nickeled and dimed to death by any quarterback who can throw a spiral. The idea is not to give up the big play. Despite the best of intentions, however, the results are generally the same: a big loss.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 06, 2007
US In a Slow Motion Recession Due to Housing Market Bubble Bust / Economics / US Economy
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
Why 110,000 Jobs Is Not Enough
GDP Is Set to Be Lower
The Slow Motion Recession
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre
One (Cut) and Done?
Republicans for Protectionism?
A New Chair for an Old Back
Austin and The Ten Tenors
The market certainly seemed pleased with the new jobs number. The glass is more than half full - or is it? Fed Vice-chairman seemed to suggest that the economy was getting better and the Fed might not need to make any further rate cuts. Is it now "One (Cut) and Done?" This week we look at what employment growth tells us about the growth of the US economy, spend some more time looking at how a fall in home prices will affect consumer spending, and muse on whether the Fed is indeed done cutting. We look at the scariest headline I have read in the Wall Street Journal in years, and I tell you about a chair that has done wonders for my back. It's a lot to cover, so let's jump right in.
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Friday, October 05, 2007
Inflation and the Federal Reserve / Economics / Inflation
By: Richard_C_Cook
No term in the “dismal science” of economics is more misunderstood than “inflation.” The word means “rising prices,” but is used at different times by different people to describe totally different phenomena.
The most predominant type of inflation is natural and occurs as raw materials are used up and must be replenished. It's akin to the law of diminishing returns, or entropy, and is overcome by technological innovation. Another type of inflation is expressed through constantly changing conditions of supply and demand, including the fluctuating cost of labor. Yet another type results from the predatory pricing practices of monopolies such as the worldwide oil cartel which has jacked up the cost of petroleum to over $80 a barrel.
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Friday, October 05, 2007
The Big Picture - 2008 Economic Contraction to Hit US Economy Due to Dollar Stagflation / Economics / US Economy
By: Brian_Bloom
There is an anomaly in the equity markets which seems not to be drawing enough attention.
This anomaly can be seen by comparing the following two monthly charts (courtesy Decisionpoint.com).
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Wednesday, October 03, 2007
US Economy Sliding towards Stagflation - Global Bond Vigilantes Hooked on Gold / Economics / US Economy
By: Gary_Dorsch

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Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Greenspan's Dark Legacy Unmasked / Economics / US Economy
By: Stephen_Lendman

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Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Rising Inflation Expectations Amidst An Inflationary Storm :2008-2009 / Economics / Inflation
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

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Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Return of Trade Tariff Wars / Economics / Global Financial System
By: Gerard_Jackson
Kevin Rudd is signalling that a Labor Government would introduce another tariff regime. Rudd’s threat basically rests on two arguments, whether he knows it or not: The main one being that tariffs are needed to protect Australian manufacturing before it disappears. Then there is the subsidiary argument that tariffs are needed to protect jobs and real incomes. It is now time to give some basic economic facts another airing:Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2007
Unpredictable US Economy Ahead / Economics / US Economy
By: Regent_Markets
A new low for the US dollar, and a mixed bag of economic news, gave investors few clues as to what the FOMC might do next with the interest rate.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2007
The Seven Plus Year Super Cycle Recession In US Auto Sales Continues / Economics / US Auto's
By: Bob_Bronson

Saturday, September 29, 2007
A Weaker US Dollar is Good for the United States and its Trading Situation - Economic Myth Busters / Economics / US Dollar
By: Andy_Sutton

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Friday, September 28, 2007
Stagflation Revisited - Economic Contraction and High Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Peter_Schiff

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