
Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, December 13, 2010
The U.S. Economy is Recovering and Employment is Growing - WHO’S LYING? / Economics / US Economy
By: James_Quinn
 Have  you noticed the latest sound bites coming from the punditry in the corporate  mainstream media? Here is the latest wisdom flowing from the lying mouthpieces  of the ruling oligarchy (Wall Street, Washington DC, Mega-corporations):
Have  you noticed the latest sound bites coming from the punditry in the corporate  mainstream media? Here is the latest wisdom flowing from the lying mouthpieces  of the ruling oligarchy (Wall Street, Washington DC, Mega-corporations):The economy is recovering and employment is growing.
Consumers are deleveraging, saving and using cash for purchases.
Retailers are doing fantastic as consumers increase spending.
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Monday, December 13, 2010
The Fed, The Chicago School's Achilles Heel / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Robert_Murphy
 In a recent post "Triumph of the Austrian   Economists," David Frum laments the displacement of the respectable Chicago   School as the economists of choice among the political Right. Frum fails to see   that conservative Republicans are justified in switching their allegiance to the   Austrian economists, because supply-side monetarists have a glaring blind spot   when it comes to the Federal Reserve.
In a recent post "Triumph of the Austrian   Economists," David Frum laments the displacement of the respectable Chicago   School as the economists of choice among the political Right. Frum fails to see   that conservative Republicans are justified in switching their allegiance to the   Austrian economists, because supply-side monetarists have a glaring blind spot   when it comes to the Federal Reserve.
Monday, December 13, 2010
Inflation, Deflation and the U.S. Economy Year Ahead / Economics / US Economy
By: Clif_Droke
 The inflation versus deflation debate has raged for years but since the credit crisis the debate has become highly politicized.  If the credit crisis taught us anything it is that the risk of deflation far outweighs that of inflation.  Yet there is an entrenched view emerging in political circles that is actively opposed to the government’s attempts at re-inflating the economy following the deflationary collapse of 2008.
The inflation versus deflation debate has raged for years but since the credit crisis the debate has become highly politicized.  If the credit crisis taught us anything it is that the risk of deflation far outweighs that of inflation.  Yet there is an entrenched view emerging in political circles that is actively opposed to the government’s attempts at re-inflating the economy following the deflationary collapse of 2008. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 12, 2010
Mike Shedlock Deflation Proponents Rebuttal of John WIlliams Hyperinflation Call / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
 Those looking for Sunday entertainment can pull out the popcorn and watch this   video of John Williams calling for the "Great Hyperinflationary Great   Depression", coming your way soon.
Those looking for Sunday entertainment can pull out the popcorn and watch this   video of John Williams calling for the "Great Hyperinflationary Great   Depression", coming your way soon.
Sunday, December 12, 2010
Brazil the Low-carbon Economy of the Future / Economics / Brazil
By: Pravda
study by the British economist Nicholas Stern, who advises the UK government on climate change, has highlighted how Brazil can be a perfect example for the future, making the transition from being the fifth greatest polluter to becoming a leader for countries wishing to create low-carbon economies.
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Sunday, December 12, 2010
Russia's Central Bank Concerned About Price Inflation Tsunami / Economics / Inflation
By: Pravda
Sergey Ignatyev, the head of the Russian Central Bank, did not exclude a possibility to raise the official bank rate next year to curb inflation. Ignatyev forecast the growth of crediting and the economy in 2011 by 20 and 5 percent respectively.
In November, the board of directors of the Central Bank (CB) decided to preserve the level of the official bank rate and interest rates on CB operations. The official bank rate was preserved on the level of 7.75 percent per annum on June 1, 2010.
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Saturday, December 11, 2010
Fudge Factor in U.S. Crude Oil Trade Data? / Economics / Crude Oil
By: Andy_Sutton
 For many years now this column has been  periodically dedicated to the analysis of economic reports, and the exposure of  ‘fudging’ that takes place in most macroeconomic data series. Immediately upon  looking at this morning’s trade data it seemed that, once again, something was  amiss. It probably jumped out at me because I had just finished a crude oil  analysis report for December’s Centsible Investor and the information was still fresh in my mind. However, I am quite sure that I  am not the only one who noticed this.
For many years now this column has been  periodically dedicated to the analysis of economic reports, and the exposure of  ‘fudging’ that takes place in most macroeconomic data series. Immediately upon  looking at this morning’s trade data it seemed that, once again, something was  amiss. It probably jumped out at me because I had just finished a crude oil  analysis report for December’s Centsible Investor and the information was still fresh in my mind. However, I am quite sure that I  am not the only one who noticed this. 
Saturday, December 11, 2010
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows in October, Provides Lift to Q4 GDP Growth / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Asha_Bangalore
 The trade deficit narrowed to $38.7 billion in October from a gap of $44.6   billion in the prior month.  The 3.2% increase in exports of goods and services   and a 0.5% decline in imports of goods and services brought about a narrowing of   the trade gap in October.  Overall, this reading is a big plus for real GDP   growth in the fourth quarter.
The trade deficit narrowed to $38.7 billion in October from a gap of $44.6   billion in the prior month.  The 3.2% increase in exports of goods and services   and a 0.5% decline in imports of goods and services brought about a narrowing of   the trade gap in October.  Overall, this reading is a big plus for real GDP   growth in the fourth quarter.  
Saturday, December 11, 2010
John Williams of ShadowStats Warns Hyperinflation Will Start in the Next Couple Months! / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Mac_Slavo
 John Williams of Shadowstats has repeatedly warned that our economy is not   doing as well as some would have you believe. From unemployment to GDP to   current and future liabilities, there are fundamental problems that will not be   resolved anytime soon - in fact, they’re likely to get worse.
John Williams of Shadowstats has repeatedly warned that our economy is not   doing as well as some would have you believe. From unemployment to GDP to   current and future liabilities, there are fundamental problems that will not be   resolved anytime soon - in fact, they’re likely to get worse.
The end result according to Williams?
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Friday, December 10, 2010
Economic Risk Leads to Financial Mistrust / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Barry_Elias
 My Nov. 12 blog described how modern economists severely miscalculated the   economic realities, which fueled the 2008 financial crisis.
My Nov. 12 blog described how modern economists severely miscalculated the   economic realities, which fueled the 2008 financial crisis.
  
  Five days   after this piece was published, the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET)   issued a grant to a team of experts: The mission is to derive a computational   model that would represent the underlying dynamics of the financial crisis. 
Friday, December 10, 2010
Fed QE2 Creates Rapidly Accelerating China Housing Bubbles and Price Inflation / Economics / China Economy
By: Jeb_Handwerger
 After QE2, analysts were looking for  possible consequences of the Federal Reserve Bank’s actions.  What has become apparent is that the Fed has  created another bubble in China.   Investors globally have transferred devalued U.S. dollars and Euros to  buy Chinese property and equities.  China  has had to combat imported inflation with rapidly rising asset prices.  An influx of capital has caused a real estate  bubble, a rise in costs of basic goods and excessive speculation in the  commodity markets.  The Chinese Central  Banks will be observing the inflation data which should be coming out this  weekend and will be compelled to act aggressively to prevent China from a bust  similar to the housing crisis which occurred in the United States in 2007.  Yesterday’s IPO’s showed that irrational exuberance  is here once again, none since I have witnessed since the late 90’s.
After QE2, analysts were looking for  possible consequences of the Federal Reserve Bank’s actions.  What has become apparent is that the Fed has  created another bubble in China.   Investors globally have transferred devalued U.S. dollars and Euros to  buy Chinese property and equities.  China  has had to combat imported inflation with rapidly rising asset prices.  An influx of capital has caused a real estate  bubble, a rise in costs of basic goods and excessive speculation in the  commodity markets.  The Chinese Central  Banks will be observing the inflation data which should be coming out this  weekend and will be compelled to act aggressively to prevent China from a bust  similar to the housing crisis which occurred in the United States in 2007.  Yesterday’s IPO’s showed that irrational exuberance  is here once again, none since I have witnessed since the late 90’s.
Thursday, December 09, 2010
No U.S. Economic Exit Strategy, Only Wall Street Speculators Are Profiting / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Bob_Chapman
Policy makers within the Treasury and the Fed are only interested in delaying and extending the timeline trying to find and extricate themselves from one of the most dangerous fiscal and monetary failures of all time. They know they and their controllers have no solution. QE1 and QE2 have temporally saved them financially, but have not saved any economy, especially the American economy. In addition it has added to the severity of the crisis.
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Thursday, December 09, 2010
Wealth Confiscation Through Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Mike_Hewitt
 A monologue on currency devaluation through the process of inflation.
A monologue on currency devaluation through the process of inflation.
Greetings, I would like to talk about a subject of which I believe to be of great importance. It is to do with the devaluation of our currency.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Fed’s QE2 Ponzi Scheme Sets HyperInflation Trend in Motion / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Gary_Dorsch
 In a taped  interview with CBS’ “60 Minutes” that aired on December 5th, Federal  Reserve chief Ben “Bubbles” Bernanke tried to  brainwash the American public, into believing that “Quantitative Easing” (QE), is  absolutely necessary in order to prevent further losses of jobs, and tried to  assure his listeners that he has the skills to keep inflation under control. The  US-jobless rate would have risen far higher, “something like it was in the  Depression, at 25%,” -- had the Fed not provided tens of trillions in loans to  Wall Street banks and other financial companies, he said.
In a taped  interview with CBS’ “60 Minutes” that aired on December 5th, Federal  Reserve chief Ben “Bubbles” Bernanke tried to  brainwash the American public, into believing that “Quantitative Easing” (QE), is  absolutely necessary in order to prevent further losses of jobs, and tried to  assure his listeners that he has the skills to keep inflation under control. The  US-jobless rate would have risen far higher, “something like it was in the  Depression, at 25%,” -- had the Fed not provided tens of trillions in loans to  Wall Street banks and other financial companies, he said.  
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Congress to Follow Fed to and Spend Money to Lift Economic Growth in 2011 / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Asha_Bangalore
 The Fed's $600 billion purchase of Treasury securities, known as QE2, is the Fed's second chance to stimulate economic activity after the $1.725 trillion QE1 package expired in March 2010.  Chairman Bernanke presented his case for the second package on "60 minutes" last Sunday.  The Fed is focused on meeting its dual mandate of price stability and full-employment, both of which are not within the reach of the mandate at the present time.
The Fed's $600 billion purchase of Treasury securities, known as QE2, is the Fed's second chance to stimulate economic activity after the $1.725 trillion QE1 package expired in March 2010.  Chairman Bernanke presented his case for the second package on "60 minutes" last Sunday.  The Fed is focused on meeting its dual mandate of price stability and full-employment, both of which are not within the reach of the mandate at the present time.  
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
U.S. Jobs Off Shoring Tsunami Quantitative Easing 3, a Perfect Stagflation Storm / Economics / Unemployment
By: Dian_L_Chu
 Whilst most of the recent economic data seem to demonstrate a steady, albeit slow   recovery in the United States, the November employment figures from the Labor   Dept. threw a curve ball into the mix as the unemployment rate unexpectedly   jumped to 9.8% from 9.6% held since August.
Whilst most of the recent economic data seem to demonstrate a steady, albeit slow   recovery in the United States, the November employment figures from the Labor   Dept. threw a curve ball into the mix as the unemployment rate unexpectedly   jumped to 9.8% from 9.6% held since August.
    
    That brought the jobless rate   to its 19th straight month of 9% or more, which is the longest stretch since   World War II, while the unemployment rate of people with a college degree (25   and older) also hit a 40-year high of 5.1%.
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Debt Bubble Chronicles, Here’s Europes “Lehman Event” / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Graham_Summers
Earlier this year, I noted that the European debt crisis was mimicking the US’s 2008 banking crisis almost to a T. Greece was the “Bear Stearns” issue: a minor player that was swallowed up in the drive to maintain the appearance of stability.
Then came the $1 trillion bailout, the equivalent of the Fannie/ Freddie “blank check”: a massive sum of money thrown at a problem meant to convey the illusion that the powers that be have everything under control and that systemic risk is non-existent.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Bernanke On the U.S. Economy, Fact, Fiction and Finally the Fix / Economics / US Economy
By: D_Sherman_Okst
 Fiction: In this 60 Minutes clip Bernanke tells Scott Pelley, “The other concern I should mention is that inflation is very, very low…”
Fiction: In this 60 Minutes clip Bernanke tells Scott Pelley, “The other concern I should mention is that inflation is very, very low…”
Fact: There is massive inflation!
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
China Inflation Taking Off, Declares Price Controls on Walmart / Economics / Inflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
 China's is overheating. Consumer prices in aggregate rose at an annual rate   of 4.4% as of October. Food prices are up 10.1 percent according to China Financial Daily.
China's is overheating. Consumer prices in aggregate rose at an annual rate   of 4.4% as of October. Food prices are up 10.1 percent according to China Financial Daily.
  
  Moreover, accelerating inflation   is hurting profit margins in China's service sector. China's non-manufacturing   PMI fell to a nine-month low in November, with new orders in consumer service   industries showing outright contraction.
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Bernanke Is 100% Sure He Can Control Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: James_Quinn
 I don't know about you, but I'm not  100% sure about anything. The older I get, the less sure I am about everything.  I question things that I was sure were true when I was 25 years old. I'm not  sure I'll wake up in the morning. I'm not sure I'll survive my commute to work.  That is why I was flabbergasted last night as I watched Scott Pelley interview  Ben Bernanke on 60 Minutes. As a side note, boy this show has gone downhill. In  the old days of real journalism, Mike Wallace would have scorched Ben Bernanke,  pointing out his phenomenal ability to be wrong or clueless on every financial  issue the country has faced in the last 10 years. Today, Pelley under hands  softball questions to Bernanke and never challenges him. It was a pathetic  display of journalism.
I don't know about you, but I'm not  100% sure about anything. The older I get, the less sure I am about everything.  I question things that I was sure were true when I was 25 years old. I'm not  sure I'll wake up in the morning. I'm not sure I'll survive my commute to work.  That is why I was flabbergasted last night as I watched Scott Pelley interview  Ben Bernanke on 60 Minutes. As a side note, boy this show has gone downhill. In  the old days of real journalism, Mike Wallace would have scorched Ben Bernanke,  pointing out his phenomenal ability to be wrong or clueless on every financial  issue the country has faced in the last 10 years. Today, Pelley under hands  softball questions to Bernanke and never challenges him. It was a pathetic  display of journalism.

