Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, December 14, 2008
Excess Debt and Deflation = Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Stephen_Lendman
Irving Fisher (1867 - 1947) was perhaps the most noted economist of his day. The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics calls him "one of America's greatest mathematical economists and one of" its clearest writers. He earned special acclaim for his work on monetary and statistical theory, policy, index numbers, econometrics, and the distinction between real and nominal interest rates. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 14, 2008
Imploding Overly Leveraged Private Equity Deals Deepen Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: The once booming business of private equity faces an uncertain future. What's not uncertain, however, is that many private equity deals are imploding from the weight of leveraged debt and greed. Inevitable bankruptcies will result in higher unemployment and a deeper recession. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 14, 2008
China to Print Money, Devalue Currency to Combat Deep Slowdown / Economics / China Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
Deflation talk is surfacing in China as Chairman Liu Mingkang says China December Producer Price Index to Drop .
China's producer price index is expected to drop "sharply" in December, China Banking Regulatory Commission Chairman Liu Mingkang said. The world's fourth-biggest economy is shifting toward deflation, Liu told a financial forum in Beijing today. Capital inflows may shift to outflows, with gross domestic product projected around 8 percent next year, he said.
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Sunday, December 14, 2008
How to Prepare for the Deflationary Market Crash / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Editor's Note: The following article is adapted from Robert Prechter's best-selling book, Conquer the Crash – You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression . In addition to this article, visit Elliott Wave International to download the free 15-page report about how to protect yourself, you wealth and your family in this environment. It contains details about what you should do with your pension plan, valuable tips for business owners, insights on handling loans and debt and important warnings against trusting the government to protect you. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 12, 2008
Our Asset Value Trend Dependent Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Tim_Iacono
The Federal Reserve's latest Flow of Funds Report contains some painful news about how our asset-dependent economy is faring in what is now an increasingly asset-averse world. This time around we have double the trouble as prices for both stocks and housing are declining. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 12, 2008
Fed Policy Makers Wasting $10 Trillion on Bailout Liabilities / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: David_Haas
What These Dangerous Clowns Don’t Understand - I had the unnerving experience last night of staying up late watching C-Span as U.S. Senators hammered and then shot down the bailout bill for the Detroit“Big 3″
(a misnomer?) automakers. I must admit, there was a great deal of heart-felt passion in the words of the representatives who were courageous enough to speak out and it was this rare display of authenticity and, dare-I-say, credibility that kept me watching.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 11, 2008
Forget Inflation Instead Focus on How Long Deflation Will Last / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
Humpty Dumpty On Inflation - There is an excellent article by Axel Merk on Market Oracle called Monetizing the Debt . The article discusses the Fed's growing balance sheet and whether or not it represents inflation. The aspect that I want to highlight is in regards to bank lending. Here are a couple of charts from the article along with commentary by Merk.
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Wednesday, December 10, 2008
The Global Economic Crisis- Bad and Worsening / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Stephen_Lendman
In a new article, economics professor Richard Wolff explains the current crisis in Marxian terms. It "emerged from the workings of the capitalist class structure. Capitalism's history displays repeated boom-bust cycles punctuated by bubbles. They range unpredictably from local, shallow and short to global, deep and long." Clearly we're now in one of the latter and potentially the worst ever. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Inflation or Deflation? / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
Explanation of the Price Effects of Inflation and Deflation - The U.S. Labor Department reported a 1 percent drop in the consumer price index for October 2008. The drop marked the largest decline in 61 years, and it was the first decline in that measure in nearly a quarter of a century. The 1 percent drop was twice as large as many mainstream analysts had forecast. Such a large decline in consumer prices is forcing U.S. policymakers to rethink the possibility of deflation in America. For more on deflation, we turn to Robert Prechter, the man who literally wrote a book on how to survive it. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
Economic Depression, Deflation and Your Financial Survival / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: If you're still skeptical that we're sinking into America's Second Great Depression, you don't have to believe Alan Greenspan, who says we're already experiencing the worst financial crisis in a hundred years. Nor need you heed the news that the economy just lost a half-million more jobs or that retail sales have just suffered their worst plunge in 35 years. All you have to do is get up from your chair, open the door and take a walk outside. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
British Economy in Deep Trouble Sterling to Suffer / Economics / UK Economy
By: MoneyWeek
Hopes that Barack Obama's 'New Deal' spending spree can save the global economy saw share prices bounce sharply yesterday.
The FTSE 100 ended more than 6% higher, climbing 250 points to 4,300.
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Tuesday, December 09, 2008
China's Unique Opportunity to Shape Global Economic Future / Economics / Global Economy
By: Axel_Merk
China has a unique opportunity and responsibility to shape not only its own future, but also that of the global economy. While China is by no means responsible for the plight the world faces, it has played an important role in allowing global imbalances to be built. If China decides to help prop up the world economic model that got us into trouble in the first place, we may face the same challenges again a few years down the road. Except then, China may not have $2 trillion in reserves to rescue its economy, and could face severe challenges. China will ultimately act in its own best interest, but prudent she must be. The time for China to act is now. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 08, 2008
Real Threat is Inflation Not Deflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: We're “officially” in a recession and the panicky markets are bracing for deflation. But what most investors don't realize is that inflation – not deflation – is the real threat that they face.
For more than a year now, I've been telling readers and attendees at financial conferences around the world that the United States has been in a recession since last November.
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Sunday, December 07, 2008
Why Bailouts Will Lead to Inflation Not Deflation / Economics / Money Supply
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) both fell in October. Those declines – combined with sharp downward spirals in worldwide stock and commodity prices – have caused many analysts, and even central bankers, to worry that we are on the brink of deflation.
Such concerns may be warranted in the short-term. But in the long run, deflation won't be the challenge we face.
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Sunday, December 07, 2008
Fed Deploys Every Trick in the Book to Avert Another Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Mike_Whitney
" Conditions have deteriorated on a scale and with a speed that no one could have predicted just a few months ago. Market conditions of unprecedented strength are roiling the world's financial markets. The global economy is either in, or close to, recession and 2009 is not likely to be a year of great recovery." Brett White, chief executive officer of CB Richard Ellis, LA Times Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 06, 2008
The Velocity of Money and Economic Deflation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
"A severe global recession will lead to deflationary pressures. Falling demand will lead to lower inflation as companies cut prices to reduce excess inventory. Slack in labour markets from rising unemployment will control labor costs and wage growth. Further slack in commodity markets as prices fall will lead to sharply lower inflation. Thus inflation in advanced economies will fall towards the 1 per cent level that leads to concerns about deflation. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 06, 2008
Half Million Job Losses as Economic Depression Spreads / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Mike_Shedlock
I wrote about the latest jobs numbers this morning in Jobs Contract 11th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Hits 6.7% . Let's look at some more details starting with this report: Half-million jobs vanish as economy deteriorates . An alarming half-million American jobs vanished virtually in a flash last month, the worst mass layoffs in over a third of a century, as economic carnage spread ever faster and the nation hurtled toward what could be the hardest hard times since the Great Depression.
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Friday, December 05, 2008
Financial Crisis Secrets Revealed / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008
By: EWI
Editor's Note: This article has been excerpted from a free issue of Robert Prechter's monthly market letter, The Elliott Wave Theorist .
The full 10-page market letter, Be One of the Few The Government Hasn't Fooled , can be downloaded FREE from Elliott Wave International.
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Friday, December 05, 2008
Countries to Fight Over Shrinking Economic Pie During 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Christopher_Laird
Trade and Currency Tensions in 2009 - Most people know that, in recent years, there have been tensions between the US and China over two big issues. One is that China runs big trade surpluses with the US, which the Democrats have been wanting to do sanctions on. The other is they keep their currency, the Yuan/RMB, weak compared to the USD, and that is also something the Democrats have wanted to sanction. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 05, 2008
Wealth of Nations- Government Assets Minus Liabilities Analysis / Economics / Global Economy
By: Mike_Hewitt
The intent of this article is to compare the net wealth of selected nations. The net wealth figures (actually labeled as 'Net Debt') for the G-7 nations (US, Japan, Germany, UK, France, Italy and Canada) can be found on the International Monetary Fund website here . It should be noted that all of the G-7 countries have greater government liabilities than assets. Read full article... Read full article...