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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, March 14, 2013

China Sounds Warning Bell For What’s Coming Our Way / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

Let’s wind the clock back to 2008.

The world was thought to be ending. Lehman went bust. Markets were plunging. Everyone was scared that growth was over. It was as though the global economy was grinding to a halt.

But then China’s stock market bottomed. The Chinese Government announced a massive stimulus plan to turn its economy around. And sure enough the Chinese economy took off again.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Can the U.S. Learn From Argentina's Hyper Inflation Economic Chaos? / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Mauldin

(From Cafayate, Argentina) There are some who worry whether the path that Argentina has taken to monetary ruin on multiple occasions (and that it seems intent on taking again) is one that the US may also find itself on. That worry has crossed my mind a few times, I must confess. Today we will look at Argentina more in depth. From a monetary perspective, it deserves attention. And once again there will be opportunity.

Let me jump right to the conclusion: Just as Spain is not Greece, because each chose a unique route to economic malaise, the US is not Argentina. We are perfectly capable of avoiding Argentina’s problems while cooking up ones that are all our own. But there are some worrisome and potentially instructive issues in Argentina.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Four Possible Outcomes to Italy's 5-Star Mess / Economics / Italy

By: Adrian_Ash

Alessandra Pilloni writes: Rome will have a new pope before Italy gets a new government. Good job there's no rush...

ROME has now been without a government since mid-December. Italy's politicians will only start to talk later this week about doing something about last month's failed elections. Barely a month after Benedict XVI resigned, the Catholic world will have a new pope before Italy gets a prime minister. It's lucky there is no rush.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Europe's Miracle Electric Economy, We Don't Need Gas / Economics / European Union

By: Andrew_McKillop

Germany's diplomatic and trade Missions in the US, on their Web site state that the official Energy Concept or Energiewende of 28 September 2010, and subsequent policy decisions through 2011 set a number of binding goals for the nation. As of 2011, but able to be raised afterwards, these goals include at least 35% of gross electricity supply to come from renewables by 2020, a 50% share by 2030, followed by 65% in 2040 and 80% by 2050. Final electricity demand in 2020, relative to 2008, must fall by at least 10%, with national primary energy demand cut by 80% relative to 2008, by 2050.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Why U.S. Recession 2013 Has Already Begun and What to Do About It / Economics / Recession 2013

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Pay no attention to the new market highs or the cheerleading of government officials - recession 2013 is already here.

That's what Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder and chief operations officer for the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), is saying now.

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Economics

Monday, March 11, 2013

Unemployment Down, But February Jobs Report Not All Rosy / Economics / Unemployment

By: Money_Morning

Jeff Uscher writes: The report had some positive news, as the unemployment rate fell to 7.7%, the lowest rate since December 2008.

While the preliminary numbers for February show that 236,000 new jobs were created, exceeding analyst estimates by a wide margin, the figure for January was revised down from 157,000 to 119,000. However, the December number was revised up from 196,000 to 219,000. So for the three months of December 2012-February 2013, the economy has added a total of 574,000 jobs, well above expectations.

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Economics

Monday, March 11, 2013

Deflation Coming Soon / Economics / Deflation

By: Andrew_McKillop

HOW FAR CAN THE ECONOMY DEFLATE?
One predictable whine comes from longtime George Soros partner Jim Rogers, who says we are at a "peculiar time in world history". He decries the growing uncertainty, what he calls the recklessness, of "economic recovery action" by global central bankers, and the related action by government policy makers, as world finance markets enter "unchartered waters". These waters have a growing population of sharks, including distressed asset sharks. Their food base is abundant. Distressed assets, penny-on-the-dollar deals are abundant. They are not threatened by imminent reduction - let alone by global warming - bcause the global economy is deflating.

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Economics

Monday, March 11, 2013

The Relationship Between Money and Prices / Economics / Inflation

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Money printing The quantity theory of money and its accompanying equation of exchange are generally accepted as defining the relationship between money and prices. The equation has been expressed a number of ways, always including “velocity of circulation”, which is a variable essential to balance the equation.

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Economics

Saturday, March 09, 2013

The New Limits To Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andrew_McKillop

HORSEMEN OF THE APOCALYPSE
In a recent post Brian Bloom gave a list of reasons why he thinks politicians, worldwide, are spitting in the wind by turning their prayer wheel of "reform and recovery" to "relaunch the economy", which for major sectors like carmaking in Europe are facing an endgame scenario. In the recent high profile spat between the CEO of Titan International, who totally rejected any idea of taking over Goodyear's unprofitable tyre factory in Amiens, and France's minister of Industrial Recovery, Arnaud Montebourg, Titan's CEO said he could buy a tyre factory in either China or India where at most he would need to pay the workers 1 euro per hour: say $250 per month. Nobody in Europe can even eat and buy clothes and shoes to put on their backs and feet, let alone buy a house, electricity and water, a car, cellphone, Internet access and all the rest, for that pay. Starvation wages to "relaunch the economy" !

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Economics

Saturday, March 09, 2013

Here Is What Investors Need To Realize After The Terrific Jobs Report! / Economics / Employment

By: Sy_Harding

Friday’s employment report confirmed the extent of the economic recovery from the Great Recession of 2008-2009.

We’ve already seen the two main driving forces of the economy, autos and housing, leading the way. U.S. auto sales bottomed in 2009 with only 10.4 million units sold, and have seen impressive growth since to the current annualized pace of 15 million units, almost back to pre-recession levels. Home sales and prices bottomed last year and have been recovering at a surprising pace since.

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Economics

Friday, March 08, 2013

China: This Is Your Time! / Economics / China Economy

By: Profit_Confidential

George Leong writes: The time has arrived for China. For the country, this will be a critical moment in its continued development as a global power, with a change at the helm under its new President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang. China is currently facing a potential property bubble, and it’s dealing with stalled growth from the eurozone as well as other key trading partners. (Read “Why Eurozone’s Problems Are Headed for America.”)

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Economics

Friday, March 08, 2013

Dow Stock Market High, Is It Really 2007 Again? / Economics / Recession 2013

By: Andy_Sutton

It would be completely remiss to go a week without mentioning that we have indeed discovered time travel here in America. Yes, it is 2007 all over again. That nasty crisis, Fannie, Lehman, AIG, and Merrill never happened. It is all better now. The ‘Great Recession’ is long in the rear view mirror and we can party just like it is…1999? Or maybe 1929? There has to be something going on with all those 9s.

So this week we’ll see if in fact we really have travelled through time and if this is in fact the ‘brave new world’ spoken so unabashedly by the mainstream press and flat-line EEG economic experts. We’ll let the statistics (biases and all) speak for themselves. Is it all glitz and glamour or should we in fact be asking for a refund on TARP, TSLF, QE, and every other alphabet soup government program/entity created to protect us from our own greed and even further, to keep us out of the next mess? If you really think that is going to work, just go find the nearest Greek immigrant and ask them how things are going back in the homeland. If you can’t find a Greek, a Spaniard or Italian will also suffice. 

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Economics

Friday, March 08, 2013

What to Expect from February U.S. Jobs Report / Economics / Employment

By: Money_Morning

Diane Alter writes: Expect a disappointing jobs report for February thanks to higher taxes and sequestration fears that put companies' hiring plans on hold last month.

Economists expect nonfarm payrolls to show a gain of 160,000 jobs in February, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 7.9%, when the Labor Department releases the February jobs report tomorrow (Friday) at 8:30 a.m.

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Economics

Thursday, March 07, 2013

US Recession Began in Mid-2012 / Economics / Recession 2013

By: Bloomberg

Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, told Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on "Bloomberg Surveillance" this morning that a U.S. recession "began around the middle of last year.

Achuthan said, "the entire West is in the yo-yo years. They have all been having growth stair stepping down. It is very weak growth with higher cycle volatility which will give you more frequent recessions."

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Economics

Thursday, March 07, 2013

Can Japan's Bernanke Revive Japanese Econcomy With Another Round of "Easy Money"? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I think I hear the sounds of helicopter engines warming up in Tokyo.

Newly elected 2nd time Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has officially tapped Haruhiko Kuroda as the next head of the Bank of Japan and the financial markets here seem quite pleased.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 06, 2013

An Infinite Amount of Money, Et Tu, Italy? / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Mauldin

The three major blocs of the developed world are careening toward a debt-fueled denouement that will play out over years rather than in a single moment. And contrary to some opinion, there is no certain ending. There are multiple paths still available to Europe and especially the US, though admittedly none of them are bright and carefree. There are very few paths available to Japan, as they have skipped too far down the yellow brick road of debt. None of Japan’s remaining paths have good endings. In the US, even as numerous voices declaim on the crisis that awaits if we don’t act, there is seemingly no collective will to actually do anything as yet. Perhaps it will take… a crisis. In Europe, the peripheral countries can already be said to be in crisis.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 06, 2013

Banksters Obtuseness, And What Might Be Done About It? / Economics / Banksters

By: Brian_Bloom

The world economy has become moribund. “Money” does not power the economy. It merely acts as grease for the economic wheels. For some reason, the banksters are obtusely refusing to see this. Perhaps they don’t fully understand. Perhaps the lobby groups who are influencing political decisions don’t want them to see/understand. Perhaps they do understand but don’t know what to do about it. Whilst the Long Economic Wave may be bottoming – at least in the US – the next “upswing” will very likely not resemble previous upswings. There has been a chronic dilution of the potency of the forces that drove the Industrial Revolution which commenced in the mid 1700s. In this context, we cannot apply historical thought paradigms to future planning. A new mindset must evolve. The longer it takes for the decision makers to recognise this, the more difficult it is going to become to address the core issues.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 05, 2013

Europe, Unemployment and Instability / Economics / Unemployment

By: STRATFOR

The global financial crisis of 2008 has slowly yielded to a global unemployment crisis. This unemployment crisis will, fairly quickly, give way to a political crisis. The crisis involves all three of the major pillars of the global system -- Europe, China and the United States. The level of intensity differs, the political response differs and the relationship to the financial crisis differs. But there is a common element, which is that unemployment is increasingly replacing finance as the central problem of the financial system.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 05, 2013

Clues to the Health of the World Economy from Tourism Trends / Economics / Global Economy

By: Andrew_Butter

U.S. Outbound and Dubai-Inbound Compared - Leaving aside the hangover from the debt bubble, not yet even half cured  by the cocktail of QE flavored with the bitter spice of austerity…life goes on.

One way to get a feeling for the pulse of the economy that exists outside of borders, literally, in the stratosphere, or close-by, is to look at how much of that apparently soon-to-be-worthless fiat-money real-people are spending on travel internationally.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 05, 2013

Why America Will Be the Next Japan / Economics / US Economy

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: The media is harping on about how the U.S. is well on its way to recovery. Well, I don’t agree—the country’s economy is slowing. In the fourth quarter, gross domestic product (GDP) growth based on the second estimate expanded at 0.1%; this is above the -0.1% reading in the first estimate, but nonetheless, it’s below consensus, which estimated the economy would grow 0.5%. I’m not sure how the 0.5% growth was arrived at, but the concerns of the fiscal cliff in the fourth quarter clearly made consumers think twice about spending. Of course, the government also saw its spending curtailed due to the debt limit and pending sequester.

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