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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Europe Teetering the Ddge of a "Japan-style" Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

The Continent is now teetering on the edge of a "Japan-style" deflation. Here's our take on it.

It's happened. The one economic comparison Europe has dreaded more than any other; the name that's akin to Lord Voldemort for investors has been uttered: "deflation."

And it's not just "deflation." You can still spin that term in a positive light if you get creative enough. Say, for example,

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Economics

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Economists Economic Atonement / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Peter_Schiff

This Friday is Yom Kippur, the day when Jews around the world ask forgiveness for their transgressions from the year past. Rabbis remind the penitent to dwell on their sins of omission, in which they did nothing when a more thoughtful and proactive action was needed, and sins of commission, in which they actively participated in an unjust action. And while not all economists are Jewish, Gene Epstein the economics editor at Barron's, offered his thoughts on how this applies to the group.

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Economics

Monday, September 29, 2014

The Japanese Deflation Myth and the Yen’s Slump / Economics / Japan Economy

By: MISES

Brendan Brown writes: The slide of the yen since late summer has brought it to a level some 40 percent lower against the euro and US dollar than just two years go. Yet still Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his central bank chief Haruhiko Kuroda warn that they have not won the battle against deflation. That caution is absurd — all the more so in view of the fact that there was no deflation in the first place.

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Economics

Friday, September 26, 2014

Where’s the Economic Growth? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

In 1633 Galileo Galilei, then an old man, was tried and convicted by the Catholic Church of the heresy of believing that the earth revolved around the sun. He recanted and was forced into house arrest for the rest of his life, until 1642. Yet “The moment he [Galileo] was set at liberty, he looked up to the sky and down to the ground, and, stamping with his foot, in a contemplative mood, said, Eppur si muove, that is, still it moves, meaning the earth” (Giuseppe Baretti in his book the The Italian Library, written in 1757).

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Economics

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

10 Things That Affect Your Purchasing Power / Economics / Inflation

By: Harry_Dent

Rodney Johnson writes: This might be considered “wonkish,” but it tells the story of how middle-class purchasing power has suffered since 2007.

Recently, the Federal Reserve released the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF). This tri-annual survey is a treasure trove of information that provides a snapshot into the financial life of the median American in inflation-adjusted 2013 dollars. Notice that I said “median” and not “average”… that’s important.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

The Poison Eating at the Heart of Macroeconomics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

Mario Draghi, in one of his latest speeches, prodded governments to ease austerity to spur aggregate demand (an oxymoron). The IMF director, Christine Lagarde, recently urged the ECB to continue its easy monetary policy until aggregate demand picks up. U.S. Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew, has, for years, suggested government actions to boost aggregate demand. He has in turn lectured Germany, Japan, and China on the need to encourage demand.  It is sad that such economic nonsense is constantly promoted by some of the world’s most influential people, including many leading economists, and that this continues to serve as the foundation of much of contemporary macroeconomic theory.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Why Stalling Loans in Our Banking Economy is a Good Thing / Economics / Credit Crisis 2014

By: Harry_Dent

Rodney Johnson writes: Part of the story about subprime mortgages during the U.S. banking economy of the 1990s and 2000s centers on the Community Reinvestment Act — through which Congress required lending institutions lend more in poor neighborhoods.

There is a question as to how much this drove lenders to extend credit to people who couldn’t afford it.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Regime Uncertainty Weighs on U.S. Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Shortly after the current Great Recession started, I wrote a Globe Asia column, “A Great Depression?” (December 2008). In it, I stressed the findings contained in Robert Higgs’ important book Depression, War and Cold War: Studies in Political Economy (Oxford University Press, 2006). Higgs concluded that, because of regime uncertainty, investors were afraid to commit funds to new projects. They simply didn’t know what President Roosevelt and the New Dealers would do next.          

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Economics

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Will the U.S. Economy Go Into Hibernation, Again? / Economics / US Economy

By: Investment_U

Rachel Gearhart writes: The impact of this year’s bitter winter on the economy can be seen in this week’s chart. The chart compares the Citigroup U.S. Economic Surprise Index for 2014 to the average of 2010-2013.

The index compares actual market data to market expectations.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

The Great Depression, World War II, And What They Really Mean / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Rubino

Nearly a century after the fact, the Great Depression remains THE object lesson for virtually every branch of economics. To monetarists the fact that the US money supply fell by nearly a third in the 1930s illustrates the need for a central bank to maintain steady money growth. To Keynesians the Depression’s depth and duration proved that capitalist systems are inherently unstable and need a big, powerful government to manage them. World War II, in this framework, saved the US economy from permanent 25% unemployment.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Emerging Markets Are Set Up for a Crisis, What’s on Your Radar Screen? / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: John_Mauldin

Toward the end of every week I begin to ponder what I should write about in the next Thoughts from the Frontline. Much of my week is spent in front of my iPad or computer, consuming as much generally random information as time and the ebb and flow of life will allow. I cannot remember a time in my life after I realized you could read and learn new things that that particular addiction has not been my constant companion.

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Economics

Monday, September 15, 2014

Preparing for the Full Force of Reality / Economics / US Economy

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The real economy is suffering and getting worse by the day. The imbalances created by giant finance will not go away, regardless of intervention.  There is an odd phenomenon at work. Society is now fully accustomed to the disbelieving the gap.
 
Yesterday, things were going well. The market went up in spite of itself. Tomorrow ought to be the same.  Everything must be fine.
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Economics

Sunday, September 14, 2014

The Ethics of Entrepreneurship and Profit / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Hans-Hermann Hoppe writes: In the most fundamental sense we are all, with each of our actions, always and invariably profit-seeking entrepreneurs.

Whenever we act, we employ some physical means (things valued as goods) — at a minimum our body and its standing room, but in most cases also various other, “external” things — so as to divert the “natural” course of events (the course of events we expect to happen if we were to act differently) in order to reach some more highly valued anticipated future state of affairs instead. With every action we aim at substituting a more favorable future state of affairs for a less favorable one that would result if we were to act differently. In this sense, with every action we seek to increase our satisfaction and attain a psychic profit. “To make profits is invariably the aim sought by any action,” as Ludwig von Mises has stated it. (Mises, 1966, p. 289)

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Economics

Friday, September 12, 2014

Illusioned by the Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Europe’s economy is at a standstill. This summer was full of critical developments in the Eurozone: In June, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to move into the territory of negative real interest rates! The deposit rate, which already was at 0%, was cut to minus 0.10%. Additionally, its refinancing rate was cut from 0.25% to 0.15%, and its marginal lending facility dropped to 0.4%. This was one of a package of measures the ECB said it was considering to combat disinflation in the Eurozone and give the economy a push. Due to the continued dim outlook of the economy, the ECB further reduced the deposit rate to minus 0.20% and the refinancing rate to 0.05% in early September.

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Economics

Thursday, September 11, 2014

The Myanmar Shadow / Economics / Asian Economies

By: John_Mauldin

By Grant Williams

Before we kick things off this week, I want to give you a quick update on Real Vision Television in response to a ton of emails I have received on the subject.

(If you missed my recent piece on Real Vision (Vision Quest, TTMYGH, July 7, 2014) you can read it by clicking on the link.)

Real Vision will launch on September 8th, and if you have already signed up and registered your interest, you will soon be receiving an invitation to become one of our Founder Members. The opening will be staggered to ensure that the site is robust, so don’t panic if you aren’t among the first to receive your invite. We will be rolling the red carpet out as fast as we can whilst ensuring that the heavy traffic doesn’t crash the website.

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