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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, March 05, 2015

Understanding True Credit and False Credit / Economics / Credit Crisis 2015

By: Frank_Shostak

There are two kinds of credit: that which would be offered in a market economy with sound money and banking (true credit), and that which is made possible only through a system of central banking, artificially low interest rates, and fractional reserves (false credit).

Banks cannot expand true credit as such. All that they can do in reality is to facilitate the transfer of a given pool of savings from savers (i.e., those lending to the bank) to borrowers.

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Economics

Thursday, March 05, 2015

Spock, Debt and the Kingdom of Denmark / Economics / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: John_Mauldin

In Thoughts from the Frontline, I am in the middle of writing a series on debt. I realized on Sunday that the second installment wasn’t ready for prime time, so I will work on it some more and send it out (hopefully) this coming weekend. In the meantime, in keeping with the theme of debt, for today’s Outside the Box we have the following issue of The Credit Strategist from the ever-insightful Michael Lewitt. Michael starts out musing on debt and then shares a number of useful thoughts on a variety of market topics, with his usual panache.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Is Japan Zimbabwe? Could Japan go Hyperinflation? / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Axel_Merk

Is Japan Zimbabwe? How preposterous: Japan is an advanced economy that cannot possibly suffer the same fate as Zimbabwe. Right? Or could Japan get hyperinflation? Below I explain why Japan, and with it investors' portfolios, might be at risk.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

BLS CPI Lie - How's That Dsflation Working Out for You? / Economics / Inflation

By: James_Quinn

The BLS put out their monthly CPI lie last week. They issued the proclamation that inflation is dead. Did you know your costs are 0.1% lower than they were one year ago. They then used these deflation numbers to proclaim your real wages soared last month. It’s all good. The American consumer is so flush with cash, they decided to spend less money for the second month in a row. The Wall Street shysters are so happy with declining consumer spending, declining corporate profits, and a global recession, they pushed the NASDAQ up to 5,000 for the first time in 15 years. Hey!!! That was the year 2000. Things really got better after that milestone.

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Economics

Monday, March 02, 2015

The CPI Lag in Disguise / Economics / Inflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Here’s another reader’s original and inspired perspective on the short term effects of consumer price inflation and how it differs from the inflation in speculative finance. This latter type of inflation will ultimately break the system and the currency.

Reader Dan pointed out:

“Regardless of the fluctuations in paper currency values, (which are basically measured against the value of gold), precious metals tend to retain their value in the long run as determined by their calculated exchange rates for goods and services.

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Economics

Friday, February 27, 2015

Why Expectations for Future Global Business Activity are Plunging / Economics / Global Economy

By: EWI

Enjoy an excerpt from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International

Editor's note: This article is excerpted from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent market-forecasting firm (data through December 2014). You can download the full, 53-page report here -- 100% free.

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Economics

Thursday, February 26, 2015

The Fed Waited Too Long: Here Comes Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: EconMatters

CPI Core Shows Inflation
The drop in energy prices, had the knee jerk reaction that we were in a deflationary spiral, again markets get many things wrong on first blush. The drop in energy prices is inflationary in the overall economy, and today`s CPI report showed what a sophisticated analysis would forecast regarding inflation and the role that low energy prices play in the overall inflation equation. We are going to have a transfer from the food and energy components which rely heavily on energy costs into the core inflation reading as consumers have more money in their pockets for true discretionary spending, and all these components` prices are going to rise in the CPI Inflation Index. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Ukraine Hyperinflation as Currency Plunges 44% in One Week! / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

... Actual Black Market Rates; Poroshenko Gives 'Ultimatum' to Central Bank to Fix Exchange Rate

I hear various reports of what the hryvnia actually trades for on the black market in Ukraine. I believe the reports, but they come in piece-mail.

Today, I have an actual black market link to share thanks to reader Oleg from Crimea.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

From London to China - Where is Today's Skyscraper Curse? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

Super tall buildings, or skyscrapers, are being built at an astonishing rate. Ninety-seven buildings that exceed 200 meters (656 feet) high were constructed in 2014, setting a new record. The previous record was eighty-one buildings completed in 2011. The total number of skyscrapers in existence now is 935, a whopping 350 percent increase since the year 2000.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

U.S. Real Estate Economy Too Many Houses, Not Enough Jobs / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Rubino

Today’s existing home sales report was down another 4.9% to an annual rate of 4.82 million units, the lowest in nearly a year. And this, remember, is in the sixth year of a recovery with reported unemployment below 6% and the Fed preparing to raise interest rates to head off incipient overheating.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

The Great Recession Redux / Economics / Great Recession

By: Michael_Pento

We are fast approaching the time when it will become obvious to all that mortally-wounded economies cannot be resuscitated by a massive increase in credit from central banks. Nations that suffer from tremendous capital imbalances, debt capacities and asset bubbles cannot be healed by printing money. Quantitative easing and zero percent interest rates have the ability to provide GDP growth that is merely illusory and ephemeral. This is because it can temporarily levitate equity, real estate and bond prices, which causes an artificial boom in employment and consumption. But the "benefits" of making the cost of money free has its limits, and it also comes with dire consequences.

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Kazakhstan holding hands with Russia, Braces up for Economic Crisis / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Pravda

The collapse of oil prices that has already eaten much of the income of both Russian and American corporations has reached Kazakhstan. The economic crisis is looming over another member of the Customs Union. Is there a threat to the Customs Union during the period of the economic hardship? What does the Kazakh administration do to avoid the crisis?

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Inflation is Dead, Long Live Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Submissions

Nicholas Migiliaccio writes: This is a composite index composed of securities whose movements tend to anticipate the subsequent commencing and movement of Inflation and Deflation.

In this illustration, the manifestation of Deflation, is subtracted from the manifestation of Inflation, and the remainder is displayed graphically.

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Why the U.S. Workforce Still Shrinks as Job Growth Rises / Economics / Employment

By: EWI

A significant hint of economic softening is the slight decline in average hourly earnings in December. It came despite "a healthy 252,000 increase in jobs. Economists are struggling to explain the phenomenon," says the Associated Press. "I can't find a plausible empirical or theoretical explanation for why hourly wages would drop when for nine months we've been adding jobs at a robust pace," says a perplexed economist.

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Economics

Saturday, February 21, 2015

What Uber Could Teach the American Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

When I travel around the country, one of the questions that comes up often in conversation is, where will the jobs of the future come from? I have a stock answer that I glibly offer:

In 1980, the Japanese were beating our brains out. Inflation was well into the double digits, as was unemployment. Finding a job was hard (I know), as one industry after another was being reconfigured and jobs seemed to be disappearing left and right. The answer to the question “Where will the jobs come from?” back then was “I don’t know, but they will.”

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