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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Stimulus and Full Employment, Averting the Great Depression Again / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn multiple posts Paul Krugman is saying "I told you so". For example, please consider Nobody Could Have Predicted

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Economics

Saturday, September 04, 2010

Economic Suicide as Economies and the Middle Class are Taxed to Death / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs our socialist progressive leaders in the developed world murder wealth creation, the middle class and our economies under the guise of saving them.  Capitalism is now dead in the lands of its birth because there are NO REWARDS for saving, investing, starting a business, hiring an employee, taking a risk or working your ass off to get ahead. 

The rewards for doing so now go to GOVERNMENT, public serpents and their supporters to redistribute to themselves and to the desperate, useful idiots who support them (because they do not have the education required to know not to).  As the something-for-nothings in society turn to government to save them more torture lays ahead.

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Economics

Saturday, September 04, 2010

U.S. Government Policy Caused America's Unemployment Crisis / Economics / US Economy

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe unemployment rate has risen again for the the first time in 4 months. I predicted a growing, long-term unemployment problem last year.

Indeed, even after the government plays with the numbers to make them look better (using inaccurate birth-death models and other tricks-of-the-trade), this is how the current jobs downturn compares with other post-WWII recessions:

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

Weighing In On the Week’s Economic Reports! / Economics / US Economy

By: Sy_Harding

The stock market this week is saying I was wrong in warning in last week’s column that we might already be back in recession in this, the third quarter of the year.

I have to agree that the alarming trend of worsening economic reports since May seemed to turn a bit more mixed with this week’s reports.

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

U.S. Unemployment Rises to 9.6%, A Look Beneath the Surface / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning the BLS reported a decrease of 64,000 jobs. However, that reflects a decrease of 114,000 temporary census workers.

Excluding the census effect, government lost 7,000 jobs. Were the trend to continue, this would be a good thing because Firing Public Union Workers Creates Real Jobs.

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

Bad Monetary Policy Is Redundant / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge F. Smith writes: A great thinker once wrote that "all things useful are of such a nature that where there is too much of them they must either do harm, or at any rate be of no use, to their possessors."[1]

Having experienced the harmful results of a paper currency manufactured at will, early US statesmen tried to forbid it from ever happening again. Article I, Section 10 of the Constitution specified that no state shall "make any Thing but gold and silver Coin a Tender in Payment of Debts," while the

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

If a Pure Market Economy Is So Good, Why Doesn't It Exist? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEdward Stringham and Jeffrey Rogers Hummel writes: If a pure market economy is so good, why does it not already exist? If governments are so bad, why are they dominant throughout the world today? Indeed, is the widespread adoption of free markets ever likely to occur?

Many recent authors, including Tyler Cowen,[1] Cowen and Daniel Sutter,[2] Randall G. Holcombe,[3] and Andrew Rutten[4] question the feasibility of a pure libertarian society.[5] They maintain that such a system cannot arise or persist because some people will always have both the incentive and the ability to use force against others. These authors offer several reasons why, even if society starts out in a perfect libertarian world without any states (as Murray Rothbard and others advocate),[6] competing groups will eventually form a coercive government.

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

Neo-Keynesian's, Signs of an Evil Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Richard_Daughty

I am standing on the corner of the street, doing my duty to "give back" to society, in this case by yelling at morons passing by in the cars, "We're freaking doomed, you moron! Your own stupid government has destroyed you by letting the foul, fetid, festering Federal Reserve create too much money that they stupidly, stupidly, stupidly did as part of the stupid neo-Keynesian econometric theoretical lunacy that has mesmerized them, so that a shiny computer in front of a neo-Keynesian econometric economist is like a shiny toy in front of a monkey, and which has mesmerized the Fed and the government for similar reasons, and with similar results, in that the toy is now broken, the monkey cut its hand on the broken toy, the cut is infected, and there is a good chance that the monkey will die a horrible, painful death! Hahaha! How do you like them apples? Horrible, painful death! We're freaking doomed, including you and your hotshot car with the radio turned up real loud, trying to drown me out! And stop honking at me! I have rights, you moron!"

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Economics

Thursday, September 02, 2010

Is Asia’s Economic Rebound Sustainable? / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Investment_U

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTony Daltorio writes: The United States is fretting about the possibility of a double-dip recession. Europe is looking for signs of the next sovereign debt default crisis. And Asia…

Well, Asia has no such worries. This year, economies from the Indian subcontinent to Australia – though not Japan – will expand by 8.6%, their fastest pace in 20 years!

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Economics

Thursday, September 02, 2010

U.S. Economic Recovery Collapses / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecent weeks have seen a collapse in US home sales, a weakening of manufacturing activity, an upward trend in jobless benefit claims and, on Friday, a downward revision of second-quarter gross domestic product growth from 2.4 percent to 1.6 percent.

The latter figure is far below the rate of economic expansion needed to bring down unemployment, now at its highest levels since the Great Depression. On the contrary, the sharp slowdown in economic growth heralds a further rise in the jobless rate.

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Economics

Thursday, September 02, 2010

Fed Engineering a Delebrate State of Slow Economic Collapse / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlmost two years ago the US Treasury was selling large amounts of short-term Treasury bills to fund bailouts and stimulus. That caused a major increase in debt. Most of that paper was 2-year bills and it is coming due for rollover shortly. While that transpires, October will report the annual fiscal deficit of 9/30/10 of about $1.5 trillion, a figure thought impossible just 1-1/2 to 2 years ago.

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Economics

Thursday, September 02, 2010

I Renounce Monetarism, That Money Supply is a Leading Indicator for Aggregate Demand / Economics / Money Supply

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMonetarism, the notion that the behavior of some definition of the money supply is a leading indicator of aggregate demand, is akin to malaria. Once it is in your "system," it is very difficult to totally purge it from your system. Early in my career, I was strongly sympathetic toward monetarism. In the late 1990s, I was introduced to the Austrian school of economics, in particular, the Austrian theory of the business cycle (ATBC). I was immediately sympathetic to the ATBC because bank credit played such an important role in it.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Quantitative Easing, Money Velocity Inflationary Armageddon / Economics / Inflation

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The crucial passage comes in Chapter 17 entitled "Velocity". Each big inflation -- whether the early 1920s in Germany, or the Korean and Vietnam wars in the US -- starts with a passive expansion of the quantity of money. This sits inert for a surprisingly long time. Asset prices may go up, but latent price inflation is disguised. The effect is much like lighter fuel on a camp fire before the match is struck.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Inflation, Rounding Up the Culprits of Rising Prices / Economics / Inflation

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom Bloomberg.com we get the bad news that "Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said inflation is likely to exceed the UK government's upper 3% limit in coming months as higher sales taxes drive gains in consumer prices," which "rose 3.1% in July from a year earlier after climbing 3.2% in June."

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Economics

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Hyperinflation vs. Inflation: Understand the Difference / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Hyperinflation and inflation may share the same root, but they're two entirely different trees.  While many assume that hyperinflation is just inflation's oversized cousin, there is much more to hyperinflation than most are aware.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Economic Death By Globalism, Economists Haven’t a Clue / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHave economists made themselves irrelevant? If you have any doubts, have a look at the current issue of the magazine, International Economy, a slick endorsed by former Federal Reserve chairmen Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan, by Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, by former Secretary of State George Shultz, and by the New York Times and Washington Post, both of which declare the magazine to be “ahead of the curve.”

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Economics

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

The Economic Dark Darkside of the M&A Boom / Economics / Mergers & Acquisitions

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: With its $39 billion hostile bid for Canada's Potash Corp. (NYSE: POT), mining giant BHP Billiton Ltd. (NYSE ADR: BHP) capped an active August in the mergers-and-acquisitions market.

With the moribund growth prospects of the U.S. economy, there would seem to be no great urgency for companies to go on an M&A spree, yet the total value of announced buyout deals for August alone has topped $175 billion.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

The Backward Slide into Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Whitney

Ongoing deleveraging has slowed personal consumption and trimmed 2nd quarter GDP to a revised 1.6%. The economy is sliding backwards into recession. As Obama's fiscal stimulus dries up and the private sector slashes spending,  demand will continue to collapse pushing more businesses and households into default.  The economy is now caught in a reinforcing downward cycle in which dwindling fiscal and monetary support is shrinking the money supply triggering a slowdown in activity in the broader economy.

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Economics

Monday, August 30, 2010

All Major Banks Oppose Honest Reporting To Hide Huge Loan Losses / Economics / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReader "Henry" has a question on the loan loss provision chart I posted in Former Fed Vice Chairman vs. Mish: Is the Fed Out of Ammo?

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Economics

Monday, August 30, 2010

Partial Equilibrium Economic Analysis, Part I / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the many tools available to economists and analysts in determining the suitability of fiscal or economic policy is partial equilibrium (PE) analysis. However, many scoff at the notion of using partial equilibrium simply because many of its assumptions are deemed to be too unrealistic. However, for taking a look at the potential benefits (or costs) of a policy such as a tax on a single good, PE is a very valid construct. One of the biggest hot button topics these days in nearly every state is how to raise revenue (rather than cutting costs). One of the traditional cash cows for states is in the form of gasoline taxes. The same goes for the Federal government in this regard. However, as we all know, simply arbitrarily and capriciously taxing a product is not necessarily efficient. In fact it usually isn’t.

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