Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Premature Excitement that the Recession is Over / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
The good news is the recession is over.
Well not quite, not just yet. However, so many are cheering the event in advance that I put on my party hat, tooted my horns, threw confetti, and I even launched bottle rockets in celebration. It was a sight to behold.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Strip Club Depression / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Submissions
Doug French writes: Strip clubs are the ultimate boom time creation. After all, the business model rests on masses of men overpaying for cocktails while overpaying lithesome young women to bump and grind on their laps – all of this after paying an exorbitant charge just to enter the building.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Obama's Sure-fire Formula For Rising Interest Rates and Accelerating Inflation / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Gerard_Jackson
The US economy is facing a challenging time for which Americans can thank the Fed's appalling monetary mismanagement, not to mention the lousy economics of the economics profession that is telling us that what the Good Ol' US of A needs now is damn good dose of inflation. In the meantime the Obama administration's spending spree would shame a bunch of drunken sailors. At least sailors spend their own money.
Monday, June 15, 2009
The $3.6 Trillion Leveraged Loan Wall of Debt / Economics / US Debt
By: Mike_Shedlock
The Deal Magazine has an interesting discussion about That Worrying Wall Of Debt.
Saturday, June 13, 2009
The Bankers Are Scared, Are You? / Economics / Money Supply
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: "What, me worry?"
From its beginning in 1954, the official representative of Mad Magazine has been Alfred E. Newman. He is a dim-witted looking fellow, always smiling. His slogan is, "What, me worry?"
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Friday, June 12, 2009
The Coming Economic Collapse Part3 / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Graham_Summers
Over the last two essays, we’ve detailed:
- How the US outsourced its job market starting in 1971
- The US’s economic shift from manufacturing to financial services
- The rise of credit as a means to maintaining one’s quality of life
Friday, June 12, 2009
The Coming Economic Collapse Part2 / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Graham_Summers
Today’s essay is part two of our three part series detailing the ongoing collapse of the US economy with a focus on why this coming fall will prove the “worst is over” crowd wrong yet again. On Friday we detailed three major developments. They were:
Friday, June 12, 2009
UK Economy Promising Signs of Business Confidence Rises Again / Economics / UK Economy
By: Lloyds_TSB
Lloyds TSB Business Barometer ‘monthly snapshot’ for May shows:
Business confidence improved for the third consecutive month
Surge in number of firms expecting better business conditions this year
Firms regain faith in UK economic prospects
Trend in increasing confidence should continue through next few months
Friday, June 12, 2009
The Coming Economic Collapse Pt1 / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Graham_Summers
Yesterday I outlined how the mainstream financial media is completely overlooking the similarities between this latest rally and the one leading into the summer of 2008.
Thursday, June 11, 2009
UK Trade Deficit Widens to £3.0 Billion / Economics / UK Economy
By: ONS
The UK’s deficit on trade in goods and services was £3.0 billion in April, compared with the deficit of £2.7 billion in March (originally published as a deficit of £2.5 billion).
The surplus on trade in services was £4.0 billion, compared with a surplus of £3.8 billion in March.
Thursday, June 11, 2009
Goldman Forecasts China Economy in the Ascendency / Economics / China Economy
By: Richard_Shaw
Goldman Sachs now forecasts that the China economy will overtake the US as the world’s largest economy by 2027. Several emerging market countries are predicted by Goldman to overtake key developed market countries in the not too distant future.
Thursday, June 11, 2009
Worst of the U.S. Recession Over / Economics / US Economy
By: Pravda
Oil prices soared above $71 a barrel Wednesday to reach a 2009 high, as investors poured money into crude markets to protect themselves against the inflation risks posed by a weakening U.S. dollar.
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Thursday, June 11, 2009
Bankrupt Britain's Public Sector Double Dip Debt Recession on Deep Spending Cuts / Economics / UK Economy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Andrew Lansley, the Shadow Health Secretary made the fatal mistake on Wednesday of telling the public the truth on Tory spending plans following the next election, which as we have seen by the expenses scandal is a big NO, NO when it comes to politicians. The truth that he soon backtracked upon was the fact that the Conservatives WILL make severe cuts in public spending of at least 10% across the board, regardless of the subsequent diatribe emanating out of the Conservative party to hide this fact.
Wednesday, June 10, 2009
NIESR Reports UK Recession Over, Economic Recovery Underway / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream 'respected' forecasting organisation, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) reported earlier today that it believed that Britain's economic depression bottomed in March and that economic output across the economy rose in April 09 by 0.2% and by 0.1% in May 2009, which follows my own analysis of a stabilising economy a week ago which was also emailed to the NIESR forecasting organisation.
Wednesday, June 10, 2009
Is the U.S. Economy Heading for a “Jobless Recovery?” / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
Don Miller writes: Could the U.S. economy be looking at a “jobless recovery?”
After the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression reached its apex late last year, the U.S. economy has shown signs of life in recent months. Stock prices have soared.
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Wednesday, June 10, 2009
A Tale of Two Diverging Economic Worlds / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: F_William_Engdahl
Increasingly a deep divide within the world of globalization is emerging which will have the most profound significance for the future of G7 nations’ economic and political stability. The divide is between those nations which are still embedded within the dollar system, including countries in the Eurozone, versus those emerging economies—especially the BRIC—Brazil, Russia, India, China—where new economic markets and regions are rapidly replacing their over-dependence on the United States as prime export market and prime source for investment finance. The long-term consequences will be an aggravation of the trend of the United States as a political and economic superpower in terminal decline, while dynamic new economic zones, initially mainly of regional importance, will arise.
Wednesday, June 10, 2009
What the Dramatic Turn in the U.S. Saving Rate Could Mean to You / Economics / US Economy
By: Money_and_Markets
Claus Vogt writes: During the past few weeks of exciting “green shoot” news, a very important economic statistic has been ignored: The U.S. saving rate.
U.S. citizens have been saving less and less since the early 1980s. And the saving rate even turned negative during the height of the real estate bubble.
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Tuesday, June 09, 2009
Is U.S. Heading for Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation or Deflation? / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Whitney
The Republicans are convinced that hyperinflation is just around the corner, but don't believe it. The real enemy is deflation, which is why Fed chief Bernanke has taken such extraordinary steps to pump liquidity into the system. The economy is flat on its back and hemorrhaging a half a million jobs per month. The housing market is crashing, retail sales are in a funk, manufacturing is down, exports are falling, and consumers have started saving for the first time in decades. There's excess capacity everywhere and aggregate demand has dropped off a cliff. If it wasn't for the Fed's monetary stimulus and myriad lending facilities, the economy would be stretched out on a marble slab right now. So, where's the inflation? Here's Paul Krugman with part of the answer:
Tuesday, June 09, 2009
The Consequences of Weak Dollar and Economic Stimulus Has Started to Arrive / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Michael_Pento
The consequences of adopting a weak dollar and inflationary monetary policy to bail out the economy have begun to manifest themselves, although the real effects of the government’s $12.8 trillion dollar recovery plan have only just started to show up. Investors should not be surprised to learn that the commitments, guarantees, and prodigal spending of the past two Administrations have come with harrowing consequences. Surprising or not, these painful consequences are just beginning to appear and are rather insidious in nature.
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Tuesday, June 09, 2009
Lessons for Economists on Deflationary, Deleveraging Recessions / Economics / Economic Theory
By: John_Mauldin
There is a debate in academic circles on the lessons of the current economic crisis. While most ivory tower debates are of little concern to our daily affairs, this debate should concern you, as it will inform those who hold central bank and political power. Remember, there is no playbook of rules for what to do in deflationary, deleveraging recessions. They are making it up as they go along.