Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Get Ready for Startling CPI Inflation Data this October / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
Get ready to be hit by some startling inflation data. The data soon to be released by the government will put a dagger through the hearts of those who are predicting a protracted period of deflation. Wall Street and Washington are telling you inflation isn’t something we need to be concerned about for years to come. The truth is starting this October the reported Consumer Price Inflation data will become ugly. That is because the year over year comparisons of energy and commodity prices become very unfavorable.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
There is No Recession, This is Planned Financial Demolition / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Whitney
Credit is not flowing. In fact, credit is contracting. That means things aren't getting better; they're getting worse. When credit contracts in a consumer-driven economy, bad things happen. Business investment drops, unemployment soars, earnings plunge, and GDP shrinks. The Fed has spent more than a trillion dollars trying to get consumers to start borrowing again, but without success. The country's credit engines are grinding to a halt.
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
The Bounce Phase of the Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
By: LewRockwell
Bill Bonner writes: “It looks like things are finally turning around,” said a friend at Saturday night’s dinner.
“Not at all…” we replied.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
No Economic Recovery, United States the Pink Slip Nation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: I don't know when the term "pink slip" originated. The term is at least a century old. It refers to a "your fired" notice.
The American economy shows no signs of reversing its relentless increase in the rate of unemployment. Jobs are disappearing at a rate not seen since the 1981–82 recession.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
The Most Accurate Predictor of Inflation (video) / Economics / Inflation
By: INO
The following video covers inflation, the Achilles heel of the financial markets, and how to really trade like the pros.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Savers Could Derail Britain's Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: MoneyWeek
Is our economy recovering? And is the United States about to snap back into growth mode?
If so, then the recent stock market rallies make some sense.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Russia Denies $5 Billion Secret Energy Loan to Ukraine / Economics / Russia
By: Pravda
Russia is not going to give credits to Ukraine to purchase Russian natural gas. Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko asked a five-billion-dollar loan from the Russian Federation in February of the current year. It was later reported that Russia supposedly agreed to provide such a loan if Ukraine spent $3 billion of the amount to purchase Russia’s natural gas. However, the government of Ukraine rejected the information in May.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
US Consumer Credit Shows Steepest Contraction in 5 Decades / Economics / US Debt
By: Mike_Shedlock
Please consider Monday morning's Breakfast With Dave regarding an unprecedented drop in consumer credit.
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Slow Long-Term Economic Growth, And Government's Response / Economics / Economic Theory
By: John_Mauldin
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible.
Monday, August 10, 2009
Is Everything You Learned about the Great Depression Wrong? / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Q1_Publishing
What if I asked you to forget everything you ever learned about the Great Depression?
You’d say I was crazy.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Emerging Market Giants Much Better Risk than California / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: Frank_Holmes
The Battle of the “Bears” - If I told you that an investment in California was riskier than Russia, would that surprise you?
Well according to the current prices for 10-year credit default swaps, Russia is less likely to default on its debt than the state of California.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Economics Weekly, FOMC Meeting and BoE Inflation Report Take Centre Stage / Economics / Global Economy
By: Lloyds_TSB
After last week’s European central bank announcements, attention turns to Wednesday’s US FOMC meeting. We expect an unchanged 0-0.25% federal funds target range and for the policy statement to reiterate that this is likely to continue for an extended period. The statement may also touch on the exit strategy from QE, although the question of timing is likely to remain open. The Bank of Japan also announces its policy decision, amid signs that economic conditions have stopped deteriorating.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
On the Brink of Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Mike_Shedlock
Economist Paul Krugman and Obama's economic adviser Laura Tyson claim U.S. Economy May Be on Brink of Recovery.
Monday, August 10, 2009
Expanding Balance Sheets and Monetizing Debt to Engineer Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo
Economy - Green shoots are starting to sprout all over the place - so say the talking heads, as they spin, spin, spin - adding new dimensions to the ancient craft of whirling dervishes.
When you go out to pick tomatoes or weed the garden this weekend, appreciate the natural beauty of green shoots and how they come to be, both in germination and fruition, and notice what fights hard to take over their place in your garden.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
U.S. Economy, Japan Depression Redux? / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Gerard_Jackson
Quite a few economic commentators are hesitant about the direction of the US economy, uncertain about whether it will stagnate or recover. Some are making gloomy comparisons between the current state of the US and the Japanese economy of the 1990s: others are more optimistic. Overlooked by these commentators is the fact that the monetary policy that generated Japan's 1980s boom is basically the same one generated the US boom of the 1990s and the subsequent bust. In fact, this policy has generated every boom-and-bust cycle I know of. It's called credit expansion.
Sunday, August 09, 2009
U.S. Financial System is Bankrupt, Economy is Spinning Out of Control / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Whitney
The World needs a breather from the US. And they'll get it sooner than many think
We're making this way too complicated. It's simple really.
Sunday, August 09, 2009
Iceland: Lessons to be Learned from The Economic Meltdown / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Global_Research
Eva Joly writes: In the wake of the failure of the Icelandic banks Messrs Brown, Barroso and Strauss-Kahn prove that they have understood nothing.
Sunday, August 09, 2009
Entering the Greatest Economic Depression in History, More Bubbles Waiting to Burst / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Global_Research
Andrew G. Marshall writes: While there is much talk of a recovery on the horizon, commentators are forgetting some crucial aspects of the financial crisis. The crisis is not simply composed of one bubble, the housing real estate bubble, which has already burst. The crisis has many bubbles, all of which dwarf the housing bubble burst of 2008. Indicators show that the next possible burst is the commercial real estate bubble. However, the main event on the horizon is the “bailout bubble” and the general world debt bubble, which will plunge the world into a Great Depression the likes of which have never before been seen.
Sunday, August 09, 2009
Efficient Market Hypothesis Destroying Industry and Forever Blowing Bubbles / Economics / Economic Theory
By: John_Mauldin
Six impossible things before breakfast, or how EMH has damaged our industry
The Dead Parrot of Finance
The Queen of Hearts and impossible beliefs
Slaves of some defunct economist
Prima facie case against EMH -- Forever blowing bubbles
The EMH 'Nuclear Bomb'
The Efficient Market Hypothesis, according to Shiller, is one of the most remarkable errors in the history of economic thought. EMH should be consigned to the dustbin of history. We need to stop teaching it, and brainwashing the innocent. Rob Arnott tells a lovely story of a speech he was giving to some 200 finance professors. He asked how many of them taught EMH - pretty much everyone's hand was up. Then he asked how many of them believed it. Only two hands stayed up!
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Saturday, August 08, 2009
Economic Suicide and the ABC’s of DEPRESSION!, Stocks Bear Market Rally Underway / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Ty_Andros
Many analysts are calling an end to the recession. No way, we are only in a countertrend bounce in economic activity before the next leg DOWN. One has to look no further than the incredible bounces of 50% or more in markets halfway to the lows from 1929 to 1933, or in post-bubble Japan since 1989 to see the parallels. The social welfare states of the G7 and their spawn known as FIAT currency and credit financial systems have just masked the unfolding death of their economies.