Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 22, 2009
Arnold Schwarzenegger Terminates California's Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
Iconic bodybuilder, actor and politician Arnold Schwarzenegger is having really bad times now. The population of California rejected his package to balance the budget in the economically stricken state. A huge ‘black hole’ - $15 billion - appeared in the budget of California. The Californian electorate is seriously concerned about their governor.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Bankrupt Britain's Debt Credit Ratings Crash / Economics / UK Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
On the day when the Government announced a surge in net public borrowing for April 09 totaling £8.5 billion against £1.8 billion a year earlier (the deficit is the difference between what the government earns against what it spends), the S&P credit agency cut Britain's credit worthiness to negative from stable which puts Britain's AAA credit rating into question, the direct impact of which would be that Britain would near immediately be required to pay a higher interest rate on the continuing huge surge of bonds being issued in advance of the 2010 general election, as Labour throws all of the fiscal rules out of the window in an attempt at turning the economy around by 2010 to prevent a Westminister wipeout.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Can President Obama’s Policies Heal the US Economy? / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Submissions
Frank Shostak writes: In his interview with the New York Times on May 3, 2009, President Obama said. I know how to ask good questions of my doctor. But ultimately, he's the guy with the medical degree. So, if he tells me, you know what, you've got such-and-such and you need to take such-and-such, I don't go around arguing with him or go online to see if I can find a better opinion than his.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Fed's Economic Forecast Worsens; Still Ridiculously Optimistic / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
The peak in initial claims might be in but the peak in unemployment is nowhere close. Continuing claims hit 6.66 million, setting a record for the 16th straight week.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
U.S. The Toll Booth Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Submissions
Michael Hudson writes: It looks like bookstores are about to be swamped this summer and fall by advisories which publishers commissioned a year ago, as the economy was going off the rails. The preferred marketing strategy is to offer advice by celebrity insiders on how to restore the happy 1981-2007 era of debt-leveraged price gains for real estate, stocks and bonds. But the Bubble Economy was so debt-leveraged that it cannot reasonably be restored.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Financial Implosion and Economic Stagnation, Back To The Real Economy- Part2 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Global_Research
A Political Economy - Economics in its classical stage, which encompassed the work of both possessive-individualists, like Adam Smith, David Ricardo, Thomas Malthus, and John Stuart Mill, and socialist thinkers such as Karl Marx, was called political economy. The name was significant because it pointed to the class basis of the economy and the role of the state. 39 To be sure, Adam Smith introduced the notion of the “invisible hand” of the market in replacing the former visible hand of the monarch. But, the political-class context of economics was nevertheless omnipresent for Smith and all the other classical economists. In the 1820s, as Marx observed, there were “splendid tournaments” between political economists representing different classes (and class fractions) of society.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Financial Implosion and Economic Stagnation, Back To The Real Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Global_Research
John Bellamy Foster and Fred Magdoff write: But, you may ask, won’t the powers that be step into the breach again and abort the crisis before it gets a chance to run its course? Yes, certainly. That, by now, is standard operating procedure, and it cannot be excluded that it will succeed in the same ambiguous sense that it did after the 1987 stock market crash. If so, we will have the whole process to go through again on a more elevated and more precarious level. But sooner or later, next time or further down the road, it will not succeed… We will then be in a new situation as unprecedented as the conditions from which it will have emerged. —Harry Magdoff and Paul Sweezy (1988) 1
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
One Thought Could Change Your Life / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Michal_Matovcik
One thought could change your life, your wealth, your trading day, your happiness. Mostly they come and go, but few stay. This is something that you can find usefull, it’s not only about trading, but it could change your feeling of the market and make you become more resistant to “green shoots”, government stupidity, manipulation and many other things. There is no need to comply with these thoughts, the purpose is to start thinking.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Economic Recovery or Economy Resetting At Lower Activity Levels? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Whitney
The financial channels are abuzz with talk of a recovery, but we're not out of the woods yet. In fact, the deceleration in the rate of economic decline is not a sign of recovery at all, but proof that the economy is resetting at a lower level of activity. That means the recession will drag on for some time no matter what the Fed does. The problem is the breakdown in the securitzation markets which has cut off the flow of easy credit to consumers and businesses. The credit-freeze has caused a sharp drop in retail, auto sales, furniture, electronics, travel, global trade etc.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
UK CPI Inflation +2.4%, RPI Deflation -1.2% Hits Forecast Target / Economics / Deflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK RPI Inflation data of minus 1.2% for April 09 represents severe deflation in the official data. Whilst the Governments preferred CPI inflation measure has recorded a smaller decline to 2.3% which still stubbornly puts it above the Bank of England's target rate of 2%. RPI deflation is not surprising given the panic interest rate cuts from 5% at the beginning of October 2008 to just 0.5% by the last cut of March 2009, these cuts in interest rates coupled with quantitative easing aka "money printing" to drive down long-term interest rates and hence mortgage rates is resulting in real deflation for those with large mortgages of as much as minus 5%, therefore this is providing for mini 'temporary' cash flow boom for those mortgage holders that have secure employment during the recession and therefore contributing to the summer bounce in house prices.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Could the Weimar Hyperinflation Happen Again in America? / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Global_Research
Ellen Brown writes: “It was horrible. Horrible! Like lightning it struck. No one was prepared. The shelves in the grocery stores were empty. You could buy nothing with your paper money.” – Harvard University law professor Friedrich Kessler on the Weimar Republic hyperinflation (1993 interview)
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Japans Economy Crashes by 4% in 1st Quarter, Discounted by Stealth Stocks Bull Market / Economics / Japan Economy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Japan reported GDP contraction of 4% for the 1st Quarter of 2009 which is the worst fall on record and equates to an annualised crash of 15%. However the fall is less than the widely expected fall of 4.2%, with the stealth stocks bull market continuing to recover from the March lows, which is suggestive of much better data in quarters 2 and 3 of 2009.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Effect of Household Debt Deleveraging on Housing, Consumption and the Stock Market / Economics / US Debt
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are investigating the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco report on Household Deleveraging and Future Consumption Growth.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Debt Crisis Economic End Game, Future Evolution of the Debt-to-GDP Ratio / Economics / Global Economy
By: John_Mauldin
Nearly everyone I talk with has the sense that we are at some critical point in our economic and national paths, not just in the US but in the world. One path will lead us back to relative growth and another set of choices leads us down a path which will put a very real drag on economic growth and recovery. For most of us, there is very little we can do (besides vote and lobby) about the actual choices. What we can do is adjust our personal portfolios to be synchronized with the direction of the economy. The question is "What will that direction be?"
Monday, May 18, 2009
The Country Most Likely Heading for Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation
By: DailyWealth
Tom Dyson writes: Mrs. Watanabe is dumping the yen.
According to a story from Bloomberg this week, Japanese businessmen, housewives, and pensioners are dumping the yen against foreign currencies, especially the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar, and the euro. Women control the family finances in the typical Japanese household, so the international media has nicknamed the Japanese individual investor "Mrs. Watanabe."
Monday, May 18, 2009
The Economy’s Search for a "New Normal" / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Global_Research
Shamus Cooke writes: When the reality of the economic crisis first made itself known, many who realized what was happening dubbed it “the greatest crisis since the Great Depression.” This description was more than bombast; it was a sober analysis of the immensity of the economic problems in the country — problems that had been building up for years.
Monday, May 18, 2009
2009 The Most Challenging Year for World Economies Since WWII / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
With overall global economic growth slowing to a near standstill this year, 2009 will be the most challenging year for economies since World War II, according to an International Monetary Fund report.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
Europes' Economy Crashes by 2.5% in 1st Quarter GDP / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
Europe’s economy contracted at the fastest pace in at least 13 years in the first quarter as companies cut output and jobs to survive the worst global slump in more than six decades.
Gross domestic product in the 16-member euro region dropped 2.5 percent from the fourth quarter, when it fell 1.6 percent, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
Reflation and Stagnation Are Next for the Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Justice_Litle
Mr. Market has begun to show clear signs of split personality disorder in recent weeks. Now that investors have exhaled in relief that a deflationary apocalypse has been avoided, the new reality of reflation and stagnation is sinking in…
“Mr. Market” is starting to show clear signs of split personality disorder.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
Why the Economy Will Recover Differently This Time / Economics / US Economy
By: Hans_Wagner
Eventually the economy will stop declining and start to recover. The manner in which it recovers will provide investors substantial profits if they have a well-founded theme to base their investing strategy. This recession is the result of substantive changes in the economy that will be with us for years to come. Once the recover begins, we should have a good idea how each sector will deal with a stumble along economy. Since the stock market anticipates a recovery by rallying earlier, it is important for investors to be prepared for the changes that are coming.