Monday, March 14, 2016
The Stock Market Crude Oil Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
The price correlation between the Crude and equity Cycles was on full display last week. The only real difference is the relentless nature of Crude’s surge higher. Crude was so oversold and bearish sentiment so elevated, that its march higher from the Investor Cycle Low has been unyielding.
The action appears to be a classic bear market squeeze, as traders who bet big on a continued decline have been forced to cover their Shorts. And in the process, Crude’s mood has quickly turned. The mood was bleak and extremely bearish just a month ago, but we’ve now begun to hear opinions that the bear market has ended and that Crude has seen the bottom.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Gold, Silver, Zika, ZIRP, and NIRP Viruses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
The Zika virus is the newest threat to humanity, especially pregnant women, so they say. Big Pharma is working feverishly to create a vaccine. Chances are the vaccine will be created, highly profitable, and Big Pharma will be “held harmless” for injuries to those who were vaccinated.
Add GM mosquitos, birth defects, Brazilian Olympics, big profits, and the story becomes a huge distraction. John Rappoport has suggested there is more to the story.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
U.S. Inflation Comeback: Did Inflation Ever Go Away? / Economics / Inflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
This is a guest post by Joseph Y. Calhoun at Alhambra Investment Partners. His post starts off with this quote by Stanley Fischer, Fed Vice-Chair in a speech before the National Association for Business Economics.
Says Fischer "We may well at present be seeing the first stirrings of an increase in the inflation rate -- something that we would like to happen."
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Warning From the Bank for International Settlements : The Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is worried that recent ructions in the equities markets could be a sign that another financial crisis is brewing. In a sobering report titled “Uneasy calm gives way to turbulence” the BIS states grimly: “We may not be seeing isolated bolts from the blue but the signs of a gathering storm that has been building for a long time.”
The authors of the report are particularly concerned that the plunge in stock prices and the slowdown in global growth are taking place at the same time that investor confidence in central banks is waning. The Bank Of Japan’s announcement that it planned to introduce negative interest rates (aka–NIRP or negative interest rate policy) in late January illustrates this point. The BOJ hoped that by surprising the market, the policy would have greater impact on borrowing thus generating more growth. But, instead, the announcement set off a “second phase of turbulence” in stock and currency markets as nervous investors sold off risk assets and moved into safe haven bonds. The BOJ’s action was seen by many as act of desperation by a policymaker that is rapidly losing control of the system. According to the BIS:
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Bail-Ins And Negative Interest Rates, The Ultimate Admission Of Failure.... / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Submissions
Mike Hoy writes: ... Cash and Physical Gold, Standing in The Way of a Lifetime of Financial Servitude and Slavery!
For the last several decades, the out-of-control growth of US Government spending when combined with the unlimited printing policies of "The Fed" has set the stage for "The Perfect Storm!"
Anyone with a simple calculator can easily understand how it is virtually impossible for 320,000,000 people to retire a current and rapidly growing debt of $19,000,000,000,000. This is a sum which equates into $60,000 worth of debt per man, woman and child in the US today. Please ignore the fact that half of the population pays no income tax at all. Forget about the $100,000,000,000,000-$200,000,000,000,000 in future entitlement obligations as only a dreamer could believe this debt has any chance of ever being funded with anything other than more worthless paper!!
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Money, Power and Oil. Exposing the Libyan Agenda: A Closer Look at Hillary’s Emails / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Ellen_Brown
Critics have long questioned why violent intervention was necessary in Libya. Hillary Clinton’s recently published emails confirm that it was less about protecting the people from a dictator than about money, banking, and preventing African economic sovereignty.
The brief visit of then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to Libya in October 2011 was referred to by the media as a “victory lap.” “We came, we saw, he died!” she crowed in a CBS video interview on hearing of the capture and brutal murder of Libyan leader Muammar el-Qaddafi.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Stock Buyback Blackout Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We are now entering the blackout period for corporate stock buybacks, the largest purchaser of stocks for the past year. On the left is a chart showing the blackout periods for the past year.
Bloomberg reports, “Demand for U.S. shares among companies and individuals is diverging at a rate that may be without precedent, another sign of how crucial buybacks are in propping up the bull market as it enters its eighth year.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
American's Voting To Destroy The Establishment / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: James_Quinn
“I know that history is going to be dominated by an improbable event, I just don’t know what that event will be.” ― Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Nassim Taleb is a prickly arrogant SOB who doesn’t give a crap what intellectuals, academics, and other establishment elitists think about him. He has an Ivy league MBA, but despises everything about the curriculum of Ivy League MBA programs. He has a PhD, but scorns academics and their worship of theories and models. He enjoys poking holes in the storylines of the propaganda spewing corporate media. He glories in ridiculing the predictions of captured “experts” mouthing the talking points of whichever corporate interest is paying them blood money.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
President Obama is the One Peddling Fiction on State of US Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Michael_Pento
In his final State of the Union Address, President Obama chided, "Anyone claiming that America's economy is in decline is peddling fiction." Following the recently released February Non-farm Payroll Report, which showed a net increase of 242 thousand jobs, he doubled down on that same contention. The seemingly robust number of new jobs created prompted the President to remark, "The numbers and the facts don't lie, and I think it's useful given that there seems to be an alternative reality out there from some of the political folks that America is down in the dumps. It's not. America is pretty darn great right now."
Monday, March 14, 2016
Stock Market Still in Rally Mode as SP500 Climbs Above 2,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,050, and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect a downward correction or short-term uptrend's reversal at some point. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. We decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following a move down below medium-term lows:
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Monday, March 14, 2016
UK Property Equity Release Market Responds to Rising Demand with Greater Choice / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
The equity release market is responding to increasing demand from elderly homeowners looking to unlock cash from their homes with a wider range of products and options, according to new research by Moneyfacts.
The research, which focused on the current offerings available in the equity release market, found that there are now 70 different lifetime mortgage equity release deals available covering a wide range of options and loan-to-values (LTVs), an increase of 34% on the number of deals available last year and more than double the total number from three years ago (see the table below).
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Silver Peak Likely Only After Dow Stock Market Crash & Major Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Hubert_Moolman
Last year, I produced the following chart and commentary (italics) to show how the Dow could crash like it did in 1929:
Monday, March 14, 2016
Donald Trump: You’re All Violent Communists Now! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Michael_T_Bucci
According to Donald Trump, as I understand it, Bernie Sanders is responsible for any violence that has or will occur at Trump rallies. Case closed? Bernie is a “Communist”; and his followers are “leftists” who “want to destroy this country!” Case closed?
If Sanders folk “don’t get it,” be forewarned: Trump is framing him and you!
To silver-hairs within the Trump legion who wear permanent frowns of repressed anger stoked by neo-conservative and “anti-government” propagandists on radio, cable news and the Internet, Bernie Sanders’ “socialism” - which arguably isn’t socialism - is now conflated with Communism – that “great evil empire” whose phantom Mr. Trump has resurrected to revive long-buried hates and fears within his aging McCarthyite and Cold War warriors.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
U.S. House Prices Forecast 2016, Crash or Continuing Housing Bull Market? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The most recent release of US House prices data for December 2015 (Case Shiller 10 City Composite) continues to show little change at 197.21 against 197.40 of 4 months earlier which means that US house price inflation has spent virtually the whole of 2015 within a tight range of between +5% and +4%, which whilst stable is nevertheless a far cry from early 2014 that had house price inflation galloping ahead at near 14% per annum as illustrated by the below momentum graph.
Monday, March 14, 2016
Climate Change Deniers, Loretta Lynch, and the Government War on Free Speech / Politics / US Politics
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
During her appearance before the Senate Judiciary Committee last week, Attorney General Loretta Lynch admitted that she asked the FBI to examine whether the federal government should take legal action against so-called climate change deniers. Attorney General Lynch is not responding to any criminal acts committed by climate change skeptics. Instead, she is responding to requests from those frustrated that dissenters from the alleged climate change consensuses have successfully blocked attempts to create new government programs to fight climate change.
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Monday, March 14, 2016
Stock Market Dip Monday, Tuesday? Gold Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last I wrote, I thought we might be breaking down out of a rising wedge pattern in the SPX. Apparently, many others thought the same thing, and you know what they say when too many agree. So many are thinking we go lower from here and that has me concerned. While I think we go lower over the next two days in the stock market (1957-62 SPX down about 3%) and I think that we are in the early stages of a bear market, the probabilities are we have one to two more weeks of general upside left before we top. My current upside targets are 2058-81 SPX.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 13, 2016
SPX Stocks Index At Tipping Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend: Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend – .618 retracement reached as well as total projection. End of rally likely.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 13, 2016
Gold and Silver COT Update - Get 30,000 Coffins Ready... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
PM Sector longs have had a laugh at our expense over the past couple of weeks as gold has continued to edge higher after we called it down, but it is looking more and more like they will end up like those 4 fools in the classic Clint Eastwood Spaghetti Western, A Fistful of Dollars. Clint rides into a tiny flyblown town and the 4 fools shoot around his mule's feet. After advising the undertaker to Get 3 coffins ready, having made a slight underestimation, Clint returns and challenges the 4 fools by saying "When you apologize to my mule like I know you're going to". Needless to say they do not respond in the required manner to this demand and so Clint quickly dispatches them to the great satisfaction of the undertaker.
Sunday, March 13, 2016
Money Velocity Proves Q.E. Failure / Interest-Rates / Money Supply
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The current monetary policy is stuck in place. It is highly destructive to banking systems, working capital, and financial markets. Yet it continues ad infinitum, actually until the great collapse. A systemic Lehman event is in progress, as the global financial structure is collapsing. The only remedy is the Gold Standard installation, which is happening, but its architects are from the East. They are labeled as enemies, when the root problem is in the Western banking hive.
Sunday, March 13, 2016
Stock Market 'Reconsidering' the ECB's Recent Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jesse
According to the official spin, traders 'reconsidered' what the ECB did this week, and what Draghi had subsequently said, and gleefully cast off all doubts and concerns about risks and started buying equities.
Yes, I am sure that this is what happened.
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