Friday, March 11, 2016
Negative Rates and Money Heaven Financial Wonderland Q&A / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates
Questions on negative rates keep coming in: Where does the money go? Who benefits? Will the Fed do the same? What's Draghi up to?
A quick refresher course on paying interest on excess reserves vs. charging interest on excess reserves is in order.
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Mario Draghi Got Lost In A Rabbit Hole / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates
I’ll try and keep this gracefully short: Mario Draghi ‘unleashed’ a bazooka full of desperate tools on the financial markets yesterday and they blew up in his face faster than you could say blowback or backdraft (and that’s just the start of the alphabet). This must and will mean that Draghi’s stint as ECB head is for all intents and purposes done. But…
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Blockbuster Uranium Call and Best Metal and Oil Plays / Commodities / Resources Investing
The event-driven hedge fund Rosseau LP has beat its benchmark by over 50% since inception in 1998, and its founder and CIO Warren Irwin says it does so by going deep, looking at very specific events or situations that are special within industry sectors. Irwin made his name by shorting Bre-X some 20 years ago and hasn't looked back. In this interview with The Gold Report, Irwin gives us a peek into Rosseau's portfolio, discussing opportunities that he is excited about in metals, uranium and oil.
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Forex Markets Uncertainty Around ECB Decisions / Currencies / Forex Trading
Earlier today, the euro declined against the U.S. dollar once again as uncertainty around today's ECB decisions continues to weight on the European currency. Thanks to these circumstances, EUR/USD dropped under the barrier of 1.1000. Will we see a test of the recent lows in the coming days?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:
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Friday, March 11, 2016
ECB Panic Money Printing to Save Euro-zone from Economic Collapse as BrExit Looms / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates
A little over a month on from the Bank of Japan's panic announcement of negative interest rates and money printing. Now it's the turn of the ECB to PANIC by firing it's own inflation bazooka in what is commonly termed as the currency wars (competitive devaluations) as nations attempt to import inflation and export deflation by means of manipulating exchange rates. This weeks ECB PANIC followed euro-zone inflation turning negative again (CPI -0.2%) and with virtually the whole of southern europe in a permanent economic depression, with debt mountains continuing to balloon in a perpetual state of imminent bankruptcy of the whole of southern europe as ALL central banks ONLY really have ONE objective which is to INFLATE debt mountains away for which they CREATE INFLATION by means of MONEY PRINTING and so without inflation the debt cannot be serviced.
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Mario Draghi's 'Shock and Awe' Market Campaign Morphs into 'Shock and Aw Shucks' / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
In a series of stunning market reversals, ECB president Mario Draghi's "Shock and Awe" campaign quickly morphed into "Shock and Aw Shucks".
Earlier this morning, Draghi pulled out a Bazooka Package that was supposed to sink the Euro and save the eurozone from the alleged evils of deflation.
Draghi's plan worked for all of 15 minutes. The market then had second thoughts on the Euro, on gold, on the German stock market, and on equities in general.
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Trader Education Week: Valuable For Traders At All Levels / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
Learn why you should attend our FREE Trader Education Week
Are you interested in taking your trading to the next level? Would you like to learn methods that will allow you to spot trading opportunities for yourself? Join Jeffrey Kennedy for one of our most popular freeevents, Trader Education Week -- watch below:
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Friday, March 11, 2016
Stock Market Truth Is Dangerous / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The current bullish climb for US stock indices is now seven years old. Yet, many pundits, investment bankers, and even central bankers are warning that downside risk is growing. Maybe, but I believe stocks will likely continue their bull run. The February rally of 2016 was a clear result of ‘calendarization’. That is, the fourth quarter is always good so investors receive a pretty statement at the beginning of January. This makes all the lies the government tells about the economy seem copacetic. Central bankers and Wall Street shills make it so. Tired from a quarter of constant price manipulation, these manipulators take a few weeks off in January. Naturally without unnatural support, stock indices take a dive. Panicked at the thought of investors receiving a negative January monthly statement, the central banker manipulation crowd goes into overdrive in February pushing stock indexes back up so investor psyche will be soothed by a positive February statement. Still worried about negative first quarter statements courtesy of the January beating, the manipulators continue pushing indexes higher through March. We have seen this movie over and over. I call it ‘calendar-ization’. If clients ask what is happening in the stock carnivals, I check the calendar first. And like all rallies, this one was all based on lies (improving economics), false data (corporate earnings), and hope (central bankers will save us with more stimulus). The central bankers are throwing us a birthday party and it’s not even our birthday. So why are so many people pessimistic about price levels and the recent rally?
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Stock Market Retracement High was Made... Prepare for What's Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX clearly made a corrective high beneath Friday’s high before impulsively declining to its low at 1969.25. The 61.8% retracement is at 1991.39, where the bounce may be expected to go. We may see the ensuing decline begin in earnest either in the last hour of the day or overnight. Be Prepared.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Is This The End? Draghi Fires His Bazooka And Markets Turn Away In Disgust / Stock-Markets / Negative Interest Rates
ECB chair Mario Draghi delivered big-time this morning by announcing lower interest rates and a new round of debt monetization. Historically, this kind of thing has sent the financial markets into Pavlovian ecstasy, with stocks soaring and the local currency falling.
Sound money people have for years been warning that such New Age monetary policies are poison and that the markets would eventually wise up and react accordingly. Today, finally, that’s what they did. European stocks popped on the news — then dropped.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Mainstream Media Jihad to Stop Trump / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
Thursday, March 10, 2016
Bonds, Debt and Gold - Keep The Money Game Churning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
There is money to be made so the game must be played… It’s always “ShowTime” in the financial markets. What is the game plan?
Levitate the bond market. See chart below. Keep those interest rates dropping so the bond market continues its 35 year climb. Oops – $7 Trillion in bonds with negative interest rates, at last count, with more from Japan this week. Have we reached a limit? Probably not, but what could go wrong lending money to insolvent governments who guarantee they will return less than they borrowed in 10 years?
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Mario Supersized Stock Market Stimulus / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Mario Draghi supersized his stimulus announcement. EuroStoxx ramped after the announcement, but what will be the follow-through? Will this be another Kuroda, European style?
ZeroHedge Reports, “Well, the people wanted a "bazooka-sized" surprise from Draghi, and they got it.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
SP500 Stocks Index still at 2,000 Mark - Which Direction is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,050, and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect a downward correction or short-term uptrend's reversal at some point. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. We decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral recently, following a move down below medium-term lows:
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Silver Cheapest To Gold In 7 Years – ETF Holdings Surge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Silver hasn’t been so cheap relative to gold for more than seven years and with silver ETF holdings having surged in recent days, silver coin and bar demand very robust and mine supplies forecast to contract this year, there are signs that silver is set to resume its bull market and outperform gold once again.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
The US Dollar, What If Everybody is Wrong ? / Currencies / US Dollar
It’s been awhile since we last looked at the US dollar which has been consolidating its big impulse move up. The reason I haven’t posted it much is because it’s stuck in a sideways trading range going back over a year now.
99.9% of Market participants are either Bullish the Dollar , with all the implications including Lower Gold Prices or Bearish the Dollar, with the opposite implications .
However there are not two but THREE possible outcomes to this present trading range.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
BrExit the Movie: EU Referendum LEAVE or REMAIN | Freedom or London Will Fall / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
The EU referendum debate has resolved into a battle between the establishment on the one hand as represented by Britain and Europe's political elite including the bulk of both mainstream UK political parties (Conservative and Labour), the bankster's, including a scare mongering Bank of England, billionaires, tax dodging corporate giants and of course foreign european governments who are eager for the European Union to further dig its claws into Britain so that they may the european superstate socialist project (EUSSR).
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Stock Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Over the weekend, my thinking was we had higher prices ahead of us. I actually ignored the astrological reversal mid-zone of the Sun translating Neptune, Saturn and Jupiter on March 4th. My logic was the powerful, advancing MACD and momentum indicators. My main reservation was the lack of early volume.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Draghi On Deck... Stock Market Waiting On His Decision On Stimulus.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
We have had a bifurcated market for the entire year. The Nasdaq is now down nearly 7% for the year, with the S&P 500 down only a drop over 2%. Why is that you ask? Simple really. The bear market is froth, but still hasn't died as evidenced by the action in the world of the FANG!! Facebook, Inc. (FB), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), all slaughtered big time today, along with all of them losing key, exponential moving averages. Some lost all three in today's action alone. Merciless selling in leaders with high beta and higher P/E's.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
Kiss the Gold Bear Goodbye (But Wear a Helmet). . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Friday's morning action in gold has been at once both terrific and frothy, wonderful and scary, and redemptive and soothing, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger.
My hedges are all getting blown to smithereens with the miniscule damage to my net worth being vastly outdone by the gargantuan damage to my ego as the power of the physical market is beating on the Commercials like rented mules and rag-dolling gold bears like common farm animals. The CNBC crowd are all taking complete ownership of the "gold trade" and everyone here in Toronto is scrambling for last-minute hotel rooms for PDAC inclusion.
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