Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Investor Alert: How to See Through the Fog of War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
The U.S. fired 105 Tomahawk missiles into Syria on Friday night.
In other times, the salvo would have put Americans on edge over the prospect of war with nuclear-armed Russia. Our former Cold War adversary is actively defending the Syrian regime and warning the U.S. to mind its own affairs.
But, these days not much can command the attention of the complacent public.
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Wednesday, April 18, 2018
WINTER IS COMING - The Ongoing Fourth Turning Crisis Part2 / Politics / US Politics
“Don’t think you can escape the Fourth Turning the way you might today distance yourself from news, national politics, or even taxes you don’t feel like paying. History warns that a Crisis will reshape the basic social and economic environment that you now take for granted. The Fourth Turning necessitates the death and rebirth of the social order. It is the ultimate rite of passage for an entire people, requiring a luminal state of sheer chaos whose nature and duration no one can predict in advance.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Gold Resists Strikes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Boom! The U.S. and its allies struck Syria in response to a suspected deadly chemical attack several days ago. Gold should be the safe haven in such situations, right? But the price of gold was practically unchanged on Monday. What happened?
U.S. Strikes Syria. Gold Yawns
A lot has happened in recent days. Luckily, we have kept an eye on the most important developments for you, so let’s analyze their potential impact for the gold market. First of all, Syria is again on the investors’ radar. Or actually on the military’s radar – on Friday, the U.S. lead allies – France and the UK – and launched a missile attack on Syria for an alleged chemical weapon attack on a town near Damascus on April 7. It was probably the most significant attack against President Bashar al-Assad’s government by Western powers in seven years of Syria’s civil war, so investors worried about the repercussions.
Tuesday, April 17, 2018
A Stock Market Rally on Low Volume is NOT Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Conventional trading “wisdom” states that a rally that occurs on falling volume is bearish. Conventional “wisdom” states that sustainable rallies should occur on rising volume.
This simply isn’t true. As we said in Don’t use volume for trading,
Rising/falling volume isn’t a bullish sign or a bearish sign. It just is. Volume is mostly irrelevant. It doesn’t give you much of an edge in the markets.
The S&P 500 is rallying on falling volume right now.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Three Gold Charts, One Big Gold Stocks Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
This week’s about knowing when it’s a low risk time to buy gold stocks.
We’ve had two things happening over the past several years…
One… The S&P 500 has soared to record heights as the economy came out of the housing crisis dungeon.
Two… Gold stocks, plus other commodities went into the dungeon due to a multi-year bear market in commodities.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Inflation Is Not Our Biggest Threat / Economics / Inflation
You wouldn’t know that by listening to current commentary on the economy.
There is a bigger threat, though. But first, there is some clarification about inflation that is necessary.
Most people infer rising prices when they hear the term inflation. That is not correct. The rising prices are the ‘effects’ of inflation. The inflation, itself, has already been created.
It is notcreated, or caused, by companies raising prices. And it is not created by ‘escalating wage demand’.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Crude Oil Price As Bullish as it Seems? / Commodities / Crude Oil
A fresh 2018 high, an unbroken resistance and negative divergence. What does this interesting mix tell us about oil bull’s strength and further increases?
Technical Analysis of Crude Oil
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Eliminate Trump Unites the Deep State Establishment / Politics / Conspiracy Theory
Any assessment of the Never Trump cabal produces some inescapable conclusions. The War Party is emphatically in control of the military-industrial complex, the Deep State is thoroughly entrenched and manipulates the techno/bureaucracy, and the Shadow Government runs the levers of real and underlying government institutions. The Trump election was a reflection of a populist movement. As the unending condemnation of the President is heard nonstop from a coordinated media script, the uninformed often concludes that all the ills of his administration is a direct result of the man himself.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
‘Tin soldiers and Nixon coming, We’re finally on our own’ / Politics / US Politics
Neil Young pinned those lyrics to his song, ‘Ohio’. The tin soldiers were the National Guard and Nixon was the President. The song was about the Guard’s execution of four students at Kent State in 1970. But today, these lyrics seem truer than ever. Governments for the governed have turned on the governed. Governments conduct the business of governed in secrecy for the benefit of the government. Governments initiate acts of aggression against other peoples who have no representation in their government. The media is a propaganda arm of the government. The governed have no idea what is really happening. How do we ‘know’ anything today? In a vacuum of leadership, it does feel like ‘we are finally on our own.’
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Why the Fed is Worse for the Market than Trade Tariffs / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
“Always tell the truth.”In addition to being number eight on the Top 10 list of things we should always do, being truthful is just a great way to avoid trouble in life.
You never have to remember what lie you told to whom, and you never have to make up more lies to cover those you’ve already put out into the universe.
But we don’t.
I don’t know a single person who is completely honest. And this goes way beyond, “Do these clothes make me look fat?”
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
A Good Time to Buy Facebook? / Companies / Tech Stocks
As I watch Mark Zuckerberg testify in Congress today, I’m reminded of theEconomy & Markets article I wrote on the subject two weeks ago. At the time, shares of Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) were dropping fast.Since then, we’ve had plenty of ink spilled on the subject of data privacy and the role of Facebook in keeping our information under wraps. None of it has changed my view. There’s a reason our data, which we freely post in many places, bounces around the internet like a pinball.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Watch These S&P Numbers For Clues… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
On Tuesday, Rodney talked to his Triple Play Strategy subscribers about the extreme volatility we’re experiencing in the markets. He asked the question: “So, how are you feeling?” as he observed that investors are looking increasingly tired from the extreme drops and bounces we’ve endured the least few weeks. He concluded that the situation isn’t looking good and he’s admittedly turned bearish.I may be with Rodney on that.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2018
Triggers to Set off the Next US Housing Market Real Estate Collapse / Housing-Market / US Housing
Did you see the recent Bloomberg article about how Manhattan home sales have tumbled the most since 2009?How about Thursday’s Washington Post article about how new D.C.-area real estate firms have started offering sellers a commission (rather than expecting them to pay one)?
Or the one from CNBC on Wednesday about how mortgage application volume was 5.5% lower last week, from one year ago?
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Monday, April 16, 2018
THE Financial Crisis Acronym of 2008 is Sounding Another Alarm / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2018
LIBOR, or the London Interbank Offered Rate, was the most important acronym most investors never heard of before 2008. However, it quickly became the most critical variable in markets leading up to the Great Recession.
What has now become clear is that we haven’t learned any lessons from the financial crisis except how to accumulate more debt and to artificially control markets more extensively. And, to conveniently try to sweep under the rug the very same warning signs that forebode the day of reckoning just over a decade ago.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Palladium Rally Driving Other Metals to Move? / Commodities / Palladium
Many months ago we made an interesting call in Palladium and alerted to this setup on January 24th, 2018. This nearly perfect call included our future price expectations using our advanced ADL price modeling system. Today, we are refreshing that call with a new market call to inform you that our price prediction has played out perfectly and it has completed its pullback.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
WINTER IS COMING - The Ongoing Fourth Turning Crisis / Politics / Social Issues
“Summer will end soon enough, and childhood as well.” – George R.R. Martin, Game of Thrones
“Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is a howling whiteness. One by one, your links to the machine age break down. Electricity flickers out, cutting off the TV. Batteries fade, cutting off the radio. Phones go dead. Roads become impassible, and cars get stuck. Food supplies dwindle. Day to day vestiges of modern civilization – bank machines, mutual funds, mass retailers, computers, satellites, airplanes, governments – all recede into irrelevance.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Bombs, Missiles and War – What to Expect Next from the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Friday night opened up a whole new perspective on the global markets with the coordinated targeted attack on Syria. It’s not that we didn’t know this was a possibility, yet the event itself changes how the markets may react on Monday and throughout this next week. Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have been diligently trying to identify the price rotations that will occur early next week and we believe this research post will help to prepare all investors for what may be a wild ride.
First off, with this event playing out late Friday night and early into Saturday, there are a number of things we have to consider. The US Dollar may be under some pressure this week as a result of this event. Gold and Silver may rally as fear and panic enter the markets. Oil will likely rise on fear of a disruption or conflict related supply issue. The US stock market will likely rotate with a bit with continued large price volatility early Monday morning as traders attempt to reposition after this event. Given all of this, the long-term perspective has to be maintained in order to understand the true market dynamics.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Global Debt Bubble Hits New All Time High – One Quadrillion Reasons To Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
– Global debt bubble hits new all time high – over $237 trillion
– Global debt increased 10% or $21 tn in 2017 to nearly a quarter quadrillion USD
– Increase in debt equivalent to United States’ ballooning national debt
– Global debt up $50 trillion in decade & over 327% of global GDP
– $750 trillion of bank derivatives means global debt over $1 quadrillion
– Gold will be ‘store of value’ in coming economic contraction
– Global debt is the mother of all bubbles
Monday, April 16, 2018
Only Economic Collapse Will Bring Down the American Empire / Politics / US Military
Despite the vehement pleas and letter-writing campaigns by a significant portion of his political base including notable media personalities such as Tucker Carlson against military action in Syria, President Trump committed what looks like political suicide by ordering air strikes on Friday evening. The bombing, thankfully, appeared to have been thwarted by Syrian air defenses, nor, as of this date, has the insane American, British and French action led to a wider conflagration.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Will Bitcoin Ever Recover? / Currencies / Bitcoin
With a value of $137 billion, Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency on the market. When it performs well, the others follow suit and when it drops so do they. The road has been a rough one for the currency in recent times reaching ultimate highs and all-time lows. But, will Bitcoin ever recover?
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