Monday, April 16, 2018
Stock Market Futures Bounce, But Stopped at Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
SPX futures bounced back but appear to be stopped at the 2-year trendline at 2675..00-2680.00 without making a new high. The Cycles Model suggests there may be some residual strength throughout the week during which options expiration may take precedence. OpEx has the ability to increase turmoil in the markets. As a result, this period may be protected by the powers that be.
Once Wave (3) begins, it should be unstoppable. However, there may be an effort to delay its onset.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
How To Profit As Oil Prices Explode / Companies / Oil Companies
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Monday, April 16, 2018
UK Savings Fixed Rates Highest in Almost Two Years / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
Moneyfacts UK Savings Trends Treasury Report data (not yet published) shows that all the fixed rate averages (ISAs and non-ISAs) have increased this month, with all the rates reaching the highest point seen in almost two years.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Junior Mining Stocks are Close to Breaking Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
A few weeks ago we wrote that it may not be Gold’s time yet but a few recent developments suggest its time could be sooner than we anticipated. Although Gold failed to breakout last week, we should note the positive action in the miners. Over the past seven trading days the miners have strongly outperformed Gold. That includes the juniors, which appear very close to breaking out of the downtrend that has been in effect for over 12 months.
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Monday, April 16, 2018
Look Inside a Caravan at UK Holiday Park for Summer 2018 - Hoseasons Cayton Bay Sea Side / Personal_Finance / Holidays
Thinking of booking a caravan park summer holiday in the UK 2018? Then look no further than this series of videos of what it's like to holiday at a UK caravan park. This is at the Hoseasons Caravan Park at Cayton Bay, North East England, not 10 miles from Scarborough. In our second video in this series we take a look at what it's like to step foot inside one of parks big caravans. This has 3 bedrooms, and as you will see it's literally like a tardis, how do they manage to cram so much into such a small space? Find out what to expect.
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Sunday, April 15, 2018
Stock Market More Weakness? How Much? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 15, 2018
Time for the Gold Bulls to Show their Mettle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
For the last three months gold had been chopping out a rectangle trading range which has completed four reversal points so far. Wednesday of this week it looked like gold may breakout above the top rail but the bears stopped the advance just when it looked like the bulls were finally going to win.
Many times before a rectangle is finished building out there can be one last move back down to the center of the rectangle where support is found. If the bulls are truly in charge they could take this oppurtunity to rally gold up and through the top rail to complete the rectangle as a halfway pattern. If the bulls can muster up enough energy to take out the top rail the rectangle would have a price objective up to the 1445 area as shown by the blue arrows. At this point there is no way to know if we’ll see another reversal all the way back down to the bottom of the rectangle which would complete the 5th reversal point. It’s still a consolidation pattern at this time.
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Sunday, April 15, 2018
Trading Markets Amid Sound of Wars / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Given the sound of wars both in actual terms and in economic terms, what do we see for the next few weeks into stock markets and forex markets ? We must delink our trading from event risk and be focussed on actual data and trading trends. Never trade what should happen but trade what is happening. The political situation is fluid with rumors of Trump unhappiness with Mueller investigations. Then there is the war machine which has kicked a gear with attack on Syria. This is not the end. We need to wait if this is going to go deeper if Russia responds. Then there is a underlying current of trade wars which is yet to be settled. A far lesser event is the earning season which is now upon but markets are still trading at 24x P/E so its fully priced in for a great earning season. In fact if market corrects another 10%, it is still fully valued.
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Saturday, April 14, 2018
Sugar Commodity Buying Levels Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Pattern – price is clearly in a downtrend…which I think is finished, for the time being anyway. Price made a little inside candle the day before last and the last day’s trading saw price breach the high of the previous day which is often a sign of a change in trend. Price will, obviously, need to trade further up to confirm this suspicion of mine.
PSAR – this has indicator has now turned bullish with the dots now underneath price. A good sign for the bulls but nothing to get too excited about.
Saturday, April 14, 2018
The Oil Trade May Be Coming Alive / Commodities / Crude Oil
In all asset classes, following a major bear market, prices tend to stumble along at depressed levels – sometimes for years. Negative sentiment permeates across all types of investors, from the short-term traders to long-term retail investors. Once everyone is convinced that the paradigm has changed for the asset and prices at depressed levels are the “new normal”, the seeds will have been sown for the next bull market.
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Saturday, April 14, 2018
Shocking Chinese Economic Data Points Will Disrupt Markets / Economics / China Economy
We, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe recent data released by China presents traders with a huge opportunity over the next 6~18 months. Recently released Chinese economic market data points to a general market disruption in regards to trade values, import/export data and loan/debt risk. As reported by Reuters and Business Insider, the continued crackdown on Shadow Banking in China, as well as recently announced trade tariffs, may be shifting the dynamics of the Chinese Dragon economy dramatically.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
Big Cap US Stocks Fundamentals / Companies / US Stock Markets
The mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets have enjoyed an amazing bull run. But February’s first correction in years proved things are changing. With that unnatural low-volatility melt-up behind us, it’s more important than ever to keep leading stocks’ underlying fundamentals in focus. They help investors understand which major American companies are the best buys and when to deploy capital in them.
For some years now, I’ve been doing deep dives into the quarterly financial and operational results in the small contrarian sector of gold and silver miners. While hard and tedious work, this exercise has proven incredibly valuable. With each passing quarter my knowledge of individual companies grows, helping to ferret out miners with superior fundamentals and the greatest upside potential. Traders love the resulting essays.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
Jaguar Land Rover Cuts 1000 Jobs on Diesel Sales Slump, Long-term Discovery Sport Review / ConsumerWatch / Motoring
Britains biggest car maker Jaguar Land Rover has axed 1000 jobs from their Midlands car factories following a 26% slump in sales on Brexit and Diesel engines future uncertainty and the emissions scandals that will now bring the JLR work force to under 40,000. The Job losses will virtually wholly hit the Range Rover and Discovery range of vehicles, a huge loss of demand that on an annualsied basis would translate into a loss of demand of more than 150,000 vehicles on total 2017 sales of 620,000.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
If Inflation is Just 2%-3%, Why is the US Dollar Dropping Like a Brick? / Currencies / US Dollar
The financial world is finally waking up to the fact that inflation is in fact MUCH higher than previously believed.
As we noted yesterday, the official measure of inflation, the CPI, is now clocking in at 2.4%, well above the Fed’s so-called target of 2%.
This is really, REALLY bad news because the CPI is actually massaged to make inflation look LOWER than it really is.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
Stock Market SPX May Tangle with the 50-day MA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
SPX has been correctively chopping higher on declining volume the past four days. It has bumped against the 2-year trendline five times in the past three days without a breakout. It hasn’t broken above the 50% Fib retracement at 2677.85. Could there be a breakout this morning? The EW Wave structure does allow a boost to just under 2700.00 with the current view. The 50-day Moving Average is at 2698.64.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
Will Debt Leverage Leverage Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Attention, please! The leverage in the stock market has been recently rising. As one can see in the chart below, the stock market margin debt surged more than $113 billion in 2017, one of the largest annual surges. Moreover, it was the ninth annual increase in a row.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
Crude Oil Surges Over 8%, Gold and Silver Marginally Higher, Stocks Gain In Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
– Gold & silver eke out small gains; palladium surges 8% and platinum 2%
– Oil (WTI) surges over 8% to over $66.90/bbl; supply disruption risk
– U.S. dollar and Treasuries fall; geopolitical, trade war and fiscal concerns
– Stocks rally and shrug off trade war, macro and geo-political risks
– Bitcoin, major cryptos (Ethereum, Ripple etc) rise sharply
– Russia-US tensions high: Trump warns attack ‘could be very soon or not so soon at all’
Friday, April 13, 2018
Coup d'État That May Shake the Gold World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Everyone focuses now on the chemical attack in Syria. Meanwhile, the most important turnover in the world remains mostly unnoticed. But we’re on guard. Let’s read our analysis of the key revolution of 2018 and find out the implications for the gold market.
Hawks Take Over the Fed
Are we going to write about Syria? North Korea? China? No. You already know everything you should about these geopolitical threats. The media bomb you with news about bombings, trade wars, nuclear trials, etc. But the key upheaval is taking place in silence, in the cool marble rooms of the Federal Reserve Banks. ‘The Hawkish Revolution’ – this is how the future historians will call it.
Friday, April 13, 2018
Longtanding Chinese War: Intrigue & Betrayal / Politics / China US Conflict
For those who believe the conflict, confrontation, and trade war with China is very recent and fresh, not true. The war of words and sabre rattling is part of a longstanding trade war between the two superpowers. The war with China has been brewing for many years, with much hidden in the background battles over legacy USTreasury Bonds and hidden Gold stores. The United States does not publicize this conflict, since the US actions are full of dishonor, deceit, fraud, and murders within the secret war. To begin with, Washington officials have steadfastly refused to honor high valued old bonds backed by gold, claiming they are very old. The US goons have been murdering both owners and attorneys for those who represent large scale Asian claims. The US has shot down aircraft carrying gold bullion hoards. In doing so, the US has acted with great dishonor, more like a criminal organization that a legitimate government. Dishonesty is the common thread and common theme. One should expect none else since the US lineage of presidents since 1988 has been comprised of narco baron leaders. The battles between the United States and China go way back. Let us trace some of the key events in just the last twenty years. Prepare to read a spy novel outline, except in our realm of reality. It puts the US in very bad light, with extreme criminality, marred by dishonor.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
How I Own My Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Those who own gold often argue how to best own it. I encourage anyone holding gold to assess the pros and cons of different choices of gold ownership to make an educated rather than emotional decision. Let me explain.
I commissioned the above cartoon back in 2011 in response to an assertion by CNBC’s Steve Liesman no one would accept a gold coin in a grocery store. My take was that, hell, if I offered a gold coin, I’m pretty sure I would find a taker if I wanted to exchange it for some groceries.
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