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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range.

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Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

The Incredible Silver Trade – What You Need to Know / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone is talking about the incredible price move in silver on April 18, 2018.  For years we have been talking about the setup in the metals markets and alerting our members to opportunities as they arise. Recently, we alerted our members to an incredible opportunity in Silver and we caught this move before it skyrocketed higher.  Now, everyone wants to know what’s next.  Here is our take on the Silver trade and what you need to know.

All the technical and price valuation indicators regarding the relationship of Gold to Silver have been set for many months telling traders that Silver is the clear leader in any price advance in metals.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Is War "Hell" for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI


Take a look at stock market behavior in times of war… and peace

Are wars bullish or bearish for stocks?

With the recent news of airstrikes on Syria and a threat of a global war, this question is extremely relevant. But does war really cause stock markets to rise and fall?

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Commodities

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Palladium Bullion Surges 17% In 9 Days On Russian Supply Concerns / Commodities / Palladium

By: GoldCore

Palladium bullion has surged a massive 17% in just nine trading days. From $895/oz on Friday April 6th to over $1,052/oz today (April 19th). The price surge is due to palladium being due a bounce after falling in the first quarter and now due to Russian supply concerns.

In a volatile month, precious metals and commodities have been the clear winners so far, with palladium having the greatest gains of all – up 10.7% in April (see table below).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Breadth Study Suggests that Stock Market Bottom is Already In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Last week we demonstrated a momentum+breadth study which supported the medium term bullish case for the stock market.

Now let’s look at the short term case for the stock market. Is the stock market’s EXACT bottom already in?

The NYSE cumulative Advance-Decline Line (one of the best breadth indicators) just made a new all-time high yesterday while the S&P 500 has yet to make a new high.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Allegory Regarding Investment Decisions Made On Basis Of Government’s Income Statement, Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

Webster’s dictionary defines allegory as a story in which people, things or happenings have a symbolic or hidden meaning that can be used effectively in teaching or explaining difficult ideas.  Accordingly, an allegoric story is used here to explain the important difference between a government income statement and balance sheet, and its application for investment decisions in financial markets.

Simplistically, the government’s income statement records all its activity over a specific period of time during which it brings in revenues, disburses some benefits and pays some expenses.   Individual and corporate income taxes provide the lion’s share of those revenues.  When the cost of government and its expenditures are deducted from its revenues the balance is either a surplus or savings, or as has been our experience over the last few decades – there is a budget deficit.  Such deficits have to be financed, and it results in persistent issue and growth of our national debt.  In our allegory the budget deficits will be represented by a not large hole in the hull of a ship, whereas the governmental debt is represented by the accumulated flow of water in the hull of a ship.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Gold – A Unique Repeat of the 2007 and How to Profit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Since Spring is in the air here are some colorful charts and show you where we feel the price of gold and stocks are within the current market cycles.

Below are monthly charts of the SP500 index and the price of gold. The first chart shows a pattern that gold formed just before stocks hit all-time new highs and the bear market started.

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Companies

Thursday, April 19, 2018

5 "Core" Elliott Wave Patterns, Avago (NASDAQ: AVGO) / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: EWI

The stock of Avago Technologies rebounded strongly off the recent lows. What's next? The challenge is on you to provide the answer. Give it a shot!

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Politics

Thursday, April 19, 2018

The Civil War Is At Home in America / Politics / US Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Dr. D: Wonderfully said. Since no one will report, here’s what happened to that airstrike. The one where we declare a victory and go home (or try to).

They targeted 10 sites, yet after the Pentagon said it was a perfect mission, they only reported on 4. Who were the other 6?

Duwali airbase – 4 missiles fired, 4 shot down
Dumayr airbase – 12 missiles fired, 12 shot down
Baley airbase – 18 missiles fired, 18 shot down
Shayrat airbase – 12 missiles fired, 12 shot down
Marj Ruhayyil airbase – 18 missiles fired, 18 shot down
Damascus international airport – 4 missiles fired, 4 shot down

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Currencies

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Bitcoin Hater George Soros Finally Admits He Wants In On Crypto / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

America’s favorite power broker, the evil bloated Ringwraith himself, George Soros, is now poised to invest in cryptocurrency, despite trashing Bitcoin just a few months ago.

In addition to calling Bitcoin a “bubble”, Soros ironically stated that digital currencies are a tool for dictators:

As long as you have dictatorships on the rise, you will have a different ending, because the rulers in those countries will turn to Bitcoin to build a nest egg abroad.

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Local

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Abbeydale Park Rise Cherry Tree's in Blossom - Sheffield Street Tree Protests / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The Cherry Trees of Abbeydale Park Rise are in Blossom to illustrate what thousands of Sheffield's residents have been busy trying to prevent the felling of for several years. Abbeydale Park Rise has been one of the key focal points for Sheffield's anti street tree felling protests, which has been witness to numerous arrests of protestors this year before tree fellings were suspended by the Labour controlled city council in advance of the May 3rd Local Elections.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

The Stock Market “Turn of the Month Effect” Exists in 11 of 11 Countries / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Dimitri_Speck

Dear Investor,

I first discussed the “turn-of-the-month effect” in Seasonal Insights issue 6 of March 21, 2018. The term describes the fact that price gains in the stock market tend to cluster around the turn of the month.

By contrast, the rest of the time around the middle of the month is typically less profitable for investors.

With respect to the US stock market, I also showed how the “turn-of-the-month effect”” evolved over time, when it was particularly pronounced and when it tended to wane.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

Winter is Coming - Coming Storms Will Bring Out the Best and Worst in Humanity / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

“The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning

In Part One of this article I laid out the reasons for Gray Champions arising to meet challenges during crisis periods in history. In Part Two of this article I assessed the configuration of Gray Champions throughout the world and the potential impact on the course of this Fourth Turning.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

The Bullish And Bearish Case For Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices could rise due to the “perfect storm of stagnant supply, geopolitical risk, and a harsh winter,” according to an April 12 note from Barclays.

Geopolitical events specifically could help keep Brent above $70 through April and May, which comes on the back of a substantial decline in oil inventories.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

UK Savings Accounts that Finally Beat CPI Inflation / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

At a time when savers are striving to get their nest egg to work harder for them, they may be disappointed to know that monthly interest accounts are failing to offer the same rates available as alternative interest payment options. So, while they may assume they are getting more interest, this may not always be the case. If annual interest is offered, it usually pays more than the monthly option.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

How China Can Respond to Trump’s Tariff Trade War / Politics / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the trade war against China, the White House’s “America First” advocates are relying on trade instruments that contained Japan’s rise in the 1980s. But China is not Japan. It has ten ways to hit back.

On Tuesday, China said it would impose anti-dumping duties on imports of U.S. sorghum. As the largest buyer of U. sorghum - about $1 billion annually - China holds substantial leverage. Currently, China relies almost solely on the US for its sorghum. As bilateral trade relations erode, that kind of reliance may soon be a thing of the past.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

Stock Market Short Squeeze/Melt-Up We Predicted Started Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US majors are all nearly 1% higher for the day with the NASDAQ up over 2.25%.  Our analysis of the markets was DEAD ON.  We called the 2678 level on the ES as a key resistance level to watch before any breakout to the upside would potentially happen.  We also called this market bottom nearly three weeks ago on March 28, 2018 and we are up over 15% on a position to take advantage of it with our followers.  We have been nailing these market reversals with incredible accuracy all year and we are just getting started with our Advanced Dynamic Learning systems we have developed.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

What Does it Take to Create Living Wage Jobs? / Politics / Wages

By: BATR

For those with the practical experience of being an employer, it is well established that in order for an enterprise to survive, profitability is a primary objective. Employing labor is a function of fulfilling a needed task and matching the skills of the worker with the ability of making or running equipment in order to produce the end product for sale. These conditions are the basics when applicants are hired. Putting aside cultural values of work itself, the methods for training the expertise to become productive are often overlooked by managers in the fast paced and changing work environment. Resolving this problem is the practical path on how to build a viable workforce, which in turn would go a long way to be able to pay a living wage.

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Companies

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

5 "Core" Elliott Wave Patterns, Hershey (NYSE: HSY) / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: EWI

The choppy rise in the stock of Hershey -- and the sharp recent breakdown -- speak volumes to an observant Elliott wave investor. See if you can spot the tell-tale signs...

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

Gold and Silver Buy Signals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan updates the gold and silver charts and finds buy signals for both gold and silver.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

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