Monday, November 12, 2018
Stock Markets Around the World are Crashing. What Not to Worry About? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Financial media’s favorite headline is “here’s why you should be worried”. Blind “worrying” and “concern” is good for their business because it drives pageviews and ad $$$.
Certain markets around the world remain in a downtrend right now, namely emerging markets and oil.
Instead of “worrying”, let’s look at the facts.
Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
Netflix (NFLX): When Bulls and Bears Collide / Companies / Tech Stocks
Dear Investor,
You know that sometimes it's easy to look at a price chart and think, "I know exactly where this market is headed!"
But most times, it's not that simple. We've been there, too.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
What Is the Difference Between Democrats and Republicans? / Politics / US Politics
In Minnesota, democrat Keith Ellison had domestic assault charges lodged against him. His accuser filed a police report and exhibited bruising around her face. The accuser’s own adult son verified the assault. The voters of Minnesota elected Mr. Ellison as their attorney general.
In New York’s District 14, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez won the unopposed House of Representative seat after republicans withdrew support of their candidate, Anthony Pappas. Why? Mr. Pappas was accused of domestic violence. Apparently ‘believe the women’ only applies to democratic women with an ax to grind against republicans. So, logically, accusations lodged by women are fungible and dependent on political affiliation?
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Monday, November 12, 2018
Cyclical Commodities Continue to Weaken, Gold Moves in Relation / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Crude Oil and Industrial Metals continue downward. This is significant per this NFTRH monthly chart showing these items and the broad CRB itself having hit trend lines from the 2008 highs. These pullbacks from long-term trend lines are notable and qualify cyclical commodities as risk indicators for the cyclical macro.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
Olympus Tough TG-5 Camera Stuck or Dead Pixels, Rubbish Video Auto Focus / ConsumerWatch / Reviews
Thinking of buying a Olympus TG-5 Tough Camera due to it's under water use capabilities? Tthen you need to watch this video before you find yourself disspaointed with the camera's poor performance, especially in in terms of ability to auto focus during shooting video footage. And what's worse the likes of Currys are selling brand new cameras with stuck or dead pixels. For which there is a possible solution i.e. pixel mapping BUT brand new cameras should NOT have stuck or dead pixels!
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Monday, November 12, 2018
5 Things That Precede Gold Price Major Bottoms / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The recent weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is not over. In fact, we are worried about another leg down getting underway.
If that comes to pass, we are positioned to profit from it. But I digress.
Long-term oriented investors and speculators should be aware of the near term trends but they should also be aware of the conditions that will lead to a shift from a bear market to a bull market.
Here, we focus on five factors that precede major bottoms in precious metals.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
Big US Stocks Q3 Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The widely-held mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets are just wrapping up another blockbuster earnings season. Sales and profits soared largely due to Republicans’ massive corporate tax cuts. Still these lofty stock markets are vulnerable to serious downside, as October’s brutal plunge proved. Such extreme revenue and earnings growth cannot persist, and valuations remain in dangerous bubble territory.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs contain the best fundamental data available to investors and speculators. They dispel all the sentimental distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing the underlying hard fundamental realities.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
How "Free Money" Helped Create Sizzling Housing Market & REIT Gains / Housing-Market / US Housing
Housing prices and the associated REIT returns have worked very differently in the United States since the recession of 2001. The increasing financialization of the real estate markets by Wall Street, and the aggressive and unconventional interventions by the Federal Reserve over that time, have combined in multiplicative fashion to produce new and volatile sources of housing profits and losses.
One such change has been the creation of an extremely powerful profit engine for housing, that most real estate investors have not been taking into account. Indeed, there is a strong mathematical case to be made that "yield curve spread compression" has supported and enabled the substantial majority of housing price gains for homeowners and investors on a national average basis since the beginning of 2014.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
One Direction More Likely for Bitcoin Price / Currencies / Bitcoin
The recent period of sideways trading may make traders impatient or even discouraged altogether. At any rate, those who crave more action in Bitcoin could be driven out of the market. But this is no time to bet on Bitcoin staying docile.
If the recent months haven’t exactly been rosy for Bitcoin traders, there are avenues which might offer more optimistic news. Unlikely avenues, perhaps. A report by Morgan Stanley suggests that Bitcoin might have become an asset class for institutional investors. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Institutional investors are increasingly getting involved in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies – while the number of retail investors in the space is staying stagnant – according to a new report by Morgan Stanley.
Monday, November 12, 2018
A Worldwide Debt Default Is A Real Possibility / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2018
Is debt good or bad? The answer is “Yes.”
Debt is future spending pulled forward in time. It lets you buy something now for which you otherwise don’t have cash yet.
Whether it’s wise or not depends on what you buy. Debt to educate yourself so you can get a better job may be a good idea. Borrowing money to finance your vacation? Probably not.
The problem is that many people, businesses, and governments borrow because they can. It’s been possible in the last decade only because central banks made it so cheap.
Monday, November 12, 2018
3 Triggers That Could Push This Sell-Off into a Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
There’s very real possibility the global economy breaks down in the next six months.Anything could trigger a crisis, and it could well be something no one now foresees. But here are my three candidates.
Corporate Credit Crisis
US companies are way more leveraged now than they were ahead of the 2008 crisis.
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Monday, November 12, 2018
The Place of HSE Software in Today's Business / Companies / Health and Safety
Today, every business is looking to grow their market share. They also focus on minimizing risks. A business that addresses growth and risk with ease is a leader of the pack.
Having HSE (Health Safety and Environment) software is important to every organization. Especially companies keen on growth and risk mitigation.
Sunday, November 11, 2018
Gold Asks: Are US Bonds Overvalued? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
“We are in a bond market bubble that’s beginning to unwind.” This is the statement of Alan Greenspan. Is he right? We invite you to read our today’s article about the US bond market and find out whether it is in bubble or not – and what does it all mean for the precious metals market.
Bond yields are in an upward trend since 2016/2017. And they hit the accelerator again last month. The 10-year Treasury yield topped 3.2 percent, the highest level since May 2011. Other yields have also increased recently: on 30-year Treasuries hit 3.40 in October, while on 5-year US government bonds jumped above 3 percent, as one can see in the chart below.
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Sunday, November 11, 2018
Here’s Why 10%+ US Treasury Bond Yields Are a Real Possibility / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The US Treasury has closed the books on Fiscal Year 2018, which was another debt-financed failure.The federal government spent above $4.1 trillion in FY 2018. It had to borrow $779 billion on budget and a few hundred billion more off-budget.
And over 40% of the on-budget deficit went simply to pay $325 billion in interest on previously-issued debt.
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Sunday, November 11, 2018
Why the Stock Market Will Pullback Before Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The S&P 500 has reached its 61.8% retracement and is now facing short term resistance (as expected).
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Sunday, November 11, 2018
GDX - Will you Buy This Hated Stock with Me? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
Will you listen to me?
Will you buy the stock I recommend in this issue?
I hope so… because we have a realistic shot to make roughly 140% on our money in just a few months.
Stock markets don’t often hand us opportunities like this. I study markets for a living and I see one setup like it a year, max.
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Sunday, November 11, 2018
The Los Angeles Measure for a City-owned Bank -- A Valiant Effort! / Politics / Banking Stocks
I've gotten inquiries on the outcome of the Los Angeles ballot measure to approve a city-owned bank , so thought I would send a quick update. Unfortunately it did not pass, but it did get 42 percent of the vote. It was a remarkable outcome considering that the dynamic young Public Bank LA advocacy group effectively only had a month to educate 4 million voters on what a public bank is and why passing the measure was a good idea. If they had had another month, the bill could well have passed.
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Sunday, November 11, 2018
Christmas and Halloween LED Dynamic Projector Light Review / Personal_Finance / Reviews
LOPOO Christmas and Halloween LED Dynamic Projector Light Review
Christmas is around the corner and I wanted to step up my game this year by going further than the usual string and icicle lights. So I thought I would try an animated projector light. So after much searching I settled on giving this one a try.
The item arrived promptly from amazon costing £26.99 (current price £21.99), and well is pretty straightforward to setup and use. Just plug it in and use the little remote to turn it on.
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Saturday, November 10, 2018
Wall Street Veteran: Why I Don’t Lend to Family and Friends / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
Once in a while, friends or family want to borrow money. How should you handle this?Be careful.
Over the years, a hundred people asked me to borrow money from fifty bucks to tens of thousands. I have granted only two requests.
A lot of ill feelings will come up over borrowed money that isn’t paid back. It destroys relationships. Happens all the time.
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Saturday, November 10, 2018
Stocks Breaking Higher, but Resistance Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Wednesday's trading session was very bullish, as stocks accelerated their short-term uptrend following the U.S. Elections outcome. The S&P 500 index got back above the level of 2,800. The market is at its mid-October local high. So, will it continue higher or reverse downwards here?
The U.S. stock market indexes gained 2.1-2.6% on Wednesday, breaking above the short-term consolidation, as investors' sentiment improved following the U.S. Elections. The S&P 500 index was 11.5% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on last week's Monday. And now it trades just 4.3% below the all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.1% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 2.6% yesterday.
The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index is now at around 2,815-2,820, marked by mid-October local high of 2,816.94. The next resistance level is at 2,860-2,865, marked by the previous local lows. On the other hand, the support level is now at 2,780-2,800, marked by the recent resistance level. The support level is also at 2,755-2,775, marked by yesterday's daily gap up of 2,756.82-2,774.13.
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