Sunday, September 06, 2015
Stock Market Dog Day Afternoons / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Fed got what they wanted today besides the much weaker than expected jobs report.
The Unemployment Rate dropped to 5.1%, largely on the number of people who have been unemployed for so long that they are no longer counted as part of the workforce. Hence the record low 'Labor Participation Rate.'
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Another volatile week! The week started off with two consecutive gap down openings after starting at SPX 1989. By late Tuesday the SPX was down to 1903. Wednesday and Thursday it reversed with two gap up openings, carrying the SPX to 1975 by Thursday morning. On Friday the market gapped down at the open taking the SPX to 1911. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.35%, the NDX/NAZ were -3.15%, and the DJ World index was -3.60%. On the economic front positive/negative reports came in even. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, the GDPN, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, both ISM’s, the WLEI, payrolls, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by the PPI, Export/Import prices and Consumer sentiment. Best to your week!
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Stock Market Investors Destined to Lose; What you can do to improve your odds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Uncertainty and mystery are energies of life. Don't let them scare you unduly, for they keep boredom at bay and spark creativity. - R. I. Fitzhenry
The average person regardless of their education or lack off usually is on the receiving end of the stick when it comes to investing in the markets. The reason for this quandary is really very simple and predicated upon the fact that the average person’s decision-making process is driven by their emotional state. Successful investing and emotions do not go together; it’s an awful mix, and the outcome is always the same; stress and loss.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
China’s Worst nightmare--The US Oil Weapon / Politics / GeoPolitics
Tingbin Zhang writes: China’s islanding building on the four-mile-long and two-mile-wide Subi Reef in the South China Sea has put The US in a tight spot. To protect its ally from China’s aggression, The US will be left with little choice but to constrain China by military means. However, the US won't directly engage China in the war in the foreseeable future, because the US dominates China with its superior naval and air force and the only way for China to level the playing field is to apply nuclear weapons. The nuclear nature of Sino-American warfare will make both the world no.1 and no.2 economy the fallen giants.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Global Stock Markets Are Between Apocalypse And Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Major world stock markets are all in a BEAR MARKET MODE…cash is king horizon to horizon…universally! Death Cross patterns continue to spread through most international stock markets like an epidemic gone viral (A Death Cross pattern is when the 10-week moving average falls below the 40-week moving average). Moreover, history is testament that September is marked by horrific stock losses during the past 40 years.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Central Planning, Politics, Economics and The Santelligram / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Rick Santelli may be one of the last speakers of truth left in the mainstream financial space.Santelli is a former commodities trade – now a popular CNBC commentator, broadcasting from Chicago.
He is treated like a sad clown brought out for entertainment effect, where you brace for the extreme. In his case, this often manifests as an angry rant.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Stocks Bear Market - 5 Further Technical Confirmations / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Divest!
We now have five signals that the US equity market is entering a Primary Bear Trend (Confirms the prognosis of the S&P Global 1200 Index)
- Rounding top on both Industrials and Transports
- The DJ Industrials’ fall to a lower low than October 2014 was confirmed by Transports fall to a lower low (Pink spots)
- “Death Cross” on both indices as 50 Day MA crossed over of 200 day MA (Green spots)
- The consolidation of both indices after fall below 200 day MA was followed by sharp declines (Blue spots)
- On Balance Volume (relationship between buying and selling pressure) of Dow Jones Industrials has fallen to a new low (Yellow spots) (Not yet “finally” confirmed by Transports)
Saturday, September 05, 2015
Stock Market Flag Lives On...Jobs Report Poor.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The highly watched and anticipated Jobs Report came out this morning. Folks anxious to see if the economy is as strong as most hoped. The verdict was a poor one for the economy. The believers shot down. The job creation came in approximately 50,000 short. Not what Fed Yellen wanted to see, and not what the market really wanted to see, either. It appears to me that folks are more focused on a true economic recovery than worrying about one single rate hike from the Fed. With the economy struggling for growth it's clear to all that even if the Fed raised rates one time there's no way there would be a regular cycle of hikes for some time to come. At this point, the market may actually want this hike to come so it can get it out of the way.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Angela Merkel Defeated by a 3-Year Old Dead Boy / Politics / Immigration
In the end, what should have been avoided all along, was. The refugees who were treated like subhumans for days in Hungary, and who in the end refused to be subjected to that treatment any longer and started walking to the Austrian border, are being taken as we speak to that border, on buses provided by the government in Budapest.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Oil Stocks - Interim or Major Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil
In the second half of August, Chinese equities have been under heavy selling pressure as a fear over China's slowing economy and worries that Beijing may allow the Yuan to continue to depreciate have weighed on investors' sentiment. Moreover, disappointing economic data fuelled that fears, which resulted in a sharp decline on China's stock market. In less than two weeks, the Shanghai Composite declined from (almost) 4,000 below the next psychologically important barrier of 3,000, hitting fresh 2015 lows.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Establishment Survey +173K Jobs, Private Jobs +140,000; U.S. Unemployment Rate 5.1% / Economics / Employment
The establishment survey came in a weaker than expected 173,000 job. The Bloomberg Consensus estimate was 223,000 jobs.
However, the preceding two months were revised up by 44,000 and wages were strong. Bloomberg provides a nice summation of the strengths and weaknesses.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
China Stocks: Investment Strategies to Declaw the Dragon - Video / Companies / China Stocks
Fast-forward 30 years. Asia has once again become a global economic linchpin. But now it’s Beijing – not Tokyo – that has investors feeling alternately awed… and fearful. That mix of emotions is exactly why so many analysts refer to China as a “dragon” as part of their financial and economic analyses.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Whipsaw the Stock Market Right Back With These Three Tech Plays / Companies / Tech Stocks
While others get distracted by the noise on Wall Street, we’re staying focused on our long-term objective of building wealth through tech investing.
I also said I’d bring you three stocks that can beat this whipsawed market. And in a moment I’m going to do just that…
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Could a President Trump Put People Back to Work and Help the U.S. Dollar? / Politics / US Presidential Election 2016
Despite happy economic reporting from the government, ShadowStats' John Williams warns that underlying problems from the crash of 2008 were never addressed, leaving the United States in a recession papered over by sleight of hand and a workforce redefined out of existence. Bottom line? "Holding gold is the best way to weather the storm that is coming when the fundamental weakness of the stock market and the U.S. dollar becomes apparent," Williams tells The Gold Report.
The Gold Report: In honor of Labor Day, let's discuss unemployment. You estimated that when all workers are counted, the unemployment rate in July was 23% compared to the government's reported rate of 5.4%. What is different about the job market today than before the recession?
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Sturgeon Plays Politics with Syrian Refugee's, Solution Settle Migrants in Hungary and Poland / Politics / Immigration
Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish Nationalists has jumped on board the criticise David Cameron bandwagon for not doing enough towards the Syrian refugee crisis and is now demanding that many more tens if not hundreds of thousands of refugees be housed in mostly England whilst announcing Scotland is willing to take in 1000 refugees as a first step.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
Gold and Silver Final Flush Beginning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
While turmoil in global capital markets may ultimately benefit the precious metals sector, it certainly is not an immediate catalyst. As global markets have weakened in recent days so too have precious metals and precious metals companies. The gold miners are nearing recent lows ahead of conventional markets while the recoveries in Gold and Silver appear to be reversing. This could be the start of a final flush that marks the end of the bear market.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
Jeremy Corbyn’s “Quantitative Easing for People”: UK Labour Frontrunner’s Controversial Proposal / Politics / Quantitative Easing
British MP Jeremy Corbyn has proposed a “People’s QE” that has critics crying hyperinflation and supporters saying it’s about time.
Dark horse candidate Jeremy Corbyn, who is currently leading in the polls for UK Labour Party leadership, has included in his platform “quantitative easing for people.” He said in a July 22nd presentation:
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Friday, September 04, 2015
Bye Bye Brazil Economy / Economics / Brazil
For about a decade there, Brazil was the Latin American country that got it right. Under a socialist but apparently reasonable government they kept their budgets under control, managed the population shift from farm to city, and developed some efficient export industries that brought in plenty of hard currency. The Brazilian real held its own on foreign exchange markets and inflation was, as a result, moderate.
Then it all fell apart. The US dollar spiked, commodity prices tanked, and it was discovered that a whole range of big local players were gaming the system in various ways, sparking a corruption scandal that reaches all the way to top.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
Stock Market Third Wave - Elliott Waves Point to Market Probabilities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The "personality" of a third wave shows itself in recent market action
A classic issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist published this exchange:
Read full article... Read full article...Q. Do you believe that the Wave Principle provides for an objective form of analysis? ... There are market watchers who say that applying wave theory is very subjective.
Friday, September 04, 2015
Another Hysterically False BLS US Unemployment Report / Politics / Employment
It’s that time of the month again, where the Bureau of Lies and Scams issues their latest manipulated, massaged, and falsified unemployment data to the willfully ignorant masses. The MSM will unquestioningly regurgitate the lies with breathless enthusiasm. The Wall Street hucksters will interpret any data as positive for the stock market.
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