Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Syrian Refugee Crisis to Result in UK Council and Social Housing Waiting Lists Freeze Catastrophe / Politics / Immigration
Whilst David Cameron plucks figures out the air such as for the relocation of 20,000 Syrian refugees over the next few years, the reality will probably be nearer 20 times that figure, 400,000 Syrian refugees as evidenced by David Cameron's other immigration promises to cut net immigration to the tens of thousands per year where instead each data release shows net migration soaring to a new record high, as evidenced by the most recent data of over 330,000 per year.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Can Big Cap Gold and Silver Stocks Go Any Lower ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
In this I’m going to take an indepth look at some the individual precious metals stocks so we can see where they’re at from a short to long term perspective. We’ll start by looking at some of the more important big cap PM stocks as the precious metals stock indexes can’t have a significant rally until this group is ready to run. Anything can happen in the very short term but the further you go out in time the less likely the big trend is going to change on a dime.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
U.S. Real Wealth Weaker than GDP Stats Show / Economics / Economic Statistics
US real gross domestic product (GDP) grew faster than initially thought in Q2. GDP expanded at a 3.7 percent annual rate instead of the 2.3 percent rate reported last month and 0.6 percent in Q1. Most experts, in response to this figure, are now arguing that the US economy is strengthening visibly.
This, coupled with a relatively stable price level, raises the likelihood that the economy is approaching the path of healthy economic growth with stable price inflation.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
The Stock Market Wants to Rally, Gold Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX futures are rallying during this Labor Day Holiday. The chart below pretty much explains what I'm looking for this week. On the sentiment point, we have excessive bearishness: large specs short volatility, while the small specs are long volatility and high P/C ratios... this is fairly bullish, at least in the short term.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 07, 2015
If You Think That Was A Stock Market Crash…. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week’s volatility to the downside was entirely predictable, as the first leg down during this ongoing market crash reached the correction stage of 11%. The technical bounce was a given, as the 30 year old HFT MBAs on Wall Street have been trained like rats to BTFD. In their lemming like minds, it has worked for the last six years of this Federal Reserve created “bull market”, so why wouldn’t it work now. Last week was their first lesson in why it doesn’t work during bear markets, and we’ve entered a bear market. John Hussman seems amused at the shallowness of the arguments by Wall Street shills and CNBC cheerleaders about the future of the stock market in his weekly letter. After this modest pullback from all-time highs, the S&P 500 is still overvalued by 92%:
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Rising UK Mortgage Interest Rates - Wave Goodbye to Lowest Five-year Fixes / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Over the past year borrowers have been treated to record low mortgage rates; however, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the lowest five-year fixed mortgage rates may already be a thing of the past.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
4 Reasons Why the Fed Will Try Quantitative Easing - REDUX / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
While we were led to believe that the Fed would begin tightening upon recovery, new fears of a double dip have sparked the Keynesian clan into moving in the opposite direction. Soon enough, we believe, a new quantitative easing program will be unveiled.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 07, 2015
China FX Reserves and CNY Implications / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
China FX reserves fell $94 bn to $3.56 tn in August, posting the biggest decline on record, tell us a little more than just China is slowing.
We already know that a key reason to the decline in reserves is China's selling of reserves, such as US treasuries, in order to support the CNY, preventing it from falling rapidly after last month's devaluation announcement.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Bond Yields vs Stocks and The Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The widely anticipated US August jobs report headlined with a disappointing 173k increase in nonfarm payrolls (lowest since March). The silver lining was in the 44k upward revision of the previous two months and the decline in the unemployment rate to fresh seven-year lows of 5.1% from 5.3%. The decline 41K decrease in the labour force was too small to reduce the participation rate, which remained unchanged at 62.6%.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
More Stock Market Selling Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Stock Market Bulls Set To Be Tasered Again - Imminent Crash, Severe Downleg... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stockmarket is toxic! It's very important that you don't get seduced by the old siren song of Wall St about "buying the dip" and other nonsense like "being selective". While these strategies have worked up to now, they won't any longer, because we are now in a bearmarket, and furthermore it looks like we are on the verge of another plunge.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
The Real Refugee Crisis And How To Solve It / Politics / Immigration
Last week Europe saw one of its worst crises in decades. Tens of thousands of migrants entered the European Union via Hungary, demanding passage to their hoped-for final destination, Germany.
While the media focuses on the human tragedy of so many people uprooted and traveling in dangerous circumstances, there is very little attention given to the events that led them to leave their countries. Certainly we all feel for the displaced people, especially the children, but let's not forget that this is a man-made crisis and it is a government-made crisis.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Investors Cash in On a Strong U.S. Dollar and Weak Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost another 541 points or 3.2% to close at 16,102.38 while the S&P 500 dropped 68 points or 3.4% to 1921.22. The Dow is now solidly in 10% correction territory from its 18,351.40 closing high earlier this year and down 9.7% year-to-date.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
At Jackson Hole: Be Very Afraid, Bankers are Channeling their Inner Rothschild / Politics / Banksters
Dear Reader, There is a melancholy overtaking economic commentators such as myself. The kindred spirits amongst the economic intelligentsia who stridently, constantly, warn of the dangers the actions of our central banks, are now overwhelmed by the futility of our attempts to bring this issue to Main Street's consciousness. [Dear Reader, please stifle your guffaws at my hubris that allows me to include myself as a member of the world's economic intelligentsia. Debatably, my curriculum vitae as an economist is quite thin. It requires many redactions, falsehoods and exaggerations prior to being sent to a prospective employer, {along with a fervent prayer that the employer does not check my police record, references, academic credentials or my credit bureau}]. However, my intimate knowledge of the outrageous inner workings of our Central Banks gives me insights heretofore unavailable even to the most celebrated, revered and feted economists. I will explain how I came to be amongst the celebrated elite at the Economic Symposium held at the Jackson Lake Lodge last week end.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
$GOLD (Gold - Spot Price) and Gold Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Just like always traders are ultra bearish when they should be getting bullish, Gold is 30 days into its daily cucle and due to bottom any day. Possible on a final dip after the employment report.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
America’s Descent into Totalitarian Violence is Accelerating / Politics / US Politics
America’s descent into totalitarian violence is accelerating. Like the Bush regime, the Obama regime has a penchant for rewarding Justice (sic) Department officials who trample all over the US Constitution. Last year America’s First Black President nominated David Barron to be a judge on the First US Circuit Court of Appeals in Boston.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
Tracking Stock Market Investor Sentiment with Credit Spreads / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Long time readers of this site are aware that successful traders/investors learn how to read market sentiment. Positioning yourself on the correct side of a market is the key to profits. Do this, and do it consistently, and you will make money. Don’t do this and you will lose money. It is a very simple yet very profound axiom that sadly many seem never to learn.
“Fighting the tape”, is the expression we use when characterizing those who fail to approach markets objectively, but who insist on reading their own bias or belief system INTO a market rather than listening to what the market is saying to them.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
The Failed Moral Argument for a "Living Wage" / Economics / Wages
Ryan McMaken writes: With Labor Day upon us, newspapers across the US will be printing op-eds calling for a mandated “living wage” and higher wages in general. In many cases, advocates for a living wage argue for outright mandates on wages; that is, a minimum wage set as an arbitrary level determined by policymakers to be at a level that makes housing, food, and health care “affordable.”
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
How Stock Market Crisis Creates Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Anthony Summers writes: Last week, we looked at the largest percentage losses in the Dow since 1965. We learned that the months August through November saw the highest concentration of single-day losses of 3% or higher.
In today’s chart, we’re going to look at the market’s largest gains. And just like before, we wanted to know the months when they were most common.
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Sunday, September 06, 2015
How to Buy Houses for 25% Below Market Value / Housing-Market / US Housing
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "What's your top idea right now, Steve? What are you doing with your own money?"
The answer is simple: U.S. real estate.
Right now, I have a greater percentage of my net worth invested in the U.S. residential property market than in any other asset class – by far.
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