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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, February 25, 2008

US Economic Boom and Busts / Economics / US Economy

By: Gerard_Jackson

The US Economy: Been there before - There are times when in order to find out where we are we need to discover how we got there. And this is certainly the case with economies, and the US economy is no exception. This is why economic lessons are vitally important and why they need to be constantly aired lest the public be led astray by demagogues and economic illiterates. (Think Obama and Hillary Clinton). One of the most important lessons that was largely disregarded in the 1990s is that booms are always followed by busts. (The dishonest US mainstream media's response to this fact is to blame recessions on Republicans and always credit Democrats with the good times).

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Economics

Sunday, February 24, 2008

US Recession and Mega Profit Opportunities / Economics / Recession

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Big Picture - Martin Weiss writes: With so much happening so quickly, I know it's sometimes hard to set aside a quiet time to think.

But this weekend I want the two of us to focus on the big picture ... find some clarity in these confusing times ... and chat about where we're headed from here.

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Economics

Saturday, February 23, 2008

US Fed's Up Beat Forecasts on Pessimistic Economic Growth Outlook / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Muddle Through Fed
  • Risks to the Downside
  • Consumers Gone Wild
  • Leaving the Ballpark After All these Years

This week the Fed offered us their forecasts for 2008-10 for the economy, inflation and employment. We will look at some of the details which I think will be of interest. Then we glance at some data on the savings rate which suggests consumer spending may be in for more of a challenge than many think. There is a lot of ground to cover.

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Economics

Saturday, February 23, 2008

US Heading for 1970's Style Stagflation? / Economics / Stagflation

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Thursday, February 21, articles about the possibility of stagflation occurred in both The New York Times ( That '70s Look: Stagflation ) and The Wall Street Journal ( Fears of Stagflation Return As Price Increases Gain Pace ). Are we about to be subjected to a rerun of "That '70s Show"?

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Economics

Friday, February 22, 2008

Inflation: America 's Greatest Export / Economics / US Economy

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnfortunately one of the few things still made in America is inflation. In fact, it now ranks as our greatest export. 

A significant by-product of the current global economic system, wherein Americans spend money they do not earn to buy foreign products that they do not make, is that trillions of dollars are now parked in foreign banks just looking for somewhere to go.

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Economics

Friday, February 22, 2008

Inflation- The Elephant in the Room / Economics / Inflation

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The elephant in the room" ... I love that expression. After all, my two little girls enjoy watching the elephants at Lion Country Safari, and they'd love to see 'em show up in the living room.

But right now, the real five-ton elephant in the room is inflation. And no one at the Federal Reserve really seems to want to confront it!

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Economics

Thursday, February 21, 2008

US Imports Inflation From China - Use Agri-Foods to Protect Your Wealth! / Economics / Inflation

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWaving a magic wand and making speeches does not prevent reality from creeping into statistics. Per the FRB-Cleveland, the U.S. inflation trend is as shown in the following table.

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Economics

Monday, February 18, 2008

Saving as the Source of Most Spending and the Implications for the 'Economic Stimulus Package' / Economics / US Economy

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStanding Keynesian GDP on its head: Saving Not Consumption as the Main Source of Spending - Professor George Reisman writes: According to the prevailing Keynesian dogma, consumption is the main form of spending in the economic system, while saving is mere non-spending and thus a 'leakage' from the spending stream. This dogma underlies much of government economic policy in the United States, including the so-called economic stimulus package that has just been enacted. In this article, I prove, to the contrary, that consumption is not the main form of spending in the economic system and that the source of most spending is, in fact, saving. I prove my claims by starting with the very formulations of the expenditure aggregates presented by the Keynesian doctrine itself.

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Economics

Sunday, February 17, 2008

Bernanke's State of the US Economy Speech: "You are all Dead Ducks!" / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEven veteran Fed-watchers were caught off-guard by Chairman Bernanke's performance before the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday. Bernanke was expected to make routine comments on the state of the economy but, instead, delivered a 45 minute sermon detailing the afflictions of the foundering financial system. The Senate chamber was stone-silent throughout. The gravity of the situation is finally beginning to sink in.

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Economics

Friday, February 15, 2008

US Recession Debate Turns Toward Inflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: Michael_Pento

The debate over the "R" word has been the focus on Wall St. for months on end. This obsession over whether the degree of the economic slowdown will in fact reach the technical definition of recession (2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP) is unproductive for the average investor. What investors need to know is that while economic growth is clearly weak, inflation is rising and that the current value of the stock market has not priced this in. Meanwhile, the Fed's response to this crisis is causing great harm to investors and could lead to hyperinflation in the long term.

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Economics

Friday, February 15, 2008

Economic Stimulus Packages Overdosing Could Ignite Hyperinflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: Peter_Schiff

In perhaps one of biggest ironies to ever to come out of Washington, this week Congress simultaneously pilloried major league baseball players for using artificial stimulants to pump up their performance while passing legislation to do just that to the national economy. Am I the only one laughing?

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Economics

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Financial Destiny of United States is in China's Hands / Economics / US Economy

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUncle Sam is Crying "Uncle" - Tertium datur - People tend to think in terms of black-and-white. Many of my correspondents think that either hyperinflation or deflation is in store for the dollar; tertium non datur (no third possibility given). I would say tertium datur . The third possibility is a hybrid of hyperinflation and deflation. I described this scenario in my previous article “Opening the Mint to Gold and Silver”. It is possible, even probable, that we shall witness collapsing world trade and collapsing world employment together with competitive currency devaluations, as the three superpowers compete in trying to corner gold. The lure of gold is very strong. “There is no fever like gold fever” and, contrary to conventional wisdom, governments are especially susceptible.

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Economics

Monday, February 11, 2008

Are Interest Rates Driving the Economy into Recession? / Economics / Austrailia

By: Gerard_Jackson

Interest rates are rising and it looks as if the Rudd Government is beginning to panic, a sign of which was Treasurer Wayne Swan's silly threat to banks not to be greedy by raising interest rates. This would be funny if it were not so serious. It is abundantly clear that our Treasurer is at a complete loss to understand what is really happening with interest rates. Unfortunately for Australia the same can be said about our economic pundits.

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Economics

Monday, February 11, 2008

The Greatest Danger to the US Economy is the Fed / Economics / US Interest Rates

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I have said a number of times, the real economic problem that confronts the world today -- and that includes the US -- is lousy economics. Bernanke has made it clear that he follows fallacious line that it is the role of central banks to manipulate interest rates. We now have Charles Plosser, Philadelphia Fed President, stating that Bernanke's "aggressive rate cuts" will put the US on a growth trend of about 2.7 per cent by 2009. However, he claims that "if something can tip us into recession, the housing market is the biggest risk".

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Economics

Sunday, February 10, 2008

US Recession - Massive Credit Crunch Beating US Government and Fed Flood of Liqudity / Economics / Recession

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: I'm no longer a huge football fan, and I'm not much of a political junkie, either. But this past week's action really got my blood pumping.

The Patriots and Giants slugged things out for four long quarters. Deep passes into the secondary. Crushing sacks in the backfield. Power running and smashmouth blocking. It was a great game up until the bitter end.

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Economics

Saturday, February 09, 2008

Flying the Chinese-Made American Flag to Stimulate the US Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Walter_Brasch

Walking down Main Street, pushing a grocery cart loaded with clothes, toys, and appliances was Marshbaum. Fastened to the right front corner of the cart was an American flag tied onto a three-foot ruler.

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Economics

Saturday, February 09, 2008

Credit Crisis is Getting Worse as ISM Services Survey Falls out of Bed / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

  • Consumers, Credit, and Complications
  • Unemployment is Understated
  • The Credit Crisis is Simply Getting Worse
  • The Falling Knife of Credit Spreads
  • Capital Ratios Are Under More and More Pressure
  • The ISM Services Survey Simply Falls out of Bed
  • Upgrades, Orlando, and a Proud Dad

The evidence continues to mount that the US is in a recession. In this week's letter, we will look at the blind spot in the unemployment statistics, the continuing meltdown in the credit markets, and the simply awful service sector implosion in the ISM data, and then add a few thoughts on the housing market. There is a lot of data to cover, so this week's letter should be particularly interesting. The letter will print longer than normal, since there are lots of graphs.

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Economics

Saturday, February 09, 2008

The Great Depression 2008 - It can't happen to us....can it?” / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWebster's defines complacency as “1.satisfaction or contentment 2. smug self-satisfaction” There is probably not a better word to describe the current state of perception with regard to economic and financial malady. I had an interesting conversation the other night about exactly this topic and the individual I was speaking with had an overriding belief that we cannot suffer economically simply because the current generation is not prepared to deal with it. While I certainly agree with the latter assertion, the former continues to baffle me. I am certainly not prepared to deal with a lengthy hospital stay as the result of a horrific car crash, but that alone doesn't cloak me in immunity from having an accident. The reasoning is so broken and flawed, yet it is often all we get in terms of a perception of what is going on.

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Economics

Saturday, February 09, 2008

US Recession WIll Kill Inflation - Lies to Destroy the Value of Your Money / Economics / Inflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...The US recession is sure to send inflation to zero – just like it didn't in four of the last five recessions..."

WORRIED ABOUT INFLATION...? Oh stop your carping and set an extra place at dinner for the fast-looming recession instead.

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Economics

Thursday, February 07, 2008

The Bush Financial and Economic Bust of 2008 - The Destruction of Capital / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article" I just saw a picture Bernanke stripped to the waist in the boiler-room shoveling greenbacks into the furnace .” Rob Dawg, Calculated Risk blog-site

On January 14, 2008 the FDIC web site began posting the rules for reimbursing depositors in the event of a bank failure. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is required to “determine the total insured amount for each depositor....as of the day of the failure” and return their money as quickly as possible. The agency is “modernizing its current business processes and procedures for determining deposit insurance coverage in the event of a failure of one of the largest insured depository institutions.” ( http://www.fdic.gov/news/news/financial/2008/fil08002.html#body )

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