Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, July 03, 2009
U.S. Economy Economic Recovery Achilles Heel / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE – The much anticipated economic recovery is now fully discounted by the financial markets. Most strategists and economists seem to agree that the US economy is stabilising and will start to revive towards the end of the year. Interestingly, the ‘great depression’ hyperbole doing the rounds last autumn has now been replaced by the ‘green shoots’ hype. It seems as though everyone is spotting some kind of ‘green shoots’ somewhere in the economy. If one didn’t know any better, after reading the latest headlines in the media, one could easily get the impression that perhaps the geniuses in the financial community have now become experts in horticulture!
Friday, July 03, 2009
Can China's Economy Prosper Without the U.S. Dollar? / Economics / China Currency Yuan
By: Pravda
China ’s announcement overnight that it will allow companies to settle international trade claims in yuan shows how serious the Chinese authorities are about building a local currency market.
Friday, July 03, 2009
Is Still More Economic Stimulus Needed? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Sy_Harding
It hasn’t been a good week for Wall Street’s ‘green shoots’ analogy. This week’s economic reports looked more like crop-killer than fertilizer, certainly not providing much support for the current popular wisdom that consumers will soon be spending us out of the recession.
Thursday, July 02, 2009
U.S. Economy Heading for Japan of the 1990's or Argentina 2002? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Lee
Introduction: The inflation / deflation debate in the US is still alive and well. In deflation camp, there is the rising star du-jour Nouriel Roubini and old timer Robert Prechter. They argue the debt collapse would cause price deflation and depress world economies for years to come. The inflation camp includes Jim Rogers and Marc Faber, who said on May 27 2009 that "I am 100 percent sure that the U.S. will go into hyperinflation "
Thursday, July 02, 2009
U.S. Unemployment Rate Hits 9.5%, Jobs Contract 18th Straight Month / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June Employment Report.
Thursday, July 02, 2009
U.S. First Country to Recover From Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
A recovery from the worldwide economic slump will occur in East Asia only after it has begun in the United States, the Singapore ambassador to the U.S. said Tuesday.
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Thursday, July 02, 2009
Asia-Pacific Economies Grow As Developed Economies Wither / Economics / Asian Economies
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Tony Sagami writes: The World Bank is a global financial institution that makes loans to developing countries for the stated purpose of reducing poverty.
It provides low-interest loans and interest-free grants for investments in education, health, public administration, infrastructure, financial and private-sector development, agriculture, and environmental and natural-resource management.
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Thursday, July 02, 2009
Will China Lead the World Out of Recession? / Economics / China Economy
By: Money_and_Markets
Claus Vogt writes: The Baltic Dry Index, which measures the freight rates for dry cargo traveling by ship, hit an all time high of 11,793 on May 5, 2008. Then it plunged to 663 on December 5, a decline of 94.4 percent. It was as if trade was coming to a standstill. However, freight rates soon started to recover …
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Walls to Block U.S. Deflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Many are the obstructions to the so-called (mislabeled) deflation threat within the US Economy. To begin with, falling asset prices does not constitute deflation. One of the primary objectives of the banking elite in firm control of the USGovt and US Congress is to confuse the public and investment community on the entire topic of inflation, what it is, how it is measured, and its risks. The same goes for deflation. All debate as to whether the Untied States will suffer from inflation or deflation is a horrible misdirected distraction that manifests the confusion. The US will suffer both higher monetary inflation and worse economic deterioration, not one or the other, but BOTH, and with steadily increasing intensity.
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Is George Soros Long or Wrong on the Global Economic Rebound? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Billionaire investor George Soros thinks the worst of the global financial crisis is behind us.
In a June 20 interview with Polish television, the Hungarian-born Soros acknowledged that this has been the most serious crisis he's seen in his lifetime, but said, "Definitely, the worst is behind us."
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
The Case for Economic Depression, Credit Destruction / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Moses_Kim
Periodically in history, the expansion of credit creates the illusion of prosperity that ends in the inevitable bust. When John Law seemingly struck gold by introducing fiat currency in France, he was hailed as a financial genius. Four years and an economic collapse later, he was humiliated, shunned, and exiled.
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Warning of Severe Economic Collapse, Mainstream Media Sustainable Recovery Hype / Economics / Great Depression II
By: ArbitraryVote
The mainstream media and government are communicating that the economy is on a positive track toward recovery while downplaying the likelihood of another economic catastrophe similar or worse than that experienced in the fourth quarter of 2008 and first quarter of 2009. In actuality, there is a significant chance that the U.S. will experience a severe economic collapse, beyond what has already been experienced, either this year or within the next few years. If there is a perceived, sustainable economic rebound before this happens, do not be fooled - the underlying economic problems still exist and will likely eventually surface in economic collapse.
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Is Inflation a Fact… Or Just An Opinion? Part1 / Economics / Inflation
By: Graham_Summers
We need to seriously re-assess the threat of inflation.
Anytime a particular point of view reaches mass hysteria, you HAVE to be willing to look at it from a different perspective. Today, inflationary fears are beginning to reach that point. The words “Weimar” and “Zimbabwe” are thrown around regularly. Hyperinflation is becoming a serious point of discussion even amongst people who rarely focus on financial markets.
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Tuesday, June 30, 2009
UK and U.S. Economic GDP Crash / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Expect to see more headlines like this, worldwide: U.K. First-Quarter GDP Drops 2.4%, Most Since 1958.
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Tuesday, June 30, 2009
The Case Against Hyper Inflation / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Brian_Bloom
Here is a rather long winded, step by step, explanation of my understanding of what is happening and I have chosen to be very basic. Of course, where there is oversimplification, there are bound to be holes. But perhaps the principles will shine through.
Tuesday, June 30, 2009
OECD Joins the UK Double Dip Recession Forecast Club / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Over the past 2 weeks many 'recognised' forecasting organisations have been issuing reports and releases that point to Britain targeting a double dip recession to be triggered by deep public sector spending cuts following the next election. The latest of which to join the club is the OECD which stated that Britain remained in deep recession and that the recovery is likely to be slow and be accompanied by rising unemployment.
Monday, June 29, 2009
Apples and Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
Last week on CNBC’s “The Kudlow Report” there was a thrilling debate over inflation between Alan Blinder and Arthur Laffer. Mr. Laffer (former member of Reagan’s Economic Policy Advisory Board) encapsulated his position that we need to fear the return of inflation by simply stating that “…if you have a huge increase the supply of apples, the price of apples falls.” While Mr. Blinder (former Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) responded by stating, “If people suddenly want to hoard apples and the apple suppliers provide a lot of apples, you’re not going to have inflation of apple prices.”
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Monday, June 29, 2009
U.S. Jump in Savings Rates Means Debt Deflation in America / Economics / Deflation
By: Global_Research
Michael Hudson writes: Happy-face media reporting of economic news is providing the usual upbeat spin on Friday’s debt-deflation statistics. The Commerce Department’s National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) for May show that U.S. “savings” are now absorbing 6.9 percent of income.
Monday, June 29, 2009
Public Sector Pensions Deficit of £1.2 trillion Adds to Britains Debt Crisis / Economics / UK Debt
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream press is widely reporting that the public sector pensions deficit has now grown to £1.2 trillion, standing at 85% of GDP which is more than triple that of the United States as stated in a report by the British-North American Committee :
Sunday, June 28, 2009
Ben Bernanke on the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Clif_Droke
A major result of last year’s credit storm is a lingering sense of dread and foreboding among investors. Many are waiting for the proverbial “other shoe to drop” as the memories of last year’s crisis, and its attendant economic effects, are still fresh in mind.