Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Green Shoots Recovery Are a Mirage, Economy Will Deteriorate Further / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Moses_Kim
If there's one thing you can bank on, it's that the public will be controlled by emotional whims rather than rational judgment. I do my best to lay out the facts, and whenever possible, support my claims with hard data. When the characteristics of the the data change, my outlook will as well.
Thursday, August 13, 2009
UK Unemployment Figures Mean Disaster for the Housing Market / Economics / UK Housing
By: MoneyWeek
David Stevenson writes: Britain's dole queues just got a lot longer. Another 220,000 people were added, according to yesterday's official stats. That takes the total to 2,435,000, or a rate of 7.8%, the highest since 1996.
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Shifting Sands of Foreign Economic Policy Impacting on America's Shores / Economics / Government Intervention
By: John_Browne
The monstrous typhoon that pounded away at coastal areas of the Pacific last weekend certainly qualified as a disaster for anyone who happened to be in its path. But for those of us safely in bed, the storm not only provided some remarkable meteorological footage, but also a stealth lesson in economics.
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
UK Unemployment Continues to Soar Towards 3Million as Mervyn King Makes Excuses / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK Unemployment continues its inexorable rise by hitting 2.435 million despite desperate and unprecedented government measures to prevent electoral suicide that would accompany a 3 million unemployment figure by the date of the next general election due within the next 10 months. Unemployment jumped by 220,000 in the three months to May 2009 to the highest level since Labour came to power, with the jobless rate now standing at 7.8%.
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Social Security Safety Nets Mask Deflationary Economic Depression / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
In a recent video Robert Prechter says the Dollar's Hit a "Major Bottom" and that a deflationary depression is coming.
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Turning America into a Nation of Idiots, Fat, Drunk and Stupid is No Way to go Through Life / Economics / Social Issues
By: James_Quinn
Dean Wormer: Did you boys see your grade point averages yet?
Hoover: They're not posted yet, sir.
Dean Wormer: I've seen them. Mr. Kroger, two C's, two D's and an F - that's a 1.2 grade average. Congratulations, Kroger, you're at the top of the Delta pledge class.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Jaguar Inflation, Layman's Explanation of the Impact of Government Intervention / Economics / Economic Theory
By: EWI
This article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide.
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Get Ready for Startling CPI Inflation Data this October / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
Get ready to be hit by some startling inflation data. The data soon to be released by the government will put a dagger through the hearts of those who are predicting a protracted period of deflation. Wall Street and Washington are telling you inflation isn’t something we need to be concerned about for years to come. The truth is starting this October the reported Consumer Price Inflation data will become ugly. That is because the year over year comparisons of energy and commodity prices become very unfavorable.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
There is No Recession, This is Planned Financial Demolition / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Whitney
Credit is not flowing. In fact, credit is contracting. That means things aren't getting better; they're getting worse. When credit contracts in a consumer-driven economy, bad things happen. Business investment drops, unemployment soars, earnings plunge, and GDP shrinks. The Fed has spent more than a trillion dollars trying to get consumers to start borrowing again, but without success. The country's credit engines are grinding to a halt.
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
The Bounce Phase of the Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II
By: LewRockwell
Bill Bonner writes: “It looks like things are finally turning around,” said a friend at Saturday night’s dinner.
“Not at all…” we replied.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
No Economic Recovery, United States the Pink Slip Nation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: I don't know when the term "pink slip" originated. The term is at least a century old. It refers to a "your fired" notice.
The American economy shows no signs of reversing its relentless increase in the rate of unemployment. Jobs are disappearing at a rate not seen since the 1981–82 recession.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
The Most Accurate Predictor of Inflation (video) / Economics / Inflation
By: INO
The following video covers inflation, the Achilles heel of the financial markets, and how to really trade like the pros.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Savers Could Derail Britain's Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: MoneyWeek
Is our economy recovering? And is the United States about to snap back into growth mode?
If so, then the recent stock market rallies make some sense.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Russia Denies $5 Billion Secret Energy Loan to Ukraine / Economics / Russia
By: Pravda
Russia is not going to give credits to Ukraine to purchase Russian natural gas. Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko asked a five-billion-dollar loan from the Russian Federation in February of the current year. It was later reported that Russia supposedly agreed to provide such a loan if Ukraine spent $3 billion of the amount to purchase Russia’s natural gas. However, the government of Ukraine rejected the information in May.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
US Consumer Credit Shows Steepest Contraction in 5 Decades / Economics / US Debt
By: Mike_Shedlock
Please consider Monday morning's Breakfast With Dave regarding an unprecedented drop in consumer credit.
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Slow Long-Term Economic Growth, And Government's Response / Economics / Economic Theory
By: John_Mauldin
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible.
Monday, August 10, 2009
Is Everything You Learned about the Great Depression Wrong? / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Q1_Publishing
What if I asked you to forget everything you ever learned about the Great Depression?
You’d say I was crazy.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Emerging Market Giants Much Better Risk than California / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: Frank_Holmes
The Battle of the “Bears” - If I told you that an investment in California was riskier than Russia, would that surprise you?
Well according to the current prices for 10-year credit default swaps, Russia is less likely to default on its debt than the state of California.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Economics Weekly, FOMC Meeting and BoE Inflation Report Take Centre Stage / Economics / Global Economy
By: Lloyds_TSB
After last week’s European central bank announcements, attention turns to Wednesday’s US FOMC meeting. We expect an unchanged 0-0.25% federal funds target range and for the policy statement to reiterate that this is likely to continue for an extended period. The statement may also touch on the exit strategy from QE, although the question of timing is likely to remain open. The Bank of Japan also announces its policy decision, amid signs that economic conditions have stopped deteriorating.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
On the Brink of Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Mike_Shedlock
Economist Paul Krugman and Obama's economic adviser Laura Tyson claim U.S. Economy May Be on Brink of Recovery.