Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, August 01, 2009
Why Deflation … Not Inflation … Remains the Problem / Economics / Deflation
By: Money_and_Markets
Bryan Rich writes: Currency values are highly influenced by interest rates … a key driver in determining the flow of global capital.
For example, if you lived in Japan for the past decade, you would have experienced a decade of near-zero interest rates. Therefore, you might have shopped outside your home country for a better return on your money.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
How Paul Krugman Has Misconceived Austrian Business Cycle Theory / Economics / Economic Theory
By: MISES
David Gordon writes: Paul Krugman is an eminent economist, but he here reveals a woefully inadequate understanding of Austrian business-cycle theory. The rudiments of the theory are easy; one might have thought that even a Keynesian could grasp them.
Friday, July 31, 2009
Economic Recovery, Pass out the 3D Glasses / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Andy_Sutton
It doesn’t take long these days to find an economic bull that’s for sure. Whether you turn on the television, radio, or pick up a newspaper, they’re everywhere. The most popular phrase to date has obviously been Bernanke’s ‘Green Shoots’ comment made several months ago now. Boy have we gotten some mileage out of that one.
Friday, July 31, 2009
Economic Recovery, Happy Days Aren’t Here Again? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Peter_Schiff
Have you heard the great news? The recession is over! It’s true; I saw it on TV. Why fret about growing unemployment lines when banks are paying big-time bonuses again?
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Friday, July 31, 2009
China Change to One Child Policy Population Boom Could Make You Rich / Economics / China Economy
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Tony Sagami writes: They say the only thing constant in this world is change. That’s certainly true in Asia where some big changes are brewing.
1.4 billion — the population of China — is a lot of people. And for the last 30 years, Chinese couples have been limited to just one child.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Beware of the Obama Inflationary Economic Stimulus Trap / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Upbeat headlines have been everywhere in recent weeks, and they all seem to point to a single conclusion: The U.S. economy is in the early stages of a very rapid recovery.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Economic Arguments Against the Re-nomination of Bernanke as Fed Chairman / Economics / Central Banks
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
I Come Neither to Praise Nor to Bury Bernanke - No one is indispensable. There are plenty of well-qualified candidates to replace Ben Bernanke as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. So, the Republic will survive whether or not Ben Bernanke is re-nominated as Fed chairman. But let us be objective in assessing the job he has done as chairman. In my opinion, Anna Schwartz was not objective in her July 26 NYT op-ed piece arguing for the dumping of Bernanke.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Banks Branch Network Over Expansion Points to Negative Returns / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Banks have finally come to a realization there does not need to be a branch on every corner. If this story sounds familiar it is because the same discussions took place in 2000.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Blowing Stock and Property Market Bubbles in China / Economics / China Economy
By: MISES
Tim Swanson writes: Despite all of the shimmering skyscrapers and industrial output, unless market forces are allowed to truly dictate economic exchanges, today's Chinese megacities and their residents will merely be facades and actors within a 21st-century Potemkin village, and growth will remain stagnant for years to come. This is due in large part to continual state intervention through centrally planned investment.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Economic Crisis Hits Men Harder than Women / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
The economic crisis that struck 27 EU member states affected men at a much greater extent than women. According to the Eurostat report, staff reduction mostly affected such sectors as industry and financial sphere where predominantly men were employed. The unemployment rate among young people has been rising much faster as compared to other adults. 4.9 million youngsters across the EU became unemployed in the first quarter of this year.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
China Debt Bubble Looming / Economics / China Economy
By: Hans_Wagner
According to the latest reports from China, the country’s GDP is growing at 8% a year. This is an amazing achievement and helps to bolster the argument that China will help lead the global economy out of its recession. Since it looks like exports will be the major driver of growth for the U.S., selling goods and services to many emerging economies like China it pays to dig a little deeper to understand this growth phenomenon.
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
European Economic Outlook 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: RGE_Monitor
Deleted.
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Keynesians Can't Predict, Forecasts of Postwar Deflation Turned Out to be Entirely Wrong / Economics / Economic Theory
By: MISES
L. Albert Hahn writes: If you take the trouble to interrogate a large number of economists about the economic future of the country you will find that an overwhelming majority argues in the following way: In about two years at the latest, rearmament will be completed and the amounts spent for this purpose will be negligible. At about the same time the pent-up demand for investments will be largely satisfied. The productive apparatus will be sufficiently enlarged, improved, and modernized to meet the needs of an increased population and all other reasonable requirements. A depression — or at least a serious recession from the present high level of production and employment — must follow.
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
U.S. Consumer Confidence Falls More than Expected / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
After rebounding from the depths of hell in February, the Consumer Confidence Survey shows Consumer Confidence Numbers Retreat Again.
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
The Great Global Economic Stimulus Gap / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: Some exciting new changes are now unfolding, and later this week, I will tell you more about them via video from my home. (Look for my email announcement with the subject “Important Fireside Chat.”)
For now, here’s a heads-up on one of the most important developments:
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Economic Recovery Without the Feel Good Factor / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon III writes:
When the initial estimates for the just-concluded second quarter are released next week, they’re expected to show that gross domestic-product (GDP) declined for the fourth quarter in a row.
Monday, July 27, 2009
US Economy: What Economic Recovery? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Gerard_Jackson
The Dow has passed the 9000 barrier. This has gotta be a recovery, right? After all, "the share market is forward looking". I'm afraid these people have confused forward looking with foresight. Never look to share markets as harbingers of growth or recession. Market watchers would know this if they paid more attention to history and less to charts. The American economy, for example, had already shown distinct signs of contracting several months before the Great Crash of 1929.
Sunday, July 26, 2009
California Public Employees’ Retirement System in Deep Trouble, Gambling on Riskier Bets / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Shedlock
Calpers, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, is in deep trouble. Calpers got in trouble by not understanding risk. It still does not understand risk and thinks risk is the solution.
Saturday, July 25, 2009
Has the U.S. Economy Hit Bottom? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: MISES
Frank Shostak writes: Most experts and commentators are of the view that the worst of the US recession may be over by year's end. My own prediction is for an illusory recovery of government-constructed economic indicators, but nothing more than that.
Saturday, July 25, 2009
The Statistical Economic Recovery and the Last Stocks Bear Standing / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
The Return of Muddle Through*
Can China Lead the Global Recovery?
The Statistical Recovery
The Last Bear Standing
A lot of bullish commentators are talking about a recovery being in the works, and they may very well be right. But it is not going to look like any recovery worthy of the name. This week we look at what I will call The Statistical Recovery. But first we take a look at what China is doing, as we continue our look at the rest of the world and ponder whether it is time to brace ourselves for an extended bout with the Muddle Through Economy*. (And yes, there is an asterisk.)
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