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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Fed is Accelerating the Monetization of Debt, High Inflation is on Its Way / Economics / Inflation

By: Global_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBob Chapman writes: The public option for Obama insurance coverage has been described as just a sliver of the overall proposal. Universal coverage directly by government was not an essential element says Health & Human Services. Of course it was. The program is in retreat and the only way the Democrats can get passage of any kind is to re-craft a toothless passage and ram it through in a party line vote.

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Economics

Sunday, August 30, 2009

No Wage Growth; No Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA recent poll shows that most economists now believe that the recession, which began in December 2007, will end in the third quarter of 2009. There's been an uptick in manufacturing and consumer confidence, and the decline in housing prices appears to be flattening out. Unfortunately, the return to positive GDP will likely be short-lived. The current surge in production is mainly the result of President Obama's fiscal stimulus and the rebuilding of inventories that were slashed after Lehman Bros defaulted in September, 2008. These factors should boost GDP for two or perhaps three quarters before the economy lapses back into recession.

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Economics

Sunday, August 30, 2009

The U.S. Economic Recovery is a Tale of Two Economies / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow well corporations have fared in the recovery depends largely on two factors.

1) How much cash on hand they had and how conservative they were heading into the recession

2) How much Uncle Sam (taxpayers) bailed them out

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Economics

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Uncomfortable Choices in a Deflationary High Deficits Economic Environment / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn Uncomfortable Choice
What Were We Thinking?
Frugality is the New Normal
And Then We Face the Real Problem
The Teenagers Are in Control
Choose Wisely

We have arrived at this particular economic moment in time by the choices we have made, which now leave us with choices in our future that will be neither easy, convenient, nor comfortable. Sometimes there are just no good choices, only less-bad ones. In this week's letter we look at what some of those choices might be, and ponder their possible consequences. Are we headed for a double-dip recession? Read on.

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Economics

Friday, August 28, 2009

The China Growth Myth Debunked, What Happens When the Credit Bubble Pops? / Economics / China Economy

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVirtually 95% of all the evidence of economic recovery has stemmed from China in one way or another. Whether it’s the rise in price of commodities (China stockpiling), the global economy (the “China” growth miracle will lead us into a recovery), or even retail numbers (China producers lowering prices in an effort to move inventory), China is linked in one way or another to the “green shoots” nonsense.

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Economics

Friday, August 28, 2009

Beware the Mass Media, A Pack of Lying Morons / Economics / Mainstream Media

By: LewRockwell

Jack D. Douglas writes: The Mass Media reports on almost all economic issues more complex than buying a hamburger are very misleading at all times and are catastrophically misleading in this Great Crisis in which almost everything is distorted in Rube Goldberg ways by the Fed, FDIC, and scores of other agencies and giveaway, subsidy programs.

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Economics

Friday, August 28, 2009

What a Changing U.S. Savings Ratio and Chinese Falling Export Rate Tell Us / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat can we learn from the insight that the U.S. consumer is saving more and Chinese exports are falling? The chart below from Bloomberg has an interesting story to tell. The yellow line represents the falling growth rate of Chinese exports vs. last year. The white line shows the rising savings rate of the U.S. consumer.

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Economics

Friday, August 28, 2009

Transition From Financial Crisis to Stagflation / Economics / Stagflation

By: Christopher_Laird

Now that we are just about 2 years into the world financial/credit crisis, it’s time to ask what is next in one or two years.  One is to ask will stagflation emerge in 2010 and after, which is highly gold bullish long term.

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Economics

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Jaguar Inflation, An Explanation of the Deflationary Consequences of Government Intervention / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide.

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Economics

Thursday, August 27, 2009

The Process of Creative Distruction of Corporations / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVan Hoisington and Lacy Hunt have figured out what few others have, that excessive debt and falling asset prices have conspired to render the best efforts of the Fed impotent.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Current Economic Crisis Still On Track to be Bigger than the Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDear reader,

Our friends over at Elliott Wave International (EWI) are offering Bob Prechter’s recent 10-page market letter, free. It challenges current recovery hype with hard facts, independent analysis, and insightful charts. You’ll find out why the worst is NOT over and what you can do to safeguard your financial future. Learn more.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Leading Economic Indicators Predict the Recession is Over / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleClaus Vogt writes: Last Thursday the Conference Board released the July reading of its Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI). Year-over-year it was up by 0.2 percent. This is the first reading in the plus column since 2007.

So … what does this clear improvement tell us? How important is it? Does it give us an all clear signal that a strong recovery is on its way?

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Economics

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

The Free Market Caused the Great Depression? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFloy Lilley writes: Did you hear the one about bobbing heads on Sunday agreeing that the cause of the Great Depression was the absence of government guidance? "The Great Depression would never have happened if there had been any economic regulations," agreed the policy wonks.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Economic Armageddon, Here We Come / Economics / US Debt

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarty Nemko writes: Obama administration admitted today that the federal debt will, over the next decade, grow wildly larger than it had previously said – so much for a recovery. Now the estimate is $9 trillion!

And that doesn't count the $1.0 to $1.6 trillion Congress is contemplating spending on ObamaCare.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

A Student's Guide to Economic History / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Gordon writes: [How Capitalism Saved America: The Untold History of Our Country, From the Pilgrims to the Present. By Thomas J. DiLorenzo. Crown Forum, 2004. 295 pages.]

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Economics

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Inflation Breeds Even More Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThorsten Polleit writes: I. Warning Against Fiduciary Media

Early in the 20th century, Ludwig von Mises warned against the consequences of granting the government control over the money supply. Such a regime inevitably creates money through bank credit that is not backed by real savings — a type of money that Mises termed "fiduciary media."

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Economics

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Gross National Product (GNP): How is it Calculated? What does it Measure? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleProf. John Kozy writes: Although the Department of Commerce claims that GDP measures the final value of goods and services produced in the United States in a given period of time, it merely measures the income of the politically sanctioned commercial class. GDP is used as an indicator of how well that commercial class is doing; it is not a measure of the nation's well being.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Gloom Versus Optimism: Is the Global Economic Recession Over? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShamus Cooke writes: Few would consider the opinions of the world's central bankers to be unbiased or even accurate.  These self-proclaimed wise men of international finance didn't see the recession coming until it blew up in their faces — a blast that destroyed their credibility.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Premature Exiting From Quantitative Easing Could Derail the Economic Recovery / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is the strong possibility that policy makers in the US and UK will not time the transition from the current quantitative easing to a more tightened monetary policy. That is not because they are no competent. It is because the task is very tricky and there is no play book outlining the steps. This is not Tom Landry (former Dallas Cowboy coach) pacing the field with a play for every situation already planned and practiced well in advance.

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Economics

Monday, August 24, 2009

Death of the Consumer / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Moses_Kim

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMoving forward, the most critical indicator of the viability of our economy will be consumer spending. Simply put, without a buoyant consumer, there will be no recovery. Due no doubt to the negative characteristics of consumer data, the death of the consumer is receiving scant coverage.

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